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1.42K
General
Shyon
·
2025-12-19
From my perspective, tonight's market setup is less about chasing upside and more about surviving a highly technical session. A record $5 trillion S&P 500 options expiry means price action is likely to be heavily influenced by dealer hedging flows rather than fresh fundamental conviction. In this kind of environment, intraday moves can look dramatic, but they don't always reflect a true change in trend. Whether the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   can hold the 6800 level will depend more on positioning and gamma dynamics than on headlines. On the Bank of Japan rate hike, I see the impact on U.S. equities as indirect but not negligible. The move itself was expected, so it doesn't shock the market, but it reinforces the broader t
From my perspective, tonight's market setup is less about chasing upside and more about surviving a highly technical session. A record $5 trillion ...
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1.18K
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Shyon
·
2025-12-19
From my point of view, Micron's $Micron Technology(MU)$   10% jump is less about a single earnings beat and more about the market re-rating the entire memory cycle. For a long time, memory was treated as a pure boom-bust commodity trade, but AI has changed the conversation. With data-center demand, HBM, and inference workloads driving tighter supply, investors are starting to price memory as a strategic component of AI infrastructure rather than a disposable input. That said, I don't think memory is a straight copy-paste of the Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  story. Nvidia's "moment" came from owning the full stack—hardware, software, and e
From my point of view, Micron's $Micron Technology(MU)$ 10% jump is less about a single earnings beat and more about the market re-rating the entir...
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59.31K
General
Elliottwave_Forecast
·
2025-12-19

VanEck Gold Miners ETF $GDX Extreme Area Offers A Buying Opportunity

Hello everyone! In today’s article, we’ll examine the recent performance of VanEck Gold Miners ETF ($GDX) through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. We’ll review how the rally from the Nov 2025 low unfolded as a 5-wave impulse followed by a 7-swing correction (WXY) and discuss our forecast for the next move. Let’s dive into the structure and expectations for this ETF. 5 Wave Impulse + 7 Swing WXY correction $NVDA    $GDX 1H Elliott Wave Chart 12.09.2025: $GDX In the 1-hour Elliott Wave count from Dec 09, 2025, we saw that $GDX completed a 5-wave impulsive cycle at red 1. As expected, this initial wave prompted a pullback. We anticipated this pullback to unf
VanEck Gold Miners ETF $GDX Extreme Area Offers A Buying Opportunity
TOPjollyfo: GDX bouncing strong from support! Next target $100 looks solid[看涨]
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59.54K
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Elliottwave_Forecast
·
2025-12-19

SPX Pullback Completed, Ready for the Next Leg Higher?

SPX completes wave ((ii)) correction at Fibonacci support and begins the next bullish sequence S&P 500 Index ticker symbol: SPX has completed its corrective pullback and is now turning higher. The broader bullish structure remains intact. Price respected key support and confirmed the correction as complete. After finishing wave ((i)) at the last high, SPX moved lower in wave ((ii)). This decline unfolded as a clear A-B-C correction. Wave (a) initiated the pullback, followed by Wave (b) which created a temporary bounce. Wave (c) then drove prices lower into the Fibonacci extension zone, ultimately ending near the 1.618 projection around 6693. This area also aligns with the blue box support on the chart. Price stabilized near the lows and began to turn higher. This reaction signals
SPX Pullback Completed, Ready for the Next Leg Higher?
TOPPandoraHaggai: Wave (iii) incoming! 6850-6914 target looks solidif 6519 holds[看涨]
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1.53K
General
Shyon
·
2025-12-19
From my perspective, Tesla making new all-time highs and then fading intraday is a very familiar pattern. It usually reflects a clash between long-term believers and short-term traders taking profits into strength. The robotaxi update is clearly a meaningful catalyst, but at these levels, the market is no longer reacting to "potential" alone—it wants clearer signals on timing, scalability, and regulation. On the move above $500, I think it's possible, but it won't be a clean breakout. There is heavy psychological and positioning resistance around that level, and any push through it will likely require either a strong follow-through in autonomous driving milestones or a broader risk-on environment in U.S. equities. Without that confirmation, price action could remain choppy, with sharp swin
From my perspective, Tesla making new all-time highs and then fading intraday is a very familiar pattern. It usually reflects a clash between long-...
TOPzippy1: Solid analysis. Discipline beats hype any day. Staying nimble around key levels[抱拳]
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1.28K
General
WeChats
·
2025-12-19
📉 Everyone Wants a Crash Until It Happens: Escaping the "Dip Paralysis" Trap We all have that one friend. When the market is ripping higher, they sit on the sidelines, frustrated, swearing an oath to the trading gods: "I missed the move. But trust me, the moment this pulls back 15%, I am backing up the truck. I’m going all-in." Fast forward two weeks. The market grants their wish. The ticker flushes 15%. Is that friend buying? No. They are paralyzed. They’re texting you in a panic: "Did you see the headlines? Is the bull run over? Should I wait for it to drop another 20%?" Between their "conviction" and their "panic," the only thing that changed was the price. This is the "Dip Paralysis," and it is the single biggest reason why retail traders underperform in bull markets. If you find yours
📉 Everyone Wants a Crash Until It Happens: Escaping the "Dip Paralysis" Trap We all have that one friend. When the market is ripping higher, they s...
TOPAaronJe: Discipline over adrenaline mate-get my tranching script ready[龇牙]
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519
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WeChats
·
2025-12-19
🚨 $5.8 Trillion Shockwave: Can the S&P 500 Survive the "BoJ + Quad Witching" Collision? We are staring down the barrel of perhaps the most complex trading session of 2025. Wall Street is bracing for a rare "double tightening" event: a massive $5.8 Trillion Quadruple Witching expiry colliding head-on with a hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike. The S&P 500 is clinging to the 6,800 handle. The "Santa Rally" narrative is on the table, but the mechanics of today's session suggest we are walking a tightrope between a breakout and a liquidity flush. Here is the deep dive on why tonight’s close determines the trend for 2026. 1️⃣ The "Gamma Unpinning" Event Normally, options expiry is just noise. But today is different. With $5 trillion in S&P 500 exposure and $880 billion in single-s
🚨 $5.8 Trillion Shockwave: Can the S&P 500 Survive the "BoJ + Quad Witching" Collision? We are staring down the barrel of perhaps the most complex ...
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8.98K
Selection
Trade_To_Win_Campaign
·
2025-12-22

