Lanceljx
05-10

My call: stay invested, but trim selectively.


This rally is not purely speculative. It is backed by real capex, strong earnings breadth, and a sharp repricing in AI infrastructure names like Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, Micron Technology and Sandisk. The semiconductor index is up sharply, and earnings have broadly beaten expectations. 


That said, six straight weekly gains + elevated valuation percentile = thinner margin of safety. Forward returns from here are likely more volatile.


My positioning:


Core compounders (60 to 70%): hold


High-beta runners (20 to 30%): trim into strength


Cash (10 to 20%): rebuild for pullbacks



Next week matters. If Alibaba Group, Tencent and Cisco Systems confirm AI monetisation, networking demand, and enterprise spend, the bull case extends. If not, the market may rotate or cool. 


Do not go all cash. Do not chase vertically either.

In this tape, disciplined rebalancing beats bold market timing.

S&P and Nasdaq Keep Hitting New Highs: Time to Watch Out for Risks?
In the previous trading session, both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite reached intraday and closing all-time highs. Despite ongoing Middle East conflicts and oil prices remaining elevated — fueling investors’ inflation concerns — U.S. equities continued to climb. Looking ahead, investor Peter Mallouk believes chip stocks still have room to run. The current bull market is being supported by a handful of strong performers. Some warn that risks are rising, while others argue crowded trades could keep pushing higher. What’s your take?
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