To The Moon

The S&P 500 is hovering around the 5664 level. Will it break out to new highs, or is a pullback on the horizon? While this is a hot topic for analysts and traders, I personally don't monitor the S&P 500 index all that closely these days—and here’s why. Though the S&P 500 is a widely followed benchmark, I’ve found that its daily movements don’t always reflect what’s happening in my own portfolio. I don't currently hold any ETFs that track the index directly, so its performance isn’t the best proxy for my personal returns. I hold a mix of individual stocks and treasury bond ETFs, and their price action is often driven by more focused or nuanced factors. For example, I own Occidental Petroleum (OXY), and I’ve noticed its performance correlates more with oil prices and energy secto

S&P 500's Put/Call Ratio Hits 5-Year Low: Fear Fades and Bottom Near? Last Friday, with the $DJIA(.DJI)$   and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   rising for the ninth consecutive session, the indices erased all the losses incurred since Trump's tariff announcement on April 2.  Fear Fades But Greed is Missing The S&P 500’s Put/Call open Interest ratio, a gauge of market fear, has dropped to 1.63 yesterday, its lowest level in five years. This signals that traders are buying fewer crash insurance put options relative to calls. Historically, such lows have witnessed market bottoms during the 2020 pandemic selloff and the Se

$S&P 500(.SPX)$   Title: Key Resistance Level: Will S&P Break Out or Turn Lower? Hey Tiger Community! 🚀 The S&P 500 is flirting with a crucial resistance level, and the market is buzzing with anticipation! 📈 Are we on the verge of a bullish breakout, or will bears take control and push us lower? 🐂🐻 The index has been grinding higher, but this resistance zone is a tough nut to crack. A clean break above could ignite fresh momentum, potentially targeting new highs. On the flip side, a rejection here might signal a pullback as profit-taking kicks in. Volume and macro catalysts will be key! 🔍 What’s your take, Tigers? Are you betting on a breakout or preparing for a reversal? Drop your thoughts, charts, or strategies below—let’s

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Last night, tobacco company $Philip Morris(PM)$ caught market’s eyes again, it hit all time high again and now is the top 10 winners by YTD 2025 among $S&P 500(.SPX)$ stocks. Read more>> YTD Winner! Why These 10 SPX Stocks Outperformed in 2025?This tobacco company has been continuously hitting new highs over the past two years. What’s its magic?$Philip Morris(PM)$ has risen by 44.64% in 2025 and has seen gains for two consecutive years, with a cumulative increase of 85.63%.Another two tobacco companies, $Altria(MO)$ and

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Economic Warning Signs in Q1 2025 The global economic tides are shifting, and the first quarter of 2025 has delivered a clear message: the United States’ trade war has backfired. With U.S. GDP contracting by 0.3%, the data confirms what many feared — an economic downturn is unfolding even before the full brunt of retaliatory measures has taken effect. In stark contrast to the 2.4% growth recorded in Q1 2024, the American economy is now showing signs of systemic weakness, weighed down by a combination of declining trade, shrinking federal spending, and most notably, a weakening dollar. From Tariffs to Global Repercussions When former President Trump init

Read that "Sell in May" will be different this year. Possible for S&P 500 to break out. However, fear of uncertainty will limit the level and can turn lower quickly.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  will turn bullish 

My view is S&P500 might be naughty, just break out the key Resistance and then drop 💧 back .(Let join to get some 🪙 coins, maybe U are the Lucky One to Get the $5 Stock Vouchers 😉) @Shyon @JC888 @Barcode @yourcelesttyy @koolgal @Jes86188

Nasdaq 100 ( $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ) Technical Analysis  Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures to show intraday prices 1. Breakout from a Rising Wedge The price broke below a rising wedge pattern, signaling a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. Rising wedges typically exhibit higher highs and higher lows, but a downside breakout suggests weakening bullish momentum. This breakdown increases the likelihood of further downside unless the price reclaims the wedge’s former support (now resistance). 2. Current Trend: Lower Highs and Lower Lows The NASDAQ is forming a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming a near-term bearish trend. Lower highs indicate fading buying pressure, while lower lows reflect sustained selling momentum. Th

