May is Done! How Do You Expect June Movement?

S&P 500 has risen 6.15% this month, marking its best monthly gain of the year. After April’s sell-off and May’s surge, did you make any money? There’s a saying: “Sell in May and go away.” Will you follow it? Interestingly, the market clearly ignored that advice last year. However, June hasn’t historically been a standout month in terms of performance. Historically, the market has NEVER made the top for the year in the month of June. (since 1980) Will you continue to hold or take profits? Will June defy seasonal patterns, or see a temporary cooldown?

avatarKYHBKO
06-22

PCE data, CB consumer confidence and PMI data - Economic Data for the week 23Jun25

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a
PCE data, CB consumer confidence and PMI data - Economic Data for the week 23Jun25
avatarKYHBKO
06-22

What can FedEx's earnings say of the market - Preview of the week starting 23Jun25

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a previous index of 52.0. This
What can FedEx's earnings say of the market - Preview of the week starting 23Jun25
Choppy and sideways. Might sit out this month
avatarKYHBKO
06-15

S&P500 technical and candlestick analysis (16Jun25) - what 20+ indicators tell us?

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter
S&P500 technical and candlestick analysis (16Jun25) - what 20+ indicators tell us?
avatarKYHBKO
06-15

Is Kroger worthy of your portfolio - Earnings calendar 16Jun25

Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).
Is Kroger worthy of your portfolio - Earnings calendar 16Jun25
avatarKYHBKO
06-15

Is Kroger value for money? Preview of the week starting 16Jun25

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The market is hopeful of a manufacturing r
Is Kroger value for money? Preview of the week starting 16Jun25
avatarJC888
06-09

CPI Inflation drives US Markets this week?

Last Week’s Performance. Last week (June 02 - 06), US stocks were influenced by a strong jobs report, that helped markets close on a high note. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw pressure earlier in the week, but positive labour data and easing trade tensions led to a rebound, with stocks edging toward record levels by Fri, 06 Jun 2025. (see below) The major composite index’s performance for the week: DJIA was up +1.33% (+562.93 to 42,762.87). S&P 500 was up +1.76 (+103.68 to 6,000.36). Nasdaq was up +2.45% (+466.89 to 19,529.95). A New Wind Is Blowing ! For this week (June 9 - 13), US market attention now turns to US inflation data. Economists and traders are closely watching for the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wed, 11 Jun 2025, that will be critical
CPI Inflation drives US Markets this week?
avatarKYHBKO
06-08

Layoffs, the debt spiral of America and my investing muse (09Jun25)

My Investing Muse (09Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news Nearly 160 companies will be laying off employees throughout the month of June, exceeding the approximately 130 companies that did so in May. The layoffs will affect multiple industries, including retail, pharmaceutical, food and beverage, airlines, package delivery and more. Layoffs in the workforce vary by company, with some laying off between one and 25 employees; other companies, like U.S. Cellular, have larger cuts planned. - NewsWeek Microsoft cuts hundreds of jobs after firing 6,000 in May - Bloomberg Walt Disney Co. launched another deep round of layoffs on Monday, notifying several hundred Disney employees in the U.S. and abroad that their jobs were being eliminated amid an increasingly difficult economic environment for tradi
Layoffs, the debt spiral of America and my investing muse (09Jun25)
avatarKYHBKO
06-08

Can Adobe be a good addition? Earnings calendar for the week (09Jun25)

Earnings Calendar (09Jun25) I am interested in the earnings releases of Adobe, Oracle, and GameStop. Let us look into Adobe Systems in detail. Adobe has a “Strong Buy” technical analysis recommendation. The Analyst’s sentiment is “Buy”. The price target is $488.02, which represents an upside of 17.05%. 10-year performance of Adobe: Revenue grew from $4,796M in 2015 to $21,505M in 2024, over 4x over 10 years. Growth: Revenue grew from $4,796M to $21,505M, with a 10-year CAGR of 17.9%. Growth rates varied, peaking at 24.7% in 2017 and slowing to 10.8% in 2024, showing consistent expansion. Operating Margin grew from 18.8% (2015) to 36.0% (2024). Trend: Operating margin improved significantly from 18.8% to 36.0%, with a notable rise from 25.5% in 2016 to a peak of 34.6% in 2022, reflecting en
Can Adobe be a good addition? Earnings calendar for the week (09Jun25)
avatarKYHBKO
06-08

CPI results coming - Economic Calendar of the week 09Jun25

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends:   The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market:   The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energ
CPI results coming - Economic Calendar of the week 09Jun25
avatarKYHBKO
06-08

Preview of the week (09Jun2025) - Should we add Adobe to our portfolio?

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends: The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market: The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energy and Producer
Preview of the week (09Jun2025) - Should we add Adobe to our portfolio?
avatarJC888
06-07

Bessent vs Dimon: US Economy / Market Showdown!

The Great Brush Off. On Sun, 01 Jun 2025, in an interview on CBS - "Face the Nation", US Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent dismissed $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ CEO, Jamie Dimon's warning that “Rising national debt could cause a bond market crisis”. (see below) This happened after Dimon sounded alarm last week, cautioning America's (a) overspending during the pandemic and (b) Quantitative easing (QE) will lead to a 'crack in the bond market'. Bessent brushed off his fears, alleging Dimon had, throughout his 'entire career' issued stark predictions and 'none of them have come true'. That explained why Dimon is a banker; albeit a great one, as he always tries to look around the corner', said Bessent to 'Face the Nation’s host Margaret Brennan. Bessent arg
Bessent vs Dimon: US Economy / Market Showdown!
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   PCT: Shiller Ratio & May CAGR v1.0 : PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. Shiller Ratio = Google. May CAGR = Seeking Alpha. BTC. QQQ. S&P500. XAU.
avataronlyYou
06-06
I saw a chart that looked “interesting” and entered impulsively without a real thesis or stop loss. When it dipped, I had no framework for what to do, so I just hoped it would come back. It didn’t. That trade taught me that no entry should happen without a full plan. @deal2deal
After three green trades in a row, I went heavy on the next setup without waiting for confirmation. It reversed hard right after my entry, and I froze instead of cutting the loss. That single trade erased all my prior gains and reminded me that overconfidence is the silent killer. @AhGong
I followed a popular trader on social media into a complex options spread I didn’t fully understand. When it started moving against me, I panicked and closed it wrong, locking in unnecessary losses. Lesson: if you don’t fully understand the strategy, don’t trade it — no matter who’s doing it. @Frisbee
I went 5x long on a crypto token during a bull market thinking it would double. A 15% pullback wiped me out overnight while I slept. The coin later recovered, but my account didn’t. I learned the hard way that leverage doesn’t forgive timing mistakes. @luv2trade
avatarAhGong
06-06
I bought a breakout on a clean technical setup, convinced it was the real deal. Volume looked strong, but I didn’t wait for the close. It turned out to be a bull trap, and I got stopped out quickly. That taught me to stop rushing into trades without confirmation. @onlyYou
avatarFrisbee
06-06
I jumped into a stock after a bullish headline hit Twitter — no research, no confirmation — just pure FOMO. It spiked for five minutes, then tanked just as fast. I lost 15% in less than an hour. I realized I was trading someone else’s excitement, not my own plan. @nickname168
avatarShop
06-06
I had just taken a loss on a trade I was sure would work — shorting a meme stock during the 2021 craze. I got squeezed out with a 25% loss. Instead of stepping away, I got angry. @deal2deal
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