I still remember the first time the S&P 500 hit a record high. I paused. I read the headline twice. It felt like a moment—one of those “history is being made” situations. Back then, a new high meant something. It sparked curiosity, maybe even a bit of excitement. Now? The S&P 500 has done it 38 times and my reaction is… a shrug. S&P 500 (.SPX) At this point, another record high feels less like a milestone and more like background noise. I wouldn’t be surprised if it makes a 39th, a 40th, or keeps going well into January. Santa rally, calendar effect, year-end optimism—pick your narrative. They all blend together after a while. What really disconnects me from the celebration is my own portfolio. When the S&P 500 goes up, it doesn’t magically lift everything I own. Some stock
Christmas Market Magic: Gold's $4,500 Smash & Fed Rate Drama Set to Unleash Year-End Fireworks – Hunt These Stocks Before 2026 Blasts Off! 🎅🔥
Holiday vibes hit Wall Street with markets closed today for Christmas, leaving traders to digest last week's mixed bag of tech rallies and inflation cools that eased yields to 3.75% and locked Fed cut odds at 87%. No action on December 25, but the quiet shutdown adds thin volume nitro for amplified swings when trading resumes Monday – December's +0.8% seasonality could squeeze Santa higher to 7,100 if PCE Thursday cools below 2.3%, but hot prints >2.6% yank cuts to 60% for 1% dips. Emerging Asia shines resilient, with STI holding 4,500 on bank yields like DBS's 4.2% drip amid wealth fees surging 25%, while tariff thaw whispers boost EM inflows 5% on dollar dips to 94. Crypto clings to $85K support testing floors, but cool data could rebound 5% to $90K on risk-on flows. Gold ventures bey
Rocket Lab's Meteoric Surge: Dethroning SpaceX or Just Heating Up the Race? 🚀💥
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Rocket Lab is firing on all cylinders, carving out a niche as the nimble underdog in the space race. With customers clamoring for more launch options beyond SpaceX's grip, this company is ramping up its game through savvy expansions and bold innovations. Picture this: a growing space systems division that's already raking in contracts, paired with the game-changing Neutron rocket set to debut soon. Analysts are buzzing, with one boosting the stock target to a sky-high $90 amid a whirlwind of buy ratings. But can they really stack up against the behemoth that is SpaceX? Let's dive deep into the orbit of possibilities. 🌌 First off, Rocket Lab's launch cadenc
2025 Annual Review: What Trade Taught Me the Most This Year
If you asked me which trade taught me the most this year, I’d say Wendy’s (WEN). Yes, Wendy’s. It started simply enough: I bought shares at $10.98 and thought, “Seems reasonable. The company is fine. Burgers aren’t going anywhere. What could possibly go wrong?” Wendy's (WEN) A few months later, Wendy’s was down to around $8.29. And my reaction? Picture me staring at the screen like it had personally betrayed me, whispering, “Really? You’re doing this to me?” Once I calmed down, I reminded myself—very rationally, like an adult—that the company wasn’t broken. People were still lining up for Frostys, Baconators etc. Fundamentally, nothing had changed except the number on my screen and my blood pressure. So what did I do? Absolutely nothing. I sat there, clutching my coffee like it was emotion
🚀 DBS Mooning (+36%): Is It Too Late? JPM Reveals the 2026 "Super-7" List! DBS is officially in "Beast Mode." With a stunning 36% YTD gain, the bank is printing new all-time highs while the rest of the market tries to catch up. But for smart money, the question isn't "what happened?"—it's "what happens next?" JPMorgan has just released a critical roadmap for Singapore equities in 2026. The headline? They see "significant upside." But the devil is in the details: they are aggressively rotating out of some favorites and doubling down on others. If you are holding Singapore banks or tech, you need to see this list. 1️⃣ The DBS Phenomenon: Why JPM Isn't Selling Yet Retail traders usually get scared at All-Time Highs (ATH). They think, "It's too expensive, I missed the boat." JPMorgan disagrees
Rocket Lab Target Raised to $90: Is This the "Nvidia Moment" for Space? 🚀 The new price target is out, and the message is clear: The market is finally pricing Rocket Lab ($RKLB) as a space infrastructure prime, not just a speculative startup. Needham analyst Ryan Koontz just reiterated a Buy rating and aggressively raised the price target from $63 to $90. With the stock currently trading at $76.68, we are standing at a critical juncture. The chart is hot, the narrative is expanding, and investors are asking: Is the easy money already made, or is the run to triple digits inevitable? Here is the deep dive on why this upgrade changes the thesis and how to trade the setup. 1️⃣ The "Plan B" Premium: Why Funds Are Chasing To understand the valuation, you have to look beyond the rockets. The prim
