$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ Markets are not confused. They are questioning sustainability. Xiaomi just delivered: 💰 RMB 39.2B net profit (record high) 📈 +43.8% YoY growth 🤖 Aggressive RMB 60B AI investment plan And yet... 👉 The stock is drifting lower. That disconnect is the trade. 🧠 What the Market Is Actually Pricing This is not about the past. It is about what comes next. Right now, the market sees 3 things: 1. 📉 Peak Margin Risk Record profits often signal cycle highs, not beginnings. Memory costs rising Pricing pressure in smartphones EV business still scaling 👉 Margins may compress from here 2. 💸 AI Spend = Near-Term Drag RMB 60B into AI is not small. It means: Higher capex Longer payback cycles Uncertain monetisation