1.26K
·
2025-12-26
On Dec.26, U.S. stocks are often "still celebrating the holidays"
Judging from historical data, the US stock market$S&P 500 (. SPX) $It usually shows a relatively strong performance on December 26th of each year.According to the analysis of long-term historical data by market statistics agencies (such as Bespoke Investment Group), with the normal market opening on December 26, the S&P 500 index has only fallen in a very few years (about 6 times) in the past 39 years or so, and has never recorded a one-day decline of more than-0.5%. Relevant data show that the average increase of this trading day is about +0.5%, and the median increase is about +0.4%, which ranks among the top among all trading days in the whole year, showing a high probability of rise and a relatively stable positive return characteristics.
2.28K
·
2025-12-26
My New Way of Selecting Stocks in Year 2026
I have many stocks in my watchlist. Too many. So many, in fact, that watching them feels like trying to follow a hundred toddlers on a sugar high—prices ticking up and down every second, each one screaming, “Look at me! No, look at me!” Inevitably, when I finally buy a stock, the price immediately goes down. And when I sell? That same stock suddenly remembers it’s supposed to go up. Every. Single. Time. By the end of 2025, I finally accepted an uncomfortable truth: the stock market has a strange emotional connection to me, and that connection is mostly revenge. Despite this, I like to think I’ve been investing responsibly. My usual method is very sensible. I look at the current price relative to the 52-week range and historical range. I check the company’s financial strength. I look at div
TOPEmotional Investor: Dot dot dot Rklb is building a new medium lift rocket and all the infrastructure to support it for $350 to $400 million. Pretty much all the others have spent billions and billions. That’s because future strategy and resource allocation are aligned. And that’s only one tiny bit of what they are achieving. Same for Iren, they generated cash from bitcoin mining to buy land, buildings, and power infrastructure to support their move into Ai compute. The management is exceptional. But do your own DD, and sure look at past performance, but focus on future potential. I put all my stocks into boxes, growth, dividend, value, cyclical etc. the two stocks I mentioned are growth. And my expectations are over 100% return. Been in rocket lab over 2 years now and the return is over 1700% pa. Been in Iren since October this year and it’s down 20%, so I’m buying more every paycheck. Id enjoy hearing your thoughts on everything I have said. Here to support
21.41K
·
2025-12-26
2026: Will “Nothing Happen,” or Will Everything Be Repriced?
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Jim Reid recently put forward a highly counterintuitive view: after years of shocks—from the pandemic and surging inflation to abrupt policy pivots—the most surprising outcome ahead might actually be no surprises at all.Yet right after that, Deutsche Bank laid out 10 “black swan pathways” that could fundamentally alter the direction of global markets—ranging from an AI-driven, 1990s-style boom to an AI bubble bursting alongside a debt crisis, covering nearly every extreme scenario imaginable.The 10 potential market-changing paths include:AI drives the U.S. back to high growth:A surge in AI capital spending boosts productivity, pushing U.S. annualized growth back above 4%, echoing the late-1990s boom.S&P 500 rallies toward 8,000:Fueled by AI optimism and l
TOPIf I have to choose the most likely 2026 outcome, I lean toward “nothing dramatic happens.” Markets have adapted to repeated shocks, and while AI should lift productivity, it’s unlikely to trigger either a 1999-style boom or a sudden collapse. Growth is more likely to stay decent but uneven, leading to gradual expectation resets. For equities, I expect modest new highs rather than a melt-up or crash. Valuations are high, but earnings, liquidity, and buybacks still provide support. A 50% drop in Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ seems unlikely without a clear earnings shock; volatility and rotation feel like the more realistic path. On policy, the main risk is Fed hesitation, not extreme easing or hikes. Inflation may cool but remain sticky enough to cause pauses and mixed signals. Gold appears closer to consolidation than another explosive rally, making 2026 a year of noisy stability rather than a major turning point. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
43.33K
·
2025-12-26
AAPL Makes INTC Great Again in 2026 ?
In 2025, the center of gravity in artificial intelligence (AI) has shifted. Silicon Valley may have kindled the first sparks of the AI boom, but the real allocators of power and profit now sit with the US government and its agencies. The new AI era is being framed less as a technology story and more as a national‑security and infrastructure project. Because of this, the Trump administration’s industrial policy, Pentagon roadmaps, and multi‑trillion‑dollar infrastructure ambitions are quietly determining which listed companies emerge as lasting winners. Specifically, the incumbent ruling party has began to make use of executive orders, funding programs, and defense planning to channel capital into a narrow set of strategic bottlenecks. The Washington Kingmakers. Throughout 2025, there were
1.89K
·
2025-12-25
The Year of the Heavy Lift: Why 2026 is the Pivot Point for Global Satellite Logistics.
