2025 Outlook: How Will Story Unfold?

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq eked out record closing highs recently, with tech-related shares extending recent gains. Major institutions have released research reports, with most optimistic about a rally in 2025. The highest target for the S&P 500 has been set at 7,000 points. What are your expectations for 2025? How do you plan to trade?

avatarKYHBKO
03-22

Is it time to plough into Dollar Tree - Preview of the week starting 24 Mar 2025

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (24 Mar 2025) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data for the coming week would be the Core PCE price index. This is one of the references used by the Fed for inflation. The result will impact the Fed’s interest rate decision. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be released. An amount above 50 would suggest global growth in either sector. This would be a good indication for the global economy. CB Consumer Confidence is an important reference for consumption outlook. Sentiment can have more impact on consumption than statistics. New Home Sales is a good reference for the real estate. Durable Goods Orders is one of the indica
Is it time to plough into Dollar Tree - Preview of the week starting 24 Mar 2025
avatarKYHBKO
03-16

Can FedEx foretell the future? - Preview of the week starting 17 Mar 2025

Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (17 Mar 2025) from Investing Notable Highlights Core retail sales and retail sales figures will be released in the coming week. This will provide a good overview of consumption in America. The most watched news would be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The forecast is expecting the interest rate to remain status quo. A different outcome is expected to introduce volatility into the market. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will bring understanding about the manufacturing sector. Existing home sales is a good barometer about the real estate market in the USA. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key macro data references
Can FedEx foretell the future? - Preview of the week starting 17 Mar 2025
avatarKYHBKO
03-31

Is the S&P500 going to keep falling? S&P500 outlook for the week 31Mar25

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 31 Mar 2025 Let us monitor the volume of the S&P 500. Chart of the S&P 500 dated 29 Mar 2025 Observations: The MACD indicator may experience a bottom crossover in a few days. This should form a “double bottom”. Typically, a “recovery” can happen after a double bottom. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and a bullish in the long term. Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) is in the “uptrend zone” (above the 0 line). However, it is possible to see a trend change as
Is the S&P500 going to keep falling? S&P500 outlook for the week 31Mar25
avatarTBI
02-15

#TBI2025[6]: Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK), Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO)

Hi everyone, it’s been a while! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publicatio
#TBI2025[6]: Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK), Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO)
avatarTBI
02-15

#TBI2025[5]: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)

Hi everyone. Well, it’s been a while… Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publ
#TBI2025[5]: Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)
avatarKYHBKO
03-16

Has S&P500 recovered from last week's red tide? Outlook for week starting 17Mar25

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 17 Mar 2025 Volume tells of the momentum of the trend. The average volume is over 4.6 B, and the latest volume is 3.0 B. This suggests a weak strength to the current momentum. One day does not make a trend, and let us monitor. There is a difference between buying the dip and catching a falling knife. Observations: The MACD indicator is starting a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). The MA50 line has started a downtrend, while the MA200 line is on an uptrend. This implies a downtrend in the mid-term and bullish in the long term. Candle. The last candle is below the MA50 and MA200 lines, implying a bearish outlook for the medium and long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) shows a downtren
Has S&P500 recovered from last week's red tide? Outlook for week starting 17Mar25
avatarKYHBKO
02-09

Demand on AI, layoffs & US Growth - my investing muse (10Feb2025)

My Investing Muse (10Feb2025) Layoffs & Closure news Image END OF AN ERA: QUIKSILVER, BILLABONG & VOLCOM STORES TO CLOSE IN U.S. Icons of ’90s surf and skate culture, these brands once ruled malls and boardwalks. Now, over 100 stores will shut down as Liberated Brands files for bankruptcy, citing inflation, shifting consumer habits, and the decline of brick-and-mortar retail. Online shopping and fast fashion have reshaped the industry—leaving legacy brands struggling to keep up. Source: NBC News from X user Mario Nawfal Salesforce cuts 1,000 jobs as it joins Meta, Microsoft and Apple in AI pivot - Cityam Workday cuts nearly 2,000 employees Enterprise HR platform Workday is the latest tech company to announce layoffs in recent weeks. - Techcrunch Layoffs hit more than 7,100 wor
Demand on AI, layoffs & US Growth - my investing muse (10Feb2025)
avatarKYHBKO
03-09

Will last week's red tide continue for the S&P500? Outlook for the week starting 10Mar2025

