1.86K
·
10-08
How to Hedge Against a Sudden U.S. Stock Pullback？ Spot Opportunity in Oil Futures Spreads💵
Last week’s October nonfarm payrolls report came in below market expectations overall, providing a sharp contrast to September’s exceptionally strong reading. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market now puts the probability of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s October meeting below 30%. The probability of two hikes by December has also fallen from 60% to less than 20%, suggesting that the market is gradually coming around to a more moderate Fed rate-hike path. Attention will therefore shift back to U.S.–Iran talks and developments around the U.S. midterm elections. Financial markets may subsequently price in their expectations for the election outcome. If Trump’s Republican Party falls behind, pressure on the Fed to cut rates could ease, which may be unfavorable for rate-sensitiv
TOPcheezi: That $3 spread is a decent entry, but the roll and margin swings matter more than the macro here. Clear stop rules make this setup cleaner.
1.86K
·
10-08
Webull Plunges ~20% on China Security Concerns: What's Next for the Retail Broker?
On October 7, 2026, $Webull Corp(BULL)$ experienced a sharp 19% drop, with a maximum decline of 23.32%. This unusual market activity was triggered by findings from a bipartisan congressional panel—reported by CNBC—indicating that the digital investment platform, which boasts 28 million global users, maintains structural ties to the Chinese government and poses a national security threat to the U.S. financial system. CNBC reported on Wednesday, citing a report from the U.S. House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, that the committee stated Webull's equity structure, technology, workforce, and data flows all have ties to China, and that the company therefore poses a national security risk. As a result, Webull's stock fell 20% in premar
TOPI don't buy the report at face value. CNBC plus a committee headline can move price fast, but that doesn't automatically make the core business broken
8.00K
·
10-08
US market affected by unrest @ France?
France is facing a major wave of domestic unrest driven by student-led protests across high schools and universities. The Beginning. The movement ignited in mid-September over systemic issues within the public education system. Students cited chronic teacher shortages, severely overcrowded classrooms, deteriorating infrastructure, and frustrations with overloaded academic schedules and university admissions platforms. What began as local walkouts and grievances in Paris rapidly metastasized into a nationwide youth mobilization via social media. The Escalation. By late September & early October, demonstrations evolved into systematic school blockades. Over 1,000 - 1,200 high schools and multiple major university campuses (including the Sorbonne and regional universities in Lyon, Rennes,
TOPAhhh… I didn’t know about the French unrest… i wonder how I missed that [Surprised][Doubt] Thanks for sharing 🙏
2.40K
·
10-07
$NFLX Reversal Setup, $SNDK Bear Trap, $MU Hits Sell Zone
Three very different setups, but the same focus: risk first, then reward. I’m not looking for the highest win rate on every trade. I’m looking for setups where the downside is defined and the potential upside makes the trade worth taking. $Netflix(NFLX)$ 🔄 What’s enticing here is the R. A stop below the swing low keeps the downside risk defined and relatively small. I’m not expecting a high probability of profit, but I’ll take this type of reversal setup any day when the risk is this well defined. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ 🪤 $SNDK is moving back into the bearish Institutional Sell Zone. Now we get to see whether this turns into a bear trap. The next couple of months should be interesting.
1.95K
·
10-08
NVDA, BULL, LITE, GOOG& USO Face the Distinctive Situation
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 The squeeze is on. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 2 9 tanker attacks in 6 days. Oil's reaction? 😐 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ 3 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ getting tight here! 4 BIG dogs eat $Lumentum(LITE)$ 5 $Webull Corp(BULL)$ flashing capitulation on 5x relative volume 🐂 Follow me to learn more about analysis !!!
TOPthank foryour analysis 1. Nividia -cup n handle or round bottom? what is expected? 2.USO- what is the pattern is it forming head n solder ? 3.Goog descending wedge right? wait for breakout right? 4.LITE descending triangle right with breakout right? 5.BULL what does the chart say?
1.43K
·
10-07
The Transition Story of Robo.ai (Nasdaq: AIIO) into an AI Ecosystem
Robo.ai’s transformation has improved its balance sheet and given the company a coherent position across data processing, computing, and sovereign infrastructure. However, its investment case now depends less on the accounting benefits of restructuring than on converting those complementary capabilities into sustainable margins and cash flow. In a business update of September 2026 figures, the Company reported unaudited total September revenue over US$100 million, mostly from QC Capital Limited (“QC Capital”). To round out the calendar, a full year 2026 estimate of roughly US$600 million, was based on YTD analysis. Transition milestones included QC Capitals newly developed AI-generated video and content production, Neurovia AI’s commercial application, and the three-phase industrial park b
TOPA company transformation needs revenue, leadership and time. $Robo.ai Inc(AIIO)$ appears to be working on all three, with management citing 18-24 months of liquidity.
