Why 6,800 matters It is a key -To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

Why 6,800 matters

It is a key psychological and options-heavy strike.

Without a fresh catalyst or strong mega-cap leadership, rallies into this zone tend to meet supply.

Pinning vs swings

Base case: Pinning dominates. Heavy near-dated options exposure typically pulls price towards the strike into the close, producing narrow ranges and late-session mean reversion.

Alternative: Swings dominate only if volatility expands, for example via a sharp move in yields or a large-cap driven flow. Even then, upside breaks risk being brief without volume follow-through.

Expectation

Intraday probes above 6,800 are possible.
A sustained close above 6,800 requires clear volume expansion.

Risk-reward currently favours patience over chasing a breakout.

Bottom line: Pinning pressure slightly outweighs directional conviction today, making a marginal or failed break more likely than a decisive close above 6,800.

Record Options Expiry Meets BoJ: Can S&P 500 Close Higher Tonight?

Wall Street faces an unprecedented “quadruple witching” this Friday, with record options expirations tied to roughly $5 trillion in S&P 500 exposure and another $880 billion linked to single stocks. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, in line with market expectations. This move lifted rates to their highest level in 30 years and marked the BOJ’s first rate hike in 11 months, since January 2025. ----------------- Will the bull hold 6800? How much effect would BOJ rate hike lay on US stock? Can Santa rally be assured tonight?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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