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 10 Mar 2025 S&P500 dated 10 Mar 2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is starting a downtrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 and MA200 lines are on an uptrend. The MA50 line may soon change direction. The last candle touched the MA200 line and is sitting below the MA50 line. This implies a bearish outlook for the mid-term, and a similar bearish trend should be seen for the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a downtrend. Chaikin’s Monetary Flow (CMF) shows an uptrend (above the 0 line). However, the trend has been falling for the last few days. The S&P500 Technical Analysis (Daily) is showing a “Strong Sell” rating. 20 indicators show a “Sell” rating, and 5 indicators show a “Sell” rating. The candlestick pa
Will last week's red tide continue for the S&P500? Outlook for the week starting 10Mar2025

Year-End Reflection 2024 and Plans for 2025

Special thanks to @TigerTradingNotes for the invitation. I'm excited to share my experiences from the past year with all of you, and I hope we can witness my growth and hard work together. December 2024 marks two and a half years since I opened my account at Tiger Broken. As the year draws to a close, I would like to briefly look back on this year and share some of the gains I’ve made in trading: ROR (TYD): 47.01% ROR (2.4 years): 145.19% Sharpe Ratio: 1.07 Max Drawdown: -19.78% Self-Review Overall, I’m “fairly satisfied” with this result. As stated in my investment goal—“Aiming to outperform the NASDAQ”—the 47.01% return this year surpassed the Nasdaq’s 35.66% for the same period. While the market did not present the dramatic opportun
Year-End Reflection 2024 and Plans for 2025
avatarPigpen
04-01
2025 is the year you put your portfolio to bed and took a study break. Or a holiday. Or a nice looooong snooze.
avatarBarcode
01-09
$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  🔄📈💹✨ Reversal Patterns Across Major Indices: The Stage Is Set for a Monumental Shift ✨💹📈🔄 The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJIA), S&P 500 ($SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ($QQQ) are aligning with a precision rarely observed across global financial markets. Each index exhibits a distinct yet complementary reversal pattern, an undeniable signal of the market’s anticipatory stance as speculation mounts regarding a potential Day One Trump tax reform announcement. These setups, converging across diverse sectors and industries, epitomise the intricate interplay of technical acumen and fundamental for
avatarKYHBKO
03-13
Has the S&P500 hit the bottom? Based on the chart, I would recommend caution. Let us look at some technicals. Using the 1D interval, MACD has yet to complete its bottom crossover. The average daily trading volume is about 4,661,370,689. The last trading day volume (ending 12 Mar 2025) is about 3,450,861,000. Thus, there may not be enough sustainable volume to drive the momentum of a bull run. There are also other macro data like PPI to be released. On top of this, the tariff war continues with more reciprocal actions. I recommend to monitor. Not Financial Advice - please do our own due diligence. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe
avatarTBlive
2024-12-26

James Ooi: Full Analysis on the 2025 Trump Presidency, SPX Outlook & AI Boom

🎉 Greetings Tigers, 🐯🎅🏻 A warm welcome back from the Christmas break! 🎄📈 The Santa Rally persists, with the U.S. stock market experiencing gains over two consecutive trading sessions. 🚀🚀 Bitcoin is on an upward trajectory, aiming for the $100,000 mark, and large-cap tech stocks including $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Apple(AAPL)$ , $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ are all trending upwards in unison.As of post, 13 sectors of $.SPX(.SPX)$ all mark
James Ooi: Full Analysis on the 2025 Trump Presidency, SPX Outlook & AI Boom
avatarJC888
2024-12-09

Magnificent 7 will defy Jobs & Inflation data.

Quick Summary. Last Wed, 04 Dec 2024’s tech rally pushed the major indexes to new highs. (see below) Friday’s latest US Non-farm payroll economic data did little to shake investors’ confidence that the Fed will cut interest rates at its final meeting of 2024. In the first week of December: (see above) DJIA: fell -0.63% (-283.34 to 44,642.45). It was the lone index in the red. S&P 500: rose +0.83% (+50.16 to 6,090.27). Nasdaq: rose +3.14% (+604.35 to 19,859.77). Non Farm Payroll - November. Jobs payroll roared to 227,000 jobs from revised October’s paltry 36,000 jobs. This is 25,000 more than Wall Street expectations. Job gains centred around the following sectors: Health care (54,000), Leisure & hospitality (53,000), and Government (33,000). Based on past three months’ average of 1
Magnificent 7 will defy Jobs & Inflation data.

