I lean wait for earnings rathe-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

I lean wait for earnings rather than chase tech at record highs.

The inflation backdrop is clearly improving: July CPI eased to 3.4%, while headline PPI was flat MoM and 4.7% YoY, strengthening the case for the Fed to remain on hold. That supports equity valuations, but the S&P 500 is already at a record and much of the easier-policy narrative is being priced in.

I would keep existing tech exposure, avoid aggressively adding after the rally, and direct some new money towards gold/defensives. Earnings now need to justify elevated AI and growth expectations. Burry’s bearish positioning is worth noting, but not a timing signal by itself.

My positioning: 50% wait, 30% tech on pullbacks, 20% gold/defensives.

CPI and PPI Both Cool — How Much Further Can U.S. Stocks Run?

S&P 500 +0.65% to a record 7,798.99, through 7,800 intraday; Nasdaq +0.81%, QQQ +1.16%, Dow +0.13%. Soft inflation did it: July CPI 3.4% YoY and 0.1% MoM, PPI at 4.2% against 4.9% expected and 5.5% prior, pushing the odds of an extended Fed pause higher. Burry disclosed a bigger QQQ put position, positioning for "a larger leg down," while desks warned against chasing into the next earnings cycle. Add to tech, rotate into gold and defensives, or wait for earnings?

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Comments

gleezy
08-14 11:52
gleezy
I moved some fresh cash into gold ETF already. 20% defensives makes sense here, but do you count utilities too?

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