SmartReversals
SmartReversals
I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
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02-05 13:06

Key Technical Inflection Points Are Forming in $AAPL $MSFT $JPM

While broader indices remain volatile, these three megacaps are reaching critical technical levels. Overbought conditions in $AAPL$, extreme oversold signals in $MSFT$, and relative strength in $JPM$ highlight how stock selection is driving returns in a fragmented market. 1. $Apple(AAPL)$ The conditions that triggered the latest sell-off are in place once again: the upper Bollinger Band has been breached and the oscillator is overbought. The conviction of this rally will be tested; usually, this combination leads to a consolidation or pullback. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ It has been a dramatic selloff since the breach of the upper Bollinger Band in October. The last time the price was this oversold, we saw a "d
Key Technical Inflection Points Are Forming in $AAPL $MSFT $JPM
avatarSmartReversals
02-05 13:01

The AI Capital Arms Race Is On $META $MSFT $TSLA

The 2026 market landscape is being redefined by a stark divergence between capital-intensive infrastructure builders and rapid-adoption software leaders. The AI Capital Arms Race $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ have launched a historic capital arms race, with META guiding for up to $135 billion in 2026 capex to power its nuclear-backed “Prometheus” supercluster, while MSFT leverages a massive $250 billion cloud commitment from OpenAI to drive 39% Azure growth. Conversely, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is funding its own $20 billion move into AI and robotics through record energy storage margins, effectively using its utility business to subsidize its ne
The AI Capital Arms Race Is On $META $MSFT $TSLA
avatarSmartReversals
02-04 09:05

Market Moves: $SPX, $BRK.B, $NDX Show Key Support and Resistance Signals

This week, major indices and blue-chip stocks are testing critical support and resistance levels, signaling potential short-term shifts and trade setups. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ As mentioned yesterday, the indecisive candle in the 4H timeframe had an encrypted message. The first bearish target of the week was reached, while $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ continue reaching bullish targets posted in the Weekly Compass🎯. 2. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ The bullish reversal was anticipated in my S/R levels edition as early as Friday afternoon; a cons
Market Moves: $SPX, $BRK.B, $NDX Show Key Support and Resistance Signals

Market Bounce in Focus: SPX Holds, AAPL Reverses, PLTR Reacts

Markets delivered an unexpected bounce, improving the broader bullish structure while creating short-term opportunity. AAPL executed a clean bullish reversal, while PLTR’s earnings reaction is attempting to reclaim critical levels. SPX remains constructive, though today’s indecisive action keeps near-term direction in question. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The price bounced against the expectation, that's good for the long term bullish thesis, and interesting for the short term. Let's keep an eye on the indecisive afternoon candle. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Bullish reversal well timed, and the high probability setup paid off in a single day. The price moved quickly from volume shelf to volume shelf. Consolidation is lik
Market Bounce in Focus: SPX Holds, AAPL Reverses, PLTR Reacts

Market at a Technical Turning Point $META $AAPL $NDX $NVDA

Momentum is diverging across key names. $META strength has played out, $AAPL is attempting a confirmed reversal, while broader tech ($NDX, $NVDA) shows signs of exhaustion and rising pullback risk. Selectivity matters here. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Premium Subscribers received the blueprint one week ahead of the move: “Bullish targeting $683 (+3.8%), with a target extension of $708 (+7.5%). Risk management reference: $641” The move happened🎯, and the weekly compass provides updated coordinates for next week👇. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Last week I flagged high odds for a bullish reversal. That reversal is now confirmed. High volume on Friday’s bullish candle is promising, leaving the 100DMA as the primary hu
Market at a Technical Turning Point $META $AAPL $NDX $NVDA

Market Inflection Point $SPX $NDX $SMH $VIX $META $MSFT $AMZN $IWM

The market has reached a critical inflection point. While the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ successfully tagged our weekly target of $6,970 and briefly touched $7,000, the technicals now signal exhaustion. We are witnessing a distinct rotation: capital is flowing out of overextended sectors like Technology ( $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ ) and Semiconductors ( $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ ) and moving into the 'Real Economy', Consumer Staples, Financials, and defensive plays. With the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiking as anticipated and Bitcoin (BTC)signaling risk-aversion, the 'easy mode' of a broad rally is over. Success next week will d
Market Inflection Point $SPX $NDX $SMH $VIX $META $MSFT $AMZN $IWM

