Fundamental Analysis

Here is the place for you to discuss & learn about fundamental analysis.

AAOI's Dilution Is Priced In—Here's the 2028 Bull Case

Here's how I model $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ post the $600M ATM offering AH on a Friday...: 1. Revenue: Still fair to assume $5.6B in FY28 revenue (probably slightly conservative excluding ELSFP contribution). I've been over these numbers a lot. 2. Margins: 22% non-GAAP net margins is a solid base case for 2028. At $5.6B revenue scale, we should see operating leverage expansion. We see $Lumentum(LITE)$ guiding towards 36%, Innolight ~31%, and Eoptolink ~37%. 22% is also currently in line with analyst estimates (who have so far been conservative on the $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ numbers but best to take a
AAOI's Dilution Is Priced In—Here's the 2028 Bull Case

MU, HIMS, TSLA, NVDA& META Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ teetering with a Stage 4 breakdown... 😬 2 Squeezing into multi-year support... this is about to get interesting 🌶️ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 3 Approaching the 50 👀 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 4 $Micron Technology(MU)$ hasn't recorded back to back red weeks since $450/share, ~60% below the current share price... Having already gained +250% YTD but sitting at a mere ~7x forward P/E, the question on every trader's mind... is it too late to get in, or is this party just getting st
MU, HIMS, TSLA, NVDA& META Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!

NVDA, TSM, ORCL, MSFT& AMZN Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Q2 EARNINGS DOUBLE BEAT 🔥 EPS: $4.31 vs $3.77 est REV: $40.20B vs $39.76B est Gross Margin: 67.7% Operating Margin: 60.3% Net Profit Margin: 55.6% 2 Final boss: 3 decades of support $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 3 Carving out a double bottom at its cheapest valuation in a decade... 🌶️ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 4 Any takers? $Oracle(ORCL)$ 5 BREAKING: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has announced two new Blackwell-powered m
NVDA, TSM, ORCL, MSFT& AMZN Enjoy Great Potential to Buy!
avatar8899Nar
07-20

ISRG PRICE IS GETTING ATTRACTIVE 👀

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ PRICE IS GETTING ATTRACTIVE 👀 PRICE TARGET: $535 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +49% ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $11.034B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 14% 2031 Profit Margin: 33% 2031 PE Ratio: 38 Shares outstanding: 0.357B Shares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION: Q2 2031 $Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ Share Price =11.034 * (1.14)^5 * 0.33 * 38 /[0.357 * (0.99)^5] = 785$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Intuitive Surgical I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $360 FAIR VALUE: $487 1Y PRICE TARGET: $535 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +49% EXPECTED RETURNS: 16.9%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘪𝘯𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘦𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘶𝘳𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺.
ISRG PRICE IS GETTING ATTRACTIVE 👀

GOLD: Which Way to Go?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis wtih you! 1. Upside Support (Geopolitical Safe-Haven Demand): As expected, renewed tensions in the Middle East (U.S. airstrikes against Iran triggering some retaliatory measures) continue to drive safe-haven buying in gold, firmly keeping the price above the $4,100/oz. psychological level. 2. Downward Pressure (Fed Rate Hike Repricing): However, the latest Fed meeting minutes reveal that policymakers are deeply concerned about high inflation. According to the CME Federal Funds Rate, the market’s probability of a rate hike in September has rebounded to around 63%. This has led to a short-term strengthening of the U.S. dollar, significantly capping gold’s upside potential; HSBC has also recently lowered its 2026 average gold price for
GOLD: Which Way to Go?