The news that OpenAI is leaning toward postponing its IPO to 2027—rigidly holding out for a $1 trillion valuation floor set by CEO Sam Altman—has dealt a short-term psychological blow to the AI growth narrative. Combined with the recent post-IPO cooling of SpaceX and a broader re-rating of hyper-scaler capital expenditures (CapEx), tech investors are facing a reality check. Will the Slide in Microsoft Continue? In the short term, there is room for further technical pressure. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft’s slide (down roughly 25% this year) is less about a breakdown in its business and more about a valuation re-rating. The OpenAI Concentration Risk: Microsoft holds a massive 27% stake in OpenAI (valued at roughly $135 billion on paper). Pushing the

MSFT fell another 3.46% today, extending a multi-day losing streak that has now pushed the stock down more than 24% in 2026, potentially its steepest June drop in company history. This is not one bad headline. It is three separate fears compounding on top of each other, and untangling which ones are real versus which are noise is exactly the work that matters right now. Fear One: Capex Is Eating Free Cash Flow Microsoft is on track to spend roughly $190 billion on AI infrastructure in fiscal 2026, up from an earlier estimate near $165 billion. Q3 capex alone came in at $31.9 billion, with Q4 guided above $40 billion. The consequence shows up directly in free cash flow. FCF fell to $15.8 billion in the most recent quarter, down from $20.3 billion a year earlier, against reported net income

“AI” labelled stock, BOOM ! When $SpaceX(SPCX)$ rocketed into the public markets on 12 Jun 2026, it hit a peak valuation of $2.2 trillion on the back of massive artificial intelligence (AI) expectations. This highlights how eager Wall Street is to fund the future of AI. While speculative hype often drives newly public entities to astronomical valuations, the most lucrative AI opportunities actually belong to established tech giants with the infrastructure to generate real financial gains. Investors searching for structural value do not need to look to the cosmos, really ! The Hidden AI Winner. A far more compelling opportunity exists in $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, a company currently trading at an $800

The recent mid-June market turbulence for both $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft boils down to a classic Wall Street standoff: surging demand for AI versus the jaw-dropping, cash-squeezing cost of building it. While the dip feels intense, looking at the structural drivers reveals why the market reacted this way, correcting a few key misconceptions about memory prices and AI demand along the way. The Premise Check: Memory Prices are Surging, Not Falling Your intuition that lower memory prices would help CapEx makes total sense in a typical tech cycle—but right now, the exact opposite is happening. Instead of coming down, memory prices are experiencing a massive inflationary

Meta & Microsoft Crash:  Are They Buys or Byes? 🌟🌟🌟The narrative that Big Tech could simply spend its way into infinite prosperity has officially been shattered.  The recent 25% correction pulling $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  and $Microsoft(MSFT)$  down from their historic peaks is no longer just a standard technical pullback.  It is a violent re-rating of the AI investment horizon. Investors are realising that building the future of computing requires an unprecedented, stomach churning amount of capital, all while legacy infrastructure fractures under the weight of the expansion. The Microsoft Crisis: Massive Cape

Both are descending into oversold territory. Opportunity awaits when the trend reverses.  @koolgal  @astrophore  @ahhock  @surewin  @Barcode  @Atlantis1920  @逆天邪神云澈  @Justin bala  @gnustiy  @pretiming

This is worth it and I would like to see more 

Definitely a buying opportunity buying Microsoft & Meta at these prices 

Yup. More downside ahead. 10%.😊

AI commercialization remains concentrated in infrastructure; giants like Microsoft (MSFT) must bridge heavy CAPEX with direct software monetization—though its 123% surge in AI run-rate revenue to $37 billion shows scaling adoption. Forward multiples are adjusting, with Nvidia (NVDA) trading at a compressed forward P/E of 22, down from historical peaks. This coincides with a hawkish tightening cycle, highlighted by the Fed holding the funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% while raising its median projection to 3.8%, signaling rates will stay higher for longer. Rather than the end of this bull market, the Fed's stance is a precautionary adjustment to engineer a soft landing. Consequently, the market is turning into a stock-picker's arena where cash-rich, cyclical companies outperform speculative tech. T

ARKK Investment Tracker position change: Decreased position in Meta Platforms, Inc. by 97,092 shares, the number of shares held decreased 45.71% compared to the previous period and now represents 1.03% of the total position.

ARKW Investment Tracker position change: Decreased position in Meta Platforms, Inc. by 3,146 shares, the number of shares held decreased 5.18% compared to the previous period and now represents 2.23% of the total position.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $SpaceX(SPCX)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  🔴🔴🔴 AI Giants Under Pressure As Wall Street Reprices Risk 🔴🔴🔴 📉 I’m watching a significant shift in market positioning today as some of the largest AI beneficiaries face aggressive options activity and renewed downside pressure. $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, and $MSFT are all under pressure, with defensive positioning building: 🔴 $GOOGL puts lead calls by $5M+ 🔴 $META puts lead calls by $10M+ 🔴 $AMZN puts lead calls by $7M+ 🔴 $MSFT puts lead calls by $6M+ The important detail is not simply that these stocks are falling. It is that traders are paying for downside protection after one of the stronges

For the next 6 months (to around December 2026), I would view NVIDIA as a stock with strong upside potential but also higher-than-average volatility. NVDA remains the dominant company in AI infrastructure, data-center GPUs, and next-generation AI computing. Wall Street’s current consensus remains strongly bullish, with average 12-month analyst targets generally clustering around US$290–310. My 6-Month Scenario Analysis Scenario 6-Month Target Bear Case US$180 – US$210 Base Case US$240 – US$280 Bull Case US$300 – US$350 Extreme Bull Case Above US$350 Current trading levels are around US$207. What Could Drive NVDA Higher? 1. Continued AI spending by hyperscalers such as Microsoft⁠, Amazon Web Services⁠, and Meta⁠. 2. Launch and adoption of the Rubin AI platform expected during the second