<Part 3 of 5> Any correction for the S&P 500? Market outlook (01Sep25)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (01Sep25)

Technical observations:

• MACD - currently shows a downtrend as the price ranges.

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend.

• Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term.

• The CMF is positive at 0.21, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods.

Using technical analysis, 11 indicators indicate a “Buy” rating, while 3 indicate a “Sell” rating. Using the Daily interval, it has a “Strong Buy” rating.

Emerging Patterns (from Grok)

Bearish Engulfing (1D, Current, August 27, 2025)

• Implication: A bearish pattern indicating strong selling pressure, often marking the start or continuation of a downtrend.

Doji (1D, 1 candle ago, August 26, 2025)

• Implication: A Doji indicates indecision in the market, often appearing at the end of a trend or before a reversal.

Outlook and Implications for the Coming Week

• Short-Term Outlook (September 1–5, 2025): The S&P 500 is likely to continue its bearish trend into the coming week, driven by the Evening Star and Bearish Engulfing patterns. The price could test support at 5,345.01 (early 2025 low) or drop further to 5,300 if selling pressure intensifies.

• Long-Term Outlook: The trend remains bearish, with the S&P 500 in a correction phase that could mirror the early 2025 decline from 6,000 to 5,345.01. The current price of 5,312.45 is below the 50 MA (5,629.83) and 200 MA (5,796.34), supporting this outlook, with a potential retest of 5,345.01 or lower if bearish momentum continues.

The candlestick patterns suggest a bearish short-term outlook for the coming week, with a bearish long-term outlook, indicating the S&P 500 is in a correction phase following its recent high, with potential for further downside unless a bullish reversal emerges at key support levels.

Given the above, the short-term trend is expected to remain bullish, but corrections are anticipated soon.

@TigerStars

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