1.50K
·
10-07
#Others Rally, Memory Doesn’t — Is This Actually Bad for Memory? Memory stocks are getting punished while the broader AI/semiconductor trade holds up. SK Hynix -6.39%. Seagate -9.18%. Western Digital -6.93%. SanDisk -2.56%. Micron -1.73%. At first glance, the message looks obvious: 👉 Supply is coming. Get out of memory. But I think the market may be overreacting. The biggest problem with the bearish argument is timing. Toshiba’s reported HDD expansion is being interpreted as a future supply shock, but bringing meaningful capacity online takes time. Analysts have also pushed back on the idea that Toshiba’s expansion suddenly creates an oversupplied market. Morgan Stanley said the selloff in Seagate and Western Digital created a buying opportunity, while other analysts argue that demand rema
TOPI’d call this a healthy rotation, not a thesis break. HBM and NAND are on very different supply paths from HDD, so lumping all memory together feels lazy.
711
·
10-08
LITE — The Highway AI Data Needs 🚀
The AI trade isn’t just about chips anymore. My Stock of the Day is $Lumentum(LITE)$ a company sitting in a less obvious but increasingly important part of the AI infrastructure chain. What does Lumentum do? Lumentum makes optical and photonic components that allow huge amounts of data to move quickly between servers, switches and data centres. Think of it this way: GPUs are the brains. Optics are the highways connecting them. As AI clusters get larger, the amount of data moving between GPUs is exploding. Traditional electrical connections become harder to scale efficiently, increasing the importance of high-speed optical technology. And LITE is already seeing that demand. Its latest quarter delivered more than $1 billion in revenue, up
TOPData demand is obvious, but CPO commercialization and cost control matter more here. Revenue popped, yet without margin clarity that AI optics story can unwind fast
3.81K
·
10-08
$MARA 20261030 8.5 PUT$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? First time having some exposure in crypto so decided to choose Mara as a start. Trying for an otm short put first as im not so confident in it yet. But seeing the downtrend recently, i think i would not mind this strike for exposure. Will see how it relstes again. 2️⃣ What's my plan from here? Wait for expiry. Keep the premiums. If it goes lower, i will probably shorr another again with the same strike as it goes closer to atm. Of assigned, so be it. Just going for a small exposure to digital gold as a small play. Do not own any cryptocurrency yet though. Only recentlt begin to look at this type of investments.
MARA PUT
10-08 03:46
US20261030 8.5
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.13 1Lot(s) | -476.92% Holding |
TOP8.5 seems reasonable for a starter setup, but I’m curious what made you pick that expiry and strike for MARA’s swings
1.24K
·
10-08
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
2.30K
·
10-08
$UOB(U11.SI)$ oh dear...big BEARISH ENGULFING. Closed below the low of the previous day as well. What is more, potential double top forming. Banks are being hard hit. Steady bom bit bit all you good traders out there.
TOPFor a bank like UOB, chart patterns feel like noise to me. Dividend consistency matters way more than a scary candle lol
453
·
10-08
$NCL.HK 20261029 44.00 PUT$ NCI is undervalued.
1.05K
·
10-08
BULL CASE FOR NBIS
This William Blair $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ ARR forecast of $71.7B is just below my absolute base case of $72.8B I laid out in August. My bull case has an ARR ~30% higher than this at $93.6B. This is where the valuation starts to get quite exciting: -> EBITDA margins will end up closer to 60% so we'll have an EBITDA forecast of $56.2B. -> A base case EBITDA multiple of ~16x (on 152% CAGR) gives us a $900B EV (extreme as doesn't model in CapEx). -> Use an EBIT approach with 30% margins which gives us $28.1B in EBIT. -> A base case EBIT multiple in the 20-24x range gives us $617B EV. Either way... I think we end up +$500B EV by 2030. Granted we'll have to deal with some chop along the way.
2.15K
·
10-08
AI Picking Chance: MSFT, IONQ, NBIS, VPG& ZETA
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some AI ideas with you! 1 $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ advanced to final stage of DARPA’s Quantum Benchmarking Initiative worth up to $300M through 2029 with management calling it a “significant vote of confidence” in its path to utility scale quantum. DARPA has already reviewed IonQ twice and is now moving to validate multiple Superion generations giving IonQ one of strongest independent validations in quantum. The interesting part is IonQ owns its U.S. foundry through SkyWater giving it direct control over fabrication and packaging as DARPA tests whether these systems can be manufactured reliably at volume. 2 $Microsoft(MSFT)$ CEO says agents ar
938
·
10-08
XAUUSD H1 Technical Analysis: Gold Consolidates with a Bearish Bias
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: (XAUUSD) H1 Chart—The market has recently been consolidating at high levels, with the center of gravity shifting slightly downward! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ After falling to around 4100, the price halted its continuous downward trend and shifted to a sideways consolidation at lower levels to form a bottom. The current price, near 4150, is right around the midline of this bottoming consolidation range that has lasted for several weeks. In the short term, it is highly likely that the price will retest the bottom support near 4113–4120. First Resistance Level: 4,152–4,155 (bull-bear dividing line, short-term weak resistance) Second Resistan
2.50K
·
10-08
$Moderna (MRNA) Surges +4.81% to $196.48: Cancer Vaccine Momentum Nears $212 High, Breakout Watch...