The S&P 500 has rebounded to 5,650 points—its level before April’s sharp sell-off and a key technical resistance zone.UBS analysts pointed out in a recent video that the S&P 500 Index typically performs poorly in May, and that the seasonal pattern of “sell in May” still holds. Since the S&P 500 saw a decline earlier this year, this pattern may be even more pronounced.Over the past 75 years, May hasn’t been a particularly strong month for the S&P 500. In fact, it ranks as only the eighth-best month of the year in terms of performance.Going back to 1950, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has averaged a modest gain of just 30 basis points in May. Typically, the index struggles in the middle of the month, but tends to rebound during the week of Memo

Markets Pull Back Modestly After 9-Day Rally $S&P 500(.SPX)$ lost 0.6%, snapping a 9-day winning streak after Trump floated 100% tariffs on foreign-made films over the weekend. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ 0.7%, Dow down 0.2%, as investors absorbed the re-emergence of policy -driven uncertainty. The retreat followed the strongest rebound from oversold conditions (+3σ) since 2020, suggesting the rally’s pause is more about headline risk than fundamental deterioration. Even modest tariff threats can reignite volatility, particularly with tech and multinationals already priced for perfection. Stocks Oil Weakness, Recession Signal Oil prices have recently broken lower, but historical comparisons since 1987 show no

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 🚨📉🔥 $21 Million Bet on SPY, Turning Point or Trap? 🔥📉🚨 Amid the noise of intraday volatility, one move cut through like a blade. A $21.68 million bearish block trade just hit the tape on $SPY. 10,000 contracts at the 31 July $570 strike, loaded while SPY was trading at $565.78. This isn't a hedge. It is a position with teeth! The flow is clear: 🔴 Put Premium: +$6.92M ~ put buying dominated the tape. 🟢 Call Premium: –$19.62M ~ net call selling added bearish pressure. 📉 Net Drift: Strongly negative! 📈 Spot Price at execution: $565.78. Even with delta stacking above, SPY is still pinned in a negative gamma band between $564 and $567. The Interval

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue their impressive climb, with SPX eyeing the psychologically important 5,740 level. But here’s what you need to know: this rally is getting tired. Key Market Observations 1. The Exhaustion Signals Are Flashing - SPY and QQQ are showing their first meaningful upside exhaustion signals since this rally began - The VIX, which we correctly shared on our updates, had another 7-10% downside, has now reached our target in the low 20s and looks to consolidate and bounce - These converging signals suggest we’re due for at least a short-term consolidation 2. Why This Isn’t Bearish – Just Normal - After such a powerful rally, markets rarely collapse – they typically digest gains through time - The overall trend remains positive, but the easy money has been made for

Holddddddddd and buy

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🚨📈🔥 Mayday or May Win? Why This Rally Might Defy the Bears 🔥📈🚨 Tom DeMark just rang the alarm, claiming the S&P 500 rally is on borrowed time. But judging by today’s setup, it looks like the bulls didn’t get that memo. 🧠 Here’s the real story: While everyone is pointing out head and shoulders patterns and predicting doom, the S&P has already reclaimed the golden 0.618 Fib level (5,675.89), and is hovering near 5,690. This is the exact zone that historically flips market psychology from caution to conv

Deciding whether to enter the stock market now or wait for more clarity on economic data and tariff talks involves weighing current market conditions, economic indicators, and the risks tied to ongoing uncertainties. Here’s a breakdown to help you make an informed decision: Current Market Context Volatility from Tariff Talks: Recent reports highlight significant market swings driven by U.S. tariff policies, particularly under the Trump administration. For instance, the S&P 500 experienced a 9.5% single-day gain after a 90-day tariff pause was announced on April 9, 2025, but subsequent sell-offs erased some gains, with the S&P 500 dropping 3.46% the next day. Tariffs on China, now at 145%, and retaliatory measures (China’s tariffs at 125%) continue to fuel uncertainty, impacting glo

Is the market already priced in a recession? Or there will be steeper fall soon? Very little anyone is aware that the market is on a brink of recession!

We already sold in April. May deserves a comeback.

