Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 I think its wild how much the market is overreacting to $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ raising annual capex by $15B to $200B and posting its first negative FCF quarter since 2005 Few companies are more trustworthy with that investment than one that's generated an average ROIC of ~37% over that period 2 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is expected to nearly triple annual revenue to more than $100B by 2028 as MI450 and Helios drive the next phase of data center growth. That ramp could establish Instinct as a credible second source at scale as inference demand expands enough to support multiple winners. 3
AEHR& FLNC: Two Names I Think People Need to Understand More
Two names I think people need to understand more: 1. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$: -> Now given back nearly all of earnings gain (which was +40%). -> So many names map back to $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ -> Guiding for $140M (midpoint) which is ~170% growth from FY26 expected revenue for 20x sales. -> Not cheap...but certainly a big opportunity when you take into account $100M backlog too. 2. $Fluence Energy, Inc.(FLNC)$: -> Now given back more than the Q1 earnings jump -> FY26 revenue guidance is $3.2B - $3.6B and the current MC is $2.5B. -> And then there's $5.6B in backlog which DOES NOT include the hyperscaler p
When AI bears look at the low multiples $SK hynix(SKHY)$, $Micron Technology(MU)$, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ and Samsung then the response is usually some version of “earnings multiples are meaningless for cyclical companies at peak demand and peak margins.” The reason these suppliers trade at such low multiples is precisely because the market already assumes today’s earnings are temporary... people aren't valuing current margins as permanent so the debate is really about duration. If earnings peak this year and begin collapsing shortly afterward then the low multiples are traps and I agree with the bears but if supply re
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Dot-Com Bubble ain't got nothin on this $Cisco(CSCO)$ 2 Leopold favorite Bloom Energy $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ nearing potential support after 5 consecutive red weeks, now down nearly -50% from all-time highs 3 Ding Ding Ding 🔔 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ just crossed below its 200 day EMA yet again 👀 4 Sitting on the fibs + backed by Jensen? You have my attention... $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 5 $Lumentum(LITE)$ pulling off the street high for the fir
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideasi with you! 1 $Intel(INTC)$ earns its victory lap after a quarter that beats expectations across revenue, margins, earnings, manufacturing execution and guidance. Agentic AI is creating a second growth curve for server CPUs because every accelerator requires significant general-purpose compute around it giving Intel immediate exposure through its large server market share. That opportunity also extends into purpose-built silicon and advanced packaging allowing Intel to benefit from custom AI processors even when it does not control the accelerator itself. 2 $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is the most profitable company in the world
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I always take what Elon says with a pinch of salt but directionally he's been correct almost every time. Here's what he's saying on the robotics future: 1. Reinforced Optimus will be potentially the biggest product ever. -> Optimus 3 targets 1M units/year -> Optimus 4 targets 10M units/year Think of the numbers on that in terms of potential revenue: Assuming ~$30k value and selling all units (very broad assumption): -> Optimus 3 = $30B/year -> Optimus 4 = $300B/year Longer term remember Elon calls the revenue potential "north of $10 trillion." Probably early. Very early. But directionally he's consistently correct and this has to give you some confidence in the robotics future:
Robotics is moving so fast...here's some of the data from the last couple months: 1. Morgan Stanley put their TAM to $25T by 2050 (humanoid market at $5T). 2. We've had the first way to publicly invest in humanoids through $Churchill Capital Corp XI(CCXI)$. -> On that point, Agility uses ~75% US sourced parts (very bullish). 3. Private market deals have already topped $23B in 2026. -> Saronic: $1.75B raise -> Apptronik: $935M raise -> Figure AI: $39B valuation -> Neura Robotics: $1.4B raise The public markets haven't caught up to what's happening in the private markets yet. 4. Morgan Stanley put out a report forecasting a 300x growth in the bearings market by 2050. 5.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Still chillin' in the handle 👀 $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 2 $Oracle(ORCL)$ is now just $1 away from hitting its lowest price since June 2024 🌶️ Burry is still holding half his original short position. 3 Starting to get interesting near the 52wk lows 👀 $Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ 4 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 🚨 Google just closed below its 200-day simple moving average for the first time in over a year. The stock now trades at its cheapest valuation since September 2025. 5
