COP Keeps Its Long-Term Bullish Elliott Wave Structure Intact, with Strong Upside Potential Toward Key Fibonacci Targets. ConocoPhillips continues to show a strong long-term bullish trend using Elliott Wave analysis. The quarterly chart shows a clear impulsive rally from historic lows. The Right Side tag stays bullish as long as price remains above the invalidation level near 3.02. This level is far away from current prices. So, the broader trend remains upward. Pullbacks should act as corrections, not the start of a bearish cycle. From the earlier historical lows, COP has developed a multi-decade impulsive advance. A clear Wave I, II, and III structure has unfolded over the years, and Wave III is now progressing in its final swings. Each corrective phase has resolved in favor of the large
The Evolution of the S-REIT Investor: Why Retail Capital Was “Buying Safe” in 2025
In the world of Singapore Real Estate Investment Trusts (S-REITs), the narrative has long been dominated by institutional “smart money.” However, a closer look at retail capital flows between 2024 and 2025 reveals a profound shift in mindset. What retail investors are refusing to buy today tells a far more compelling story than what they are actually holding. From “Buying Cheap” to “Buying Safe” The data points to a retail investor base that has clearly matured after several years of volatility. Published market figures show a clear divergence between retail and institutional behaviour across the top 10 S-REITs. The Great Divide: 2024 vs. 2025 In 2024, retail investors injected approximately S$1.6 billion into S-REITs, attempting to catch a falling knife as higher inter
Google+Boston Dynamics: The Android Moment for Robotics? At this year's CES, Boston Dynamics announced a collaboration with $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google DeepMind's Gemini Robotics model, highlighting Google's strength in the AI field. Google's strategy of not engaging in hardware manufacturing but instead creating an ecosystem through open technology interfaces is once again being implemented in the robotics field. This collaboration with Boston Dynamics will attract more robot manufacturers to join the Gemini ecosystem, accelerating the positive cycle of "model iteration - data feedback - performance improvement". As the collaboration progresses, Google is poised to replicate Android's ecosystem success in
Nvidia's Alpamayo Sparks Autonomous Driving Surge: What Investors Should Watch in 2026 At CES 2026, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ unveiled Alpamayo, an open-source autonomous driving AI model. CEO Jensen Huang called it "the world's first self-driving car AI capable of thinking and reasoning," directly challenging Tesla's FSD system. Huang announced that the first vehicles equipped with Nvidia's technology will hit U.S. roads in Q1. Notably, Huang declared that the "ChatGPT moment" for physical AI has arrived—machines are now beginning to understand, reason, and take action in the real world. Robotaxis are among the first beneficiaries. Alpamayo brings reasoning capabilities to autonomous vehicles, enabling them to thin
🚨 Monster Bet Ignites Fed Funds Frenzy: $8M Risk Per Tick – Is the Rate Game About to Explode? 💥
Picture this: a mysterious bond trader unleashes the mother of all wagers in the Fed funds futures arena, smashing records with a colossal 200,000-contract block trade on the January 2026 expiry. 😲 This isn't your average market flutter – it's a seismic shift that's got Wall Street buzzing like a hive of caffeinated bees! The CME Group itself confirmed this beast as the largest ever, dwarfing previous heavyweights and signaling someone with deep pockets is dead serious about where interest rates are headed. 📈 Let's break it down, folks. Fed funds futures are basically crystal balls for predicting the Federal Reserve's overnight lending rate – the heartbeat of the entire economy. Traders use them to hedge or speculate on Fed policy moves, and this January contract zeros in on the average ra
🚨📰 JUST IN: Analyst upgrades converge across crypto, data, design, and AI power as structure confirms beneath price 🚨📰
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Bullish $Snowflake(SNOW)$ Bullish $Bloomin(BLMN)$ Bullish 08Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 09Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 I’m watching a rare moment where analyst conviction, deal flow, policy tailwinds, and tape structure are all aligning. These upgrades are not isolated calls. They map directly onto where capital is consolidating across the AI economy, from financial rails, to data gravity, to collaboration layers, and now power itself. 🚨📰 JUST IN: $COIN 🟢 BofA upgrades to BUY | PT $340 I see Bank of America reframing Coinbase as an “Everything Exchange,” and that framing matters. Stocks, ETFs, prediction markets, and crypto under on