Bearish Signals Align Across $SPX $NDX $SMH & $AAPL

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ bearish Stochastic crossovers have been consistent precursors to pullbacks of varying magnitudes, with very few instances of invalidation. The index has just confirmed a new bearish crossover, suggesting market turbulence in the week and potentially month ahead. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ : Last week we studied the relevance of shooting stars and overbought RSI as individual conditions that preceded pullbacks. The recent selloff validates the power of two bearish conditions combined. The move may continue toward $250.
Bearish Signals Align Across $SPX $NDX $SMH & $AAPL

Volatility Returns: GLD & SLV Collapse, While META, MSFT, AMZN Beat a Flat Market

Friday’s session featured dramatic volatility in commodities and divergent reactions to corporate earnings. Precious metals suffered a sharp correction following their record run, with $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ plunging -10% and $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ collapsing -29%. This historic selloff hammered the materials sector ( $Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLB)$ ), which fell -1.5% to finish as the day’s worst performer sector following the -2.04% selloff in technology ( $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ ). Corporate earnings delivered mixed results. $Verizon(VZ)$ surged nearly
Volatility Returns: GLD & SLV Collapse, While META, MSFT, AMZN Beat a Flat Market

SPX 7,000 Reached, Then Faded: Where the Money Actually Moved

U.S. equities finished the midweek session essentially flat, marked by a historic intraday move in which the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ briefly crossed the 7,000 level for the first time. The benchmark index ultimately faded to settle unchanged like the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ , and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ gained 0.32%. Market participants digested the Federal Reserve’s widely expected decision to hold interest rates steady. The S&P 500 remained muted not only today but also throughout November and December, showing net moves of just 0.13% and 0.05% respectively. As mentioned weeks ago, the real opportunities right now are found in individual names rather than th
SPX 7,000 Reached, Then Faded: Where the Money Actually Moved

ORCL Breakout Triggered: First Bullish Target Hit

$Oracle(ORCL)$ : Price action suggests a breakout is now in play. The first bullish target for the week (posted in the premium chat) has already been reached. Get the key levels for monitoring continued momentum. Link in my bio. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Ethereum: Make or break - A bounce is very probable here considering the breach of the lower Bollinger band, and the oversold Stochastic. Spikes have followed as highlighted. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as w
ORCL Breakout Triggered: First Bullish Target Hit

$SPX Rallies $ORCL Breaks Out & $META Eyes $660

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$Positive resolution following two days of consolidation. The ideal completion of this move would be a test of the upper Bollinger Band, synchronized with an overbought Stochastic, mirroring the recent price action highlighted. 2. $Oracle(ORCL)$Price action suggests a breakout is now in play. The first bullish target for the week (posted in the premium chat) has already been reached.Get the key levels for monitoring continued momentum. Link in my bio. 3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$META bounced toward the critical $660 monthly zone. With a gap below at $618.2 and above at $741, the daily oscillator isn't overbought, leaving room for bullish c
$SPX Rallies $ORCL Breaks Out & $META Eyes $660

SPY at 20DMA, AVGO Bearish but Bounce Possible

1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The diagonal trendline was breached, confirming the MACD crossover posted last week. After bouncing from short-term oversold conditions on Wednesday, the price filled the 'bullish' gap and is now at the 20DMA with two indecisive candles. $685 will be decisive next week. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The series of lower highs and higher lows had a bearish resolution. However, see that dragonfly at the very edge of the volume shelf. Don't rule out a bounce. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
SPY at 20DMA, AVGO Bearish but Bounce Possible

Navigating Earnings Waters - Week Ahead

U.S. stocks concluded a very volatile week with divergent performance, as strength in mega-cap technology shares counterbalanced broad-based weakness elsewhere. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ finished -0.35% for the week, the Nasdaq Composite $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 0.3% for the week, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ retreated 0.6%. Investor sentiment remains anchored in neutral territory, with the Fear & Greed Index reading 52. The bearish move anticipated last week played out exactly as expected. The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ hit its 20-week moving average with a -2.3% move, the
Navigating Earnings Waters - Week Ahead

