TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday π $S&P 500(.SPX)$ price action much more bearish the past 2 days. SPX failed to show any signs of strength today. SPX to 6636 in play next. If SPX breaks this level 6520 in play. SPX March 13 6635P can work under 6670 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped from 612 to 597 today the past 2 days. IF QQQ breaks 597 it can drop to 589 and down to 580. QQQ Under 580 can cause a longer term downtrend to 540. QQQ March 13 595P can work under 597 $Micron Technology(MU)$ held up decent today with the market selling off. MU held the 400 support level. MU through 415 can move back to 425-430. Wait for 415 for
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 Wrote a conservative$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 0DTE put credit spread this morning. Was going to turn it into an Iron Condor and write a call credit spread, but totally forgot to. Dipped back into the well at the same 6565/6555 put strikes from last week's trade. Today's trade expired worthless for max profit! π€ 2 Been trading $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ this week. Will continue to do so and write weekly puts in the 125-135 range, and strangle with calls also. Locked in close to $700 profit this week. π€ Got a few other BE positions still open. Will let those expire worthless this Friday for max profit. For SG users
$SPY$ The biggest trade: 29k of the March 17th 647 puts bought $SPY 20260317 647.0 PUT$ β over $4M in premium. March 17th is a Tuesday. Expiry like that? Only makes sense if someone's positioning for a Monday gap lower. Trump may want a quiet runway into triple witching, but Wall Street and the political machine behind him arenβt all rowing the same boat. If shorts in the US market start stirring up trouble, hard to stop it β the payoff from a crash is just too big. And who knows β maybe Trump himself is backing the downside. Talking stability, but betting on chaos. $NVDA$ Same story, different week. Still betting on a pullback to 170 $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$&nb
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ extremely choppy day with SPX failing to reclaim 6800. SPX dropped 60+ from the highs and closed at 6775. We have Core PCE data coming out Friday morning. SPX needs back through 6800 to start to look more bullish. This WIDER range continues into month 6 for SPX. Wait for 6800 for calls. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ setting up for a squeeze to 700-725 in the next 2 weeks. SNDK March 13 700C can work above 650 tomorow $Micron Technology(MU)$ almost ready to test ATH at 455. Earnings coming up next week as well. If MU can hold above 412 we should see 425-430 next. MU March 13 430C can work above 420 It's pos
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1. $Rubrik Inc.(RBRK)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Thursday. Expected move is ~12%. IV is high at 200%+. Am targeting a put-write trade at the 40 strike or lower. There is very strong volume support at 35. Image 2. $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ with the strong move today off of the news about their product improvements. This is really good stuff for their product, the company, and the stock price. Got a gap at $12 ... let's see if NVTS fills it by Friday close. Image Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and U
$NVDA$ Tuesday's put flow suggests the panic has cooled β at least for this week. But institutions aren't letting their guard down. 40k of the March 20th 170 puts were bought to open $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$ . If oil's reaction is any guide, we're likely in for the scenario I laid out yesterday: chop into triple witching. So NVDA grinds 180β190 into next week. $USO$ USO saw big blocks in puts β mostly longer-dated. Two strike buckets: 100 and 90. Means the market sees a stalemate near-term. Probability of a major drop in the next two weeks? Low. $TSLA$ First medium-term bullish call in a while: 510 calls bought $TSLA 20260515 510.0 CALL$ β 15.9k contr
TRADE PLAN for Wednesday π $S&P 500(.SPX)$ consolidation day after a 170+ pt move higher yesterday. SPX moved to 6845 and dipped 60+ into the close. IF SPX reclaims 6800 I'd consider calls for a move to 6880+. CPI data premarket tmrw. SPX 6840C is best above 6800 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 614 is the next big resistance to get through to test 618,622. I'd swing calls through this level for another push higher this month. IF QQQ fails to hold 607 I'd avoid calls. QQQ March 13 616C is best near 614 The next big catalyst in the market will be the end of the Iran war. Once this new is official, I anticipate we'll see SPX move through 7000 and QQQ back to 629+. Good luck tmrw everyone!! π«‘ For SG users only, Welcome
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. Update: Still looking at the 185 put strike on $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ , but thinking of making it a put credit spread and buying the 175 strike as a hedge, and then going out to March 20 expiration. 2. Got $Oracle(ORCL)$ on tap for earnings after the closing bell today. Here's our optionselling earnings trade idea posted over the weekend. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. πCash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs β G
A Thought: All the Tension Gets Unleashed After Triple Witching
$NVDA$ Iβm starting to think Trump is running the same playbook as last year β stall through March, let things get ugly in early April, then bounce. Monday saw 62k of the April 2nd 160 puts open $NVDA 20260402 160.0 PUT$ . Meanwhile, weekly 165 and 167.5 puts got closed out. Bearish flows are still there, but the consensus is breaking down compared to last Friday. One collar trade caught my eye: sell 180 call $NVDA 20260717 180.0 CALL$ , buy 2x 130 puts $NVDA 20260717 130.0 PUT$ . The 180 call premium? ~$20. The traderβs view: NVDA wonβt break 200 by July. Selling the call funds the pu