Bearish Volume Divergence is a warning sign for traders. For example, during June 2023 to August 2023, $Apple(AAPL)$ price continued climbing to new highs, but the buying volume steadily declined, forming lower highs. This signal weakening momentum. Within a month, there was a gap-down and a sharp sell-off—confirming that the earlier volume warnings were valid. Another bearish signal is Selling Climax (Capitulation). Using $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ as example, it experienced a violent decline accompanied by big volume spikes during the onset of COVID market crash in March 2020. Thanks @Tiger_chat @1PC @icycrystal
The gift I’m giving this Christmas is $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ . I bought it about four years ago, when market sentiment was mixed and many still saw it as just a government-focused data company. What convinced me was its strong moat in data analytics, long-term contracts, and the critical role its software plays for clients. I held through volatility as Palantir improved profitability, expanded commercial clients, and benefited from the AI adoption trend. As fundamentals strengthened, market recognition followed, and the position is now up roughly 300% over four years, making it one of my best long-term investments. I’m sharing PLTR as a gift because it reinforced the importance of patience and conviction. Understanding the business a
🏇👢🧸 Ralph Lauren $RL Won Christmas, This Wasn’t Seasonal 🧸👢🏇
$Ralph Lauren(RL)$$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ $TJX Companies(TJX)$ Why this matters more than a festive headline. I think the market is underestimating what just happened. Ralph Lauren didn’t win Christmas because of seasonality. It won because demand, culture, and pricing power aligned at the same time, and that combination doesn’t fade quietly. I’m not reading this as a holiday anecdote. I’m treating it as a non-seasonal demand signal that surfaced through culture, fundamentals, and price structure all at once. 🎄 The demand signal was extreme, and measurable I’m starting with the data because it removes narrative bias. Pinterest searches sur
🚀🛰️📈 Rocket Lab tags $79.83 ATH → Volatility Pause Unfolding | $816M SDA Contract + Record 21 Launches in 2025 + Needham $90 Target = Repricing Fuel 📈🛰️🚀
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Bullish $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ Bullish 25Dec25 🇺🇸🎄| 26Dec25 🇳🇿 The move being misunderstood is not the sell-off. The move being misunderstood is the absence of selling. $RKLB printed a new 52-week high at $79.83 on 24Dec and then appeared to go flat into Christmas Eve on low volume. That flatness is being read as exhaustion. That interpretation is wrong. Tops do not form in silence. Tops form with expanding volume, structural failure, and forced liquidation. None of that happened here. What followed 79.83 was participant withdrawal after a sharp repricing, not distribut
The Great Bull Run of 2025: A Symphony of Precious Metals
🌟🌟🌟This year has been nothing short of historic for the "Monetary Metals". We are witnessing a once in a generation surge where Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium are no longer just hedges. They are the lead singers of the global market stage. Gold has repeatedly smashed records, surging past USD 4,500 an ounce in December 2025. Silver has been the most explosive performer, rocketing over 140 % year todate to hit record highs above USD 71. Platinum and Palladium have awakened as "sleeping giants" surging over 102% this year, hitting near 3 year highs. Why Did These Metals Go Up So Much? The spectacular run in 2025 was driven by a powerful cocktail of macroeconomic, industrial and geopolitical factors: Geopolitical Uncertainty and Safe Haven Demand: Heightened glob
Nvidia Rally Is Not From H200 Access Rather Geopolitical Moat
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ H200 China sales still hinges on demand from customers in China, though Nvidia reportedly saw strong interest in its H200 AI processors. So there have been news of Huawei Ascend 910C Accelerator challenging Nvidia H200. If you have been dabbling with AI development, one would look at maturation of the technology, adaptation of current AI model and infrastructure to any new hardware (e.g. Chips). So in this article, I would like to share what I think of the current situational and investment-oriented assessment of Nvidia’s H200 China sales prospects, the competitive positioning of Huawei’s Ascend line (especially the 910C), and the implications for Nvidia’s longer-term dominance with CUDA and overall AI infrastructure leadership. Chi
$Frasers L&C Tr(BUOU.SI)$ Frasers L&C - AGM 26 Jan 2026 2PM, dont know any food provided! CHART wise, bullish mode! Likely to test 1.01 soon!Pls dyodd. 16 Dec 2025: Frasers L&C Tr - Closed higher at 99 cents, looks rather positive! she is rising up to test 1.01 soon! Pls dyodd. Frasers L&C Tr - Chart wise, bullish mode! She is rising up to cover the Gapped at 1.01! A nice breakout at 1.01 smoothly plus high volume we may see her rising up further towards 1.10 and above! Not a call to buy or sell! Pls dyodd. https://sporeshare.blogspot.com/2025/12/frasers-l-agm-26-jan-2026-2pm-dont-know.html