Yes we are having a stock market rebound but will it last? I believe there will be some pullback a few later. Do you agree?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 limped through April with a -0.76% close, a softer blow than March’s gut-punching -5.75% drop. After four months of turbulence, investors are eyeing the “Sell in May and go away” playbook—but is it a golden ticket this year, or a relic to ignore? With the market showing flickers of a rebound, the big question is: Do you cash out now or hold on for a potential May surge? Let’s dive into the numbers, trends, and what’s at stake. The S&P 500’s Rough Patch: Context Matters April’s -0.76% slip caps a volatile stretch for the S&P 500, which has weathered declines over the past four months. March’s -5.75% rout was a wake-up call, driven by sticky inflation and geopolitical jitters. Yet, April’s milder retreat h

The S&P 500's 0.76% decline in April has investors whispering the old adage: "Sell in May and go away." But before you liquidate your portfolio and head for the sidelines, let’s examine whether this seasonal strategy still holds water—or if staying put (or even buying the dip) might be the smarter play. The "Sell in May" Myth: Does It Still Work? The "Sell in May" strategy stems from historical data showing that stocks tend to underperform between May and October. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged a +1.7% return from November-April versus just +0.8% from May-October. But here’s the catch: markets don’t always follow the script. 2023 Example: The S&P 500 gained 8% from May-October, defying the seasonal slump. 2022 Exception: The index plunged 15% in the same period amid Fed r

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Economic Warning Signs in Q1 2025 The global economic tides are shifting, and the first quarter of 2025 has delivered a clear message: the United States’ trade war has backfired. With U.S. GDP contracting by 0.3%, the data confirms what many feared — an economic downturn is unfolding even before the full brunt of retaliatory measures has taken effect. In stark contrast to the 2.4% growth recorded in Q1 2024, the American economy is now showing signs of systemic weakness, weighed down by a combination of declining trade, shrinking federal spending, and most notably, a weakening dollar. From Tariffs to Global Repercussions When former President Trump init

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 🚨📉🔥 $21 Million Bet on SPY, Turning Point or Trap? 🔥📉🚨 Amid the noise of intraday volatility, one move cut through like a blade. A $21.68 million bearish block trade just hit the tape on $SPY. 10,000 contracts at the 31 July $570 strike, loaded while SPY was trading at $565.78. This isn't a hedge. It is a position with teeth! The flow is clear: 🔴 Put Premium: +$6.92M ~ put buying dominated the tape. 🟢 Call Premium: –$19.62M ~ net call selling added bearish pressure. 📉 Net Drift: Strongly negative! 📈 Spot Price at execution: $565.78. Even with delta stacking above, SPY is still pinned in a negative gamma band between $564 and $567. The Interval

Last night, tobacco company $Philip Morris(PM)$ caught market’s eyes again, it hit all time high again and now is the top 10 winners by YTD 2025 among $S&P 500(.SPX)$ stocks. Read more>> YTD Winner! Why These 10 SPX Stocks Outperformed in 2025?This tobacco company has been continuously hitting new highs over the past two years. What’s its magic?$Philip Morris(PM)$ has risen by 44.64% in 2025 and has seen gains for two consecutive years, with a cumulative increase of 85.63%.Another two tobacco companies, $Altria(MO)$ and

💰Major indices opened high and continued to rise, with most tech stocks seeing green.💹 $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$/$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$/$Broadcom(AVGO)$ : Catch those stalwart performers in the semiconductor sector.📣 Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!The market's been soaring, as Trump's words brought some cheer, and the Fed's signals gets clear.| Market recapThe market has seen consecutive gains on Wednesday and Thursday, accumulating over 5% since Tuesday. A more conciliatory stance from Trump, combined with positive signals from the Federal Reserve, has buoyed the market. Stocks that were at recent price lows, particularly large te

S&P 500's Put/Call Ratio Hits 5-Year Low: Fear Fades and Bottom Near? Last Friday, with the $DJIA(.DJI)$   and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   rising for the ninth consecutive session, the indices erased all the losses incurred since Trump's tariff announcement on April 2.  Fear Fades But Greed is Missing The S&P 500’s Put/Call open Interest ratio, a gauge of market fear, has dropped to 1.63 yesterday, its lowest level in five years. This signals that traders are buying fewer crash insurance put options relative to calls. Historically, such lows have witnessed market bottoms during the 2020 pandemic selloff and the Se