TRADE PLAN for Tuesday π«‘ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 178 pt bounce from the lows. The markets rallied on Trump's post about the Iran war could be ending soon. If SPX can reclaim 6800 tomorrow and move back to 6880 we'll see a push to 7000 again. It'd best to see SPX hold above 6720. SPX March 10 6830C is best above 6800 $Micron Technology(MU)$ setting up for a run to 400+. MU earnings coming up next Wednesday as well. MU to 455+ in play by the end of next week. MU March 13 400C is best above 385 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ all about 610 if it gets through we'll see a run to 614+ QQQ March 13 614C is best above 610 Good luck tmrw everyone!! π«‘ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA
Caught 120% on $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ calls. Hereβs why I took the trade π Futures sold off hard overnight, but the dip got bought almost immediately near the open. While $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was making new lows on the day, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ held the 590 level. That clear relative strength / deviation caught my attention. The market has been extremely volatile lately, so instead of same-day contracts I went with calls 2 days out to reduce the impact of theta decay and whipsaws. As the session progressed, QQQ continued to hold strength while the rest of the market struggled, which gave me confidence to stay in the position. Then the Trump headline about the war nearing
PLTR Pullback Into Demand After Huge Run, Next Leg Higher?
1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Pullback Into Demand After Huge Run, Next Leg Higher? After a massive run from under $20 to nearly $200, $PLTR finally pulled back into a key demand zone between $126β$150. This area lines up with prior breakout structure and strong weekly support. As long as $126 holds, the trend structure remains intact and this consolidation could be the base for the next move higher. Recent Developments AI Defense Contracts: Palantir continues securing large U.S. government and NATO-related AI data contracts Commercial Growth: U.S. commercial revenue has been accelerating as more enterprises adopt Palantirβs platforms Profitability Milestone: Multiple consecutive profitable quarters improving institutional confidence AI Pl
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ announces earnings tomorrow after the closing bell. Expected move is ~12%. Price action has been essentially flat since that gap fill and bounce ... tutes don't want to make any big moves until the earnings release. Am looking at the 185 strike March 13 expiration for a put-write trade to play earnings. Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. πCash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs β Greater Flexibility Now Find out more here. Com
$SPY$ SPY's path lower is becoming clearer β steadily grinding toward the 200-day moving average at 655. Notable flows: Weekly put spread: buy 655 $SPY 20260313 655.0 PUT$ , sell 635 $SPY 20260313 635.0 PUT$ . April put spread: buy 657 $SPY 20260402 657.0 PUT$ , sell 590 $SPY 20260402 590.0 PUT$ . Moral of the story: don't try to catch the knife before the 200-day MA. Whether we go sub-655? Hard to say. Trump's tweets aren't running the show anymore. $USO$ Oil and oil ETFs look like they'll resolve direction by March 20. C
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ TRADE PLAN π π SPX bullish plan: SPX above 6765 | SPX Mar 11 6820C π T: 6824, 6880 SL 6720 SPX bearish plan: SPX under 6720 | SPX Mar 11 6650P π T: 6650, 6632 SL 6765 SPX has been struggling to hold any green day the past couple weeks. SPX failed to hold above 6900 and dropped to 6711 by Friday. SPX under 6720 can pull back towards 6632, 6520 next. If SPX gives up 6520 it can drop another 100 points quickly. The upside should be treated as a quicker day trade for now. I donβt see a great setup yet. Image 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade Idea: Mar 13 385P Trigger: 400 β Targets: 383, 375 π― Stop: 406 π TSLA dropped to 385 last week and tried to reclaim 400 a few times but failed. TSLA ne
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. $UiPath(PATH)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday. Expected move is ~16%. Am looking at writing a strangle, March 13 expiration, 9 or 9.5 put strike & 17 call strike. Image 2. $Oracle(ORCL)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday. Expected move is ~11%. Am looking at writing puts on a strike in the 100-120 range, Mar 13 and/or 20 expiration. Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. πCash Boost Ac
Most people think success in trading is about finding the perfect setup. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Itβs not. Itβs about becoming the kind of person who can execute the same edgeβ¦ over and overβ¦ without letting your emotions sabotage you. The market will test you every single day. Not just your strategy β your patience, your discipline, your ego. Some days youβll feel unstoppable. Some days youβll feel like the market is designed to humble you personally. Both are traps. The traders who actually make it arenβt the ones who hit one big trade. Theyβre the ones who show up the next day with the exact same focusβ¦ whether theyβre up 200k or down 20k. No revenge trading. No emotional sizing. No chasing candles because Twitter is screaming. Just process. Becaus
Big Trades Are In β Is It Time to Bottom-Fish Hang Seng?