【12.15-12.19】🏆Weekly Team Battle Report|Top 3 Teams by Profit × Team MVPs

As the week comes to a close, profit rankings are now finalized.In this week’s team battle, differences in execution and strategy became increasingly evident, allowing the strongest performers to stand out. Which teams ranked Top 3 by total profit? And which traders delivered the decisive contributions as true team MVPs?📌 I. Weekly Overview82 teams recorded positive profits this weekThe combined profit of the Top 3 teams reached 178.92K USD🏆 II. Top 3 Teams by Profit🥇 No.1 Team | BillionsTeam Profit This Week: + 74.48K USD Team Members: @BrianLTS (Captain), @Ohf, @AnthonyL,
【12.15-12.19】🏆Weekly Team Battle Report|Top 3 Teams by Profit × Team MVPs
TOP1PC: Congratulations to All the Winning Teams 🏆💐 @JC888 @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel @koolgal @Shyon
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804
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Success88
·
2025-12-19
Seriously I will just keep invest$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ as TSMC is the most advance chip maker in the world. No one can take over them yet. Market Share: As of late 2025, TSMC holds a staggering ~70% share of the global foundry market, making it the linchpin of the entire global technology supply chain. Valuation: It is one of the world's most valuable companies, with a market capitalization exceeding $1.4 trillion. Critical Infrastructure: It manufactures the vast majority of the world’s most advanced processors used in everything from iPhones and AI supercomputers to fighter jets and medical devices. @TigerEvents @Mil
Seriously I will just keep invest$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ as TSMC is the most advance chip maker in the world. No one can take ove...
TOPNellyJob: TSMC's dominance is unbeatable! Their tech edge keeps them ahead. Solid long-term play! 🚀
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1.11K
General
Success88
·
2025-12-19
Replying to @Success88:Invest in TSMC //@Success88:Seriously I will just keep invest$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ as TSMC is the most advance chip maker in the world. No one can take over them yet. Market Share: As of late 2025, TSMC holds a staggering ~70% share of the global foundry market, making it the linchpin of the entire global technology supply chain. Valuation: It is one of the world's most valuable companies, with a market capitalization exceeding $1.4 trillion. Critical Infrastructure: It manufactures the vast majority of the world’s most advanced processors used in everything from iPhones and AI supercomputers
Replying to @Success88:Invest in TSMC //@Success88:Seriously I will just keep invest$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ as TSMC is the most a...
TOPpizzix: TSMC's dominance is undeniable. Their tech edge keeps widening - a solid long-term hold. 🚀
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567
General
Shyon
·
2025-12-20
This Friday’s options expiry is massive, with $7.1 trillion on the line. I’m focused on the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , where $5 trillion is tied, and 0DTE options make up over 60% of activity. Whether SPX holds 6,800 will likely set the tone for year-end, as both bulls and bears see this as a key level. Every tick could trigger rapid reactions, making the session highly sensitive. I expect the “pinning effect” to push prices toward key strikes, but with such huge expiries, volatility is almost certain. Sudden swings are likely as traders adjust positions, though some stabilization around 6,800 is possible as market makers manage risk. Although the market has rebounded, I remain cautious about a Santa rally. Even if SPX stays above 6,800,
This Friday’s options expiry is massive, with $7.1 trillion on the line. I’m focused on the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , where $5 trillion is tied, an...
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1.49K
Hot
Barcode
·
2025-12-20