Markets Pull Back Modestly After 9-Day Rally $S&P 500(.SPX)$ lost 0.6%, snapping a 9-day winning streak after Trump floated 100% tariffs on foreign-made films over the weekend. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ 0.7%, Dow down 0.2%, as investors absorbed the re-emergence of policy -driven uncertainty. The retreat followed the strongest rebound from oversold conditions (+3σ) since 2020, suggesting the rally’s pause is more about headline risk than fundamental deterioration. Even modest tariff threats can reignite volatility, particularly with tech and multinationals already priced for perfection. Stocks Oil Weakness, Recession Signal Oil prices have recently broken lower, but historical comparisons since 1987 show no

Performance of Global Equity Indices(in US Dollar) Last week, market tensions eased, and U.S. equities resumed their rebound, with the Nasdaq posting a weekly gain of over 6%, leading all major global equity indices. The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 also delivered strong performances, each rising by more than 4%. In contrast, Greater China equities—particularly A-shares dominated by domestic investors—saw limited reaction, as their previous declines had been relatively mild, leaving little room for a technical rebound. Notably, Trump softened his stance both domestically and internationally. On the tariff front, he made multiple public remarks indicating ongoing contact with China, signaling potential bilateral negotiations. On the political front, Trump executed a complete U-turn, openly

Nasdaq 100 ( $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ) Technical Analysis  Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures to show intraday prices 1. Breakout from a Rising Wedge The price broke below a rising wedge pattern, signaling a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. Rising wedges typically exhibit higher highs and higher lows, but a downside breakout suggests weakening bullish momentum. This breakdown increases the likelihood of further downside unless the price reclaims the wedge’s former support (now resistance). 2. Current Trend: Lower Highs and Lower Lows The NASDAQ is forming a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming a near-term bearish trend. Lower highs indicate fading buying pressure, while lower lows reflect sustained selling momentum. Th

Deciding whether to enter the stock market now or wait for more clarity on economic data and tariff talks involves weighing current market conditions, economic indicators, and the risks tied to ongoing uncertainties. Here’s a breakdown to help you make an informed decision: Current Market Context Volatility from Tariff Talks: Recent reports highlight significant market swings driven by U.S. tariff policies, particularly under the Trump administration. For instance, the S&P 500 experienced a 9.5% single-day gain after a 90-day tariff pause was announced on April 9, 2025, but subsequent sell-offs erased some gains, with the S&P 500 dropping 3.46% the next day. Tariffs on China, now at 145%, and retaliatory measures (China’s tariffs at 125%) continue to fuel uncertainty, impacting glo

The S&P 500 has rebounded to 5,650 points—its level before April’s sharp sell-off and a key technical resistance zone.UBS analysts pointed out in a recent video that the S&P 500 Index typically performs poorly in May, and that the seasonal pattern of “sell in May” still holds. Since the S&P 500 saw a decline earlier this year, this pattern may be even more pronounced.Over the past 75 years, May hasn’t been a particularly strong month for the S&P 500. In fact, it ranks as only the eighth-best month of the year in terms of performance.Going back to 1950, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has averaged a modest gain of just 30 basis points in May. Typically, the index struggles in the middle of the month, but tends to rebound during the week of Memo

Big-Tech’s PerformanceWeekly macro storyline: Powell’s “Rate Cut” Mini-DramaTrump repeatedly pressured Powell with inflammatory comments and even threatened to replace him, triggering a market “panic” at the start of the week. As Treasury Secretary Bessent clarified in his speech on April 23: “America First” doesn’t mean “America Alone.” Trump later softened his tone (backed off?) and stated he had no intent to replace Powell. This easing of tension helped fuel the market’s sharp rebound in subsequent days. The core of Trump’s message was a call for rate cuts, which ironically aligns with current market sentiment.Why does the market also want rate cuts? Because the clear shift in trade policy is expected to impact the real economy in Q2 and beyond. Both corporate profits and consumer confi