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Progressive(PGR)$ $Aon PLC(AON)$ 🚀📊🧠 Q1 Alpha Map Exposed, Why Insurers Quietly Dominate Early-Year Returns 🧠📊🚀 08Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 09Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 I’m treating this as a structural roadmap, not a seasonal curiosity. When I analyse a full decade of Q1 performance inside the S&P 500, leadership has been strikingly consistent. Capital does not chase stories in January. It reallocates toward balance sheet strength, pricing power, and earnings visibility while macro paths are still being priced. 🛡️ Insurance is the ancho
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$$CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ 🚨📰 $BTC indicator flips bullish again. Buyers are stepping in again at this level. I’m focused on $COIN right here because the market is telling a very clean story across structure, volatility, and crypto beta. Since flagging this zone yesterday, price has respected the $238.60–241.00 band, flushed residual liquidity, and rotated higher back inside the Keltner channel. That response matters. This is not a bounce, it is absorption. Right shoulders are constructed through overlap and time, not through vertical upside candles. The latest 4H struct
🚗⚡📈 TSLA Compression Builds As Autonomy Leadership And Regulatory Optionality Collide With Macro Risk 📈⚡🚗
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 08Jan26 🇺🇸|09Jan26 🇳🇿 New high of the day printed early, steady buying from the open with price holding above intraday VWAP as consolidation tightens. +$12 off the low today. No new “good news.” No sentiment shift. Buyers showed up anyway. Price first. Narratives later! I’m tracking $TSLA through a very deliberate consolidation phase where price, flow, and narrative are lining up again after two weeks of sequential decline. This is not disorderly selling. This is digestion. 📊 My Daily Structure
$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ 🚀📡 LEO Cellular Moves From Vision to Execution as BofA Lifts $ASTS Target 🚀📡 🚨📰 JUST IN: $ASTS 🟡 BofA hikes PT to $100 from $85 | Rating remains Neutral I’m watching the low Earth orbit trade move decisively out of the concept phase and into an execution-driven window, and Bank of America’s price target hike on AST SpaceMobile reflects that shift. This is not a momentum-only adjustment. It’s an acknowledgment that direct-to-device satellite connectivity is becoming commercially relevant, even as delivery r
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 08Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 09Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 Midday check in. I’m tracking a controlled volatility unwind with rotation under the surface. $DJI +267.86 or +0.55% at 49,263 as cyclicals and defense drive index recovery after yesterday’s risk reset. $SPX flat at 6,917, pinned by gamma and index hedging, while $IXIC -148.68 or -0.63% reflects tech rotation rather than broad risk-off. Volatility continues to leak lower with $VIX at 15.33, confirming no stress impulse. $6905, $6915, $6925 $SPX - Range for 2 hours! Breadth is constructive but uneven. NYSE advancers lead decliners 2,204 to 1,
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ I’m watching retail flows hit escape velocity as the New Year kicks off. JPMorgan data shows the 2nd-highest weekly ETF buying in nearly 8 months, with daily purchases consistently above the 85th percentile since 1/2. That tells me this isn’t dip-buying noise, it’s portfolio-level re-risking. “Retail investors quickly refocused attention to their trading portfolios as the New Year began, leading to 2nd-highest weekly buying levels in nearly 8M & daily purchases consistently exceeding the 85th percentile [relative to its 12M average] since 1/2" -- Arun Jain,
My focus today is $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ , which surged nearly 20% intraday after Trump proposed a US$500 billion increase in U.S. military spending. While the news lifted the entire defense sector, I find it telling that money quickly rotated into drone & advanced defense technology names, signaling expectations of a more tech-focused military expansion. From a thematic standpoint, Ondas is well aligned with the shift toward unmanned systems, surveillance & autonomous warfare. The market isn’t just reacting to bigger budgets, but also to a change in spending priorities that favors next-generation capabilities where smaller, innovative players can
