AI Kindom: Who will be the Last Winner?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you!
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What makes this growth stock selloff so frustrating is that hotter inflation and rising yields are driving most of the pressure even as the companies across Space, AI Power, Robotics and Defense continue making progress.
When rates move this aggressively the market starts punishing companies whose earnings are still years away which is why stocks can keep falling even as their businesses benefit from strong secular tailwinds.
But this is also where I think the opportunity is getting really interesting because I can build larger positions in companies where my long-term thesis remains intact which brings me to the stocks I've been adding this week and why.
2
Jim Cramer says investors “can’t own” $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ because it is “losing a ton of money.”
He argues the selloff is justified saying “the reason why it’s going down is because it should be going down.”
3
Anthropic reportedly grew Q3 revenue 46% to $16.8B while telling investors it was cash flow positive for the quarter.
That gives Anthropic a stronger foundation to support its ~$518B in long term compute commitments while improving demand visibility for $Broadcom(AVGO)$, $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$.
4
Imagine seeing this entire stack and deciding $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ lives or dies because Neutron slipped into 2027.
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Neutron slipping into 2027 is obviously disappointing but I would much rather
$RKLB
lose several months fixing a known manufacturing issue than protect a launch date and increase the risk of losing the vehicle.
The details are also much more reassuring than headline because Rocket Lab says problem came from tiny voids forming inside thicker sections of carbon composite dome after redesigning the structure to eliminate joints which makes this look much more like a manufacturing process issue than evidence that underlying Neutron architecture is flawed.
I will say that Rocket Lab isn't giving a new launch date until stage one testing finishes in Q1 so realistically I think first flight moves into middle of 2027 and potentially later so that obviously pushes out the biggest near term catalyst but the important distinction is that Rocket Lab doesn't need Neutron revenue tomorrow to survive because Space Systems already represents ~80% of revenue while the company has built a record backlog around $2.4B across satellites, components, spacecraft and government programs.
Thats also why I think market and long term investors are going to view this very differently because if your thesis was Neutron launching in Q4 and creating a near term rerating then a several month delay matters a lot but if your thesis is that Rocket Lab can become one of only scaled vertically integrated space infrastructure companies outside
$SpaceX(SPCX)$ then a manufacturing delay matters much less as long as engineering problem gets solved and rest of the business keeps executing.
It is also worth remembering that SpaceX failed its first three Falcon 1 launches before eventually building one of most valuable private companies in the world but I do fully expect market to punish Rocket Lab because it prices the company quarter by quarter but I'm buying it over next decade.
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