2026 Outlook: The Great ResetKey Takeaways• Equities enter a late-cycle correction phase • Bonds and the dollar strengthen as risk comes off • Crypto faces a deeper deleveraging cycle • Gold consolidates after a multi-year advanceThe table below outlines 2026 downside risk zones and expected year-end closing levels across major assets. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P500 has marginally exceeded the upper boundary of its multi-year trend channel — a common signature of terminal 5th waves.The Trigger: A reversal back below ~6,650 would confirm a false breakout.The Trade: We are positioning for a higher-degree Wave 4 correction toward 5,500–5,100 (-20–25%), which aligns perfectly with the 200-week MA. 2. $iShar
Meta’s Glow-Up: When Fewer Headsets Mean Fatter Profits
From Moonshots to Margins: Why Meta’s Next Rally Is About Capital Discipline, Not the Metaverse For years, owning $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ has required a strong stomach and an even stronger imagination. I have watched the company oscillate between operational brilliance and strategic excess, often within the same earnings call. The reported plan to cut the metaverse division’s 2026 budget by as much as 30% feels like a genuine inflection point—not because it flatters near-term earnings, but because it signals something more important: a renewed commitment to capital discipline over corporate theatre. The market’s reaction to Meta’s most recent earnings was swift and unforgiving, leaving behind a visible earnings gap and reviving talk of whethe
The Winners of the Week: Physical Economy & Defense
The indecisive price action observed at the close of last week anticipated the recent decline in the major U.S. indices. However, as mentioned in my previous publications, the gap fill for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is the best outcome that could happen for bullish continuation.The first trading week of 2026 presented a significant rotation, since investors reduced exposure to 2025’s growth darlings; specifically Technology and Consumer Discretionary, and reallocated capital into defensive, physical assets like Energy and Utilities.In recent weeks, I highlighted the bearish setups for both $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and
Gap Filled: Is the SPX Cleared for Bullish Continuation?
The indecisive price action highlighted last weekend was validated by the pullback observed this week in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . The final week of the year closed in the red, with declines of -1% for the SPX, -1.7% for the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , and -1% for small caps ( $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ). However, this decline resolves a ‘loose end’ that would have injected significant uncertainty into the price action had we seen an immediate bullish continuation.The $6,840 gap was filled, just as we considered last weekend and reinforced on Wednesday morning in the mid-week market update. Now, it is time to assess the market structure and key support le
LLY& TSLA still look strong and can keep breaking out
1. $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ LLY still looks strong and can keep breaking out.My system flagged it as a buy back in Oct–Nov with room toward the 1300 area (~30% from there). Up here, the reward vs risk isn’t as attractive.I’d wait for a pullback unless you’re comfortable paying up. 2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Make or break time for TSLAOur $440 - $435 support target just hitBuyers need to step in now or things will get uglyMost traders are freaking out about this TSLA pullback. I’m still targeting 560–600 by March… and I want it lower first. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
TA Education 10|Bull Trap or Trend Change? Which Two-Candle Reversal Do You Trust?
Hi, tigers! Let’s start this week’s lessons! Candlesticks Part 2: Two-Candlestick Reversal Patterns"Dark Cloud Cover" & "Piercing Pattern": The Midpoint TestThese patterns rely on the "50% Rule." For a reversal to be valid, the second candle must pierce at least halfway into the body of the first candle.A. Dark Cloud Cover (Bearish Reversal)Appearance: Occurs at a high. A strong green candle is followed by a red candle that opens above the high of the previous day (a gap up) but closes below the midpoint (50%) of the green body.Market Logic: The market opened with optimism (gap up), but sellers stepped in aggressively, erasing more than half of the previous day's gains. This "cloud" casts doubt on the uptrend.B. Piercing Pattern (Bullish Reversal)Appearance: Occurs at a low. A strong r
Risk Management in Action: $MSFT, $TSLA, BTC & $RKLB
1. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft just flashed the same monthly sell signal that preceded its last 20–30% corrections.I’m not buying MSFT for the next 2–4 months.2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Make or break time for TSLAOur $440 - $435 support target just hitBuyers need to step in now or things will get ugly3.Bitcoin is knocking on the door of 90K.I’m still expecting a push toward 100K first before any real chance of a deeper selloff shows up.4. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ RKLB +85% in just over a month 😎 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.<
1. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ AVGO is down 16% in a month, but my data still points to $400–440 by mid‑2026… and I’m not buying this dip.Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle, but the risk/reward isn’t there yet. 2. $Alibaba(BABA)$ Last 3 times this exact setup fired on BABA, it ripped ~80% 🔥We just triggered it again and price has already started to bounce.I break down why this could be the start of the next leg, where I’d expect a pullback first (135 area), and how I’m planning to trade the next 50–80% if it plays out. 3. $Oracle(ORCL)$ We were bullish ORCL at 184 and it popped $10… now my system just flipped to sell. 🚨Monthly BX turned red here – the same signal that prec
🚩📊🧠 Positioning Extremes, Quiet Volatility, and Short Squeeze Risk Define Early 2026 🧠📊🚩
$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$$Baidu(BIDU)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 📊 Daily Market Update | 02Jan26 🇺🇸 | 03Jan26 🇳🇿 📊 I’m opening 2026 focused on positioning, not price. Structure, crowding, and volatility are already doing the heavy lifting while headlines lag. Markets are transitioning from 2025’s concentrated AI-driven leadership into a broader macro regime shaped by softer inflation, evolving central-bank pivots, and shifting risk appetite. This is the type of tape that rewards patience and punishes reaction. 📈 Index Tape Markets are mixed in thin post-holiday liquidity. The Dow is marginally higher, attempting to arrest a four-day losing streak. The S&a
The Dragon Awakens! Is Baidu's Kunlun Spin Off the Catalyst We Have Been Waiting For?