I view the recent 3% drop in silver $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $E-mini Silver - main 2603(QImain)$ largely through the lens of BCOM's annual rebalancing, which runs from Jan 9–15. TD Securities' estimate of US$7.7B in potential silver selling, roughly 13% of COMEX open interest, sounds dramatic, but to me this looks mostly mechanical rather than a sudden deterioration in fundamentals. Index-driven flows tend to distort prices in the short term, especially in markets like silver that are relatively thinner than gold. That said, I don't underestimate the near-term downside risk. When selling is concentrated into a tight window, price action can overshoot, regardless of funda
I see this market cap flip between Google and Apple as more than just a one-day headline, but I don't think it's a definitive regime change yet either. Alphabet overtaking Apple reflects how strongly investors are currently rewarding visible AI execution, especially when it's already translating into product upgrades, monetization pathways, and cloud demand. In contrast, Apple's AI story still feels more implied than proven, which matters in a market that's laser-focused on near-term AI winners. What stands out to me is how aggressively Alphabet $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ has embedded AI across its ecosystem. Search, YouTube, Workspace, and Google Cloud are all being reshaped with generative AI at the core, and managem
I first covered the above saga, almost the minute news broke and in quick succession. This is because it is the deal of the century and it will definitely disrupt the global entertainment landscape in a big way forever. Click on the titles to read my previous two posts: 8 Dec 2025 - The Winner Is NFLX... Errh, Not So Fast ! 10 Dec 2025 - WBD bid war begins : NFLX vs PSKY vs Trump (?) So Far. As we enter 2026, battle for $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ has shifted from a boardroom negotiation to a high-stakes standoff between the incumbent favorite, $Netflix(NFLX)$
SA’s Top 10 Stock Picks for 2026: Which One Do You Choose?
Research platform Seeking Alpha released its Top 10 Stock Picks for 2026. The list spans AI, semiconductors, networking, insurance, biotech, and resources—focused on earnings visibility and structural growth. $Micron Technology(MU)$ — HBM leader; strong NAND demand; FY26 Q1 beat with valuation discount. $Ciena(CIEN)$ — High-speed networking leader; record orders and backlog supported by hyperscalers. $Barrick Mining Corporation(B)$ — Gold plus copper exposure aligned with energy transition; earnings leverage. $Celestica(CLS)$ — Shift to AI data-center hardware; communications outlook upgraded for 2025–2026.
MSTR Undervalued or NOT? Ray Dalio Said Crypto Policy Window May Be Less Than One Year
Global index provider MSCI announced it will maintain its current treatment of so-called “crypto treasury companies.” This means firms like $Strategy(MSTR)$ — which hold Bitcoin as a core asset — are not being removed from major indexes, for now.On the news, MSTR rebounded 6% this week. Some investors now argue: MSTR may already be near its downside floor.However, Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns that crypto is being repriced by U.S. political cycles.output0.pngIs Crypto Running Out of Time?2026 U.S. midterm elections are approaching. Prediction market Polymarket shows a 79% probability that Democrats regain the House in 2026If that happens, today’s pro-crypto policy momentum could fade quickly.The most important variable is th
Big Tech Weekly | January Effect Begins: CES Sets the Tone for AI Infrastructure, Tesla and Storage
Macro Theme of the WeekLabor Market Data Warm-Up & Fed Policy ExpectationsThis week’s macro focus centers on early signals from labor market data and shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy, alongside heightened geopolitical uncertainty driving volatility in technology stocks. ADP showed December job gains of 41,000, below expectations of 47,000, while JOLTS openings fell to 7.146 million, suggesting emerging tightness in labor market conditions. Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report will be the key data point for confirmation.Geopolitical Events Drive Market SentimentGeopolitical developments dominated sentiment this week. Reports of Venezuelan leader Maduro being arrested triggered volatility in oil prices, while restrictions on silver exports pushed silver prices up 18%, pressur