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Capital_Insights
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09-24

Bitcoin’s Bull Market Has Begun,Establishing a $250,000 Cycle Target by 2029

Bitcoin (, BUY) $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust(BTC)$ $BTC Digital(BTCT)$ $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$ - Bitcoin’s Bull Market Has Begun; Establishing a $250,000 Cycle Target by 2029 Tiger Research believe Bitcoin has entered a new bull-market regime and maintain BUY and establish a $250,000 cycle target to be reached by 2029 or earlier, implying approximately 190% upside from the latest price near $86,100. “Higher lows, higher highs and recovery above key investor cost bases support moving beyond our July late-bear-market assessm
Bitcoin’s Bull Market Has Begun,Establishing a $250,000 Cycle Target by 2029
TOP苏36: Bitcoin's bull case is becoming less about hype and more abouthow the market reacts to bad news. The Fed just hiked rates, the CLARITY Act stalled, and BTC still recovered towards $87K. More importantly, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded five straight inflow sessions, including nearly $999M on September 21. That tells us something important: buyers are increasingly willing to absorb macro and regulatory shocks. Tiger Research's $250K target by 2029 is therefore interesting not because $250K sounds exciting, but because its framework is based on Bitcoin's expanding monetary role, investor cost bases and its valuation relative to gold. But the key risk remains liquidity. If yields keep rising and ETF flows reverse, the bullish structure could be tested again. For me, the next question isn't "Can BTC reach $250K?" It'swhether Bitcoin can turn the $80K–$85K zone into long-term support. @Capital_Insights [贱笑]
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Tiger_Futures Captain
·
09-24

Big Options Bets: Gold’s Defense Moves Up, Bitcoin’s 85K Put Signals Potential Regime Shift📈

A large 85,000 Bitcoin put order hit the market, while Gold’s defensive floor moved higher. Is the market about to turn? The option changes on September 22 show that open interest in Gold calls continued to expand. In Silver, traders maintained upside exposure at higher strikes while accelerating purchases of downside protection. In Bitcoin, however, new positions on both sides remained too small to be meaningful. This suggests that expectations for further upside in precious metals have not disappeared, but protection against pullbacks and volatility is becoming more expensive. Gold: Calls Still Dominate as Defensive Positioning Moves Higher Gold call open interest increased by a net 8,354 contracts, exceeding the 6,116-contract increase on the put side. Total call open interest stood at
Big Options Bets: Gold’s Defense Moves Up, Bitcoin’s 85K Put Signals Potential Regime Shift📈
TOPglintzi: Gold still looks firm, but I care more about whether those deep OTM 3700 puts stop building. That is when the bull case feels cleaner
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SmartReversals
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09-24

$GOOG, $TSLA and $META Flash Different Setups as Bollinger Bands Stretch

Three mega caps, three slightly different setups. 👀 🔵 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Price breached the upper Bollinger Band, which often brings a pullback or mean reversion into play. There’s still unfinished business around $330, while the stock is sitting in an oversold/discounted setup according to this framework. 🎯 That puts $330 on watch as a potential level for the next move. ⚡ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla is showing a setup similar to the $AAPL shooting star we discussed yesterday. Price pushed through the upper Bollinger Band, but the candle structure shows indecision rather than clean continuation. If the reversal pattern plays out, $363 becomes the first downside level to watch. 🟣
$GOOG, $TSLA and $META Flash Different Setups as Bollinger Bands Stretch
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JC888
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09-24

NVDA Weak valuation - Opportunity or Trap?

Do you believe that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s sinking stock valuation is sending a warning signal about the chipmaker’s prospects to maintaining its booming profit growth ? Do you think this is true ? Let’s find out. Valuation Paradox: Cheap Price vs High Growth NVDA’s stock is currently priced cheaply relative to its earnings, dropping to less than 17x its expected profit for the coming year. To put the drop into perspective, the stock's price multiple was twice as high in 2025, even though company's financial growth was slower back then. (see below) Additionally, that valuation has fallen significantly from more than 25x estimated earnings as recently as May 2026. Management’s View: Misunderstood & Mispriced The gap between (1) NVDA's strong business
NVDA Weak valuation - Opportunity or Trap?
TOPJC888: On Wed, NVDA fell approx. -1.4% to $225.51 - snapping a 6-session winning streak. Rising treasury yields of 10Y, 20Y & 30Y are all above 5% level, US broader market dip on inflation fears and NVDA director stock sale all contributed to its slip. Will it cont'd when Thursday trading resumes ?
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SmartReversals
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09-24