$KWEB$ After breaking below its 200-week moving average, KWEB saw a few structured bullish flows β mostly hedged with puts. Target bounce zone: 32β33. From the expiry profile, this looks like a longer-term positioning. The rebound won't happen overnight. More chop and grind lower possible. But institutions now think these levels are worth structuring hedged long exposure. First structure: very low cost. After hedge, the call premium is just ~$0.30β0.50. Sell put 24 $KWEB 20270115 24.0 PUT$ β 50k Buy call 33 $KWEB 20260918 33.0 CALL$ β 50k Second structure: Sell put 28 $KWEB 20260417 28.0 PUT$&nb
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ relief rally today after a 200+ points sell off the past 4 days. SPX 6900-6921 will be a hard resistance to break above but if it gets through 7000 test incoming. SPX needs a macro catalyst to break above 7k and hold. SPX March 5 6920C can work near 6900 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ broke out above 663 and touched 672. META to 680-685 in play as long as 663 holds tomorrow. META March 6 675C can work above 668 tomorrow $Micron Technology(MU)$ reclaimed 400 today if it defend this level into Friday, MU to 420-425 in play by next week. MU March 6 410C can work above 400 Good luck tmrw everyone!! π«‘ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and
$SPY$ The biggest trade: 29k of the March 17th 647 puts bought $SPY 20260317 647.0 PUT$ β over $4M in premium. March 17th is a Tuesday. Expiry like that? Only makes sense if someone's positioning for a Monday gap lower. Trump may want a quiet runway into triple witching, but Wall Street and the political machine behind him arenβt all rowing the same boat. If shorts in the US market start stirring up trouble, hard to stop it β the payoff from a crash is just too big. And who knows β maybe Trump himself is backing the downside. Talking stability, but betting on chaos. $NVDA$ Same story, different week. Still betting on a pullback to 170 $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$&nb
$NVDA$ Tuesday's put flow suggests the panic has cooled β at least for this week. But institutions aren't letting their guard down. 40k of the March 20th 170 puts were bought to open $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$ . If oil's reaction is any guide, we're likely in for the scenario I laid out yesterday: chop into triple witching. So NVDA grinds 180β190 into next week. $USO$ USO saw big blocks in puts β mostly longer-dated. Two strike buckets: 100 and 90. Means the market sees a stalemate near-term. Probability of a major drop in the next two weeks? Low. $TSLA$ First medium-term bullish call in a while: 510 calls bought $TSLA 20260515 510.0 CALL$ β 15.9k contr
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 Wrote a conservative$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 0DTE put credit spread this morning. Was going to turn it into an Iron Condor and write a call credit spread, but totally forgot to. Dipped back into the well at the same 6565/6555 put strikes from last week's trade. Today's trade expired worthless for max profit! π€ 2 Been trading $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ this week. Will continue to do so and write weekly puts in the 125-135 range, and strangle with calls also. Locked in close to $700 profit this week. π€ Got a few other BE positions still open. Will let those expire worthless this Friday for max profit. For SG users
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday π $S&P 500(.SPX)$ price action much more bearish the past 2 days. SPX failed to show any signs of strength today. SPX to 6636 in play next. If SPX breaks this level 6520 in play. SPX March 13 6635P can work under 6670 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped from 612 to 597 today the past 2 days. IF QQQ breaks 597 it can drop to 589 and down to 580. QQQ Under 580 can cause a longer term downtrend to 540. QQQ March 13 595P can work under 597 $Micron Technology(MU)$ held up decent today with the market selling off. MU held the 400 support level. MU through 415 can move back to 425-430. Wait for 415 for
