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Small Caps Are Outperforming: Can IWM Beat SPY This Year?

U.S. small caps are enjoying their longest streak of outperformance versus large caps in seven years. IWM is up 7.86% this month, far ahead of the S&P 500’s 1.45% gain. The last time small caps led for longer was January 2019, during a post-crash rebound. Investors point to the January effect and expectations that small-cap companies may be less exposed to potential Donald Trump-related tariff risks. Is this small-cap rally mainly a January effect or the start of a broader rotation? For 2026 positioning, would you overweight small caps or stick with large-cap leaders?

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    • MaknologyMaknology
      ·19:05
      Will outperform others
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    • TBITBI
      ·12:17

      [4] CMG, WING, ENPH

      The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
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      [4] CMG, WING, ENPH
    • 這是甚麼東西這是甚麼東西
      ·01-16 15:01
      The current outperformance of small-cap stocks is driven by several factors, and the "January effect" plays a historical role in this trend. Factors Contributing to Small-Cap Outperformance Improving Macroeconomic Outlook: Stronger-than-expected economic data is reshaping the earnings outlook for smaller firms. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimated the U.S. economy grew at a 5.3% annualized rate in the fourth quarter, a pace not seen outside the post-pandemic period since mid-2014. Resilient household consumption and robust business investment indicate underlying strength. Stronger Earnings Revisions: Small-cap earnings revisions have significantly improved ahead of earnings season, outperforming large- and mid-cap revisions. The percentage of small-cap companies raising guidance ahead
      看44回复Comment
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      编组 21备份 2Share
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    • DavidMarlinDavidMarlin
      ·01-15 06:33

      It's been a Small Cap Winter ❄️

      It's been a Small Cap Winter ❄️Small Caps YTD: +6.4%Mag 7 YTD: -2.4%Small Caps 1M: +4.8%Mag 7 1M: -1.9%Small Caps 2M: +10.8%Mag 7 2M: 0% $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ $iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF(IWO)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ I mentioned this two days ago:2026 could be the year of Small Caps.It has been so far. Consensus estimates are projecting huge EPS growth for the RTY this year, vastly outpacing Large Caps. For SG users only, W
      看252回复Comment
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      It's been a Small Cap Winter ❄️
    • DavidMarlinDavidMarlin
      ·01-14

      We are riding the Small Cap wave at Marlin Capital!

      We are riding the Small Cap wave at Marlin Capital! $One Stop Systems(OSS)$ calls up +300% from Friday’s entry $Aeva Technologies Inc.(AEVA)$ up +18% from Friday’s entry $SkyWater Technology, Inc.(SKYT)$ up +64% from our buy $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ up +70% from our buy2026 could be the year of Small Caps.It has been so far. Consensus estimates are projecting huge EPS growth for the $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ this year, vastly outpacing Large Caps. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$
      看276回复Comment
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      We are riding the Small Cap wave at Marlin Capital!
    • pigleypigley
      ·01-13
      $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$  
      看215回复Comment
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    • DavidMarlinDavidMarlin
      ·01-13

      2026 could be the year of Small Caps

      2026 could be the year of Small Caps.It has been so far. Consensus estimates are projecting huge EPS growth for the $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ this year, vastly outpacing Large Caps. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF(IWO)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2603(YMmain)$ For SG users
      看226回复Comment
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      编组 21备份 2Share
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      2026 could be the year of Small Caps
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·01-12

      Weekly: Fast Start to 2026 as Small Caps Surge & Metals Shine, Banking Earnings in Focus

      Last Week's Recap1.The US Market - US Stock Show Fast WeekFast week:The major U.S. stock indexes produced gains of around 2.0% in the first full trading week of 2026. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ surpassed record highs set two weeks earlier, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ climbed to within 1.2% of its historic peak set more than two months ago. Small-cap surge: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ jumped 4.6% for the week and nearly 14% over six weeks, hitting a record high and outperforming large-cap peers. Metals shine:Precious metals prices rebounded and extended rallies. Gold was trading above $4,520 per oun
      看8.99K回复1
      点赞81
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      Weekly: Fast Start to 2026 as Small Caps Surge & Metals Shine, Banking Earnings in Focus
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-12

      $SPX Bullish, $IWM Indecisive, $NVDA Pullback

      1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The breakout faded on Thursday but gained momentum on Friday. The resolution seems bullish, and the volume shelf may be acting as a launchpad. Price action suggests bullish continuation. Is tech awakening after diverging with the SPX? 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Indecisive spinning candle (indecision) breaching the upper Bollinger band. A pullback usually follows. 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Shooting stars on $NVDA proved to be a valid bearish warning. The pullback was anticipated. The question is: Where does the Risk/Reward favor a bullish reversal? For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
      看224回复Comment
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      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      $SPX Bullish, $IWM Indecisive, $NVDA Pullback
    • TBITBI
      ·12:17

