Michael Esther
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04-28 23:15

SPY could easily fill gap between $528-$535

US GDP for Q1 2025 is on April 30 at 8:30am! Everyone knows the market has slowed down a lot because of Trump tariffs.But, no one is expecting it to come in negative. If it does come in closer to -0.5 and the forecast for 2025 is worse.Then $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is going hereImageIf GDP is negative this Wednesday then SPY could easily fill this gap between $528-$535.Image $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ key levels here with 200SMA at $291. When we break above this level $291 and then target is $330+ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find o
SPY could easily fill gap between $528-$535

5 key levels of SPY you need to memorize

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ bounced 15% in 15 days back to $550. The bottom of market was on April 7 at $480.But, 75 days from now if no tariff deal is made with China, SPY will crash towards $450.Here's 5 key levels of SPY you need to memorize 🧵1. Breakaway gap from $545-$555. This level needs to be filled right away to show strength in the market. You can see right now its a big level of selling pressure. It will most likely get filled and head towards 50SMA at $563.Image2. This is a common gap from $526-$534. In the next week or so the market will find a way to close this gap so we are not of the woods yet, there will be chaos as the SPY still is in battle in this range from $480-$550.Image3. 200SMA is at $573 right now. Until we can close
5 key levels of SPY you need to memorize

Apple, Tesla, and the Power of Visionary CEOs

I started in 2012 swingtrading shares with $5000The first stocks I bought were $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ I bought this because I like the companies and I really loved the vision of the CEOsApple was $220 back then before all the splitsAmazon was $233 Tesla was $60In 2013 I started options and luckily turned $2000 into $24,000 within 2 weeks when I invested in Apple options right before the bigger phone came out when my brother had told me they were gonna come out with a new phone. He told me to get options . I called my broker and asked them, How do I buy an option? After that, I started studying like crazy trying to find out the next
Apple, Tesla, and the Power of Visionary CEOs

Tesla Faces Critical Test Ahead of Earnings

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ earnings is on April 22 (this Tuesday) right after market closes at 4pm EST.The DESCENDING TRIANGLE pattern set-up here explains it all. It could easily destroy the company.3 things to focus on and I'm sharing this play for TSLA earnings:1. Robotaxi Launch: TSLA plans to initiate its first commercial robotaxi network in Austin by June 2025.Optimus Robot: Updates on the development of the Optimus humanoid robot are anticipated, with discussions on scaling production.Affordable Model Y: Production of a more affordable Model Y to begin in mid-2025.2. In Q1 2025, TSLA delivered 336,681 vehicles, which is a 13% decrease from 2024. Production for Q1 was 362,615 vehicles. Analyst expectations were higher, with some predicting between
Tesla Faces Critical Test Ahead of Earnings

SPY crashed 22% from $613 to $480, 3 times the market sold off

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crashed 22% from $613 to $480. 3 times the market sold off like this:❌2008 Financial Crisis❌2020 Covid Pandemic❌2022 Inflation fearsMake sure you know these 5 critical levels for the SPY:Image1. 200SMA is at $574. This is a very big level for the institutions. As long as we stay below this level the market is no longer in the uptrend and this is not good for bulls.A recession could easily happen in 2025 the longer we stay under this level.2. The death cross happend last week 50SMA crossing below 200SMA for the first time after 3 years. This is an extreme bearish signal for the market.3. SPY is holding support right now at strong and big level at $510. This is also a massive Fib golden ratio at 50%. The bulls will n
SPY crashed 22% from $613 to $480, 3 times the market sold off

Here's 10 things JPOW said everyone missed but insanely important

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crashed almost 5% in 2 hours because JPOW said bad things about economy.Here's 10 things he said everyone missed but insanely important:1. “Tariffs will likely raise inflation and slow growth.”Stat: Tariffs announced are “larger than anticipated.” Businesses have increased imports early in Q1 2025 to beat tariff hikes, dragging GDP forecasts down.2. “Inflation is falling, but still above 2%.”Stat: Headline PCE inflation is at 2.3%, Core PCE is 2.6% YoY (March 2025).3. “Labor market is solid but job growth is slowing.”Stat: U.S. added ~150,000 jobs/month in early 2025, down from 2024’s pace.4. “Higher inflation and higher unemployment may happen together.”Stat: Fed is preparing for stagflation-like conditions (infla
Here's 10 things JPOW said everyone missed but insanely important

SPY is DEATH CROSS!

