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TBI
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03-22

[38] AMAT, EQIX, SBUX

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[38] AMAT, EQIX, SBUX
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517
General
BTS
·
03-23
The recent decline below $4,600 suggests a leveraged flush rather than a permanent trend reversal, as structural drivers like central bank accumulation and geopolitical risk remain intact despite high interest rates This may be a "bear trap", where a short-term selloff unwinds crowded positions in gold, but if oil prices rise and inflation expectations stay high, it could signal the start of a regime change, with gold struggling in the longer term against rising yields and energy-driven inflation Oil is currently the dominant asset due to supply shocks and global tension, while gold is secondary, pressured by higher rates and inflation concerns, making energy the preferred play in the short term, with gold potentially catching up later Small positions in both gold and oil are advisable for

Gold $4600 Crash, Oil & Gas Also Fall: Buy on the Discount?

@Tiger_comments
At the beginning of this week, the precious metals market felt like a falling knife. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ plummeted 8% in two days, touching a six-week low of $4600, while $ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$ staged a gut-wrenching crash.Geopolitical tensions are back with a vengeance. Just as the market was pricing in a "US-Iran rapprochement," the script flipped. Reports of assassination threats against leadership have shattered the fragile trust, and the Habshan gas facility strike in Abu Dhabi has set the energy complex on edge.Despite the chaos, gold is down and oil is sideways. Why isn't the market buying the "safe haven" narrative yet?1. The Liquidity Paradox: Why Gold Fell in a CrisisTypically,
Gold $4600 Crash, Oil & Gas Also Fall: Buy on the Discount?
The recent decline below $4,600 suggests a leveraged flush rather than a permanent trend reversal, as structural drivers like central bank accumula...
TOPHarryCox: Oil's looking strong amid the chaos, gold needs patience.[看涨]
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Barcode
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03-23
$Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  📊🌍📊 Geopolitical Shocks vs Historical Resilience: Why Markets Rarely Blink Long-Term at Conflict – Week Ahead 23Mar26 📊🌍📊 Global markets continue to demonstrate a pattern that many underestimate but history consistently reinforces. Conflict creates volatility, not necessarily lasting downside. HSBC’s cross-cycle analysis of eleven major geopolitical shocks, spanning the Gulf War, 9/11, and the Ukraine invasion, highlights a counterintuitive but persistent outcome. Median performance shows the S&P 500 advancing +1.6% over one week and +2.9% over one month following initia
$Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊🌍📊 Geopolitical Shocks vs Historical Resilience: Why Markets Rarely Blink Long-Ter...
TOPAlexiaTours: If it escalates to a sustained supply shock, mate, the pattern could break.[惊讶]
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Barcode
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03-23
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  📉🚀📊 $COIN at the Inflection Point: Breakdown Risk vs Structural Expansion 📊🚀📉 I’m watching $COIN sitting right at a technical decision zone where structure, liquidity, and narrative are all converging. The chart is clean, but the implications are anything but simple. 📊 Price Structure and Key Levels I’m focused on the $217–218 resistance band as the defining trigger. That descending trendline rejection cluster has acted as persistent supply, and until that breaks with conviction, upside remains capped. Below, $192 is the line that flips this into a confirmed bearish continuati
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 📉🚀📊 $COIN at the Inflection Point: Breakdown Risk vs Structural Expansion 📊🚀📉 I’m...
TOPMabelReed: Regulation will likely cap the upside before scale is reached, mate.[疑问]
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nerdbull1669
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03-23

Volatility Should Persist Through March, with April Historical Strength Eyeing A Rebound. Energy and Staples Remain Favored Hedges

