I think gold could be a strong choice during a recession, especially with Goldman Sachs forecasting a year-end price of $3,700 and UBS at $3,500, with potential to hit $4,500. Gold has historically been a safe-haven asset, making it a good hedge against inflation and volatility in uncertain times like these.
However, I'm also weighing other economic factors. A recession might drive gold prices higher, but interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and central bank policies—like recent reserve ratio cuts—could also impact its appeal. Gold thrives in low-rate environments, so I'm watching these trends closely before deciding.
Ultimately, I see gold as a solid option but wouldn't go all-in. Diversifying with bonds or defensive stocks seems prudent, though I'm considering adding some gold to my portfolio, possibly through ETFs, given its recent upward trend. I'll keep monitoring the market closely.
$SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust(GLDM)$
$Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF(AAAU)$
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