From Thunder storm to Sunshine: Why the Market May Be Ready to Stabilize

Positive sentiment is fragile but building—could this be the turning point?  This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button or do a repost.  It looks like we might be seeing a bit of a weather whiplash, with thunderstorms turning to sunshine and sunshine turning to thunderstorms—just like how Trump’s tweets on X could shake up the market vibes! The Dow Jones Index took a tiny dip yesterday, while the S&P 500 saw a modest rise. Yesterday, pre-market, the ADP private payroll report came in softer than expected, calming some of the market’s nerves. U.S. December payrolls grew by 122,000—falling short of the expected 140,000 and the previous 146,000. Following the data release, U.S. stock futures perked up slightly. But just as things were
From Thunder storm to Sunshine: Why the Market May Be Ready to Stabilize

What Are The Posibility of A Financial CRASH in 2025?

Last year, U.S. share prices surged by 25%. Since the financial crash in 2009, share prices have skyrocketed by 300%. While many Americans continue to live paycheck to paycheck, Wall Street is thriving. By nearly every metric, U.S. share prices are now overvalued, with price-to-earnings ratios at record highs, surpassing levels seen before the dot-com bubble burst in 2001. The U.S. stock market's capitalization now exceeds 200% of GDP, four times its size in the early 1990s. In the early 2000s, tech stocks reached unsustainable price-to-income multiples, driven by enthusiasm for the internet. When that bubble burst, the NASDAQ plunged 77%. Today, artificial intelligence has sparked a similar wave of optimism. Yet, history suggests that speculative bubbles often end poorly, as human tendenc
What Are The Posibility of A Financial CRASH in 2025?

📉Pullback Starting: Time to Bottom or Sell Before the New Year?

The year-end market rally seems to have hit turbulence as U.S. stocks experienced a pullback during early trading on Monday. Investors now face a critical decision: buy the dip or lock in profits before the New Year? With S&P 500 (SPX) nearing the key psychological level of 6,000, the stakes have never been higher. Market Update: What’s Happening? 1. Pullback Signals Broad Market Decline: Major indices, including the Dow Jones and Nasdaq, saw declines of 1-2% as profit-taking emerged. Sector Weakness: Growth stocks, particularly in tech and energy, led the drop, while defensive sectors like utilities outperformed. 2. Analysts’ Take 2024 SPX Target: Analysts project SPX closing just above 6,000, driven by strong Q4 earnings and easing inflation. 2025 Pullback Forecast: Early 2025 may br
📉Pullback Starting: Time to Bottom or Sell Before the New Year?
avatarTBI
01-11

#TBI2025[1]: On Holding AG [NYSE: ONON]

The stock market has gotten off to an interesting start this year. I took some time off studying charts the past 2-3 weeks or so, but have gotten back into it recently. I’ve decided to just rename the series as #TBI2025 because I think it sounds a lot cooler. Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investmen
#TBI2025[1]: On Holding AG [NYSE: ONON]
avatarKYHBKO
02-16

Why have over 20 indicators have pointed to a bullish run? preview of S&P500 - 17Feb2025

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 17Feb2025 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. A top crossover is expected soon. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA50 line and the MA200 line. This implies a bullish outlook for both the mid-and long-term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. The S&P500 has risen 21.57% from a year ago. From the S&P500 Technical Analysis, Investing dot com recommends a “Strong Buy” rating based on the following technical indicators. Of the 20 indicators, all of them are showing a “Buy” rating with none showing a “Sell” rating. From the recent candlestick patterns, we noticed that there are
Why have over 20 indicators have pointed to a bullish run? preview of S&P500 - 17Feb2025
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-12-26

[Tiger Live Ⅴ] Technical Analysis, Downside & Upside Catalysts on SPX

Here are quickly talk about technical analysis of $.SPX(.SPX)$ . Full live link replay >>Let’s take a look at the S&P 500. Here are the Fibonacci confluence zones for the $.SPX(.SPX)$ To me, the major resistance is 6,850. TA tells me that 2025 target price is 6850.If you are waiting for some support levels to accumulate, 5,900 or 5,500 may be good support levels.To me, the S&P 500 must hold above 5,900 to resume the bullish trend.Let me go through the downside and upside catalysts for the us equity marketWhat could potentially downset investors in
[Tiger Live Ⅴ] Technical Analysis, Downside & Upside Catalysts on SPX
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