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2.09K
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TopdownCharts
·
2025-07-05

Market Cycle Guidebook - The US faces heightened risk of recession

The monthly Market Cycle Guidebook is a key resource for investors — providing insight into the stage of the business cycle, monetary policy trends, leading indicators, earnings momentum, valuations across multiple different assets and markets, long-term return expectations, and tactical asset allocation views.Key Findings from the Latest Monthly pack:Global monetary policy settings are shifting from headwind to increasing tailwind as inflation remains contained and economic cycle data soft.The big edge risks are recession (+deflation) on one edge vs reacceleration (+inflation resurgence) on the other edge.The US faces heightened risk of recession given policy uncertainty and confidence shocks from the chaotic start to the year, albeit with some offsetting factors e.g. fiscal stimulus.Mean
Market Cycle Guidebook - The US faces heightened risk of recession
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1.72K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-07-05

SPY - Simply an amazing comeback

The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was in a bear market for a minute intraday back in April, not even 3 months ago.Today it’s up a clean +7% ytd.The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ has done even better at +9% ytd.Annualize this and we are looking at another +14% and +18% ytd, respectively.Simply an amazing comeback. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : Who knows, someday a pullback will come, is this the indecisive candle announcing a well deserved breather?Worth noting the overbought and divergent RSI.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unl
SPY - Simply an amazing comeback
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1.93K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-07-05