A Thought: All the Tension Gets Unleashed After Triple Witching
$NVDA$ Iβm starting to think Trump is running the same playbook as last year β stall through March, let things get ugly in early April, then bounce. Monday saw 62k of the April 2nd 160 puts open $NVDA 20260402 160.0 PUT$ . Meanwhile, weekly 165 and 167.5 puts got closed out. Bearish flows are still there, but the consensus is breaking down compared to last Friday. One collar trade caught my eye: sell 180 call $NVDA 20260717 180.0 CALL$ , buy 2x 130 puts $NVDA 20260717 130.0 PUT$ . The 180 call premium? ~$20. The traderβs view: NVDA wonβt break 200 by July. Selling the call funds the pu
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1. $Rubrik Inc.(RBRK)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Thursday. Expected move is ~12%. IV is high at 200%+. Am targeting a put-write trade at the 40 strike or lower. There is very strong volume support at 35. Image 2. $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ with the strong move today off of the news about their product improvements. This is really good stuff for their product, the company, and the stock price. Got a gap at $12 ... let's see if NVTS fills it by Friday close. Image Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and U
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ extremely choppy day with SPX failing to reclaim 6800. SPX dropped 60+ from the highs and closed at 6775. We have Core PCE data coming out Friday morning. SPX needs back through 6800 to start to look more bullish. This WIDER range continues into month 6 for SPX. Wait for 6800 for calls. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ setting up for a squeeze to 700-725 in the next 2 weeks. SNDK March 13 700C can work above 650 tomorow $Micron Technology(MU)$ almost ready to test ATH at 455. Earnings coming up next week as well. If MU can hold above 412 we should see 425-430 next. MU March 13 430C can work above 420 It's pos
$SPY$ SPY's path lower is becoming clearer β steadily grinding toward the 200-day moving average at 655. Notable flows: Weekly put spread: buy 655 $SPY 20260313 655.0 PUT$ , sell 635 $SPY 20260313 635.0 PUT$ . April put spread: buy 657 $SPY 20260402 657.0 PUT$ , sell 590 $SPY 20260402 590.0 PUT$ . Moral of the story: don't try to catch the knife before the 200-day MA. Whether we go sub-655? Hard to say. Trump's tweets aren't running the show anymore. $USO$ Oil and oil ETFs look like they'll resolve direction by March 20. C
TRADE PLAN for Wednesday π $S&P 500(.SPX)$ consolidation day after a 170+ pt move higher yesterday. SPX moved to 6845 and dipped 60+ into the close. IF SPX reclaims 6800 I'd consider calls for a move to 6880+. CPI data premarket tmrw. SPX 6840C is best above 6800 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 614 is the next big resistance to get through to test 618,622. I'd swing calls through this level for another push higher this month. IF QQQ fails to hold 607 I'd avoid calls. QQQ March 13 616C is best near 614 The next big catalyst in the market will be the end of the Iran war. Once this new is official, I anticipate we'll see SPX move through 7000 and QQQ back to 629+. Good luck tmrw everyone!! π«‘ For SG users only, Welcome
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. Update: Still looking at the 185 put strike on $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ , but thinking of making it a put credit spread and buying the 175 strike as a hedge, and then going out to March 20 expiration. 2. Got $Oracle(ORCL)$ on tap for earnings after the closing bell today. Here's our optionselling earnings trade idea posted over the weekend. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. πCash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs β G
PLTR Pullback Into Demand After Huge Run, Next Leg Higher?
