[Stock Prediction] Intel Plunges 29%. Is AMD Next?
Intel plunged nearly 29% after its latest earnings report, as a disappointing outlook raised fresh concerns about the semiconductor industry's growth prospects. The selloff spread across the sector, dragging AMD down nearly 11% on Friday. AMD fell another 7.5% on Monday, closing at $466.84. $Intel(INTC)$
Now, all eyes are on $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , which reports third-quarter earnings after the closing bell on November 3. AMD has a different growth story from Intel. Its EPYC server processors are gaining traction in data centers, while its Instinct AI accelerators are competing for a share of the booming AI infrastructure market.
What Wall Street Expects
According to Bloomberg BEST consensus estimates, analysts expect AMD to report:
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Revenue: $13.08 billion
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Adjusted EPS: $1.97
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Adjusted net income: $3.25 billion
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Operating income: $3.68 billion
AMD has beaten revenue estimates in each of its last eight quarters and adjusted EPS estimates in seven of eight. Bloomberg data shows that AMD's average historical one-day earnings move is approximately 5.55%, while the options market is pricing in a move of roughly 8.58% this time.
Three Things to Watch
1. AI chips: Can AMD keep gaining ground?
AMD's data-center business has become a major growth engine, driven by demand for EPYC processors and Instinct AI accelerators.Investors will be looking for evidence that AI accelerator shipments are accelerating, along with updates on AMD's next-generation MI450 chips and Helios rack-scale systems.
With Microsoft, Oracle and other cloud providers continuing to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, the size and timing of future orders could be just as important as this quarter's revenue.
2. Server CPUs: Can AMD take more share from Intel?
AMD has been steadily expanding its presence in the server CPU market. Intel's recent challenges have put the competitive landscape back in focus. Strong EPYC demand could help AMD demonstrate that its growth isn't entirely dependent on AI GPUs. Watch for management's comments on cloud customer demand, enterprise adoption and server processor shipments.
3. Guidance: Will a beat be enough?
Intel's selloff delivered a clear message: Wall Street is looking beyond the latest quarter. AMD's third-quarter results matter, but its fourth-quarter outlook may have an even bigger influence on the stock. Investors will be watching revenue guidance, gross margins, AI product shipments and management's expectations for demand heading into 2027.
🎯 Stock Prediction
How will AMD shares perform on the first trading day after earnings?
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A. Surge more than 10% 🚀
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B. Gain 5%–10% 📈
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C. Trade between -5% and +5%
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D. Fall 5%–10% 📉
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E. Drop more than 10% 💥
💬 What's Your Trade?
Intel just suffered a brutal post-earnings selloff. Will AMD break the pattern ? Would you buy AMD ahead of earnings, wait for a potential dip, or stay on the sidelines until the outlook becomes clearer? Vote and share your trading strategy in the comments!
🎁 Rewards
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Share your prediction and reasoning in the comments for a chance to win a random Tiger Coin reward. Rewards are limited and available on a first-come, first-served basis.
⏰ Event Deadline
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November 3, 2026, at 4:00 PM ET (November 4, 5:00 AM Singapore/Hong Kong time). $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long AMD Daily ETF(AMDL)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $GraniteShares 2X Long INTC Daily ETF(INTW)$
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AMD has a stronger growth story than Intel, particularly in data-center CPUs and AI accelerators. Its Q2 data-center revenue surged 107% year over year to $6.7 billion, demonstrating that demand is translating into real business growth. Its expanding partnerships with Meta, Microsoft and Anthropic also strengthen its longer-term AI opportunity.
However, I wouldn't expect an explosive rally. With AMD trading at a premium valuation, simply beating the $13.08 billion revenue estimate may not be enough. Investors need convincing Q4 guidance, stronger AI accelerator shipments and evidence that Helios can generate meaningful revenue in 2027.
My view: AMD has better fundamentals than Intel, but expectations are already high. A solid earnings beat combined with optimistic guidance could trigger a relief rally. I'm cautiously bullish, favouring a 5%–10% rebound rather than chasing a 10%+ spike.
@Tiger_Earnings [龇牙]
While Intel’s post-earnings drop is fresh in investors’ minds, AMD’s fundamentals are slightly different, with stronger momentum in its data centre and AI segments. That said, the market sentiment seems cautious, and any surprise in guidance could swing the stock sharply.
My plan is to wait for the earnings release and see if there’s a knee-jerk reaction before making any trades. If AMD drops on short-term jitters but maintains a solid long-term outlook, I’d look to buy the dip.
AMD与英特尔的增长逻辑不同，EPYC服务器CPU和Instinct AI芯片仍有较强需求，但市场预期已经很高，单纯营收或EPS超预期恐怕不够。
我最关注**第四季度指引、毛利率以及MI450量产进度**。如果三项表现强劲，AMD有望带动芯片股反弹；如果未来增长不及预期，即使当季业绩漂亮，也可能继续下跌。
**我的策略：财报前不重仓押注，财报后等待方向明确再分批布局，不盲目使用杠杆ETF。**
🐯 **好业绩不等于股价一定上涨，真正决定走势的是未来增长能否超越市场预期！**
我的判断是：AMD长期成长前景不错，但短期股价已经累积了很高的市场期待，财报超预期不代表股价一定上涨。
1. AMD的三个优势
AI芯片： Instinct加速器有机会从英伟达手中争取市场份额。
服务器CPU： EPYC持续受益于数据中心扩张，也有机会从英特尔手中抢占份额。
大型客户： 微软、甲骨文等公司的AI投资，为AMD提供成长机会。
2. 我最担心什么？
不是AMD第三季度赚多少钱，而是第四季度和2027年的增长能否持续。
我会重点观察：
1. 数据中心收入是否继续高速增长。
2. 毛利率有没有改善。
3. MI450和Helios交付进度是否顺利。
4. AI订单能否真正转化为收入和现金流。
3. 如果我是投资者，会怎么做？
情况 我的策略
财报前 不急着买入赌博
财报大涨超过10% 不追高
财报不错但股价下跌 观察是否有合理买入机会
第四季度指引不佳 暂时观望
长期订单持续增长、估值合理 考虑分批买入
4. AMD还是INTC？
如果比较长期成长潜力，我目前更看好AMD。
AMD有AI加速器和EPYC服务器CPU两大增长引擎；英特尔则仍需要证明制造业务和盈利能力能够持续改善。
不过，AMD的估值也不能忽略。
我的最终结论
长期：看好AMD。
短期：谨慎，不追高。
财报竞猜：选择C。
我宁愿等财报公布后，确认业绩、未来指引和市场反应，再考虑买入。
记住一句话：买股票不是买过去的成绩，而是买未来的盈利能力。