$S&P 500(.SPX)$ In the previous Weekly Compass, the outlook for the week that just ended included the possibility of a dip to $5,513 followed by a bounce. This was based on two indecisive daily candles highlighted in the chart below, situated near the 200-day moving average, with overbought fast oscillators and a gap at $5,581.
The subsequent days saw the formation of more indecisive candles, including one on Wednesday that experienced a rapid flush and bounce, filling the gap and ultimately closing in the green despite the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates unchanged. The final outcome for the week did not reach $5,513, which was bullish, but it stayed essentially flat which suggests exhaustion and the need of a consolidation.
The bullish conviction posted last week was supported by a study of previous comparable events, documented on Wednesday, which outlined specific expectations for the following 1, 3, and 6 months.
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