🧘 Tesla: From Panic to Perspective – Where Could the Bottom Be?

Isleigh
07-24

It's easy to get shaken when the headlines scream “From Bad to Worse.” But let's step back. $TSLA is down 18% YTD, yes—but context matters.

📉 The Pain Is Real:

Revenue: $22.5B (-12% YoY), but still a $400M beat

Free cash flow: Down due to Model 3/Y retooling and AI infra ramp

Margins: Gross 17%, Op margin 4%—under pressure from price cuts, FX, and tariff noise

But here's what's not priced in fully:

🔮 What Comes Next?

Model Y L launch this fall = potential ASP boost and demand reset

Dojo buildout + AI/robotaxi narrative could return on any autonomy update

Q3 comps will look much easier after this low base

🧠 Technical Outlook:

Strong support near $310–315

If that fails, psychological level at $300 (gap fill from early June)

Resistance now at $338–345, which could be retested on any Fed tailwind or Musk catalyst

📌 My View:

No need to bottom-fish aggressively. But panic selling here may be shortsighted. TSLA is transitioning—again—not collapsing.

I'd accumulate slowly, sell puts around $290–$310, and re-evaluate once the dust settles. With Musk, the narrative can flip very fast.

Stay calm. Stay strategic.

I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!

1 Trln Pay Package Approved! Tesla Sell the News: Hold for Long Term?
On November 6, more than 75% of shareholders voted in favor of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s new compensation package. Under the plan, if Musk meets a series of milestones over the next ten years, he will gradually receive about 423.7 million restricted stock units (RSUs) — up to USD 1 trillion. Can Musk realistically hit these ambitious milestones in the next decade? Will this massive pay package truly align Tesla’s growth with shareholder interests After the approval, is Tesla a “sell the news” trade — or a long-term conviction hold?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Leave a comment
1
3