1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Pullback Into Demand After Huge Run, Next Leg Higher? After a massive run from under $20 to nearly $200, $PLTR finally pulled back into a key demand zone between $126β$150. This area lines up with prior breakout structure and strong weekly support. As long as $126 holds, the trend structure remains intact and this consolidation could be the base for the next move higher. Recent Developments AI Defense Contracts: Palantir continues securing large U.S. government and NATO-related AI data contracts Commercial Growth: U.S. commercial revenue has been accelerating as more enterprises adopt Palantirβs platforms Profitability Milestone: Multiple consecutive profitable quarters improving institutional confidence AI Pl
Caught 120% on $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ calls. Hereβs why I took the trade π Futures sold off hard overnight, but the dip got bought almost immediately near the open. While $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was making new lows on the day, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ held the 590 level. That clear relative strength / deviation caught my attention. The market has been extremely volatile lately, so instead of same-day contracts I went with calls 2 days out to reduce the impact of theta decay and whipsaws. As the session progressed, QQQ continued to hold strength while the rest of the market struggled, which gave me confidence to stay in the position. Then the Trump headline about the war nearing
TRADE PLAN for Tuesday π«‘ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 178 pt bounce from the lows. The markets rallied on Trump's post about the Iran war could be ending soon. If SPX can reclaim 6800 tomorrow and move back to 6880 we'll see a push to 7000 again. It'd best to see SPX hold above 6720. SPX March 10 6830C is best above 6800 $Micron Technology(MU)$ setting up for a run to 400+. MU earnings coming up next Wednesday as well. MU to 455+ in play by the end of next week. MU March 13 400C is best above 385 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ all about 610 if it gets through we'll see a run to 614+ QQQ March 13 614C is best above 610 Good luck tmrw everyone!! π«‘ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ announces earnings tomorrow after the closing bell. Expected move is ~12%. Price action has been essentially flat since that gap fill and bounce ... tutes don't want to make any big moves until the earnings release. Am looking at the 185 strike March 13 expiration for a put-write trade to play earnings. Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. πCash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs β Greater Flexibility Now Find out more here. Com
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ TRADE PLAN π π SPX bullish plan: SPX above 6765 | SPX Mar 11 6820C π T: 6824, 6880 SL 6720 SPX bearish plan: SPX under 6720 | SPX Mar 11 6650P π T: 6650, 6632 SL 6765 SPX has been struggling to hold any green day the past couple weeks. SPX failed to hold above 6900 and dropped to 6711 by Friday. SPX under 6720 can pull back towards 6632, 6520 next. If SPX gives up 6520 it can drop another 100 points quickly. The upside should be treated as a quicker day trade for now. I donβt see a great setup yet. Image 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade Idea: Mar 13 385P Trigger: 400 β Targets: 383, 375 π― Stop: 406 π TSLA dropped to 385 last week and tried to reclaim 400 a few times but failed. TSLA ne
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. $UiPath(PATH)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday. Expected move is ~16%. Am looking at writing a strangle, March 13 expiration, 9 or 9.5 put strike & 17 call strike. Image 2. $Oracle(ORCL)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday. Expected move is ~11%. Am looking at writing puts on a strike in the 100-120 range, Mar 13 and/or 20 expiration. Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. πCash Boost Ac
Israel-Iran Conflict: Is the Risk Fully Priced In?
First, let's look at this week's large orders from the "Put Buyer." Sell Puts: $ORCL 20260306 116.0 PUT$ : 85,000 contracts sold to open $SMH 20260306 350.0 PUT$ : 26,000 contracts sold to open However, the play on AMD was different β Buy Puts: $AMD 20260306 160.0 PUT$ : 42,000 contracts bought to open Implied volatility (IV) on out-of-the-money semiconductor puts remains extremely elevated. This isn't due to bearish AI commentary, but rather the macroeconomic risk-off sentiment stemming from the Israel-Iran war, fueling expectations of a broad market pullback. It's crucial to note that t
$MSFT$ The most striking move: 150k call contracts printed on Wednesday β 100k bought in the 575 strike, 50k in the 625 strike. Another 100k short on the 675 call. $MSFT 20270115 575.0 CALL$ β 100k opened$MSFT 20270115 625.0 CALL$ β 50k opened$MSFT 20270115 675.0 CALL$ β 50k opened$MSFT 20261218 675.0 CALL$ β 50k opened Not much fundamental support for a run to new highs right now. That said, the stock looks washed out β solid candidate for selling puts. $SPY$ One clean short-vol collar: sell 710 call
SPY has hit the first pullback target at 670. Whether it continues down to 650 next is anyone's guess. The Israel-Iran conflict could still escalate β or de-escalate. De-escalation leads to a bounce. Escalation leads to more downside. Trying to predict the trajectory of a chaotic event like this is a fool's game. But one thing's clear: downside feels easier than upside right now. Tail risk is getting priced in big time. Volatility is spiking. Puts are expensive. Look at SPY flows β traders are leaning into 0DTE and weekly puts to hedge crash risk. Short-dated, sharp, directional. This environment? Not ideal for the usual sell-put routine. Probably stays that way through mid-April β about 4β5 weeks, per Trump's own estimate. Options price risk. When risk stops behaving within a normal range