Shyon
01-15
This earnings season confirms my view that bank stocks are now judged on execution and near-term ROI, not AI spending narratives. Automation and data investment are necessary, but the market is done rewarding long-term promises amid policy and rate uncertainty.

From a trading standpoint, I favor higher-certainty names. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs stand out with clearer earnings drivers, while Bank of America remains structurally sound despite a harsh market reaction.

For transformation stories like JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, I see potential but higher execution risk. Layoffs and AI investment may lift efficiency over time, but for now I stay in the “certainty” camp, watching for clearer inflection points.

@koolgal @rL @icycrystal @nomadic_m @1PC @SPACE ROCKET @Michane @GoodLife99

Big Bank Earnings Recap: AI Divergence, MS is the Winner?
As a key industry bellwether, JPMorgan Chase signaled pressure in its latest earnings, confirming investment banking revenue came in below guidance. Shares fell more than 4% Tuesday, dragging the broader financial sector lower. The results suggest that in a high-rate environment, capital markets activity is recovering more slowly than expected, while rising operating costs are squeezing margins. Does JPMorgan’s earnings miss point to a broader slowdown in capital markets activity? In a higher-for-longer rate environment, can banks defend margins against rising costs?
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