🚗⚡📈 Tesla Rewrites the Tape at New Highs as $500 Becomes the Market’s Gravity Point 📈⚡🚗

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ Bullish$Alphabet(GOOGL)$   22Dec25 🇺🇸|23Dec25 🇳🇿

📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read

Price Discovery at New Highs

I’m watching $TSLA behave exactly how a momentum led breakout should. The stock printed a fresh all time high at $498.93, tagged my $498.8 blue band almost to the cent, and pulled back in a controlled, mechanical way. That response was not emotional selling. It was liquidity being tested and absorbed.

📈 Options Flow and Dealer Positioning

There has been a heavy concentration of weekly $500 strike call activity, dominated by sweeps and blocks. Dealers remain long gamma at $500, which explains both the magnetic pull toward that level and the hesitation once it is tagged. This is not exhaustion. This is sensitivity.

🧲 GEX Structure and the $500 Pivot

The net GEX heat map makes the setup clear. The $500 strike is the dominant MVC with roughly $140M of positive gamma into Dec 26. Gamma thins quickly below the $490s and becomes more fragmented above $500. That structure naturally creates a market that needs multiple attempts before acceptance occurs.

📐 Intraday Structure and Key Levels

The gold top level was textbook. Price tagged it and delivered a clean $6 bounce. That is classic trend behaviour, react, pause, continue. The failure to unwind after tagging both the blue band and the gold top reinforces that this remains absorption, not rejection.

🚀 What Changes If $500 Is Taken

If $500 is eventually taken and accepted, the mechanics shift quickly. Dealer hedging flips from containing price to chasing it. Shorts are forced to cover, breakout traders engage, and retail momentum follows. In that environment, a push into the mid $500s becomes mechanically plausible rather than speculative.

🕰️ Long Term Structure, The Half Year Signal

Looking beyond the intraday noise, the half yearly chart matters. $TSLA printed its second red bullish six month candle in H2 2024, something that has only occurred once before since 2019. The last time this structure appeared in H2 2019, it launched one of the greatest three year runs in modern market history, ending only when the first yellow six month candle printed on 30Jun22. That is why I reloaded through 2024 into 2025 and remain bullish long term. History does not repeat, but it rhymes.

❄️ Tesla Owners and the Winter Advantage

Tesla quietly holds a structural advantage in cold climates. While petrol vehicles become inefficient fuel guzzlers in winter due to warm up losses, Tesla vehicles extract heat directly from cold air using a heat pump that operates like a reverse air conditioner. The system uses minimal power to capture, compress, and circulate outdoor heat, reducing heating energy costs to as little as one tenth of a traditional combustion vehicle. This is not marketing. It is physics and efficiency.

🤖 Autonomy Expansion Catalyst

Elon Musk has indicated that supervised FSD could launch in the UAE 🇦🇪 as early as next month, extending Tesla’s autonomy roadmap into another high visibility international market and reinforcing the scalability of the software platform.

⚡ Energy Infrastructure, Megablock and Megapack 3

Tesla’s energy flywheel continues to accelerate. Tesla has secured a $275M Megapack order from Matrix Renewables for a 500 MW, 2-hour standalone battery energy storage system totaling 1 GWh in Eccles, Scotland 🇬🇧. This project marks Matrix Renewables’ first standalone storage development in the UK and ranks among its largest energy storage projects globally.

Tesla Energy Vice President Mike Snyder underscored the strategic importance of the partnership, stating, “We are excited to support Matrix Renewables with their entry into the UK, bringing Tesla’s track record in the market together with Matrix Renewables’ expertise and vision. We highly value the partnership with their team and look forward to executing this landmark project together.”

The site is fully permitted, construction-ready, and strategically positioned on key transmission corridors linking Scotland and England. Its location allows it to provide critical grid backup, stabilise power flows between Scotland and England, and directly support the UK’s Net Zero 2050 and Clean Power 2035 objectives. Importantly, the Eccles project serves as a launchpad for Matrix Renewables’ broader storage ambitions, with a pipeline of up to 3 GW in additional capacity.

This momentum extends into Tesla’s next-generation grid technology. Neoen Australia has begun construction of a $220M big battery project, the first in the world to deploy Tesla’s new Megablock platform, reinforcing Tesla’s leadership in industrial-scale energy storage.

Megablock combines four Megapack 3 units into a single deployable 20 MWh block with an integrated transformer and switchgear, delivered as a plug-and-play system covering hardware, software, and services. Tesla estimates installations up to 23% faster with as much as 40% lower construction costs, a step-change for grid-scale economics.

Megablock delivers 91% medium-voltage round-trip efficiency, 20 MWh of usable AC energy, operates across -40°C to 60°C, achieves 248 MWh per acre, and is engineered for a 25-year life with more than 10,000 cycles. Above-ground cabling between transformer and battery units is eliminated via a flexible busbar assembly, reducing complexity and failure points.

At the core sits Megapack 3, a major redesign rather than an incremental upgrade. Each unit delivers 5 MWh of usable AC energy in a 28-foot enclosure designed for global shipping and applications of up to eight hours. Internal architecture has been radically simplified, cutting connections from 24 cables in Megapack 2XL down to just 3 busbar connections.

Thermal management represents another leap. Megapack 3 uses a Model Y-derived heat pump architecture at industrial scale, with 78% fewer connections, materially reducing failure risk. The system is built around a new 2.8-litre LFP battery cell, co-engineered with Tesla’s cell team. Around 75% of the system’s mass is battery cells, with individual modules weighing roughly the same as a Cybertruck.

Production of Megapack 3 begins at Tesla’s Houston Megafactory in 2026, targeting up to 50 GWh per year of capacity. Battery supply will be partially sourced from Tesla’s new 7 GWh LFP facility in Nevada, with additional cells sourced externally.

Taken together, the Matrix Renewables contract, Neoen’s Megablock deployment, and the Megapack 3 redesign confirm Tesla Energy as a scalable infrastructure platform with global reach, long-duration revenue visibility, and rapidly improving unit economics.

🇨🇳 China Demand, Efficiency and Cost of Ownership

Tesla China has launched a new promotion for the Model Y Rear-Wheel Drive ahead of January 2026, focusing on efficiency rather than headline discounting. The message is simple: lighter vehicles deliver materially better value over time.

Using Tesla’s own assumptions, at a charging rate of 1.5 RMB per kWh, a Model Y RWD travelling 200,000 km could save approximately 16,000 RMB in electricity costs compared with a typical new-energy SUV averaging 5 km per kWh. Tesla notes that those savings alone would be sufficient to drive the Model Y an additional 70,000 km.

This framing matters. It reinforces Tesla’s structural efficiency advantage, highlights total cost of ownership rather than sticker price, and supports volume without undermining margins. In China, where EV competition is intense and consumers are increasingly cost-sensitive, that distinction is important.

🎅 Seasonality as a Supporting Tailwind

Timing matters. The Santa Claus Rally window begins on 24Dec, covering the final five trading days of December and the first two of January. After back-to-back Santa slumps in 2023 and 2024, the historical skew leans bullish. We’ve never seen three consecutive Santa slumps.

Seasonality alone never drives my decisions, but when it aligns with improving structure, strong momentum, and aggressive call skew near a major pivot, I pay attention.

Closing Read

New highs, dominant call skew, positive gamma at the pivot, and orderly pullbacks are not signs of distribution. They are signs of a market pressing against its next constraint. For me, everything still revolves around how price behaves around $500. Repeated tests without structural damage keep the upside path open. Acceptance above it changes the regime.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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