SPX: Gap Fill in Progress

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rallied on Monday in a very rapid way to a high weekly target, that day I posted two charts highlighting the reason why a consolidation/reversal could follow. Yesterday indeed formed a doji candle on the daily timeframe. I anticipated the Central Daily Level (CDL) of 7,767 to paid subscribers, noting it as the key level to watch today (bearish below, bullish above). Price action lost this level at the open and broke through the support levels one by one (7,753, 7,741, and 7,727) before finding support at the weekly zone of 7,702. Yesterday, we reviewed bearish factors, including the shooting star on $Apple(AAPL)$ (which correctly anticipated today’s retrace), low market breadth, an
SPX: Gap Fill in Progress
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1.82K
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ShawnLLS
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09-24
Jensen Huang drops a number. Why AI hardware came all the way back, and how I'm playing it with sell puts Written Wednesday morning SGT, using Tuesday's US close. The number On September 17, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company will double the number of chips it sells next year. His exact words were: "I expect Nvidia to sell twice as many chips as this next year as we do this year." He said it at the AI summit King Charles III hosted at Dumfries House in Scotland. The comment covers all of Nvidia's chips, not just GPUs. That includes the flagship Blackwell and upcoming Vera Rubin GPUs, Grace CPUs, optical networking chips, automotive platforms and Jetson robotics processors. It also builds on guidance Nvidia already gave. On the August 26 earnings call, CFO Colette Kress laid out a 70%
Jensen Huang drops a number. Why AI hardware came all the way back, and how I'm playing it with sell puts Written Wednesday morning SGT, using Tues...
TOPZOE011: I sell puts off signals too, but supply is still the part I care about most. Doubling units sounds great, yet premium only gets interesting when fear actually comes back
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D1ane
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09-24

THE REAL CONSUMER TEST ISN’T AT THE MALL — IT’S AT THE DINNER TABLE. 🍽️

While the market keeps debating rates, tech valuations and AI spending, Darden Restaurants (DRI) is about to give investors a very different piece of the puzzle: are consumers still willing to spend on dining out? $Darden Restaurants(DRI)$  reports fiscal Q1 results before the market opens today. Wall Street is looking for roughly $2.05 EPS and $3.21B in revenue.  But the headline numbers aren’t what I’d watch most closely. 👀 1. Restaurant traffic This could be the most important signal. Darden’s previous quarter produced 4.6% same-restaurant sales growth, with positive traffic across its brands.  If traffic remains healthy, that suggests consumers haven’t completely pulled back despite higher everyday costs. 🥩 2. LongHorn vs Olive Gard
THE REAL CONSUMER TEST ISN’T AT THE MALL — IT’S AT THE DINNER TABLE. 🍽️
TOPwobee: I care more about what supports that FY2027 EPS range: cost discipline or ticket growth. Traffic can look fine for a quarter, but margin quality tells the fuller story
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D1ane
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09-24

THE AI SPENDING TEST WALL STREET IS WATCHING 👀

Forget the chipmakers for a moment. Today, $Accenture PLC(ACN)$ gives investors another way to look at the AI boom: are companies actually spending money to put AI into their businesses? ACN reports earnings before the U.S. market opens today. And the numbers I’d watch go beyond revenue and EPS. 💰 1. AI demand Accenture sits closer to the implementation side of the AI cycle. Companies can talk about AI all day — but eventually they need consultants, software integration, cloud migration and people to actually deploy it. That makes ACN an interesting read-through for enterprise technology spending. 📊 2. New bookings This could be more important than the headline earnings number. Strong bookings would suggest companies are still committing budge
THE AI SPENDING TEST WALL STREET IS WATCHING 👀
TOPhappiness000: I’d watch new bookings first. Revenue and EPS lag, but bookings tell you whether enterprise AI budgets are actually getting approved
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D1ane
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09-24

META BUILT THE AI. SHOPIFY GOT THE POP. WHY?

