To The Moon

Gold prices hit an unprecedented peak on April 11, 2025, climbing to $2,500 per ounce—a 5% surge from the prior week. This rally is driven by persistent uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies, which continue to cast a shadow over global trade and economic stability. Investors are flocking to gold as a safe-haven asset, fearing that escalating trade tensions could weaken currencies and fuel inflation. The precious metal’s year-to-date gain now stands at 15%, outpacing most other asset classes. Analysts attribute this surge to a flight-to-safety mindset, exacerbated by the Boston Fed president’s recent warning of tariff-induced economic risks. Meanwhile, central banks worldwide are reportedly increasing gold reserves, further bolstering demand. Insight: Gold’s record high reflects deep

The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston issued a sobering warning on April 11, 2025, forecasting higher inflation and slower economic growth due to ongoing tariffs. Speaking at a financial conference, the official cited tariffs’ disruptive impact on supply chains and consumer prices, projecting inflation to rise from 3.2% in 2025 to 4.0% in 2026—a 25% jump. GDP growth, meanwhile, is expected to slump from 2.0% to 1.5%, with unemployment ticking up from 4.5% to 5.0%. These projections align with market reactions, including today’s stock declines and gold’s surge, as businesses face higher import costs and reduced export competitiveness. The Fed may respond with tighter policy, adding pressure on an already strained economy. Insight: The Boston Fed’s outlook highlights tariffs as

Ray Dalio really hit the mark—what we’re seeing now isn’t just about tariffs or policy tweaks. When even U.S. Treasuries aren’t acting like a safe haven, you know we’re in uncharted territory. The breakdowns across monetary systems, politics, and geopolitics aren’t just noise—they’re structural shifts. Tariffs may grab headlines, but they’re just surface-level signals of something much bigger brewing underneath. Now, would I go all in during a crash like 2008? I’d definitely consider it—but cautiously. Panic moments can be once-in-a-lifetime chances, but they’re also when emotions run wild and timing gets tricky. I wouldn’t go “all in” blindly, but I would be ready with dry powder, watching for true capitulation, and scaling in strategically rather than taking a one-shot gamble. Staying di

To me, the stock market is like dating someone wildly unpredictable—full of mixed signals, sudden mood swings, and just when you think you’ve figured it out, everything changes. Policies are like overprotective parents barging in—one tariff tweet and global markets freeze. Market sentiment? More like a flaky ex: sweet one day, gone the next. And technical analysis? It's like reading between the lines of vague social media posts—you think it means something… until it doesn’t. I’d say emotion is the hardest to predict. When sentiment shifts, fundamentals and charts don’t stand a chance. One dramatic headline and the whole market panic-sells before lunch. Analysts are still drawing support lines while prices are already 10% down. It’s chaos & trying to stay logical in the middle of it is

🌟🌟🌟🥳 If I have to choose which is the hardest thing to predict in the stock market, it would certainly be Policy.  The current market roller coaster ride can be attributed  to Donald Trump's tough tariffs that he imposed on 185 countries . However he is unpredictable like the weather .    He changes his policy day by day .   Yesterday it was sunshine with the tariffs down to 10% across the board with the exception of China which he raised to a huge 145%. However China has retaliated increasing its tariff to the US from 84% to 125% effective from Saturday. A close second would be Sentiment - Fear versus Greed.  Fear causes people to panic sell while Greed causes people to buy like there is no tomorrow.  Amid this market chaos I believe that it i

$JM Smucker(SJM)$  J.M. Smucker (SJM) has a small slice (1.2%) of the U.S. jam and jelly market, but they have a good chance to grow in 2025. A lot of the jam and jelly Americans buy (almost 25%) comes from other countries. This means there's a big opportunity for Smucker's, as a U.S. company with potentially lower prices, to take some of that market share. Even grabbing just 1% of that import market could boost Smucker's yearly sales by about 3%. Other food areas Smucker's is in have similar potential. Smucker's stock price has dropped recently because the company is making some changes, and analysts have adjusted their expectations. This has made Smucker's dividend (the regular cash payment to shareholders) quite attractive, at over 3.6%. Th

Gold ($XAUUSD) has soared to a new all-time high, marking the launch of its next bullish phase. This powerful uptrend began on September 26, 2022, and is unfolding as a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern, a technical framework traders use to predict market movements. The first wave (I) climbed to 2081.82, showing strong momentum. Then, a corrective wave (II) pulled back to 1810.58, setting the stage for more gains. The third wave (III) was the most explosive, rocketing to 3167.74, driven by global demand for the safe-haven metal. Wave IV followed, forming a zigzag pattern—a typical correction where prices dip before resuming the trend. This correction found its low at 2954.62 after a structured decline. Now, gold is advancing in wave V, the final leg of this impulse. The first sub-wave, wave (

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Google made waves on April 11, 2025, by slashing prices on its business software suite for U.S. federal agencies, with discounts ranging from 10% to 20%. This aggressive pricing strategy targets tools like Google Workspace, Google Cloud, and AI solutions, aiming to deepen penetration in the lucrative government sector. The move pits Google against Microsoft, a dominant player in federal contracts, and reflects a broader push to enhance public sector productivity amid budget constraints. Annual costs for Google Workspace drop from $1,200 to $1,000 per user, while AI tools see the steepest cut, falling from $2,500 to $2,000. Industry experts see this as a bid for long-term contracts, leveraging Google’s cloud expertise to secure rec

AMD Joins Nvidia, Tesla in Five Most Active Options as Shares Rebound $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   joined $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   in the five most active stock options Friday as semiconductor companies' strong exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) build outs offer some shield against the negative impact from tariffs. The two biggest block trades tied to AMD on Friday were the call options that give the holders the right to buy a total of 200,000 shares at $95 each by Nov. 21. The two trades were posted 43 seconds

Is Bitcoin the Next Safe Haven Amid Tariff Turmoil? The tariff announcement has sent U.S. stocks on a wild ride, soaring one day and crashing the next. Meanwhile, traditional safe havens like U.S. Treasuries are being dumped, with yields spiking. The $USD (USDindex.FX)$ has tumbled below 100, its weakest in two years. This rare simultaneous drop in stocks, bonds, and the dollar leaves investors with few options to reduce risk. Gold $Gold - main 2402(GCmain)$   has shone brightly, breaking past $3,200 per ounce to a record high.  Meanwhile, $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ has shown resilience in the tariff storm, with lower volatility than stocks. This could be due to a couple of factors: cryptocurrencies seem t

The U.S.-China tariff saga has taken a fresh turn. In a surprise move, exemptions have been granted for select tech components — a development that could ripple through the semiconductor and consumer electronics space. At the center of attention? Apple and Nvidia — two giants that have taken a beating amid the trade war heat. With tariffs easing off their backs, the question now is: Will they bounce back? A Break in the Clouds For months, markets have been weighed down by escalating tensions, tit-for-tat tariffs, and fears of supply chain disruptions. Apple, heavily reliant on Chinese manufacturing, and Nvidia, caught in the crosshairs of chip export restrictions, saw investor confidence waver. But with the recent tariff exemptions — reportedly covering certain semiconductors, critical har