My Investing Muse (29Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies The software and cloud computing firm says it had around 141,000 full-time employees as of 31 May 2026, down from about 162,000 workers at the same time last year. The "deployment of AI technologies across our operations has resulted, and may continue to result, in reductions to our workforce," the report says. - BBC Summary of layoffs by Gemini The final week of June 2026 saw major workforce reductions driven by aggressive shifts toward AI automation and cooling global consumer demand. Automotive: Volkswagen is planning an overhaul that could cut up to 100,000 global jobs. Porsche raised its planned cuts to 3,900 due to crashing margins in China, and Lucid Motors shed 18% (~1,500 roles) to matc

News and my thoughts from the past week (29Jun2026) On June 25 data: BlackRock IBIT ~$266M outflow, but Fidelity FBTC had even larger ~$275M outflow same day. Total US BTC ETF net outflow exceeded $690M. GBTC flat. Broader June has seen heavy redemptions overall. Institutions appear cautious, but BTC has shown resilience so far. Context: macro factors + typical summer dynamics at play. - Grok CNBC just admitted AI demand is falling and that's why SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI are rushing to go public. - X user Financelot @TigerStars $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.13, indicating the market has more selling momentum than buying. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bearish o

Earnings Calendar (29Jun2026) I am interested in the earnings of Nike, MSC and FactSet in the coming week. Nike Earnings Preview Nike’s share price has fallen by more than 43% over the past year. From a technical analysts, the stock is currently rated as a “strong sell”. Analyst sentiment is more constructive, with a “buy” recommendation, an average price target of $55.38, and implied upside of more than 35%. Income Statement Trends Total annual revenue increased slightly from $44.5 billion in 2021 to $46.3 billion in 2025. However, revenue exceeded $51 billion in both 2023 and 2024, which suggests a recent pullback in demand. Gross profit declined modestly from $20.0 billion in 2021 to $19.7 billion in 2025. Nike’s highest gross profit during the period was $22.9 billion in 2024. Operatin

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 29Jun2026) China and Global Manufacturing Signals China’s manufacturing PMI for June is expected at 50.2, indicating a modest expansion. Beyond China’s domestic manufacturing outlook, this release will also be watched as a signal for broader global demand and market sentiment. US Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators · Chicago PMI for June is forecast at 60.0, pointing to strong expansion. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for June is expected at 55.7, also suggesting continued growth. · ISM Manufacturing PMI for June is forecast at 53.7, reinforcing the growth outlook for the sector. · ISM Manufacturing Prices for June are expected at 79.0, highlighting persistent inflationary pressure that could be passed on to consumers through product pric

From my friend “Tiger Capital Research” Morning Brief | Overnight Important Developments on June 22 1. The first round of US-Iran negotiations did not discuss the issue of Iran's nuclear program; 2. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 61.5%; 3. Trump said the US might collect 20% of the oil revenue in the Middle East; 4. Canton Strategic launched a $50 million stock buyback plan; 5. Bitfinex report: Bitcoin shows a market structure of "selling pressure paused but buying interest unconfirmed"; 6. Forbes: Funds from crypto super PACs have started pouring into the 2026 US primary elections; 7. The Iranian delegation has left the negotiation venue, but negotiations with the US are still continuing through intermediaries.

News and my thoughts from the past week (22Jun2026) NSA Director Gen. Joshua Rudd claims Anthropic’s “MYTHOS” broke into America’s most sensitive classified systems in just a few hours. Eric Schmidt saying the quiet part out loud: "What I don't like about [China's AI] is that it's all open source which means it's largely uncontrolled and not controlled in any way by us." He adds, "if that makes you feel any better," that only 2 or 3 countries can be independent AI powers. In other words, it's all about hegemony: the ideal scenario is a world where AI is controlled by the US - and the fewer countries that can resist that, the better. GIC nears deal to offload US$2 billion in private credit stakes - The Business Times Amazon, Walmart, Uber, Cisco, and Meta have all capped or limited employee

Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.00, indicating the market has equal buying and selling momentum. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bulli

Earnings Calendar (22Jun2026) I am interested in the earnings of FedEx, Carnival, Micron, Trip and BlackBerrry. FedEx earnings serve as a primary health check for the global economy because the company moves millions of packages daily across more than 220 countries and territories. When businesses and consumers buy fewer goods, FedEx is often the first to notice. FedEx is a market bellwether. As a Global Trade Barometer, Consumer Spending Pulse, Corporate Health Indicator, Transportation Sector Leader and Forward-Looking Guidance, their earnings tell a lot more about the economy than the performance of one company. Valuation and Market Sentiment The stock has risen 44.31% from a year ago. Technical analysis currently points to a “strong sell” recommendation, while analyst se

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 22Jun2026) Business Activity · S&P Global Services PMI: The June Services PMI is forecast at 51.0, suggesting modest growth in the services sector. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: The June Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 54.8, indicating continued expansion in the manufacturing sector. Housing and Energy Markets · New Home Sales: May new home sales are expected to come in at 637,000 units, up from the previous 622,000 units. This will be an important reference point for assessing momentum in the real estate market. · Crude Oil Inventories: Crude oil inventory data remains a key near-term indicator. A drawdown in inventories may signal stronger demand expectations and provide insight into how oil majors view market consumption. Inflation

My Investing Muse (15Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies The latest filings include a mix of Chapter 11 re-organizations and Chapter 7 liquidations involving trucking carriers, freight brokers, logistics consultants and transportation service providers operating in Illinois, Tennessee, Maryland, North Carolina and Michigan. - FreightWaves News summary from Gemini The global layoff landscape for the week of June 8, 2026, marks a decisive macro shift: companies are aggressively substituting traditional workforce overhead to fund and integrate agentic AI workflows. Over 55% of global tech layoffs this year now explicitly cite AI restructuring. Tech & Gaming Adjustments: Sea Group’s Shopee cut hundreds of developer roles (~8% of engineering) globally, offering “N+2”

Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.04, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines ar

Earnings Calendar (15Jun2026) I’m reviewing the companies reporting earnings in the coming week: Kruger, Accenture, Jabil, CarMax, and Quantum. Accenture Overview Valuation and Market Sentiment Accenture’s share price has declined by more than 45% compared with a year ago. At a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 and earnings per share of $12.32, the stock appears to offer an interesting valuation opportunity. From a market perspective, technical analysis indicates a “strong sell” signal, while broader analyst sentiment remains constructive, with a “buy” recommendation and an average price target of $236.86, implying potential upside of more than 39%. Income Statement Performance (2021–2025) Over the 2021 to 2025 period, total revenue increased from $50.5 billion to $69.6 billion, gr

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 15Jun2026) Consumer and Demand Indicators May retail sales are expected to rise by 0.5%. Together with core retail sales, this release should provide a clearer view of consumer demand and spending momentum. Energy Market Indicator Crude oil inventory data will also be closely watched, as it offers insight into how producers are positioning for expected market demand. Federal Reserve and Labour Market The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be the week’s most closely watched event. Rates are expected to remain unchanged at 3.75%, but the accompanying statement and updated economic projections are likely to have the greatest market impact by shaping expectations for the months ahead. We expect this announcement to introduce volatility ac