1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR is trying to hold $70 — but it might not be enough.Even with a short-term bounce, there’s still a real chance we fill that fair value gap.2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA is down — hard ❌In this update, I break down the key levels that could trigger a reversal, the worst-case scenario, and when I’ll consider turning the bots back on.Patience is everything right now.3. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ I’m down over $120,000 on AMD 🔴👀4. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ MSFT broke that key $400 liquidity level a few weeks ago, and it’s been straight capitulation ever since.5.
JPM makes billions on option when it trades under 5000 towards 4500 for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ so they are betting on 5 things to happen here:1. China tariffs with US to escalate2. A recession or GDP in Q1 to be negative3. Corporate earnings and corporate debt to weaken4. Consumer to default on debt payments5. Inflation to spike because of tariffsOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
Here's 7 reasons why China wouldn't negotiate at all
China invented gunpowder and spaghetti. Most people think they will concede and make a deal with President Trump:But, this is a big mistake. 1. Tariffs Haven’t Worked BeforeTrump tried tariffs back in 2018-2019, and guess what? China didn’t fold. Instead, both sides ended up with economic pain, and the U.S. consumer paid more. China has already been through this and survived. They’re not scared to go through it again.2. They’re Less Dependent on the U.S. NowBack in 2018, China relied a lot more on selling stuff to America. But since then, they’ve diversified — building stronger trade ties with countries in Asia, Africa, and Europe. That means they’re not as desperate to keep the U.S. happy like they used to be.3. Retaliation Tools Are ReadyChina has learned how to hit back. If Trump raises
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$Global Markets: What We Need to Talk About Right NowIn this articles, we need to cover a lot. What’s going on in global markets? What’s the current situation based on the available soft and hard data? What can we reasonably forecast, and what remains unknown? Most importantly, what does all of this mean for us as investors—and how should we position ourselves moving forward?Let’s take it step by step. We’ll begin with what’s happening with tariffs—one of the major macro catalysts driving volatility today—and then move through the bigger picture, connecting the dots across markets, commodities, policy responses, and long-term investing.I. Tariffs: A New Global RealityTar
1. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ I continue to believe that this is the chart you need to watch at Coinbase. Trading will be profitable but volatile and non-trading growth is the company's future.Image2. $Zillow(Z)$$Zillow(ZG)$ Let's be really clear what Zillow's deal with Buffett-owned Home Services of America means.Zillow is winning at aggreggating demand and supply has to play ball. Zillow is winning. This remains a potentially 100x opportunity over the next 20 years.The analogy is $Netflix(NFLX)$ ' deal with Showtime -- or maybe even its deal with $Walt Disney(DIS)$ .Supply (real
1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPY Expected $540 before rejection but now we are RIGHT back at the bottom of the monthly Market Bias band.Now to see if big money steps in againImage2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN is testing the monthly market bias — if the bullish structure is going to hold, this is where we need to see a bounce.I'll be turning on my long bots for the next couple of weeks. That doesn’t mean a position must be taken, but if all the requirements are met, we should see a solid short-term setup take shape.Image3. $Chipotle Mexican Grill(CMG)$ CMG $45 target hit 🎯Right on the money.Now we watch for confirmation to go longImage4.
ALHC, QQQ, TSLA & SMH - 4 different charts covering the daily price action YTD
4 different charts covering the daily price action YTD, each with two RS lines anchored to $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ — but one of them adjusted for ATR%. Which looks more accurate to you: the top or the bottom? Keen to know you opinion. Can't do a poll with image on tweet.I thought of this idea as well to increase the RS accuracy with incoporation of atr% of the security and the reference ($SPY for most case) in the RS line. eg. A 10% move in a 20% adr name should not actually have RS day if SPY is up 2% on 1% ADR. $Alignment Healthcare, Inc.(ALHC)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
I actually pulled out my laptop mid-lunch to test the idea on some of the available free scripts on public. It's a very exciting idea.now the consideration is which exhibits more strength in a security?1) to use formula based on intraday % move from open 2) or solely % move based on last closeboth of this formula will reflect vary RS line $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ImageIdentifying Relative Strength (RS) and Weakness (RW) against a benchmark like the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is crucial for traders, as it highlights institutional activity in an equity, which retail traders rarely achieve on their own. However, the traditional method of simply comparing the rate of change of a stock to the rate of change
This was yesterday's full list of ticker I prepared with alert trigger (my timezone is 12 hours ahead). The main consideration was only based on <60% ATR from LoD because i want size, then I checked spread for potential slippage. That's the reason I went for $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$$Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X(SPXL)$$Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares(AAPU)$ (It was actually $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ but i didn't managed to get in at the price i want and it exploded to 130% ATR from LoD in less than 3mins, so i took a laggard AAPU as proxy to TQQQ move)If I were to revisit this, I should h