📊 Market Recap As of October 8, 2026, 'Moderna, Inc.' (MRNA) closed at $196.48, up +4.81% with an intraday range of $182.50 - $197.69. The stock is now within roughly 7.4% of its 52-week high of $212.22, extending a powerful rally driven by personalized mRNA cancer vaccine data. After-hours trading pushed the price to $195.79, confirming sustained bullish momentum into the next session. 🚀 Key Drivers Cancer Vaccine Catalyst: Phase 3 INTerpath-001 data for intismeran autogene (with Merck's Keytruda) continues to anchor sentiment, with full melanoma results expected on October 24. ESMO Abstracts Accepted: Three abstracts covering melanoma, pancreatic cancer, and early-stage NSCLC were accepted for the European Society for Medical Oncology congress, broadening the pipeline narrative. Analyst
2.63K
·
10-08
$AppLovin (APP) Stabilizes Near 52-Week Low: AI Ad Leader Rebounds +0.90%, Awaiting Breakout Signal
📊 Market Recap As of October 8, 2026, AppLovin Corporation ('APP') closed at $281.29, up +0.90% (+$2.51) on the day. The stock traded in a range of $269.41 – $281.34, with after-hours price at $280.99. The stock now sits just 5.4% above its 52-week low of $266.84, while remaining 61.9% below its 52-week high of $738.01, highlighting a prolonged deep correction with early signs of stabilization. 🚀 Key Drivers Lawsuit Overhang: Multiple law firms have filed securities class actions against AppLovin, alleging misleading statements about AI model improvements and generative AI video tools. The claim period covers February 12 to August 5, 2026, keeping legal uncertainty elevated. Analyst Downgrades: Morgan Stanley, Evercore ISI, and Loop Capital have recently lowered target prices, and BofA dow
1.70K
·
10-08
$Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM) Rose +0.82% to $60.01: Memory Chip Momentum Builds, Next Stop $61.22...
📊 Market Recap As of October 8, 2026, 'DRAM' closed at $60.01, up +0.82% for the session. The ETF traded between $57.74 and $60.33, with an amplitude of 4.36%. The closing price sits roughly 26.2% below its 52-week high of $81.34, but remains firmly above its 52-week low of $26.14. After-hours trading pushed the price to $60.05, suggesting sustained buying interest into the evening session. 🚀 Key Drivers Memory Sector Sentiment: As a dedicated memory ETF, 'DRAM' benefits from the broader semiconductor upcycle, with AI-driven demand continuing to support DRAM and NAND pricing expectations. Capital Rotation into Chips: Despite short-term outflows, the five-day capital flow data shows intermittent large-order buying, indicating institutional accumulation attempts near the $55–$58 support zone
1.32K
·
10-08
$Alibaba(BABA) Slides -2.07% to $107.00: Chinese ADR Retreats as Key Support Holds, Rebound Setup...
📊 Market Recap As of the latest US session, 'BABA' closed at $107.00, down -2.07% from the prior close of $109.26. The stock opened at $106.755 and traded in a narrow range between $106.26 and $107.42, with daily amplitude of just 1.06%. Volume reached 6.99 million shares with a volume ratio of 0.90, indicating mild selling pressure rather than panic distribution. The closing price sits approximately 43% below its 52-week high of $188.66, while remaining about 16% above the 52-week low of $91.99. The stock is currently consolidating below a short-term resistance zone near $115.84 while defending immediate support around $104.87. 🚀 Key Drivers US Treasury Yield Surge: The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 5.365%, hitting its highest level since 2002, pressuring US-listed Chinese ADRs and gr
1.89K
·
10-08
$Coherent (COHR) Pulls Back -1.12%: AI Optics Giant Consolidates After Hitting $338, $369 Resista...
📊 Market Recap As of October 8, 2026, 'COHR' closed at $334.56, down -1.12% on the day. The stock tested an intraday high of $338.36 but failed to hold gains, settling roughly 24% below its 52-week high of $440.00. The daily range of $316.85 to $338.36 reflects a 6.36% amplitude, suggesting a sharp intraday battle between bulls and bears. Despite the pullback, 'COHR' remains in a strong medium-term uptrend, with the latest pullback appearing to be a healthy consolidation rather than a structural breakdown. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Optics Demand: 'COHR' continues to benefit from surging demand for high-speed optical transceivers used in AI data centers, keeping medium-term growth expectations elevated. Macro Yield Pressure: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed above 5.365%, its highest since 200