The current volatility in the S&P 500, which has seen the index pull back approximately 5% from its highs, aligns with historical "geopolitical shocks." While the Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude toward $112 a barrel, analysts generally view this as a standard, albeit sharp, correction rather than the start of a prolonged bear market. Market Outlook: Correction vs. Trend Historically, the S&P 500 experiences an average pullback of about 4.5% to 5% following major geopolitical events, with markets typically stabilizing within a month. Near-Term (End of March): Expect continued volatility. The VIX (Volatility Index) is currently in backwardation—a state where near-term fear is higher than long-term expectations. This suggests the market is
Volatility Should Persist Through March, with April Historical Strength Eyeing A Rebound. Energy and Staples Remain Favored Hedges
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Shyon
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03-23
My stock in focus today is $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , and I’m leaning short after the latest news. The U.S. charges tied to alleged export control violations introduce serious regulatory and reputational risk. A 30%+ intraday drop signals more than panic—it shows confidence is breaking. The bigger concern is second-order impact. Even if the company isn’t directly charged, senior-level involvement raises governance questions. In a supply chain tied to Nvidia, compliance is critical. Any disruption could hit demand, while rivals like Dell Technologies may benefit. For me, this looks like the start of a repricing, not a one-off move. The narrative has shifted to uncertainty, which typically compresses valuations. I’d treat any bounce as an
My stock in focus today is $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , and I’m leaning short after the latest news. The U.S. charges tied to alleged export ...
TOPAaronJe: Agree, regulatory woes could spark more selling. Shorting rebounds makes sense.[看跌]
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Mkoh
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03-23

With Markets Down in 2026: Time to Bottom Fish or Be More Cautious?

The U.S. stock market has started 2026 on shaky ground. As of late March, the S&P 500 is down roughly 5% year-to-date, recently dipping below key moving averages amid heightened volatility. The Nasdaq has performed worse, declining around 6-7% over the same period. The main driver? Escalating geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Iran conflict, which have pushed Brent crude above $110 per barrel and U.S. crude near $98, reigniting inflation concerns and dashing hopes for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Recession odds have climbed to 49% over the next 12 months, according to Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi—rising sharply due to softening labor data and the oil shock. This environment has investors grappling with a familiar dilemma: With prices lower, is it time to “bottom fish” by
With Markets Down in 2026: Time to Bottom Fish or Be More Cautious?
TOPfuzzyoo: Better stay cautious lah, market too volatile to bottom fish now.[看跌]
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Mkoh
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03-23

Bond Markets: The Ultimate Predictor of Stock Performance – The Junk vs. Investment-Grade Yield Spread Tells the Real Story

Stocks often steal the spotlight with their daily drama, but the bond market has a far better track record of forecasting what comes next for equities. Corporate bonds, in particular, act like an early-warning system because they are priced by professional credit analysts laser-focused on default risk, cash flow, and the ability to service debt. Equity investors, by contrast, tend to chase growth narratives and sentiment. When bond yields start signaling trouble—especially in the divide between junk (high-yield) debt and investment-grade bonds—stocks usually follow with weakness, often months later. The most reliable signal in this arena is the yield spread between junk bonds and investment-grade corporate bonds. This metric (sometimes expressed as a simple ratio of their average yields) h
Bond Markets: The Ultimate Predictor of Stock Performance – The Junk vs. Investment-Grade Yield Spread Tells the Real Story
TOPZOE011: Spot on, the junk-IG spread's a dead giveaway for equities trouble.[看跌]
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koolgal
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03-23
The S&P500 Breakdown:  My Defensive ETFs for a Volatile Market 🌟🌟🌟The market is currently navigating a challenging macro squeeze of geopolitical tensions and technical weakness.  With the S&P500 breaching its 200 day moving average, I use 3 ETFs as defensive shields to preserve my capital and manage risk. 1. $iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV)$   The Cash Alternative with US Ultra Short Treasuries  SGOV is my primary choice for capital preservation. The Strategy:  It tracks US Treasury Bills maturing in less than 3 months, acting as a liquid fortress with little price fluctuations. Analyst Outlook : Currently holds a technical Strong Buy signal as a safe haven asset. Expense ratio: A highly efficient 0.
The S&P500 Breakdown: My Defensive ETFs for a Volatile Market 🌟🌟🌟The market is currently navigating a challenging macro squeeze of geopolitical ten...
TOPBirdieO: Solid picks! SGOV and XLP are smart defenses in this volatility.[强]
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828
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Sporeshare
·
03-23
$Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$    Sembcorp Ind - One of the few counter that is in the green when the whole market is in the red! She may rise up to test 6.40 than 6.55 and above. Pls dyodd. She had managed to clear the 6.00 price level swiftly and is now trading at 6.16, looks rather bullish! She may continue to trend higher towards 6.40 and above! Pls dyodd. Sembcorp Ind - She has bounce-off from 5.67 and closed higher at 5.77, looks like shw may have hit the bottom and rebounded. Yield is about 4.33 percent seem quite decent. XD 6th May 16 cents Final dividend! Renewal energy and Electricity sector likely remain in demand whether in good time or bad time. Pls dyodd. Sembcorp Ind - The price has fallen from 6.38 to 5.72 looks like biat is ba
$Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$ Sembcorp Ind - One of the few counter that is in the green when the whole market is in the red! She may rise up to test 6.40...
TOPpixiezz: Bullish on Sembcorp! Looks poised to test 6.40 soon.[强]
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Shunsund
·
03-23
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3.58K
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Ivan_Gan
·
03-23