10 SPY trading lessons that you should use for life
Everything you learn in trading you can use in life. Its the most lucrative skill to master for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ :10 trading lessons that you should use for life 🧵1. Cut Losses Quickly — Don’t Let Mistakes CompoundTrading: A losing trade can bleed you dry if you let your ego keep you in. Cut it.Life: Whether it's a toxic relationship, bad habit, or a failing business idea—don't let your pride prevent you from letting go. The sooner you act, the smaller the damage.Timing Lesson: Recognize when something is no longer serving you and act decisively before it drains your energy or resources.2. Let Winners Run — Don’t Sabotage MomentumTrading: When a trade is working, don’t get out just because you’re scared to lose your gains.Life: Whe
Daily Charts - The Stock market goes through cycles of Boom and Bust
1.The Stock market goes through cycles of Boom and BustWe just had the boomNow comes the bust... $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Here's my VIX annual chart updated with 2025 YTD stats...Interesting thing is it turned up from cycle lows last year --basically looked about due for an upturn in volatility (and downturn in markets). $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Image3.The relative performance of Gold Miners has in recent years reliably moved higher during market downturns and corrections.This instance is no exception.Gold miners’ relative performance vs stocks is as much dependent on gold price strength as it is stock market weakness
The Trend is Your FriendGold $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ paradoxically often sees bouts of weakness during crashes and crises because folk tend to sell the stronger parts of their portfolios to raise cash and/or rebalance. We have seen some of that happening, but it’s also worth highlighting that although gold is down in absolute terms, its relative performance has been decent…Gold Gains GroundIndeed, the gold vs stocks ratio has clearly turned the corner —finally following the lead set by the gold vs cash and gold vs treasuries ratio.If recession takes hold and the stock market stays in bear market mode, it’s likely that we’ll see further follow-through in the black line.Gold vs Stocks GapEven miners are starting to slowly play catch-up (howev
Compare the valuation and market capitalization of Chinese and U.S. giants after the April 2025 pullback, covering the technology (NVIDIA/Apple vs. Xiaomi/Tencent), consumer (Nike/Moutai), energy (ExxonMobil/PetroChina), and pharmaceuticals (Johnson & Johnson/Henrrui) tracks.U.S. technology giants market capitalization is absolutely leading (NVIDIA 238.2 billion vs. millet 5.3 billion), but China's consumer brands valuation counterparts (Maotai PE 22.5 > Nike 13.2).The U.S. and China's industrial game presents a dual-track pattern of "technological fault + consumer divide".U.S. stock pullback rips open the true picture of global industrial discourse:Technology generation gap solidification: Nvidia (PE 86.8) and Apple (PE 31.2) with AI chips and ecological monopoly, market capitaliza
Duan Yongping Used Sell Puts to Buy the Dip—Should We Follow?
On Monday, April 7, legendary investor Duan Yongping decisively bought the dip during intraday trading. His trading list spans multiple pages, with two main strategies: buying stocks outright and selling puts. Duan reportedly invested $400 million in U.S. blue-chip stocks and Tencent.Most of the sell puts he wrote have strike prices near the current stock price, with expiration dates covering every week over the next month. Selling at-the-money puts essentially signals a willingness to take ownership of the stock.So, is selling puts the best way to buy the dip? Let’s analyze: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Before discussing dip-buying, let’s assess future expectations.Expected Range:After Mond
No better time than Now ! Is it time for contrarian-minded stock investors to show that they actually walk the walk. Meaning? Contrarians often repeat the maxim “to buy when blood is running in the streets”. If now is not that time, when is, really? On Mon, 07 Apr 2025, US stock market (for that matter, global stock markets) is still reeling in the wake of Trump’s imposition of wide-ranging tariffs. Based on past 5 days (as of endday 07 Apr 2025:) The Dow is down by -3,914.15 or -9.35%. S&P 500 fell by --535.28 or -9.56%. Nasdaq lost --1,618.29 or -9.40%. This is not to deny that there are sources of concern, contrary to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s “shallow and weak, assuming everyone’s a fool” assertion. The possibility of a global trade war, the proximate cause of Thu, 03 Apr
Uncertainty is the New Normal
With vibes this messy, calm leadership is cool — but not enough
Okay besties, let’s be real — the challenges coming our way? Yeah, they’re legit. But so is our gov’s steady-hand rep, right? They've steered us through stuff before. Buuut now… kinda feels like we’ve got a bunch of people in charge with more vibes than actual expertise. Like, you don’t even need relevant experience to be a minister? Make it make sense. And yeah, Singapore’s calm, cool, collected vibes in this messy world? Super important. But let’s not pretend a “proven track record” is a forever pass. Remember Nokia? Used to be the phone brand, but no new ideas + bad calls = RIP. Just saying, past wins don’t guarantee future Ws. Now let’s talk about that spicy 10% tariff: 1. It's not just about us, okay?? So the US dropped a 10% tariff — but plot twist: it’s for everyone, not just us. Ev
1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Broke down to perfection. $8 Optimal Entry 🎯Bots are live this week. Let’s see what we get. ✅Image2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Been tracking NVDA top since January.The sell-off isn’t random. It’s been methodical. Now it’s finally approaching a key support level.That’s when we strike. 💥3.Mag 7Three days ago, we dropped a video on the Magnificent Seven and laid out our long-term buy zones.This morning? Nearly every single one of them got hit. $Apple(AAPL)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$