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at $540. 50SMA about to cross below 200SMA on DAILY chart. This is DEATH CROSS. One of the biggest bear signals in technical analysis.The last time this happened in March 2022 it lasted for 1 year to Feb 2023. The market was in a massive downtrend.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
SPY is DEATH CROSS!

SPY piercing pattern set-up

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ piercing pattern set-up: One of the most powerful patterns in technical analysis. The bottom of SPY is most likely in at $480:✅ reversal pattern✅ confirmed by buyers and volume✅ next target is $550 then $600+ImageImageBullish reversal CHEATSHEET (this is all you need)4 things to know 🔑1. Higher timeframe you see these patterns the stronger it is2. Above ave volume confirms the move3. More powerful when you see these at support4. If it breaks the High of previous candle (it is strong)ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Ca
SPY piercing pattern set-up

Stocks swing for three reasons

90% of people looking at this chart has no idea what is happening, but it impacts everyone. Here's why:JPM says there's a crisis in the financial system right now — kind of like the pipes in a house getting clogged, but no one's noticing yet.What’s causing this?3 big reasons:Foreign countries are selling US bonds – Countries like China and Japan are selling the “IOUs” they hold. This is like them saying, “We need our money back.”Big investors are getting scared – So they’re protecting their money instead of trading freely. Like if you were worried about the stock market, and decided to hide all your money under the mattress.Hedge funds are backing out of complicated trades – They used to make money by doing fancy trades with bonds, but now those trades are too risky, so they’re pulling out
Stocks swing for three reasons

The tech world would explode, who wins?

Everyone’s talking about Trump’s new tariffs, but most people missed the part where your iPhone and laptop were spared. Here’s what’s going on:Trump dropped a massive tariff bomb — some goods now face up to 145% tariffs if they come from countries like China, Vietnam, and India.But — tech stuff like computers, phones, and chips? Totally exempt.Why?Because if he taxed that stuff, we’d all be paying $2,000 for a laptop and $1,500 for a phone — and the tech world would explode.Translation: He doesn’t want a consumer revolt right before the election.So who wins? $Apple(AAPL)$ and tech giants – no supply chain headaches🛍️ Shoppers – no surprise price hikes📈 Markets – tech stocks breathed a sigh of reliefBut don’t get too comfy.This was a strategic carv
The tech world would explode, who wins?

The SPY hardly moved

The SPY hardly moved from US PPI data and it was really good (lower inflation) and this is why:What’s the data saying?1.US PPI YoY (Year-over-Year):Actual: 2.7%Expected: 3.3%Previous: 3.2%✅ Came in lower than expected!2.US PPI MoM (Month-over-Month):Actual: -0.4%Expected: 0.2%Previous: 0.0%✅ Negative – prices dropped this month!3.US Core PPI YoY (excludes food & energy):Actual: 3.3%Expected: 3.6%Previous: 3.4%✅ Softer than expected!4.US Core PPI MoM:Actual: -0.1%Expected: 0.3%Previous: -0.1%✅ Still negative – very soft inflation pressureWhat does this mean? (Simple Terms)PPI = inflation for businesses.If it’s going up, costs go up, which may lead to price hikes for consumers.This report shows inflation is cooling off – businesses are paying less or not seeing much cost increases.How do
The SPY hardly moved

Why SPY was going to drop at least 10% more after March 19 FOMC

I correctly explained why $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was going to drop at least 10% more after March 19 FOMC here:ImageThe ultimate trade to trade for SPY is when $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ hits 80+ and heading towards 100+ At these prices take SPY 30-50 points out of money and expiry 3-4 weeks.So if VIX is at 95 and SPY is at 410 take these:SPY calls $440 for June 2025.This is a low risk and high reward trade is VIX most likely will collapse back to 50 quickly while SPY will spike up fast in recovery.The volatility and uncertainty of market will subside will good news.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limi
Why SPY was going to drop at least 10% more after March 19 FOMC

Here's how VIX chart must explain exactly

The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ declined 21% and can easily drop another 20%.No one knows when the bottom will come in, but the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ does.Here's how VIX chart must explain exactly when 🧵 ImageWhat’s the VIX?The VIX is like a "fear meter" for the stock market. When it goes up, it means investors are nervous or scared. When it’s low, investors feel calm and confident.Its a gauge for uncertainty and volatility.What does this chart show?The VIX went from around 15 all the way up to over 60.That’s a huge spike, which means fear or panic shot up really fast.The highest point was 60.13, then it dropped a bit to 52.33.ImageWhat caused this?This kind of spike usually happens when someth
Here's how VIX chart must explain exactly

