By this time in 2026, I believe the S&P 500 will be higher than today but driven more by earnings reality than pure multiple expansion, rewarding patience rather than hype. The themes I’m most optimistic about in 2026 are AI infrastructure and enablers (chips, networking, data platforms) and drone and aerospace stocks, because real demand, defense spending, logistics, and autonomous applications are shifting from stories into sustained, funded growth. My promise to myself for 2026 is simple: respect risk first, never chase parabolic moves, and focus on steady, repeatable returns instead of trying to be right all the time. @Tiger_chat @TigerStars
If I could only hold ONE of these stocks through 2026, I’d pick AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ . Among all ten names, AMD sits closest to the core of the AI infrastructure value chain, where long-term capex visibility, strategic importance, and scalable growth intersect most clearly. AMD is no longer just a CPU/GPU challenger. The OpenAI partnership is strong ecosystem validation, and its MI300/MI400 roadmap positions it as the only real alternative to NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ in AI accelerators and servers. As hyperscalers and sovereign AI projects diversify suppliers, AMD benefits from structural demand rather than a short cycle. Most importantly, AMD offers balance: broad AI exposure, improving margi
From my perspective, crypto isn’t running out of time, but it is running out of political certainty. The single most important variable in the next year is U.S. liquidity and policy execution, not narratives. The CLARITY Act matters less for symbolism and more as proof that pro-crypto rhetoric can translate into durable regulation. The broken 4-year Bitcoin cycle confirms a regime shift, not structural weakness. Bitcoin has evolved from a supply-shock trade into a liquidity-driven asset, reacting more to real rates, ETF flows, and dollar liquidity than halvings. Sideways or corrective p
I see this market cap flip between Google and Apple as more than just a one-day headline, but I don't think it's a definitive regime change yet either. Alphabet overtaking Apple reflects how strongly investors are currently rewarding visible AI execution, especially when it's already translating into product upgrades, monetization pathways, and cloud demand. In contrast, Apple's AI story still feels more implied than proven, which matters in a market that's laser-focused on near-term AI winners. What stands out to me is how aggressively Alphabet $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ has embedded AI across its ecosystem. Search, YouTube, Workspace, and Google Cloud are all being reshaped with generative AI at the core, and managem
I view the recent 3% drop in silver $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $E-mini Silver - main 2603(QImain)$ largely through the lens of BCOM's annual rebalancing, which runs from Jan 9–15. TD Securities' estimate of US$7.7B in potential silver selling, roughly 13% of COMEX open interest, sounds dramatic, but to me this looks mostly mechanical rather than a sudden deterioration in fundamentals. Index-driven flows tend to distort prices in the short term, especially in markets like silver that are relatively thinner than gold. That said, I don't underestimate the near-term downside risk. When selling is concentrated into a tight window, price action can overshoot, regardless of funda
My focus today is $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ , which surged nearly 20% intraday after Trump proposed a US$500 billion increase in U.S. military spending. While the news lifted the entire defense sector, I find it telling that money quickly rotated into drone & advanced defense technology names, signaling expectations of a more tech-focused military expansion. From a thematic standpoint, Ondas is well aligned with the shift toward unmanned systems, surveillance & autonomous warfare. The market isn’t just reacting to bigger budgets, but also to a change in spending priorities that favors next-generation capabilities where smaller, innovative players can
From my perspective, Intel's 18A debut at CES is a real milestone, not just a marketing moment. For years, the bear case on Intel centered on execution risk and manufacturing credibility, and seeing 18A reach large-scale production with tangible performance gains directly addresses that concern. The market's reaction makes sense because this is about restoring trust in Intel's roadmap, not just launching another PC chip. That said, I'm cautiously bullish $Intel(INTC)$ rather than outright aggressive at current levels. Around $40, a meaningful portion of the 18A optimism and CES buzz is already priced in. Intel still needs to prove that yields, volumes, and customer adoption can scale smoothly through 2026. If e
From my point of view, this market cap flip between Alphabet $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ and Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ is more than just a short-term sentiment swing. It reflects how investors are increasingly pricing in AI execution, not just brand strength or ecosystem lock-in. Alphabet has made AI central to its business model across search, cloud, and enterprise productivity, and the market is starting to reward that clarity and speed. What stands out to me is that Google's AI push is not a single-product story. It's embedded into revenue-generating engines—search monetization, cloud workloads, and developer tools—where AI can directly i
From my perspective, the strong January start in 2026 is an encouraging signal, but not a guarantee. The "January effect" works more as a sentiment and momentum indicator than a forecasting tool. A positive January usually tells me risk appetite is alive and liquidity conditions are supportive, yet the real determinant for the rest of the year will still be earnings delivery and macro stability, not seasonality alone. For U.S. equities, I don't automatically assume another straight-line double-digit rally. Valuations are no longer cheap, especially for mega-cap tech, and the market has already priced in a lot of optimism around AI, rate cuts, and soft-landing narratives. I think the U.S. can still post positive returns in 2026, but the path is likely to be more volatile and more selective