Nvidia and Groq: A Shortcut to SRAM Powered Inference The Christmas Eve Pivot On Dec. 24, the market was primed for a blockbuster: CNBC reported $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was closing in on a $20B all-cash buyout of AI chip unicorn Groq. Hours later, the narrative flipped. The acquisition vanished, replaced by a surgical "licensing + hiring" deal. The Reality: Nvidia isn't buying Groq. Instead, they are absorbing Groq's founder Jonathan Ross, President Sunny Madra, and key technical staff. Groq remains an independent entity under new CEO Simon Edwards. The Strategy: The "Car Engine" ManeuverMake no mistake—the shape of this deal is the point.Licensing IP and poaching leadership is the corporate equivalent of taking t
🚀📊🧠 Volatility Compression Breaks First, Micro-Caps, AI Security, and Financials Align into 2026 📈🧠🚀
$Wisekey International Holding AG(WKEY)$ Bullish $Ally(ALLY)$ Bullish $Strive(ASST)$ Bullish I’m focusing on three stocks where price structure, volatility compression, and moving average alignment are converging into actionable inflection zones as liquidity conditions recalibrate into 2026, with fundamentals now reinforcing what the charts are already signalling. What links these names is not market cap or narrative. It’s compression. Each chart shows declining volatility inside structurally intact ranges, a condition that historically resolves with direction rather than drift. Layering in balance sheet dynamics, capital allocation, and
If I have to choose the most likely 2026 outcome, I lean toward “nothing dramatic happens.” Markets have adapted to repeated shocks, and while AI should lift productivity, it’s unlikely to trigger either a 1999-style boom or a sudden collapse. Growth is more likely to stay decent but uneven, leading to gradual expectation resets. For equities, I expect modest new highs rather than a melt-up or crash. Valuations are high, but earnings, liquidity, and buybacks still provide support. A 50% drop in Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ seems unlikely without a clear earnings shock; volatility and rotation feel like the more realistic path. On policy, the main risk is Fed hesitation, not extreme easing or hikes. Inflation may cool but remain sticky enough to cause
Current Market Context Recent trading saw the S&P 500 at yet another record high (~6927) as the traditional “Santa Claus rally” window began in the last trading days of December. Analysts link this to seasonal demand, lighter volumes, and cautious optimism around earnings and monetary policy expectations such as rate cuts. What the Seasonal Patterns Suggest Santa Claus rally refers to the tendency for the S&P 500 to rise during the last five trading days of the year and the first two of January. Historically this pattern: Has seen positive returns in ~75 per cent of years since 1950. Generates average gains around 1.2–1.4 per cent over the seven-day window. This is not a structural market driver but a seasonal statistical pattern, not a fundamental guarantee. The Januar
Gold at ~US$4,500 reflects an unusually powerful convergence of macro forces. Whether US$5,000 is reached in 2026 depends less on speculation and more on whether these drivers persist. Will gold hit US$5,000 in 2026? Plausible, but not guaranteed. A move to US$5,000 would require several conditions to remain aligned: Monetary policy: If the Fed delivers two cuts and real yields stay compressed, gold remains structurally supported. Geopolitics and fragmentation: Ongoing geopolitical risk and reserve diversification by central banks are long-duration tailwinds. Currency confidence: Persistent fiscal deficits and debt monetisation narratives favour gold as a store of value. However, upside is unlikely to be linear. A stronger US dollar, delayed cuts, or risk-on equity sentiment could trigger
Jim Reid’s provocation is useful precisely because markets have become conditioned to expect drama. When shock becomes the baseline, stability itself turns counterintuitive. My assessment for 2026, in order of likelihood: 1. U.S. equities hitting new highs This is the most probable. Earnings growth from productivity gains, AI-driven capex, and resilient balance sheets can still carry indices higher, even if returns are narrower and more uneven. New highs do not require euphoria, only persistence. 2. Gold breaking above US$5,000 Plausible, but conditional. It likely requires sustained real-rate compression, ongoing central bank buying, and geopolitical tension. A spike above US$5,000 may occur, but holding that level is a higher bar. 3. Repeated Fed policy reversals Less dramatic than it so
My pick for 2026: U.S. equities hitting new highs. Earnings resilience, AI-driven productivity gains, and strong balance sheets still favour a grind higher, even if leadership narrows and volatility rises. New highs do not require exuberance, only sustained cash flow growth. Gold above US$5,000 is plausible but conditional on sustained real-rate compression and geopolitical stress. It is more likely as a spike than a stable regime. Fed policy reversals may occur, but more as incremental recalibration than dramatic U-turns. An outright AI bubble burst looks least likely. A valuation reset or rotation is more realistic than a collapse. Ironically, the true surprise could be “nothing happens”. A year of modest growth and range-bound markets would wrongfoot both extremes. That said, my v