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Cathie Wood says $SpaceX(SPCX)$ could become “the most important company in global history” by combining launch, Starlink and AI infrastructure She believes its orbital and Earth based data centers could support some of the world’s lowest cost frontier AI models 2 $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is providing one of the clearest answers yet to whether hyperscalers are building profitable AI businesses or simply spending enormous amounts of money to defend their positions. Google Cloud grew 82% while producing a nearly 36% operating margin showing that AI infrastructure can generate pretty insane returns. That performanc
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! Just as bullish on $Ouster Inc.(OUST)$ today at $40, as I was at ~$23 (my average cost). A reminder on how I see it at $180+ -> $950M in revenue by 2030 (41% CAGR which is just above managements midpoint guidance). -> 35% EBITDA margins on $950M in revenue gives you $333M in EBITDA. -> $Cognex(CGNX)$ traded at 33x NTM EBITDA (on lower margins and lower growth). -> Give $Ouster Inc.(OUST)$ a 38x NTM EBITDA and we have an EV of $12.65B. > Add in $250M in net cash -> 78.6M shares would be 4% dilution from today to 2030 which I think is
NOW, TSLA, GOOG, CHGG& STM Suffer Pain or Just Wait Recovery?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $STMicroelectronics NV(STM)$ Q2 Earnings: Crushed 🔥 Adj. EPS: $0.31 vs $0.27 est REV: $3.487B vs $3.379B est Gross Margin 34.8% Operating Income $187M Net Income $222M CEO: "We anticipate a revenue growth acceleration in Q4, mainly driven by our engaged customer programs in AI datacenters and LEO satellite communication." 2 If you invested 1 MILLION dollars into Chegg stock $Chegg(CHGG)$ just before the release of ChatGPT... You wouldn't even have enough to afford a used Honda Civic today. Absolutely brutal 🩸 3 Now it gets interesting 👀 $Alphabet(G
Moonshot AI eyes $50 billion valuation, Hong Kong IPO after Kimi K3 breakthrough
Moonshot is preparing to begin discussions in August for a final round of fundraising before a Hong Kong initial public offering, targeting a valuation of as much as $50 billion, according to a report from Bloomberg News. The speed with which the Beijing-based lab is tapping capital markets highlights immense investor fervor for a startup that has fundamentally upended the narrative that Chinese AI technology hopelessly lags behind American systems. $MINIMAX-W(00100)$ Chinese tech firms are known to raise capital at a velocity that is near-unparalleled in the US—particularly when they are dominating headlines. Moonshot is demonstrating exactly that playbook. According to Bloomberg, the company is expected to close a financing roun
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 Kimi K3 is too large to run efficiently on a single accelerator so the workload must be distributed across many chips that exchange data at extremely high speeds. $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ and $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ benefit from the high speed connectivity inside AI clusters while $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ provide the networking, optical and custom silicon infrastructure required to scale them. Thats why inference constraints are bullish for the
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 $Frequency Electronics(FEIM)$ is nearly back at highs after the space / high beta sell off. Reminder: Set to hit $150M in revenue by FY29 which means it's growing ~32% CAGR over the next 3 years. Whilst trading at 8x sales vs a company like $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ at 32x sales. Again, not making the claim that $Frequency Electronics(FEIM)$ should trade in line with $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ but for similar growth forecasts, I'm not sure the difference should in multiple for be fo
SMCI, HOOD, ONDS, SLV& SPY Enjoy Great Reversal Here?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 The longer the squeeze... 🍋 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 It's been a minute since Silver showed some signs of life 👀 $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ 3 The past 3 trading days on $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ are the top 3 most active trading days in the company's history. In other words, each of the last 3 trading days saw more volume than was ever previously recorded in a single session. The market is taking notice as the stock sits -30% YTD. 4 Another insider snipe in the books 📚 $Robinho
