$XIAOMI-W(01810)$ Markets are not confused. They are questioning sustainability. Xiaomi just delivered: π° RMB 39.2B net profit (record high) π +43.8% YoY growth π€ Aggressive RMB 60B AI investment plan And yet... π The stock is drifting lower. That disconnect is the trade. π§ What the Market Is Actually Pricing This is not about the past. It is about what comes next. Right now, the market sees 3 things: 1. π Peak Margin Risk Record profits often signal cycle highs, not beginnings. Memory costs rising Pricing pressure in smartphones EV business still scaling π Margins may compress from here 2. πΈ AI Spend = Near-Term Drag RMB 60B into AI is not small. It means: Higher capex Longer payback cycles Uncertain monetisation
Xiaomi Record Profit, But Stock Still Low: Would You Add at HK$30?
Xiaomi reported its annual results, with adjusted net profit reaching RMB 39.166 billion, up 43.8% year-over-year, marking a record high. However, despite the strong earnings, Xiaomiβs current share price is HK$32, and it has been continuously breaking down after reaching its peak. The company plans to invest RMB 60 billion in AI over the next three years. If memory prices rise beyond expectations, the company may consider raising product prices Can Xiaomi hold HK$30, or will it continue to break down and repeat the βhalving curseβ? With record-high net profit, would you buy Xiaomi on dips?
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