NVDA Tests $185 as AAPL Nears Oversold Bounce

1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA finished the week with a lower high and a shooting star. Tuesday’s selloff breached key moving averages. $185 is the key level to watch: a breach would validate the bearish star, while holding it could spark a bounce given the oversold oscillator highlighted. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Is the selloff a surprise? Not at all, overbought oscillators and indecisive candles warned. The price has scaled down since. Today, we have indecisive candles and oversold oscillators. Bulls will have a spike soon, the question is how sustainable it’ll be. Watching: $254. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and
NVDA Tests $185 as AAPL Nears Oversold Bounce

NDX Bounces, IWM Reverses — Tech Rotation?

1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ NDX breached its lower Bollinger Band, the bounce makes perfect sense considering previous occurrences highlighted, the Stochastic curling up adds a technical milestone to the setup. Price action was indecisive on Friday but it managed to close above the 20DMA, also positive 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Bearish reversal again. The latest price action was a clear follow-through of Thursday's shooting star. With an overbought RSI suggesting the move isn't over and a breach of the 5DMA, this looks like a very weak setup for next week. Rotation back to tech? For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on
NDX Bounces, IWM Reverses — Tech Rotation?

Why Risk Management Wins When Direction Gets Tough

This past week was a key stress test for our Support and Resistance levels. It was a week characterized by a major move where the market finally reversed as anticipated in the Weekly Compass where I noted: “a breach of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Central Weekly Level (CWL) is the expectation” and for $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ it was anticipated: “the 20 weekly average is the likely target”. We anticipated the bearish direction, with NDX, $Apple(AAPL)$ , and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ all hitting their respective downside targets using the levels for this week (dropping -2.3%, -6.5%, and -2.1%). While the levels were correctly forecasted for t
Why Risk Management Wins When Direction Gets Tough

SPX bullish above 6937 confirms recovery

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Bullish continuation as the setup suggested, including the volatility. To confirm the recovery and eliminate the possibility of just a gap fill move, it’s important to overcome the level of $6,937 so bullish continuation can be considered for next week. As I said yesterday: The pattern is repeating: Breach of the lower band + Oversold oscillator. This bounce has lead to choppy price action in the days ahead. The rejection at the 20DMA suggests so, but the recovery of $6,836 is an encouraging sign. Mentioned yesterday: "most of the move is in". For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
SPX bullish above 6937 confirms recovery

SPX Bounce Turns Choppy, QQQ Needs 610+ to Stabilize

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The pattern is repeating: Breach of the lower band + Oversold oscillator. This bounce has lead to choppy price action in the days ahead. The rejection at the 20DMA suggests so, but the recovery of $6,836 is an encouraging sign. Mentioned yesterday: "most of the move is in". 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 15minutes: Technicals work the same across timeframes. Price retraced as oscillators hit overbought and indecisive candles met the the upper Bollinger Band.Bulls need a close today above $610 for considering a bounce; much better $613, which just acted as resistance. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading o
SPX Bounce Turns Choppy, QQQ Needs 610+ to Stabilize

SPX Tests Key Support as Bears Press

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Lower Bollinger Band + 50DMAMy note this morning regarding caution when chasing the selloff highlighted the strength of these two levels combined, not to mention the confluence of the weekly layer of $6,836 plus the CML at $6,837. This zone remains the primary focus today. If a bullish reversal hammer forms by the end of the day, a gap-fill attempt could follow shortly. Strong bearish conviction, the 50DMA was breached. The chart is bearish until proven otherwise. Worth noting: a) The recent candle breached the lower Bollinger Band and the W%R is oversold, similar to previous bottoms highlighted. Most of the move is likely in, but if we see bearish continuation tomorrow, the 100DMA is a strong support. For SG users only, Welc
SPX Tests Key Support as Bears Press

The Market Needed a Catalyst

Hello everyone,What a day. The market unfolded the move that has been brewing for recent sessions in a rapid fashion. We first saw the warning signs when technology began diverging from other sectors, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was grinding higher while tech megacaps showed underlying weakness.Over the past few weeks, I have occasionally shared free articles demonstrating how technical indicators validate momentum and anticipate reversals. We’ve covered $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ so far. My next free post will focus on Crypto, showing
The Market Needed a Catalyst

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