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you! 1 UBS says $Micron Technology(MU)$ could repurchase more than 40% of its shares by the end of 2028 once its buyback restriction expires in December 2026. The firm expects Micron to generate over $400B in free cash flow through 2028 which could fund the repurchases at current prices. 2 $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is developing a new AI chip called “Frozen v2” that could run Gemini models nearly 10x more efficiently than its latest TPUs. The chip is targeted for 2028 and would hardwire parts of Gemini to improve speed and efficiency while easing Google’s compute constraints. 3
$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ is broken and the AI CPU trade is over At least that’s what the market is pricing after a 46% crash in three weeks. There’s just one problem: the chip everyone is selling hasn’t shipped a single unit yet. 453 to 243 in four weeks. Downgrades, valuation calls, ETF outflows, every bear argument hit at once. But look where the selling stopped: $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ is backtesting its breakout zone just above 189, the level that capped this stock for two years before the breakout. Price has held it so far. Growth Catalyst The core business is compounding while the new one loads. $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ closed
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Houston... we have a problem $SpaceX(SPCX)$ 2 A trader today placed a massive $10,000,000 bet on $SK hynix(SKHY)$, buying calls & betting that the company makes another push higher this summer 👀 The contracts expire in 2 months with a breakeven of ~$190 / share 3 So far so good... for Burry that is $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 4 $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ just saw record daily trading volume on back-to-back days, at the lows, with MACD nearing a bull cross... 👀🌶️ 5 You don't have to do th
Trading Ideas: How to be the Winner in the Market?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Inflation in June Was Lower Than Anticipated. Could That Support a New Crypto Bull Market? According to Consumer Price Index (CPI) data published in mid-July, inflation in June fell 0.4% for the month and was 3.5% annualized, the largest monthly decline since April 2020. For $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ holders down 49% from October 2025's all-time high, that readout was a breath of fresh air. One print isn't going to kick off a new crypto bull market on its own. But it's still a step forward in fulfilling some of the preconditions for one, so let's take a closer look at how this might affect the market. The mechanics of a market turn Every recent crypto bull marke
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 I think its wild how much the market is overreacting to $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ raising annual capex by $15B to $200B and posting its first negative FCF quarter since 2005 Few companies are more trustworthy with that investment than one that's generated an average ROIC of ~37% over that period 2 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is expected to nearly triple annual revenue to more than $100B by 2028 as MI450 and Helios drive the next phase of data center growth. That ramp could establish Instinct as a credible second source at scale as inference demand expands enough to support multiple winners. 3
AEHR& FLNC: Two Names I Think People Need to Understand More
Two names I think people need to understand more: 1. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$: -> Now given back nearly all of earnings gain (which was +40%). -> So many names map back to $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ -> Guiding for $140M (midpoint) which is ~170% growth from FY26 expected revenue for 20x sales. -> Not cheap...but certainly a big opportunity when you take into account $100M backlog too. 2. $Fluence Energy, Inc.(FLNC)$: -> Now given back more than the Q1 earnings jump -> FY26 revenue guidance is $3.2B - $3.6B and the current MC is $2.5B. -> And then there's $5.6B in backlog which DOES NOT include the hyperscaler p
When AI bears look at the low multiples $SK hynix(SKHY)$, $Micron Technology(MU)$, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ and Samsung then the response is usually some version of “earnings multiples are meaningless for cyclical companies at peak demand and peak margins.” The reason these suppliers trade at such low multiples is precisely because the market already assumes today’s earnings are temporary... people aren't valuing current margins as permanent so the debate is really about duration. If earnings peak this year and begin collapsing shortly afterward then the low multiples are traps and I agree with the bears but if supply re
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Dot-Com Bubble ain't got nothin on this $Cisco(CSCO)$ 2 Leopold favorite Bloom Energy $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ nearing potential support after 5 consecutive red weeks, now down nearly -50% from all-time highs 3 Ding Ding Ding 🔔 $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ just crossed below its 200 day EMA yet again 👀 4 Sitting on the fibs + backed by Jensen? You have my attention... $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 5 $Lumentum(LITE)$ pulling off the street high for the fir
