Public Holidays
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Economic Calendar (09Jun25)
Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok)
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The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation.
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Inflation Trends:
The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds.
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Labour Market:
The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience.
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Energy and Producer Prices:
The prior crude oil inventory drawdown (-4.304M) may have supported oil prices. Another draw could exacerbate energy cost pressures, while a build might ease inflation concerns.
The negative PPI (-0.5%) indicates falling producer costs, which could translate to lower consumer prices over time, supporting a softer inflation outlook.
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Bond Market:
The 10-Year and 30-Year Note Auctions will reflect investor demand and yield expectations. Higher yields (e.g., above 4.342% and 4.819%) could signal inflation concerns or growth expectations, potentially pressuring stock valuations.
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Initial jobless claims will be announced. The previous was 247K. This weekly report tracks the number of new unemployment claims, serving as a leading indicator of labour market health. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key macro data references as it balances inflation and employment in the economy.
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Crude Oil Inventories can be seen as forward indicators of market demand and consumption. This event tracks the weekly change in U.S. crude oil inventories, a key indicator of oil supply and demand that can impact oil prices and energy markets. If the trend of excess inventories continues, demand erosion can lead to reduced production & weakened consumer spending.
This week could see market volatility, particularly around Fed-related events and inflation data.
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