Shyon
07-31

"July Sees 4-Month Winning Streak: Will August Crash Repeats?". I note that Nasdaq has seen four-month consecutive gains, with Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$   and S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  rising 3.73% and 2.55% respectively this month. While this growth is impressive, it makes me cautious given the extended rally.

Historically, August has not been a month with significant declines, though it tends to be more volatile and often ends higher. I recall that last August, the market experienced a sharp drop but still closed up 2%. This historical context leads me to believe that a pullback is possible, and I am prepared to wait patiently rather than chase the highs at this point.

The question of whether August could bring a major pullback resonates with me. I am convinced that such a correction will happen after such a sustained upward trend. For me, this is a natural part of market cycles, and I prefer to avoid getting caught in overvalued positions during these peaks.

If a pullback does occur, the idea of buying the dip is appealing, but I need to assess my readiness carefully. I am not yet certain if I am prepared to act quickly, as I want to ensure I can afford the possible big swings that volatility might bring. My strategy involves waiting for a clearer signal before making any moves.

The question of whether I can afford these swings is one I take seriously. I am evaluating my financial position to determine if I can handle the potential ups and downs without overextending myself. Patience is key for me, and I am willing to hold off until the market stabilizes or shows a more favorable entry point.

As for taking profits, I am not inclined to do so just yet. I believe that locking in gains now might mean missing out on further opportunities if the market continues to trend upward after a pullback. Instead, I choose to remain patient and monitor the situation closely as August unfolds.

In conclusion, my cautious approach guides me to avoid chasing the current high locations. I am confident that a pullback will occur, and I plan to wait patiently for that moment. By staying disciplined, I hope to position myself advantageously when the market adjusts, aligning with my long-term investment strategy.

As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.

@TigerStars  @Tiger_comments  

SeptemBEAR is here: Are Your Portfolio Ready for Volatility?
In September, the VIX may fly as we may see September Effect hit again. ------- 1. Is the market in danger with September effect approaching? 2. What's your strategy to cope with risks?
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Comments

  • Chungllq
    08-01
    Chungllq
    Your cautious approach makes total sense.
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