🚗⚡📈 Tesla $TSLA: Liquidity Absorption, Autonomy Momentum, And Platform Optionality Into Year End 📈⚡🚗

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Oracle(ORCL)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish 19Dec25 🇺🇸|20Dec25 🇳🇿 Structure holding below prior highs as liquidity is absorbed into quadruple witching and Opex distortions. Real-time context into today’s session. Historically in 2025, when $TSLA’s first 15-minute candle opens red, the stock has only closed green around 20% of the time. Same setup today. I treat this as probabilistic context, not a signal, especially into Opex and quadruple witching conditions. 📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read I am reading $TSLA through a consolidation and absorption lens rather than deterioration. On the 4 hour chart,
🚗⚡📈 Tesla $TSLA: Liquidity Absorption, Autonomy Momentum, And Platform Optionality Into Year End 📈⚡🚗
TOPQueengirlypops: ok but this post??? actually 🔥 fire 🔥 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ chopping around but the way you broke down liquidity pockets, gamma pressure, flow vs price like it’s giving context not panic. everyone screaming red candle meanwhile structure still vibing, momentum cooling not dying, macro still there. this is why i read your stuff, helps me zoom out when the tape gets loud, volatility is the vibe not the enemy 🧃
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605
General
BTS
·
2025-12-20
Tesla Motors (TSLA) is caught between technical momentum and valuation, with recent highs driven by autonomous testing but remaining polarizing TSLA hit $495 intraday, surpassing its late 2024 record, fueled by optimism in Full Self-Driving (FSD), autonomy, and global scaling, reflecting a shift to valuing TSLA as an AI and robotics firm, with risks tied to driverless testing and Cybercab production A breakout above $500 is possible with market leadership and bullish sentiment, but the $500 resistance needs a fresh catalyst to sustain momentum。。。 TSLA could see a major leg higher by 2026 with Robotaxis and energy expansion, but missing the April 2026 Cybercab target may lead to 2022-style consolidation, while hitting it could push the stock toward the $600 Wedbush target The success of Rob

Is Tesla’s Dec 17 Record High A Replay Of History?

@Tiger_comments
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ climbed to a record high of $489 on Tuesday, lifting its market capitalization to roughly $1.58 trillion. The rally has been driven by renewed optimism around Robotaxi development, prompting some on Wall Street to reassess Tesla beyond its traditional automaker label.How do analysts view Robotaxi development?Wedbush’s Dan Ives argues that 2026 could mark a true inflection point, as Robotaxi and autonomous driving begin broader commercialization. He projects Tesla’s valuation could exceed $2 trillion, with an upside case toward $3 trillion. Longtime Tesla bull Baron has echoed this view, calling 2026 a potential breakout year as investors increasingly frame Tesla as a leader in real-world AI rather than just a car company.Morga
Is Tesla’s Dec 17 Record High A Replay Of History?
Tesla Motors (TSLA) is caught between technical momentum and valuation, with recent highs driven by autonomous testing but remaining polarizing TSL...
TOPbumpy: TSLA bulls charging hard, FSD breakthroughs could smash $500 barrier 🚀
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2.53K
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Barcode
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2025-12-20

🚀🌕🌍 Rocket Lab $RKLB enters blue sky as a defence space re-rating begins 🌍🌕🚀

$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$  $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  🇺🇸 19Dec25 | 20Dec25 🇳🇿 I’ve spent decades watching aerospace and defence cycles rotate in and out of favour, and true regime shifts are rare. What’s unfolding in $RKLB is one of them. This is no longer a launch narrative trading on aspiration. The market is now treating Rocket Lab as a vertically integrated defence space manufacturer with durable, government-backed revenue and long-runway optionality across spacecraft, launch, and constellation services. The catalyst was decisive
🚀🌕🌍 Rocket Lab $RKLB enters blue sky as a defence space re-rating begins 🌍🌕🚀
TOPQueengirlypops: ok but your post went hard, like not just charts, not just vibes, it’s structure, momentum, flow all syncing, and the defence macro layer hits different. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ feels like it’s stepping into a whole new regime, volatility expanding, liquidity pockets opening, gamma not choking it, fr this is how narratives actually flip, who else is seeing this cross asset shift rn wishing i owned more fr but maxed out 🧃
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2.70K
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Barcode
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2025-12-20