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  slipped 0.63% to $736.60 on Tuesday after jumping 11.43% the previous session. At first glance, that looks like simple profit-taking ahead of Meta Connect. But there’s a more interesting story underneath. Muse is becoming the centre of the conversation — yet some of the biggest stock moves are happening in the companies connecting to it. Muse has reportedly climbed to the top of the U.S. mobile download charts, while Shopify jumped more than 7% after integrating its Shop Pay checkout with Muse. Shopify had gained almost 15% across the two sessions.  That creates an interesting investment question: 🧩 Is Muse an app — or a platform? If consumers start using Muse to search, shop, book and complete tasks, the v
META BUILT THE AI. SHOPIFY GOT THE POP. WHY?
TOPPTOL: False choice ngl. Meta owns the intent layer, but commerce rails can tax the flow too — I care more about who keeps the user relationship.
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Flameless Phoenix
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09-24
Strong Breakouts Still Need Breathing Room My notes from Tuesday, 22 September: a market can look constructive and still demand restraint. The S&P finished flat but held a second close above its recent bull-flag breakout. That supports the bullish case, although the follow-through was hardly convincing. The Nasdaq and semiconductors were stronger, but the move had become stretched and leadership remained narrow. For me, the lesson is to separate a promising setup from a sensible entry. These are ideas I am studying, not a report of trades I have executed. A breakout needs confirmation, but paying too far above support can leave little room for an ordinary pullback. SMCI and HNGE stood out on that basis. SMCI had pushed above its consolidation with improving momentum, while HNGE had sev
Strong Breakouts Still Need Breathing Room My notes from Tuesday, 22 September: a market can look constructive and still demand restraint. The S&P ...
TOPtwisty: SMCI momentum already looked good enough to act on. Waiting for extra confirmation is how strong breakouts leave you behind lol
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ShawnLLS
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09-24
Memory prices up over 500%. Does that still count as good news? A cycle view, and how I trade it with sell puts Written Thursday, 24 Sept (SGT). First, is the 500% number real? Mostly, yes. It depends on which chip and which price you look at. For the newest standard memory, DDR5 is up nearly 500% year on year. The spot market is even more extreme: DRAM spot prices have surged nearly 700% over the past year, according to a Bloomberg report from July. Contract prices, which is what big buyers actually pay, moved in huge quarterly steps. TrendForce measured conventional DRAM contract prices up 93% to 98% quarter over quarter in Q1 2026, with many DDR5 SKUs up 3.5 to 4 times and DDR4 kits roughly doubling. Even after all of that, prices were still rising in August. PC DRAM averaged a record $
Memory prices up over 500%. Does that still count as good news? A cycle view, and how I trade it with sell puts Written Thursday, 24 Sept (SGT). Fi...
TOPElsieDewey: HBM3E at 2100 says the supply squeeze is steeper than most think. If module builds are already spoken for into next Q1, this still looks early-cycle to me
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TRIGGER TRADES
·
09-24

$SPX Bull Trap Back in Play as 7,657 Becomes the Key Level

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just reversed sharply from the highs, and the bearish structure is getting clearer. 📉 The current move is shaping up as a 5-3-5 pattern: 🔻 5 waves down from the highs 🔺 Looking for a 3-wave bounce 🔻 Then potentially another 5 waves down That makes any bounce tomorrow something I’ll be watching closely for a potential sell-the-rally setup. 🎯 First downside target: The weekly low / open weekly gap. But there’s another important signal developing. ⚠️ Bearish SMT vs $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $SPX is now sitting inside Daily FVG support, while a fresh bearish SMT has appeared against $NDX around the August high. That adds another layer of caution to the setup. 📍 The level that matters most: 7,657 A
$SPX Bull Trap Back in Play as 7,657 Becomes the Key Level
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1.31K
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Kentzw
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09-24

🔥 Memory Stocks Just Hit Pause — Is Micron the Next Catalyst?

Memory stocks had a rough session after the huge run they’ve had. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$  , $SK hynix(SKHY)$   and $Micron Technology(MU)$  all pulled back, which isn’t too surprising after such strong momentum. Rising yields also didn’t help, especially for stocks that have already moved a long way. But now everyone is looking toward Micron’s earnings on Sept 30. That could be the next big test for the whole memory trade. I’m watching a few things: 📌 HBM demand — Are AI customers still locking in supply? 📌 Pricing — Can memory prices keep moving higher without demand starting to crack? 📌 Margins — Strong revenue is great, but
🔥 Memory Stocks Just Hit Pause — Is Micron the Next Catalyst?
TOPlonglive100: HBM demand is still the hinge for me, and autos plus edge could help diversify that customer mix. If margins lag, the market probably sells the “good quarter” anyway
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旧鞋还能跑
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09-24