Where Is the Bottom After the Massive Sell-Off in Gold and Silver?

Remember at the beginning of the year, numerous reports projected that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates four times. However, following the surge in oil prices, the market has swung from one extreme to another. Today, hardly anyone dares to anticipate any rate cuts this year. In fact, working backward from the latest U.S. Treasury yield data, the market has even begun to price in potential rate hikes starting in October. This dramatic shift—going from extreme euphoria to sheer panic in just two to three weeks—clearly demonstrates that market trends are currently driven by future sentiment and expectations rather than genuine, medium-to-long-term fundamental changes. Investors must deeply understand this reality. Predictably, if the strait blockade eventually concludes and rate c
Where Is the Bottom After the Massive Sell-Off in Gold and Silver?
TOPRainy777: High inflation is always good for gold in the long term as real interest rates (i.e. after removing inflation) will go below zero.
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CC on ETFs
·
03-23

Gold Plunges — Is It Time to Buy the Dip?

Gold fell more than 8% intraday, breaking below $4,200 and reaching the $4,100 level. It has now declined for multiple consecutive days, wiping out all of this year’s gains. On March 22, US President Donald Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran in the evening New York time, demanding that it reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days or face attacks on its power facilities. Iran responded that if attacked, it would “completely close” the strait and target energy and infrastructure. This escalation directly pushed oil prices higher. Rising oil prices have changed the market’s view on inflation. As energy costs increase, investors are reassessing the US inflation path, believing that the previous disinflation trend may be interrupted. In this context, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts
Gold Plunges — Is It Time to Buy the Dip?
TOPTimothyX: Gold fell more than 8% intraday, breaking below $4,200 and reaching the $4,100 level. It has now declined for multiple consecutive days, wiping out all of this year’s gains.
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Am3n_Tao
·
03-20
$OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ Got this sometime back. Will continue to hold this as a strong blue chip for some coffee money.
$OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ Got this sometime back. Will continue to hold this as a strong blue chip for some coffee money.
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420
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MonKeyTgr
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03-21
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266
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SharonWon
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03-22
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77
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Clementq
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03-22
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1.46K
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Tiger V
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03-22
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) presents a compelling but high-stakes investment case, characterized by aggressive AI investments driving future growth potential against near-term financial pressures and market volatility.
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) presents a compelling but high-stakes investment case, characterized by aggressive AI investments driving fut...
TOPHunterGame: GOOG's AI bets are exciting, but short-term risks keep me on edge.[看涨]
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th0mastan
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03-22
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   The overall market has been on a decline.  Looking at the daily chart for NVDA, it is approach a support region of around $168. These white lines are the long term support, we should expect some rebounce once that is reached.  That said if the overall market is worsen with the war escalation, we could expect further volatility and it may fall beyond the support line.  Continue to trade with market trends an technical support. It will be a choppy ride. 
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The overall market has been on a decline. Looking at the daily chart for NVDA, it is approach a support region of around $168. These...
TOPqwertd: Support at $168 might hold, lah. But market's volatile, better watch your trades! [666]
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