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideasi with you! 1 $Intel(INTC)$ earns its victory lap after a quarter that beats expectations across revenue, margins, earnings, manufacturing execution and guidance. Agentic AI is creating a second growth curve for server CPUs because every accelerator requires significant general-purpose compute around it giving Intel immediate exposure through its large server market share. That opportunity also extends into purpose-built silicon and advanced packaging allowing Intel to benefit from custom AI processors even when it does not control the accelerator itself. 2 $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is the most profitable company in the world
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Still chillin' in the handle 👀 $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 2 $Oracle(ORCL)$ is now just $1 away from hitting its lowest price since June 2024 🌶️ Burry is still holding half his original short position. 3 Starting to get interesting near the 52wk lows 👀 $Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ 4 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 🚨 Google just closed below its 200-day simple moving average for the first time in over a year. The stock now trades at its cheapest valuation since September 2025. 5
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I always take what Elon says with a pinch of salt but directionally he's been correct almost every time. Here's what he's saying on the robotics future: 1. Reinforced Optimus will be potentially the biggest product ever. -> Optimus 3 targets 1M units/year -> Optimus 4 targets 10M units/year Think of the numbers on that in terms of potential revenue: Assuming ~$30k value and selling all units (very broad assumption): -> Optimus 3 = $30B/year -> Optimus 4 = $300B/year Longer term remember Elon calls the revenue potential "north of $10 trillion." Probably early. Very early. But directionally he's consistently correct and this has to give you some confidence in the robotics future:
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Cathie Wood says $SpaceX(SPCX)$ could become “the most important company in global history” by combining launch, Starlink and AI infrastructure She believes its orbital and Earth based data centers could support some of the world’s lowest cost frontier AI models 2 $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is providing one of the clearest answers yet to whether hyperscalers are building profitable AI businesses or simply spending enormous amounts of money to defend their positions. Google Cloud grew 82% while producing a nearly 36% operating margin showing that AI infrastructure can generate pretty insane returns. That performanc
Robotics is moving so fast...here's some of the data from the last couple months: 1. Morgan Stanley put their TAM to $25T by 2050 (humanoid market at $5T). 2. We've had the first way to publicly invest in humanoids through $Churchill Capital Corp XI(CCXI)$. -> On that point, Agility uses ~75% US sourced parts (very bullish). 3. Private market deals have already topped $23B in 2026. -> Saronic: $1.75B raise -> Apptronik: $935M raise -> Figure AI: $39B valuation -> Neura Robotics: $1.4B raise The public markets haven't caught up to what's happening in the private markets yet. 4. Morgan Stanley put out a report forecasting a 300x growth in the bearings market by 2050. 5.
NOW, TSLA, GOOG, CHGG& STM Suffer Pain or Just Wait Recovery?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $STMicroelectronics NV(STM)$ Q2 Earnings: Crushed 🔥 Adj. EPS: $0.31 vs $0.27 est REV: $3.487B vs $3.379B est Gross Margin 34.8% Operating Income $187M Net Income $222M CEO: "We anticipate a revenue growth acceleration in Q4, mainly driven by our engaged customer programs in AI datacenters and LEO satellite communication." 2 If you invested 1 MILLION dollars into Chegg stock $Chegg(CHGG)$ just before the release of ChatGPT... You wouldn't even have enough to afford a used Honda Civic today. Absolutely brutal 🩸 3 Now it gets interesting 👀 $Alphabet(G
Moonshot AI eyes $50 billion valuation, Hong Kong IPO after Kimi K3 breakthrough
Moonshot is preparing to begin discussions in August for a final round of fundraising before a Hong Kong initial public offering, targeting a valuation of as much as $50 billion, according to a report from Bloomberg News. The speed with which the Beijing-based lab is tapping capital markets highlights immense investor fervor for a startup that has fundamentally upended the narrative that Chinese AI technology hopelessly lags behind American systems. $MINIMAX-W(00100)$ Chinese tech firms are known to raise capital at a velocity that is near-unparalleled in the US—particularly when they are dominating headlines. Moonshot is demonstrating exactly that playbook. According to Bloomberg, the company is expected to close a financing roun
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! Just as bullish on $Ouster Inc.(OUST)$ today at $40, as I was at ~$23 (my average cost). A reminder on how I see it at $180+ -> $950M in revenue by 2030 (41% CAGR which is just above managements midpoint guidance). -> 35% EBITDA margins on $950M in revenue gives you $333M in EBITDA. -> $Cognex(CGNX)$ traded at 33x NTM EBITDA (on lower margins and lower growth). -> Give $Ouster Inc.(OUST)$ a 38x NTM EBITDA and we have an EV of $12.65B. > Add in $250M in net cash -> 78.6M shares would be 4% dilution from today to 2030 which I think is