Building A Trade Review Habit: My First Journal

I would like to try to build a habit of reviewing my trades regularly, starting from this post. Not sure how long this practice can last, but I hope to stick with it and make it a long-term habit. For every review, I will ask myself these 5 core questions: 1.What I did right 2.What I did wrong (mistakes or practice shifts) 3.What I can improve 4.What I would like to try next 5.What I don't know (welcome feedback from AI / other traders) Here is the thoughts for the first 9 months of the year. In Q4 2024, I finally took action to clear out the historical "dead weight" in this account—cutting losses and selling off positions I couldn't clearly justify holding. ​I spent significant time thinking through how to properly position and utilize my different trading accounts, which turned out to be
Building A Trade Review Habit: My First Journal
TOPCarterSilas: That fifth question is the useful one here. I would want blind spot checks first, then execution tweaks — process drift is sneaky.
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Tiger_Futures Captain
·
09-24

Gold: 4,311 Is the Line – Bounce or Break? Crude Oil Double Bottom in Play💰💵

The market has been choppy over the past two days, and short-term moves can easily disrupt one’s rhythm. I would rather lay out the key levels clearly and then assess the market’s reaction once prices reach them: for gold, the first question is whether a rebound will encounter resistance; for crude oil, the focus is on whether the low-level recovery can continue. U.S. Dollar Index: Firm Bias, but Guard Against a Pullback After a Spike The U.S. Dollar Index formed a large bullish candle with a relatively substantial real body yesterday, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains in place. Today, watch how the index trades within the 100.6–101.6 range. The overall bias remains constructive, but a pullback after a move higher should also be kept in mind.
Gold: 4,311 Is the Line – Bounce or Break? Crude Oil Double Bottom in Play💰💵
TOPAmandaViolet: Daily close matters, but 92.7 is still the gate for crude. Until that breaks, I’m staying cautious on the double bottom setup
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koolgal
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09-21
$ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ 🌟🌟🌟I invest in ST Engineering because it represents the perfect marriage of defensive resilience and engineering excellence.  ST Engineering is a stock built for the long term compounding investor who values structural safety over short term market noise. Backed by Temasek Holdings, the sovereign wealth fund of Singapore, investing in ST Engineering is not just any corporate listing .  It is Singapore's institutional and defensive fortress. Go Long Go Strong Go ST Engineering!🥰🥰🥰🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰 @Tiger_SG  @TigerStars  @Tiger_comments  
$ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ 🌟🌟🌟I invest in ST Engineering because it represents the perfect marriage of defensive resilience and engineering excellenc...
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Tiger_AU
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09-24

Margin Account 101: Everything You Need to Know About Buying Power, Interest, Leverage and Risk

Already have a margin account but haven't used it yet? Wondering how margin interest works, or what happens if a stock falls sharply after earnings? Over the past 10 issues of Margin 101, we've covered everything from buying power and multi-currency financing to short selling and risk management. Here's a quick recap of the 10 key lessons. Bookmark this guide whenever you need a margin refresher! Important: This material is provided for general educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial product advice, investment advice, or a recommendation. Margin lending, short selling, and other leveraged trading strategies involve significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Losses may exceed your initial investment. Before investing, conside
Margin Account 101: Everything You Need to Know About Buying Power, Interest, Leverage and Risk
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁 @DiAngel @Aqa @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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DailyOptions999
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09-24

🎁 Think Like an Insurer: A Quick Guide to Selling Options

Many beginners see options mainly as a way to speculate on short-term price moves. But buying calls or puts involves more than getting the direction right: time decay and changes in volatility can also affect returns. Selling options offers another approach. Some investors use it alongside stock holdings to collect premiums and plan potential share purchases or sales. It can complement a long-term portfolio, provided the obligations and risks are understood. The “Insurance Business” Analogy An insurer collects premiums in exchange for accepting risk. Option sellers make a similar trade-off: they receive a premium upfront and take on an obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset if assigned. Time decay can work in the seller’s favour. If an option expires worthless, the seller keeps the
🎁 Think Like an Insurer: A Quick Guide to Selling Options
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2.03K
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ShayBoloor
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09-24

Meta’s Muse Era: New Smart Glasses, a 5G AI Device, Private Processing

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 (1) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is expanding its smart glasses lineup with two new styles including an ivory Kylie edition and a new collaboration with BLACKPINK’s Lisa. Meta says it expects to have more than 100 different glasses styles available by year end. (2) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ unveiled Muse Charm which is a palm-sized 5G device built specifically for talking to Muse. Zuck says the goal is to make Muse something you can “just talk to” as Meta pushes its personal agent beyond the phone and across dedicated hardware. (3) $Meta Platforms,
Meta’s Muse Era: New Smart Glasses, a 5G AI Device, Private Processing
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