10 SPY trading lessons that you should use for life

Everything you learn in trading you can use in life. Its the most lucrative skill to master for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ :10 trading lessons that you should use for life 🧵1. Cut Losses Quickly — Don’t Let Mistakes CompoundTrading: A losing trade can bleed you dry if you let your ego keep you in. Cut it.Life: Whether it's a toxic relationship, bad habit, or a failing business idea—don't let your pride prevent you from letting go. The sooner you act, the smaller the damage.Timing Lesson: Recognize when something is no longer serving you and act decisively before it drains your energy or resources.2. Let Winners Run — Don’t Sabotage MomentumTrading: When a trade is working, don’t get out just because you’re scared to lose your gains.Life: Whe
10 SPY trading lessons that you should use for life

JPM betting on SPY 5 things to happen

JPM makes billions on option when it trades under 5000 towards 4500 for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ so they are betting on 5 things to happen here:1. China tariffs with US to escalate2. A recession or GDP in Q1 to be negative3. Corporate earnings and corporate debt to weaken4. Consumer to default on debt payments5. Inflation to spike because of tariffsOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
JPM betting on SPY 5 things to happen

Here's 7 reasons why China wouldn't negotiate at all

China invented gunpowder and spaghetti. Most people think they will concede and make a deal with President Trump:But, this is a big mistake. 1. Tariffs Haven’t Worked BeforeTrump tried tariffs back in 2018-2019, and guess what? China didn’t fold. Instead, both sides ended up with economic pain, and the U.S. consumer paid more. China has already been through this and survived. They’re not scared to go through it again.2. They’re Less Dependent on the U.S. NowBack in 2018, China relied a lot more on selling stuff to America. But since then, they’ve diversified — building stronger trade ties with countries in Asia, Africa, and Europe. That means they’re not as desperate to keep the U.S. happy like they used to be.3. Retaliation Tools Are ReadyChina has learned how to hit back. If Trump raises
Here's 7 reasons why China wouldn't negotiate at all

VIX can break 70 and head towards 85 to retest

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ hit 85 on March 2020 and changed the course of history forever. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crashed 25% in 2 days.Trump tariffs are 100x worse in economic impact. VIX can break 70 and head towards 85 to retest.These companies have not reached the bottom yet: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(
VIX can break 70 and head towards 85 to retest

All these companies will now be in big trouble if the FEDS don't cut rates soon

In 3 months, US government has to refinance $4 trillion or pay $10 billion in interest payments. And President Trump knows we don't have money to pay this at all.This is why the FEDS must lower interest rates – and what it means for YOU:Over the next 2 years, the U.S. government has to refinance nearly $10 TRILLION in debt.That’s like refinancing a MASSIVE mortgage – and the new "interest rate" is way higher than the old one.In 2025 alone:$6.2 trillion in debt comes due. It gets rolled over (refinanced), not paid off.Higher interest = higher paymentsWhy it matters to YOU:If rates stay high (like now at ~5.25%). The government pays hundreds of billions more just in interest That extra cost doesn’t come from thin air. It leads to higher taxes, cut social benefits, or more inflation down the
All these companies will now be in big trouble if the FEDS don't cut rates soon

Everyday things like iPhone become more expensive with tariff

Tariffs are a good thing if you don’t need an IPhone or buy new shoes. In fact, if you don’t eat ginger beef or Peking duck from China, tariffs won’t matter.Example 1: iPhoneLet’s say $Apple(AAPL)$ makes part of the iPhone in China. If it costs $500 to produce and bring it to the U.S.:•Without a tariff: Apple pays $500•With a 30% tariff: Apple pays $500 + $150 = $650Apple won’t want to lose profit, so they’ll raise the price for you. That same iPhone that used to cost $1,000 might now cost $1,150 or more.Example 2: ShoesImagine a pair of shoes made in China costs $50 to import.•Without a tariff: The company pays $50•With a 30% tariff: They pay $50 + $15 = $65To keep their profits, the store might raise the price from $100 to $115 or $120.Summary:W
Everyday things like iPhone become more expensive with tariff

Here's the bottoms for 10 tickers

JPM makes MAXIMUM money with long puts at 4500 for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (check chart)20% from all time highs for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is under $500. Here's the bottoms for 10 tickers 🧵 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$
Here's the bottoms for 10 tickers

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