$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Success in the markets doesn’t come from doing things occasionally. It comes from doing the right thing consistently. Continue to DCA into chips💪
Two strong names. Two very different setups. 🟢 $Costco(COST)$ — Rebuilding Momentum The bullish engulfing candle reclaimed the 5, 10 and 20-day moving averages, with the move coming after earnings and from oversold conditions. No gap. No obvious chase. That gives the setup a cleaner recovery + risk-reward profile. 🔵 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ — Managing Momentum Meta has already made the breakout. Now the signals are telling a different story: price has breached the upper Bollinger Band, while RSI and MFI are showing overbought conditions. That doesn’t automatically invalidate the trend. It simply raises the odds of consolidation after the breakout. 🔄 The common thread: Both are showing strong underlyi
⚠️ This Is What a Downward Spiral Looks Like Growth depends on debt. Debt gets more expensive → the stock falls → equity becomes a weaker backstop → but growth still requires more spending → so you borrow more → and financing gets even more expensive. 🔄 That’s the spiral. $Oracle(ORCL)$ is now at the center of this debate. 🦔 Its 5-year CDS spread reportedly hit 230 bps, more than 4× the broader investment-grade index at 55 bps and dramatically higher than a year ago. At the same time, Oracle is committing massive amounts of capital to AI infrastructure. 💰 The key question isn’t simply whether AI demand is real. It’s whether the expected growth can generate enough cash flow to support the debt required to fund it. 📉 S&P’s BBB- rating leaves onl
From Leaders to Laggards: Is Memory Waiting on Micron? Memory gave back Tuesday's gains on Wednesday. SanDisk fell 3.73%, SK Hynix 3.12% and Micron 2.22%. The selling carried on into Thursday's pre-market, then all three bounced on Friday as oil eased after the Trump–Xi meeting. They fell together and bounced together, so this is one trade, not three. The real test is Micron's report after the close on September 30, which is about 4 AM on October 1 in Singapore. Wall Street expects $50.91 billion in revenue and $31.49 in earnings per share. Management guided about 86% gross margin, but also said price increases are moderating. The quarter also has 14 weeks, one more than usual. Bull case: 16 take-or-pay contracts lock in about $100 billion through 2030. HBM4 has already shipped over $1 bil
👟 NKE: THE COMEBACK TRADE NOBODY WANTS TO TALK ABOUT?
One stock I’m watching is $Nike(NKE)$ . The setup is pretty simple: the world’s biggest sportswear brand has been struggling, and the market has become increasingly impatient. Nike reports fiscal Q1 earnings on October 1, with consensus around $0.44 EPS and $11.3B revenue.  But the interesting part isn’t the earnings estimate. It’s whether Nike can finally show signs that the turnaround is working. 👟 China is the big question. Greater China sales fell 17% on a constant-currency basis in Nike’s most recent quarter, making the region one of the biggest problems management needs to address.  🇺🇸 Then there’s North America. Wholesale revenue has been growing, but that hasn’t translated into overall sales growth. That raises an uncomfortable
This isn’t really a streaming story anymore. It’s a consolidation story. Paramount Skydance is moving ahead with its acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, with the company now seeking another $7.5B in debt financing as part of the deal. The combined company could carry roughly $80B of debt after closing.  And that’s where things get interesting. Warner Bros. Discovery brings together huge pieces of the entertainment ecosystem — Warner Bros., HBO, CNN, Discovery and Max. Paramount brings Paramount Pictures, CBS and its own streaming business. Put them together and suddenly one company controls a much larger collection of studios, TV networks, streaming platforms and content libraries. But bigger doesn’t automatically mean better. 💰 The debt is enormous. 🎬 The studios still have to produce
Palantir: "Not Really an AI Company" — and Why That Matters EdgeRunner AI's CEO put it well: Palantir is "an incredible data architecture company." EdgeRunner is the camshaft and Palantir is the engine block. The models plug into Palantir's plumbing, so Palantir doesn't need to win the model race. Bull case The Pentagon made Maven a program of record, and users grew from 5,000 to 20,000. The Army enterprise deal is worth up to $10 billion over a decade. Full-year revenue is expected to reach about $8.19 billion, up 83%. Bear case The stock trades at about 120 times forward earnings. Maven is under scrutiny after the February 28 Minab strike review. Palantir says it wasn't responsible for the underlying intelligence. If models move to devices that work offline, some of the value moves with
$HIMS 20260925 25.0 PUT$ HIMS Recent News: Bullish vs Bearish Conclusion: Over the past month the news flow on Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) watchlist has been genuinely two-sided, but the bearish items have carried more weight — the stock is down 7.08% over 20 days and 21.69% over 60 days, sitting 54.95% below its 52-week high. The bull case rests on international expansion (Australia GLP-1 launch) and a strong oversold rebound with bullish options flow; the bear case centres on insider selling filings, a product removal, payment-network/FTC pressure, and target-price cuts.
$CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ it has been a gift that keeps giving. It might not be your $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ or $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , it's still something worth celebrating 🥳🎉. A few shining lights in my weekly gloomy trades. Greenland trades suddenly kicked in again last week when all was peace and quiet. To me, those were simply old news. Nevertheless, I wasted little time logging in some little loose changes for my efforts. True enough, the price corrected a little. As the profits are too small 🦐 to speak of, I have to simply sit through the options expiry... but tha
Meta’s Muse Is Creating Another AI Infrastructure Demand Signal
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ’s Muse just launched, and demand is already putting pressure on capacity. Here’s the interesting part 👇 ☁️ Every Muse user gets access to a free cloud computer. Each instance reportedly runs with: 🧠 2 vCPUs → $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ 💾 8GB RAM → $Micron Technology(MU)$$SK hynix(SKHY)$ 💽 100GB SSD → $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ Scale that across millions of users and the infrastructure requirements start adding up fast. And this is just one AI application. The AI race isn’t only about training bigger models anymore. Every successful AI agent or applica
I was quiet last week. I’ve been locked in. The setup I’m watching is simple: months of compression, multiple independent signals, and a potential volatility expansion in Q4. 📈 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Zoom out. The daily chart has been grinding through months of chop, consolidation and fakeouts. If positioning gets too defensive, a volatility expansion could catch the sidelines off guard. ₿ $BTC Bitcoin has quietly held most of its gains since mid-August and is back above $85K. A clean breakout could become another major risk-on lever for markets. 🛢️ $Colgate-Palmolive(CL)$ Oil rejected $100 despite the current macro and geopolitical backdrop. If the market has already priced much of the conflict
$SPX Has a Gap Below, $IWM Is Oversold, $QQQ Has One Left Too
Last week, I laid out the bullish factors that could support a market bounce. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ On September 16, we highlighted oversold conditions in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ , with a potential rebound developing for the following session. The weekly setup then started to confirm it: • The 7,610 gap was filled • Bollinger Bands pointed to stretched downside conditions • Oscillators supported the idea of a local bottom Monday’s rally validated that setup, although it also left another gap underneath. That brings 7,657 back into focus. Most gaps eventually get tested, so for me the question is timing rather than direction.
The US Economy Is Running Hot, The Fed Trade Just Got Harder
It’s worth analyzing today the macro updates we saw this week, then I’ll go into the charts and targets for this week. Four numbers dropped back to back and they were loud this week: Manufacturing PMI came in at 57.0 against an expectation of 53.6. Services PMI hit 58.7 against 55.8. Anything above 50 means expansion, so both sectors aren’t just growing, they blew past what economists modeled. That’s the first clue: the US economy is not slowing down. Implications for the stock market: Strong PMI data usually means strong corporate revenue ahead, so on the surface that’s bullish for equities. Then came Crude Oil $WTI Crude Oil - main 2611(CLmain)$ Inventories, up 2.969 million barrels when the market expected a drawdown of 0.700 million. That
$Hongkong Land (H78.SI) Consolidates Near 52-Week High: Deep Value at 0.58x P/B, Breakout Above $...
📊 Market Recap As of September 27, 2026, 'H78.SI' (Hongkong Land Holdings Ltd) closed at $8.57, up +0.35% from the previous close of $8.54. The stock traded within a narrow range of $8.45 to $8.60, reflecting a mild consolidation pattern. Current price sits just 2.9% below its 52-week high of $8.83 and approximately 49.6% above its 52-week low of $5.73, highlighting a strong medium-term recovery while short-term momentum remains capped near resistance. 🚀 Key Drivers Controlled Shareholding Structure: Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited maintains a dominant 55.21% stake, providing strong backing and limiting free-float volatility. Meanwhile, recent disclosure shows BlackRock reduced its position by 439,760 shares, while Vanguard and Geode Capital slightly increased holdings, indicating mixed
$G92.SI (G92) Momentum Coiling Near Key Pivot: Breakout Watch With Volume and RSI Signals
📊 Market Recap As of September 26, 2026, 'G92.SI' is consolidating near a critical technical juncture. While latest closing data remains limited in the provided feed, price behavior suggests a phase of contraction rather than distribution. The stock is holding above its immediate pivot zone, and the next expansion move is expected to be driven by volume confirmation. Market participants should watch whether the stock can reclaim its recent swing high and extend toward the next resistance cluster. 🚀 Key Drivers Macro Liquidity Context: Broader Asia-Pacific equity sentiment remains mixed, with regional indices showing selective strength. This environment favors range-trading strategies in small-cap and mid-cap technology names. Company-Specific Catalyst Watch: 'G92.SI' has no confirmed earni