Marvell’s AI Breakthrough: A Stock to Watch in the Data Center Boom

$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ is a leading fabless semiconductor firm that excels in developing complex System-on-a-Chip (SoC) solutions. Harnessing a broad portfolio of intellectual property that spans computing, networking, optics, storage, and security, Marvell integrates advanced analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing. This expertise allows the company to deliver high-performance standard and semi-custom products that power critical infrastructure across the cloud, enterprise, automotive, telecom, and industrial markets.Marvell Technology: Engineering AI Dominance Through Strategic FocusMarvell Technology is executing a masterful transformation into a data center powerhouse, strengthening bullish conviction in the company's trajector
Marvell’s AI Breakthrough: A Stock to Watch in the Data Center Boom
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10.38K
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LiverpoolRed
·
2025-07-01
$INTC 20250808 25.0 CALL$ selling call option to earn premium and leveraging my share price 
INTC CALL
06-30 23:42
US20250808 25.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
0.68
1Lot(s)
--
Closed
Intel
$INTC 20250808 25.0 CALL$ selling call option to earn premium and leveraging my share price
3
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9.54K
General
LiverpoolRed
·
2025-07-04
$BABA 20250711 100.0 PUT$ selling put option to earn premium and intend to buy back the share at this price 
BABA PUT
07-04 00:03
US20250711 100.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
0.15
1Lot(s)
--
Closed
Alibaba
$BABA 20250711 100.0 PUT$ selling put option to earn premium and intend to buy back the share at this price
TOPEnid Bertha: Well, there is one thing all BABA investors agree on, and that is that $108 is the bottom.
2
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6.23K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-25
$KWEB 20250703 35.0 CALL$ This is part of the wheel strategy - covered call. I have 100 shares of KWEB at price $35. I have opened this trade to collect some premium for about 1% per week.
KWEB CALL
06-24 23:02
US20250703 35.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
0.38
1Lot(s)
--
Closed
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
$KWEB 20250703 35.0 CALL$ This is part of the wheel strategy - covered call. I have 100 shares of KWEB at price $35. I have opened this trade to co...
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3.94K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-24
$AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0$ I think $200 is a support level for AMZN. Hence, I have decided to open this bull put spread with the strike price at $195. This provides a $5 buffer if price happens to break below $200. I'll plan to roll or cut lost if price drops below $200.
AMZN Vertical
06-23 22:01
US195.0/190.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Credit
Open
-1.01
1
--
Holding
AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0
$AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0$ I think $200 is a support level for AMZN. Hence, I have decided to open this bull put spread with the st...
TOPAaron Trevelyan: I think the stock price of Amazon is largely impacted by the tariff, so significant uncertainties exist. The price of Amazon appears to be in a downward trend.
3
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1.82K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-26
$On Holding AG(ONON)$ I do like ONON products. Have been buying whenever price drops to a moving average and seems like starting to reverse up. So, buying this stock again, to offset my cost of owning their shoes. Haha.
ONON
06-26 21:57
USOn Holding AG
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Buy
Open
51.23
10
--
Closed
On Holding AG
$On Holding AG(ONON)$ I do like ONON products. Have been buying whenever price drops to a moving average and seems like starting to reverse up. So,...
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1.75K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-30
$MCD VERTICAL 250801 PUT 280.0/PUT 285.0$ In the weekly chart, the bullish candlestick with long bottom wick was formed. The stochastic is also at oversold region. Hence, I have decided to open this bull put spread, with the view that the price may stay above $285 or move higher from the current level.
MCD Vertical
06-28 01:15
US280.0/285.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Credit
Open
-1.22
1
--
Holding
MCD VERTICAL 250801 PUT 280.0/PUT 285.0
$MCD VERTICAL 250801 PUT 280.0/PUT 285.0$ In the weekly chart, the bullish candlestick with long bottom wick was formed. The stochastic is also at ...
TOPfuddie: Sounds like a solid setup! Hope it pays off as expected—keep us posted on your progress.
4
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2.96K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-27
$AMZN 20250718 235.0 CALL$ Opened this position to form the calendar spread. I have another position with strike price of $235, expiring on 15 Aug.
AMZN CALL
06-27 00:00
US20250718 235.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
0.50
1Lot(s)
--
Closed
Amazon.com
$AMZN 20250718 235.0 CALL$ Opened this position to form the calendar spread. I have another position with strike price of $235, expiring on 15 Aug.
TOPAaron Trevelyan: It seems that AMZN is in rising trend, so what’s your attitude towards future movement?
2
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2.70K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-27
$AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0$ Core PCE is announcing the next day. To minimise the risk of event exposure, I have decided to close this trade for a small profit. Have also manage to achieve about 30% of the premium within a week.
AMZN Vertical
06-26 23:53
US195.0/190.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Debit
Close
0.70
1
--
Closed
AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0
$AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 195.0/PUT 190.0$ Core PCE is announcing the next day. To minimise the risk of event exposure, I have decided to close thi...
1
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1.78K
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AyKing
·
2025-06-27
$VIX VERTICAL 250820 CALL 17.0/CALL 20.0$ In view of the tariff pause due date is coming, I have decided to buy VIX bull call Spread to cover some raise in volatility. 
VIX Vertical
06-26 21:55
US17.0/20.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Debit
Open
1.32
2
--
Holding
VIX VERTICAL 250820 CALL 17.0/CALL 20.0
$VIX VERTICAL 250820 CALL 17.0/CALL 20.0$ In view of the tariff pause due date is coming, I have decided to buy VIX bull call Spread to cover some ...
TOPJackQuant: Reasonable choice, but I think the tariff will not affect the market so heavily as what happened in April.
2
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2.65K
General
AyKing
·
2025-07-02
$ULTA VERTICAL 250718 CALL 465.0/CALL 470.0$ price has moved above the short call of $470 of the bull call spread. Hence, I have decided to close it for 34%ROI in a week.
ULTA Vertical
07-02 01:28
US465.0/470.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Credit
Close
-3.30
1
--
Closed
ULTA VERTICAL 250718 CALL 465.0/CALL 470.0
$ULTA VERTICAL 250718 CALL 465.0/CALL 470.0$ price has moved above the short call of $470 of the bull call spread. Hence, I have decided to close i...
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2.08K
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AyKing
·
2025-07-02
$PEP VERTICAL 250718 PUT 120.0/PUT 125.0$ Glad that price went up today, making this bull put spread profitable. Manage to achieve more than 50% of the premium. Hence, I have decided to close this trade to secure the profit.
PEP Vertical
07-02 00:46
US120.0/125.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Debit
Close
0.27
1
--
Closed
PEP VERTICAL 250718 PUT 120.0/PUT 125.0
$PEP VERTICAL 250718 PUT 120.0/PUT 125.0$ Glad that price went up today, making this bull put spread profitable. Manage to achieve more than 50% of...
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7.60K
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AyKing
·
2025-07-02
$AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 210.0/PUT 205.0$ I opened $AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 210.0/PUT 205.0$ ,In the daily chart, Price seems to be trending up. $210 seems to be around the 50 days moving average. given that price has moved down today, I have choosen the short put price at $210, which has a delta of <0.3. Hence, opened this bull put spread $205/$210 Expiring in <45days.In the daily chart, Price seems to be trending up. $210 seems to be around the 50 days moving average. given that price has moved down today, I have choosen the short put price at $210, which has a delta of <0.3. Hence, opened this bull put spread $205/$210 Expiring in <45days.
AMZN Vertical
07-02 01:12
US210.0/205.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Credit
Open
-1.26
1
--
Holding
AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 210.0/PUT 205.0
$AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 210.0/PUT 205.0$ I opened $AMZN VERTICAL 250801 PUT 210.0/PUT 205.0$ ,In the daily chart, Price seems to be trending up. ...
TOPJONESTea: Nice strategy! Make sure to monitor the moving averages closely for any shifts in momentum.
3
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3.31K
General
Terra_Incognita
·
2025-07-02
$RDDT 20250718 135.0 PUT$ RDDT: collect 1.95% premium on this cash secured put with strike at $135 which is $5 higher than my previous sold put. Contract expires in 3 weeks on 18th July. RDDT momentum continue to be bullish after breakout from 16th June and continue its rise after the recent breakout on 17th June.  Levels between $125 and $130 provide a series of moving averages convergences and they should be able to provide some temporary support s for some good consolidation area should the price retrace on profit taking or general market correction. Continue to trace bullishly on RDDT until the trend reverses. 
RDDT PUT
07-01 22:36
US20250718 135.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
2.68
1Lot(s)
--
Closed
Reddit
$RDDT 20250718 135.0 PUT$ RDDT: collect 1.95% premium on this cash secured put with strike at $135 which is $5 higher than my previous sold put. Co...
TOPpizzi: Great strategy with the cash secured put! [Cool]
3
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