🚀🧠📈 $NVDA Into Year-End, Calm Vol, OPEX Distortions and the $2T AI Reckoning 📈🧠🚀

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$  📅 19Dec25 🇺🇸 | 20Dec25 🇳🇿, Context Before Conclusions I’m framing everything below through the lens of a major year-end expiry window. This is quadruple witching and OPEX territory, where equity options, index options, single-stock futures, and index futures all roll simultaneously. These events routinely distort spot price, compress realised volatility, and mute price discovery as dealer hedging dominates tape action. What looks calm on the surface often masks aggressive positioning shifts undernea
🚀🧠📈 $NVDA Into Year-End, Calm Vol, OPEX Distortions and the $2T AI Reckoning 📈🧠🚀
TOPQueengirlypops: ok but this post??? the way you broke down vol like it’s calm but not chill is exactly the vibe rn. expiry doing the heavy lifting, gamma everywhere, liquidity pockets holding like glue. watching $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and the flow feels engineered not emotional. market acting quiet but positioning loud. santa rally or nah, post-OPEX decides, either way this breakdown slapped bc 👋 🧃
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795
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koolgal
·
2025-12-20

The USD 7.1 Trillion Question: Why Santa Defied The Witches at 6,800

🌟🌟🌟Friday December 19 2025 wasn't just any "Freaky Friday".  It was the largest options expiration history with a staggering USD 7.1 trillion value in options  set to expire. The "Quadruple Witching" hour was upon us and while everyone braced for a bloodbath, the market had other plans. The S&P500 did not just hold .  It thrived closing decisively above the 6,800 mark.  Here is how the bulls broke the spell: Understanding Pinning and Gamma Hedging  In the complex world of options trading , 2 concepts often dictate the market's behaviour on expiration day: What is Pinning?  This phenomenon describes how a stock or an index can get stuck at a specific strike price (like 6,800) as expiration approaches.  Market makers like the big banks, who have so
The USD 7.1 Trillion Question: Why Santa Defied The Witches at 6,800
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😊 Santa coming soon, final reindeer 🦌 checks in progress [Chuckle] @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel
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525
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Mrzorro
·
2025-12-20
CoreWeave Jumps 23%, Options Turn Bearish On December 19, 2025, AI compute infrastructure stock $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$   extended the strong momentum from the prior session. As November CPI data continued to show cooling inflation, expectations for future rate cuts strengthened, lifting overall risk appetite and driving a broad rebound across technology and compute-related assets. At the same time, on December 18, the Trump administration announced the “Genesis Plan” aimed at accelerating U.S. domestic development of AI, computing power, and critical digital infrastructure—emerging as a key catalyst for the compute theme. Against this combination of macro and policy tailwinds, CRWV surged as much as 23% intraday, with shares briefly jum
CoreWeave Jumps 23%, Options Turn Bearish On December 19, 2025, AI compute infrastructure stock $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ extended the strong momentu...
TOPAmandaViolet: Options flashing red while spot rallies... smart money hedging hard[看跌]
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532
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xc__
·
2025-12-20

Nvidia's AI Dominance Reloaded: Micron's Monster Beat Signals Bottom – Time to Load Up for 2026 Glory? 🔥🚀

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ Nvidia's shaking off the dust after Micron's explosive earnings beat lit a fire under the semiconductor sector, proving the AI upcycle's far from fizzling. As of December 20, 2025, NVDA shares are clawing back with a 2.8% jump to $141.28, riding the wave from Micron's Q1 rev crush at $13.64 billion (topping $12.83 billion est) and EPS blowout at $4.78 – a testament to memory demand tripling from AI data centers. This rebound flips the script on recent dips, with Morgan Stanley doubling down on Nvidia as a top 2026 pick alongside Broadcom and Astera Labs, calling semis the brightest US equity spot amid limitless AI compute hunger. 💡 Morgan Stanley's bull call isn't hype
Nvidia's AI Dominance Reloaded: Micron's Monster Beat Signals Bottom – Time to Load Up for 2026 Glory? 🔥🚀
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678
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koolgal
·
2025-12-20
🌟🌟🌟Why Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike was a non event?  BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.75%, its highest since 1995. While the event was historically significant, the move was a non event for 3 reasons: 1.  It was fully priced in. Investors had already baked the quarter point hike into their plans with  overnight swap market showing a near 100% probability of the move before it happened. 2.  Governor Ueda's lack of  guidance into future rate hikes actually caused the yen to weaken further, dropping 1.3% to 157.53 yen per dollar. 3.  Real interest rates in Japan remain negative (at around -2.2%).  This means that BoJ is still supporting growth even as it "normalises". So it turns out that BoJ 's historic interest rate hike was about as scary as a kitten dr
🌟🌟🌟Why Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike was a non event? BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.75%, its highest since 1995. While the event was historically...
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