      [4] CMG, WING, ENPH

      The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
      看17回复Comment
      点赞1
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      [4] CMG, WING, ENPH
    • MaknologyMaknology
      ·19:05
      Will outperform others
      看0回复Comment
      点赞Like
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
    • 這是甚麼東西這是甚麼東西
      ·01-16 15:01
      The current outperformance of small-cap stocks is driven by several factors, and the "January effect" plays a historical role in this trend. Factors Contributing to Small-Cap Outperformance Improving Macroeconomic Outlook: Stronger-than-expected economic data is reshaping the earnings outlook for smaller firms. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimated the U.S. economy grew at a 5.3% annualized rate in the fourth quarter, a pace not seen outside the post-pandemic period since mid-2014. Resilient household consumption and robust business investment indicate underlying strength. Stronger Earnings Revisions: Small-cap earnings revisions have significantly improved ahead of earnings season, outperforming large- and mid-cap revisions. The percentage of small-cap companies raising guidance ahead
      看44回复Comment
      点赞Like
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
    • DavidMarlinDavidMarlin
      ·01-15 06:33

      It's been a Small Cap Winter ❄️

      It's been a Small Cap Winter ❄️Small Caps YTD: +6.4%Mag 7 YTD: -2.4%Small Caps 1M: +4.8%Mag 7 1M: -1.9%Small Caps 2M: +10.8%Mag 7 2M: 0% $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ $iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF(IWO)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ I mentioned this two days ago:2026 could be the year of Small Caps.It has been so far. Consensus estimates are projecting huge EPS growth for the RTY this year, vastly outpacing Large Caps. For SG users only, W
      看252回复Comment
      点赞1
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      It's been a Small Cap Winter ❄️
    • TigerObserverTigerObserver
      ·01-12

      Weekly: Fast Start to 2026 as Small Caps Surge & Metals Shine, Banking Earnings in Focus

      Last Week's Recap1.The US Market - US Stock Show Fast WeekFast week:The major U.S. stock indexes produced gains of around 2.0% in the first full trading week of 2026. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ surpassed record highs set two weeks earlier, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ climbed to within 1.2% of its historic peak set more than two months ago. Small-cap surge: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ jumped 4.6% for the week and nearly 14% over six weeks, hitting a record high and outperforming large-cap peers. Metals shine:Precious metals prices rebounded and extended rallies. Gold was trading above $4,520 per oun
      看8.99K回复1
      点赞81
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      Weekly: Fast Start to 2026 as Small Caps Surge & Metals Shine, Banking Earnings in Focus
    • DavidMarlinDavidMarlin
      ·01-14

      We are riding the Small Cap wave at Marlin Capital!

      We are riding the Small Cap wave at Marlin Capital! $One Stop Systems(OSS)$ calls up +300% from Friday’s entry $Aeva Technologies Inc.(AEVA)$ up +18% from Friday’s entry $SkyWater Technology, Inc.(SKYT)$ up +64% from our buy $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ up +70% from our buy2026 could be the year of Small Caps.It has been so far. Consensus estimates are projecting huge EPS growth for the $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ this year, vastly outpacing Large Caps. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$
      看276回复Comment
      点赞Like
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      We are riding the Small Cap wave at Marlin Capital!
    • DavidMarlinDavidMarlin
      ·01-13

      2026 could be the year of Small Caps

      2026 could be the year of Small Caps.It has been so far. Consensus estimates are projecting huge EPS growth for the $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2603(RTYmain)$ this year, vastly outpacing Large Caps. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF(IWO)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $E-mini Dow Jones - main 2603(YMmain)$ For SG users
      看226回复Comment
      点赞1
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      2026 could be the year of Small Caps
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-12

      $SPX Bullish, $IWM Indecisive, $NVDA Pullback

      1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The breakout faded on Thursday but gained momentum on Friday. The resolution seems bullish, and the volume shelf may be acting as a launchpad. Price action suggests bullish continuation. Is tech awakening after diverging with the SPX? 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Indecisive spinning candle (indecision) breaching the upper Bollinger band. A pullback usually follows. 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Shooting stars on $NVDA proved to be a valid bearish warning. The pullback was anticipated. The question is: Where does the Risk/Reward favor a bullish reversal? For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
      看224回复Comment
      点赞Like
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
      $SPX Bullish, $IWM Indecisive, $NVDA Pullback
    • pigleypigley
      ·01-13
      $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$  
      看215回复Comment
      点赞1
      编组 21备份 2Share
      Report
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