With 2026 approaching, the space sector is moving from a speculative "frontier" into a concrete "industrial" phase. Here is a breakdown of the key catalysts and risks for your 2026 watchlist, based on the current market landscape as of late 2025: 1. The Heavy Hitters (Launch & Infrastructure) Rocket Lab ($Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ ): This is the "big one" for 2026. The maiden flight of their Neutron rocket is scheduled for the first half of the year. If successful, it unlocks the medium-lift market (competing directly with SpaceX's Falcon 9). With a backlog already over $1 billion, 2026 is their year to prove they can scale from a small-sat launcher to a global space prime. Redwire ($Redwi
TOPStoked for Neutron's launch-could be a sector game-changer![看涨]
1.33K
·
2025-12-25
🌡️What’s your market mood right now?
Stock Market Holiday ArrangementUS :The U.S. market will close at 1 p.m. EST on Wed, Dec 24, 2025 and will close on Thu, Dec 25, 2025. Notes: There will be no overnight trading from 8 p.m. EST on Dec 24 to 04:00 a.m. EST on Dec 25. Overnight trading will resume as usual from 8 p.m. EST on Dec 25 to 04:00 a.m. EST on Dec 26. SG :The Singapore market will close at 12 a.m. local time on Wed, Dec 24, 2025 and will close at local time on Thu, Dec 25, 2025.HK :The Hong Kong market will close at 12 p.m. local time on Wed, Dec 24, 2025 and will close at local time on Thu, Dec 25, 2025 and Fri, Dec 26, 2025.AU:The Australian market will close at 2 p.m. local time on Wed, Dec 24, 2025 and will close at local time on Thu, Dec 25, 2025 and Fri, Dec 26, 2025 in addition to Boxing Day.NZ;New Zealand Mar
TOPDisappointed with all the experts & guru commenting on high chance of Santa Rally... luckily I am prepared for the opposite. Stay calm folks! Let's wait a few more days... good luck! 🫠
4.62K
·
2025-12-25
2026 Lie-Flat and Make Money Strategy: The Political Game and Ambition Behind the Century Merger Cas
There is an opportunity to lie flat and make money in 2026: the Warner acquisition. Unlike typical acquisitions, this one appears to be a major consolidation and reshuffle in the media industry on the surface, but it actually involves political maneuvering. For us investors, the logic behind this presents an excellent arbitrage opportunity, and this window of opportunity can last an entire year!Below is a detailed analysis of the motivations behind the parties involved in this arbitrage case and how to leverage this logic to arbitrage and make money while lying flat in 2026.Netflix, Warner, and ParamountOn the surface, the acquisition involves three companies: Netflix $NFLX$, Warner $WBD$, and Paramount $PSKY$.On December 5, Netflix announced its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. The
7.14K
·
2025-12-23
$PEP 20260116 150.0 CALL$ Sold a call on a longer dated call creating a diagonal spread or poor man's covered call
7.50K
·
2025-12-24
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) unit Waymo has resumed its driverless ride-hailing service in the San Francisco Bay Area following blackouts that caused a service outage on Saturday, news outlets reported Sunday, citing the company.
TOPWaymo's back up! Bullish on Alphabet, holding tight.[看涨]
3.33K
·
2025-12-24
$CSOP HANG SENG INDEX DAILY (-2X) INVERSE PRODUCT(07500)$ 偷偷地學人操作幾次，恆指真的不如美股，波動小，易受操作，期權差價又大[流泪] 我也開始玩玩美股了
07500
12-24 09:38
HKCSOP HANG SENG INDEX DAILY (-2X) INVERSE PRODUCT
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 1.81 100 | -- Closed |
TOPThe operation of the Hang Seng Index is really a pit, and the spread is a huge loss!
6.48K
·
2025-12-24
$AMAT VERTICAL 260130 PUT 255.0/PUT 250.0$ AMAT in tight price action, prices coiling in the short term EMAs and 50 SMA. Anticipating breakout. If not time to breakout yet, my short strike price has many strong support before it reach my short strike price. Hence, there is high possibility I will convert the premium to profit 😀
AMAT Vertical
12-24 04:17
US255.0/250.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Open | -1.91 3 | -- Holding |
2.75K
·
2025-12-24
$TLT 20251226 84.5 PUT$ 今晚係平安夜，個市平平安安咁咪幾好，唔好有咁大上落，大戶提早派聖誕禮物，送左少少錢比我洗咁啦，我都唔大貪既，食佢20張。執少少咁啦[贱笑] [贱笑] [贱笑]
TLT PUT
12-24 22:35
US20251226 84.5
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.01 20Lot(s) | -- Closed |
TOPGood! Good! It's nice to collect money on Christmas Eve.