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 Kimi K3 is too large to run efficiently on a single accelerator so the workload must be distributed across many chips that exchange data at extremely high speeds. $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ and $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ benefit from the high speed connectivity inside AI clusters while $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ provide the networking, optical and custom silicon infrastructure required to scale them. Thats why inference constraints are bullish for the
SMCI, HOOD, ONDS, SLV& SPY Enjoy Great Reversal Here?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 The longer the squeeze... 🍋 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 It's been a minute since Silver showed some signs of life 👀 $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ 3 The past 3 trading days on $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ are the top 3 most active trading days in the company's history. In other words, each of the last 3 trading days saw more volume than was ever previously recorded in a single session. The market is taking notice as the stock sits -30% YTD. 4 Another insider snipe in the books 📚 $Robinho
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 $Frequency Electronics(FEIM)$ is nearly back at highs after the space / high beta sell off. Reminder: Set to hit $150M in revenue by FY29 which means it's growing ~32% CAGR over the next 3 years. Whilst trading at 8x sales vs a company like $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ at 32x sales. Again, not making the claim that $Frequency Electronics(FEIM)$ should trade in line with $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ but for similar growth forecasts, I'm not sure the difference should in multiple for be fo
Trading Ideas: How to be the Winner in the Market?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 Inflation in June Was Lower Than Anticipated. Could That Support a New Crypto Bull Market? According to Consumer Price Index (CPI) data published in mid-July, inflation in June fell 0.4% for the month and was 3.5% annualized, the largest monthly decline since April 2020. For $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ holders down 49% from October 2025's all-time high, that readout was a breath of fresh air. One print isn't going to kick off a new crypto bull market on its own. But it's still a step forward in fulfilling some of the preconditions for one, so let's take a closer look at how this might affect the market. The mechanics of a market turn Every recent crypto bull marke
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you~ 1 Economists on AI-infused future: "We must act now" A new statement signed by hundreds of prominent economists shows how some leading thinkers see the opportunities and risks of artificial intelligence. The debate it has triggered sheds light on perhaps the most crucial economic question of our age. The big picture: AI — and the positive and negative disruptions it will cause — is emerging as a seismic question for the economic future. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ That part, everybody can agree on. Less settled is how society should grapple with that fact. Driving the news: The statement, titled "We Must Act Now," was organized by Stanford's Erik Brynjolfsson and other leading e
AI Stories: Why you Shoud not Escalate from AI Wave?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some investing stories with you! 1 If you bought Bitcoin when Cathie Wood did, here's what you have today Most people who talk about Bitcoin missed it. Cathie Wood is not one of them. The ARK Invest CEO disclosed in a 2022 podcast interview with Peter McCormack that she bought $100,000 worth of Bitcoin personally, at around $250 per coin, after reading the Satoshi white paper. She has never sold a single coin. That disclosure landed at a time when Bitcoin was hovering around $19,000. It reads very differently today. The calculation At $250 per coin, a $100,000 investment bought exactly 400 BTC. That is a straightforward number. Today, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $63,020. Those 400 coins are worth just over $25.2 million. A return of more than 2
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Houston... we have a problem $SpaceX(SPCX)$ 2 A trader today placed a massive $10,000,000 bet on $SK hynix(SKHY)$, buying calls & betting that the company makes another push higher this summer 👀 The contracts expire in 2 months with a breakeven of ~$190 / share 3 So far so good... for Burry that is $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 4 $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ just saw record daily trading volume on back-to-back days, at the lows, with MACD nearing a bull cross... 👀🌶️ 5 You don't have to do th