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose by 4.6% and 6.43% respectively last week.Major market movers included $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ (+9.4%), $Apple(AAPL)$ (+6.2%), $Microsoft(MSFT)$ (+6.5%), $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ (+9.5%), $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ (+18.1%), $Broadcom(AVGO)$ (+12.5%), $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ (-7.8%), $Procter & Gamble(PG)$ (-5%),

'Sell in May and Go Away' Will the Seasonality Hold True This Year? The longstanding stock market saying "sell in May and go away" advises investors to sell their stocks in May and re-enter the market in November. This strategy is rooted in the historical trend of markets performing worse in the summer months compared to the winter in the northern hemisphere. In most years, selling in May and taking a break from the market doesn't usually make much sense. However, in 2025, with Trump's tariff war bringing new developments daily, the market volatility is at an all-time high. It seems more tempting than ever to sell stocks and move into bonds, GICs (guaranteed investment certificates), cash, or cash equivalents. What Does History Tell Us? A 2023 study conducted by Manulife Investment Managem

Rebound Continues: Should You Sell in May Early or Hold Tight? As we approach the month of May 2025, investors are grappling with a critical question: should you adhere to the age-old adage “Sell in May and go away,” or hold tight in anticipation of a potential market rally? A recent post on X highlights J.P. Morgan’s latest research, which suggests that the recent U.S. stock market sell-off has been primarily driven by equity-related hedge funds significantly reducing their risk exposure. With the market showing signs of a rebound after four months of decline, this analysis delves into whether the traditional “Sell in May” strategy will have a bigger impact this year, or if the market’s recent downturn signals that the adage may not apply this time. Ultimately, should you sell into the cu

This week, U.S. stocks staged a strong rebound, with the Nasdaq rising over 2% daily for several days. Key positive news includes Trump clarifying he has no plans to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and hopes for easing U.S.-China tariff tensions. Trump claimed that tariffs on China, currently at 145%, will be significantly reduced, as both sides agree the current levels are unsustainable. If Trump 1.0 was a chaotic whirlwind where markets hinged on his words, Trump 2.0 feels even more fitting. Honestly, Trump’s daily statements now feel like market noise to me. This noise creates volatility—drops one day, gains the next—offering buying opportunities. However, this noise and uncertainty aren’t without impact on market fundamentals. $Apple(AAPL)$ 

The S&P 500 is hovering around the 5664 level. Will it break out to new highs, or is a pullback on the horizon? While this is a hot topic for analysts and traders, I personally don't monitor the S&P 500 index all that closely these days—and here’s why. Though the S&P 500 is a widely followed benchmark, I’ve found that its daily movements don’t always reflect what’s happening in my own portfolio. I don't currently hold any ETFs that track the index directly, so its performance isn’t the best proxy for my personal returns. I hold a mix of individual stocks and treasury bond ETFs, and their price action is often driven by more focused or nuanced factors. For example, I own Occidental Petroleum (OXY), and I’ve noticed its performance correlates more with oil prices and energy secto

Most airlines have now released their Q1 2025 earnings, reflecting a pattern of "falling costs overshadowed by weak demand." While declining fuel prices provided some breathing room, rising labor costs and sluggish domestic demand weighed heavily on profits. Airlines with higher international exposure (e.g., United Airlines) performed relatively better, whereas low-cost carriers reliant on domestic leisure travel (e.g., Frontier, $JetBlue Airways(JBLU)$ faced more severe challenges. Industry Overview: Weak Demand Pressures Earnings, Mixed Cost DynamicsIn Q1 2025, the U.S. airline industry was under dual pressure from weak demand and elevated costs. Industry-wide profit growth stalled, with the following core characteristics:Demand Weakness Drives

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ earnings jumped 5% after the bell, mainly to address three market anxieties:The impact of AI on the advertising business is not reflected in the results, the loss of market share is really excessive concernCapital expenditure expenditure maintenance, AI competition continues, maintain the guidance of hardware manufacturers $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ E-commerce advertising will have an impact, but too much billing, DMA antitrust case has a program and has been accrued, the extent of which remains to be seen, and not as pessimistic as the market billingPerformance and market feedbackAnnounced strong FY2025 Q1 results th