2.03K
·
2025-12-24
$TSLA 20260130 440.0 PUT$ Selling csp for tesla hoping to buy back the shares that I got called away last week. Gogo tesla
TSLA PUT
12-24 23:06
US20260130 440.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 13.15 1Lot(s) | -- Closed |
2.00K
·
2025-12-25
$SBUX VERTICAL 260102 CALL 92.0/CALL 87.0$ Rolling down my strike price to the same expiration date to collect some premium [Miser]
SBUX Vertical
12-25 00:52
US92.0/87.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -0.21 1 | -- Closed |
TOPSmart roll down, mate Premiums are gold.[财迷]
1.64K
·
2025-12-25
$PYPL VERTICAL 260116 CALL 65.0/CALL 75.0$ Rolling down my strike price to earn some extra premium [Happy]
PYPL Vertical
12-25 00:54
US65.0/75.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -0.24 1 | -- Closed |
TOPClever adjustment! That premium boost looks tasty.[开心]
1.82K
·
2025-12-25
Citigroup Consolidates Below 52-Week High
$Citigroup(C)$C Tests 52-Week High at $122.84: Consolidation Zone, $141 Target in SightLatest Close DataAs of Dec 25, 2025, Citigroup (C) closed at $121.56, up +1.81% (+$2.16). The price is trading just -$1.28 (-1.04%) below its 52-week high of $122.84.Core Market DriversThe stock's resilience is supported by the bank's ongoing strategic transformation under CEO Jane Fraser, focusing on simplifying its global operations.While macroeconomic headwinds persist, recent capital flow data shows persistent net outflows over the past week, indicating profit-taking pressure near highs.Technical AnalysisVolume of 13.53M shares shows average activity (VR 1.20). However, momentum indicators are deeply overbought: RSI(6) at 93.34 and RSI(12) at 86.16 signal extre
2.99K
·
2025-12-24
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Finally can afford to indulge in a cup of Chagee, all thanks to Santa Huang. $NVDA 20260116 150.0 CALL$ Merry Christmas everyone! #Huat #Toto$5m
TOPChagee siu dai?
1.40K
·
2025-12-25
SOLS Consolidates Below $50 Level
$Solstice Advanced Materials Inc(SOLS)$SOLS Edges Up +1.76%: Nears Key Resistance, $50 Breakout in FocusLatest Close DataClosed at $49.61 on 2025-12-25, up +1.76%. Trading ~$11.39 (18.7%) below its 52-week high of $61.00.Core Market DriversThe stock's advance follows a week of net positive capital inflows ($466.20 million over 5 days), signaling improving investor sentiment.Recent short interest, while elevated near 20%, has not spiked dramatically, reducing near-term squeeze pressure.Technical AnalysisVolume was light at 1.12M shares (Volume Ratio 0.22), suggesting the move lacks strong conviction.MACD remains positive (0.26) but momentum is waning.The 6-day RSI at 56.85 indicates a neutral to slightly bullish momentum, well below overbought leve
1.03K
·
2025-12-25
TTD Rebounds from Support, Eyes $39
$Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$TTD Rallies +1.82%: Tech Stock Rebounds from Support, Eyeing $39 ResistanceLatest Close DataClosed at $38.12 on 2025-12-25, up 1.82% from prior close of $37.44. The stock remains near its 52-week low of $35.65, approximately 70% below its 52-week high of $127.59.Core Market DriversThe digital advertising sector is stabilizing after a period of pressure from broader economic uncertainty.Trade Desk continues to execute its strategic plan, focusing on the growth of its Unified ID 2.0 initiative as a privacy-centric solution for the post-cookie era.Technical AnalysisVolume was 4.21M shares with a low volume ratio of 0.36, suggesting limited conviction.The MACD histogram turned positive (0.68), indicating building upward momentum.T
927
·
2025-12-25
HOOD +0.2% Holds $120 Support, Eyes $125
$Robinhood(HOOD)$HOOD Holds Steady at $120.44: Consolidation Continues Amid Strong Institutional SentimentLatest Close DataClosed at $120.44 on Dec 25, up a modest 0.17% from the previous close. The stock trades approximately 21.7% below its 52-week high of $153.86.Core Market DriversNo specific high-impact news was flagged in the data feed.The stock's movement appears driven by general market sentiment and its ongoing consolidation pattern following a significant year-long rally from its 52-week low of $29.66.Technical AnalysisVolume was below average (Volume Ratio: 0.61), indicating low conviction in the minor price move.The MACD histogram remains negative but is showing signs of convergence, hinting at weakening downward momentum.The RSI(6) at