🌟🌟🌟Hold onto your seats - Chinese Tech Giant $Baidu(BIDU)$ $BIDU-SW(09888)$ just gave the market a massive "New Year's gift". On January 1 2026, Baidu officially filed for a Hong Kong IPO for its AI chip unit Kunlun. The reaction? Baidu's US shares skyrocketed over 12% in a single day, proving that when the "Google of China" starts flexing its semiconductor muscles, the world watches. Is Baidu Undervalued? For years, investors treated Baidu like a dusty old search engine. But in 2026, it is a full stack AI powerhouse. Analysts believe the Kunlun spin off could value the chip unit at up to USD 28 billion - ar
🚀🧠📈 Memory Is the Core AI Constraint, Micron $MU Opens 2026 in Control 📈🧠🚀
$Micron Technology(MU)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Intel(INTC)$ 📊🧩⚙️ Where Structure, Flow, and Core Metrics Converge ⚙️🧩📊 Fresh all-time highs to open 2026 are not incidental, and Micron Technology ($MU) is not moving on opinion. Price is responding to a structural repricing of memory as the binding constraint in AI systems, shifting from a trailing commodity input to foundational infrastructure. Throughout 2024 and into 2025, debate centred on when memory would roll over. Instead, supply tightened further, pricing accelerated, and visibility extended. 🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢 📈 Technical Framework, Expansion With Sponsorship Charts reflect a guided, institutional
🚗⚡📈 $TSLA 7-Day Red Streak • Record Energy • 2026 Autonomy Pivot 📈⚡🚗
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Li Auto(LI)$ $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 2Jan26 🇺🇸|3Jan26 🇳🇿 Liquidity sweep completed. Upper range tagged near $462.50, lower range resolved near $440. Seven consecutive red sessions now on the tape, the longest losing streak since April 2024. New year, familiar $TSLA behaviour. 📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read I’m seeing textbook momentum compression rather than structural failure. Price pushed into the upper band near $462.50 before resolving lower into the $440 liquidity pocket, completing a full range rotation. On the 4H and 30m charts, Keltner and Bollinger envelopes have compressed sharply, with price leaning against the
$TSLA 20260109 440.0 CALL$ Support / Resistance 📈📉: Support: $435, $422?, $414.5 Resistance: $440, $449-$455, $463-$465, $474 Outlook 📝: TSLA faked out the bulls with a bull trap at opening, gone down right after and literally broke below 3 support levels all at once today until it seems to find some support at $435. Target 🎯: Entered this Covered Call position when TSLA was trading around $438 price level within the view that TSLA may face more downside pressure towards $435. Target to exit the Covered Call position for quick 3-10%, or if TSLA approaching near $435. Stop-loss at same % or if TSLA breaks below $435. Trade safe, Tiger friends! [666]
$TSLA 20260109 440.0 CALL$ Support / Resistance 📈📉: Support: $435, $422?, $414.5 Resistance: $440, $449-$455, $463-$465, $474 Outlook 📝: TSLA faked out the bulls with a bull trap at opening, gone down right after and literally broke below 3 support levels all at once today until it seems to find some support at $435. Target 🎯: Entered this Covered Call position when TSLA was trading around $438 price level within the view that TSLA may face more downside pressure towards $435. As shared, target to exit the Covered Call position for quick 3-10%, or if TSLA approaching near $435. Stop-loss at same % or if TSLA breaks below $435. Trade safe, Tiger friends! [666]
It’s still early in 2026—barely a few days in—and my portfolio has been quiet. No new stocks, no new ETFs, no sudden bursts of conviction. Just me watching the market move without me. Then today, I submitted a buy order for SOXS. Nothing dramatic happened after that. The order is still sitting there, waiting, like a question mark I’ve placed into the market. I set a limit price of $2.68 per share. Whether the price ever gets there is out of my control now. If it fills, it fills. If it doesn’t, so be it. SOXS, of course, is an inverse ETF. It says a lot about my current mindset. I’m bearish on 2026—or at least, I feel bearish. That feeling has been with me for a while now. The ironic part is that I’m often wrong when I feel most certain. History hasn’t exactly been kind to my market pessimi
Options puppy Top 10 Top Picks to Sell Put Options Into 2026
Why These Are Strong, Profitable Companies for Long-Term Option Sellers Selling put options is not about chasing excitement. It is about discipline, patience, and choosing assets I am genuinely comfortable owning if the market forces assignment. As we move toward 2026, volatility is likely to remain a constant feature of the market—driven by interest rates, geopolitics, technology disruption, and shifting capital flows. For option sellers, this environment is not a threat. It is an opportunity. The key is what we sell puts on. I focus on companies and ETFs that meet a few non-negotiable criteria: • Positive earnings or strong cash-flow visibility • Durable business models • Liquidity in the options market • A valuation framework that provides downside support The following list reflects na
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ has failed to confirm new highs, forming bearish divergences versus both $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ (Dec 10) and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (Dec 26).The index is now printing higher lows but lower highs, compressing into a bearish triangle.This setup suggests tech is coiling for a sharp downside resolution, with a measured move to 23,500–22,900, aligning with equality of the initial leg down and the 200-DMA.A daily close below 25,165 would confirm the sell signal.If that zone is reached, the probability strongly increases that NDX has already peaked. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlim