Michael Esther
Michael Esther
No personal profile
17Follow
1923Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarMichael Esther
10-13 07:05

$SPX Chop Can Be a Beautiful Options Setup ๐Ÿฆ‹

A boring market can create some interesting opportunities. Slow, sideways $S&P 500(.SPX)$ action can frustrate traders chasing calls and puts. But for the right strategy, lack of movement can be an advantage. Hereโ€™s why ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿฆ‹ BUTTERFLIES When price stays near your butterflyโ€™s center strike, time decay can work in your favor as expiration approaches. Youโ€™re targeting where price settlesโ€”not betting on a massive breakout. ๐Ÿ’ฐ CREDIT SPREADS Selling out-of-the-money call spreads above resistance or put spreads below support lets you collect premium. If price stays safely away from your short strike, time decay can reduce the spreadโ€™s value, potentially allowing you to close it for a profit. The key difference: ๐Ÿฆ‹ Butterflies want price near the center
$SPX Chop Can Be a Beautiful Options Setup ๐Ÿฆ‹
avatarMichael Esther
10-12 18:49

$SPY Big Week Ahead ๐Ÿ“ˆ CPI + PPI Could Trigger a Gamma Squeeze Toward $785

BIG WEEK for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ! ๐Ÿ”ฅ Two major inflation catalysts are coming: Wednesday: CPI Thursday: PPI Iโ€™m looking for softer inflation readings, which could strengthen expectations for a Fed rate cut on October 28. If both CPI and PPI come in cooler than expected, markets could reprice rate-cut expectations quickly and fuel a massive gamma squeeze. ๐ŸŽฏ Upside target: $SPY $785 The setup is there, but the inflation data needs to cooperate. Hotter-than-expected numbers could flip the script just as quickly. Watch the data. Watch the reaction. If inflation comes in soft and momentum builds, $785 could come into play. ๐Ÿš€ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil pr
$SPY Big Week Ahead ๐Ÿ“ˆ CPI + PPI Could Trigger a Gamma Squeeze Toward $785

$PLTR LEAPS Turned a $105 Thesis Into a $110K Gain

Everyone wants to find the next $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ . Few talk about how to hold a winner long enough for the thesis to play out. I called long-term LEAPS near $105. My $200 stock target just hit, with gains now up $110,000. Thatโ€™s the power of LEAPS. More time for a long-term thesis to play out without having to nail next weekโ€™s move. ๐Ÿ”Ž 5 names worth researching for a similar approach $Snowflake(SNOW)$ โ€” Data + AI $ServiceNow(NOW)$ โ€” AI-powered workflows $SpaceX(SPCX)$ โ€” Space launch + Starlink satellite internet $Datadog(DDOG)$ โ€” Cloud + AI monitoring
$PLTR LEAPS Turned a $105 Thesis Into a $110K Gain

๐Ÿ”ฅ $GOOGL at $340

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ We posted the level and the contracts before the headlines hit. As long as $340 holds as support, the bullish setup remains intact. The focus now is whether buyers can defend this level and keep the momentum going. If support holds, adding exposure on strength or controlled pullbacks could keep the longer-term opportunity in play. ๐Ÿ“Œ October 16 $350 calls โ€” Short-term upside exposure if momentum continues. ๐Ÿ“Œ March 2027 $370/$400 bull call spread โ€” A defined-risk way to position for a move higher over the coming months. ๐Ÿ“Œ January 2028 $450 calls โ€” LEAPS โ€” Longer-term exposure to the thesis, with more time for the move to develop. The strategy spans three time horizons, from a near-term catalyst trade to a longer-term bet on contin
๐Ÿ”ฅ $GOOGL at $340

$SPX $SPY | How $1,000 Could Scale to $100K a Month

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ How $1,000 Could Scale to $100K a Month ๐Ÿ“ˆ The idea is simple: start with one credit spread, then gradually increase the number of spreads as your capital grows. Assume each spread requires $1,000 in margin and generates $100 in profit. Week 1โ€“2 1 spread per day โ†’ $100/day โ†’ roughly $500/week After two weeks, youโ€™ve built up roughly $1,000 in profits, bringing the account to about $2,000. Week 3 2 spreads/day โ†’ $200/day โ†’ $1,000/week Week 4 3 spreads/day โ†’ $300/day โ†’ $1,500/week Week 5 4 spreads/day โ†’ $400/day โ†’ $2,000/week Week 6 5 spreads/day โ†’ $500/day โ†’ $2,500/week โ€ฆand so on. The idea is to add roughly one additional spread each week as the account
$SPX $SPY | How $1,000 Could Scale to $100K a Month

$AMD $MU $NVDA $AVGO The Earnings Growth Behind My Long-Term Positions

$99,171 on the day. $2.8M in open profit. The biggest change in my trading wasnโ€™t a new indicator or a better entry. It was learning to think in quarters instead of watching every candle. I still day trade. But I also build positions that give strong companies time to grow. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Start With Earnings Growth I go on Nasdaq and look for companies with strong EPS growth. What are they earning? How fast are those earnings growing? And is that growth continuing into the next quarter? I want a reason to own the company that goes beyond a chart looking good. Strong earnings growth gets my attention. Then price and risk determine whether I take the trade. Thatโ€™s why Iโ€™m long: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Micron Technology(
$AMD $MU $NVDA $AVGO The Earnings Growth Behind My Long-Term Positions

$ARM +680% and the $SPCX Long-Term Playbook

My long-term $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ calls are up 680%+ in this screenshot. And Iโ€™m approaching $SpaceX(SPCX)$ with a similar playbook. I waited for the pullback after the IPO, started buying around $110, and kept adding. My $SPCX shares now average around $115, up roughly 50%, while my December 2028 calls are up nearly 68%. Hereโ€™s what gave me the conviction to keep holding. ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿป ๐Ÿ›ฐ๏ธ Long-Term Demand In May, SpaceX won a $4.16B Space Force agreement to develop satellites capable of tracking airborne threats globally. That came on top of a national security launch contract with an anticipated value of nearly $6B. These arenโ€™t one-quarter catalysts. They represent years of potential work ahead. SpaceX still has to
$ARM +680% and the $SPCX Long-Term Playbook

$AMZN Above $253 Could Trigger a Bigger Breakout

A close above $253 would be ultra-bullish for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ . The breakout targets Iโ€™m watching: ๐ŸŽฏ $270+ first ๐ŸŽฏ $300 by Q1 2027 Similar breakout setups have already played out in $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $AMZN reclaiming key levels would put the stock back on tradersโ€™ radar, with the chart now showing a potential trendline break attempt. The next step is simple: Can buyers sustain momentum and push through overhead resistance? Weโ€™ve been
$AMZN Above $253 Could Trigger a Bigger Breakout

$AAPL +556% ๐ŸŽ Stay Invested, Donโ€™t Chase Every Move

You donโ€™t have to catch every daily move to catch a big winner. ๐Ÿ‘€ My $Apple(AAPL)$ positions: ๐ŸŽ Shares โ€” DCA every month ๐ŸŽ Long-term calls โ€” +556% This is why shares + long-term LEAPS remains one of my favorite strategies. Build ownership in companies you believe in. Add measured options exposure for upside. Give your thesis time to play out. You donโ€™t need to catch every move. You need to stay positioned for the big one. ๐ŸŽ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. Thereโ€™s no one-size-fits-all choice in investing โ€” and the same goes for Tige
$AAPL +556% ๐ŸŽ Stay Invested, Donโ€™t Chase Every Move

3 Big Watches: $AMD, $AAPL, $NVDA

๐Ÿ”ฅ 3 BIG WATCHES FOR THE NEXT MOVE Iโ€™m watching three very different setups: 1๏ธโƒฃ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ โ€” Continuation Setup Double hammer candles on the daily chart. ๐Ÿ”จ๐Ÿ”จ If the continuation confirms, Iโ€™m watching: ๐ŸŽฏ $635 โ†’ $640 Calls are the trade Iโ€™m watching here. $AMD closed at $633.91 on Oct. 2, putting those levels directly in focus. 2๏ธโƒฃ $Apple(AAPL)$ โ€” Bottom Confirmation $AAPL had a big reversal yesterday. Now Iโ€™m watching for confirmation that the bottom is in. ๐Ÿ”‘ $325 is the level. If price can hold/reclaim that area, Iโ€™m watching for the upside move. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Calls are on my radar. $AAPL closed at $333.69 on Oct. 2, above that $325 level. 3๏ธโƒฃ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
3 Big Watches: $AMD, $AAPL, $NVDA

$MU Could Add $1,000 to Reach the $2,200 Street-High Target

๐Ÿšจ $Micron Technology(MU)$ IS GETTING SOME SERIOUS WALL STREET TARGETS After earnings, analysts continued raising their expectations for Micron. The highest target is now $2,200 from Melius Research. D.A. Davidson is at $2,100, while Cantor Fitzgerald sits at $2,000. Current analyst data also shows a low target of $1,200. That $2,200 target would mean roughly another $1,000/share from the recent ~$1,200 level. ๐Ÿ“Š The targets ๐Ÿ”ฅ $2,200 โ€” Melius ๐Ÿ”ฅ $2,100 โ€” D.A. Davidson ๐Ÿ”ฅ $2,000 โ€” Cantor Fitzgerald ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,900 โ€” Rosenblatt ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,750 โ€” KeyBanc ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,650 โ€” Needham ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,625 โ€” UBS ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,600 โ€” TD Cowen ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,550 โ€” BofA ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,540 โ€” J.P. Morgan ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,520 โ€” Baird ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,500 โ€” Stifel ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,400 โ€” Wedbush ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,400 โ€” Mizuho ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,300 โ€” Bernstein ๐Ÿ”ฅ $1,300 โ€” Citi ๐ŸŸก $1,250 โ€” Goldm
$MU Could Add $1,000 to Reach the $2,200 Street-High Target

$AMD Hammer Candle Before the Reversal

๐Ÿ”จ FIND THIS $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ HAMMER CANDLE ON THE DAILY CHART. This is what $AMD looked like before the reversal. Scary, right? ๐Ÿ‘€ But hereโ€™s the key: The hammer itself isnโ€™t the buy signal. The confirmation is. ๐ŸŽฏ The setup 1๏ธโƒฃ Wait for confirmation The next day, let price break above the hammerโ€™s high. 2๏ธโƒฃ Enter on strength Donโ€™t anticipate the reversal.Let buyers prove theyโ€™re taking control. 3๏ธโƒฃ Define the risk Place your stop below the hammerโ€™s low. If that level breaks, the setup failed. 4๏ธโƒฃ Target the bounce Look for the next major resistance level or roughly 2โ€“3R. 5๏ธโƒฃ Follow the plan โŒ Donโ€™t chase โŒ Donโ€™t average down โŒ Donโ€™t turn a reversal trade into a long-term hold ๐Ÿ’ก The $AMD hammer tells you where buyers showed up. The con
$AMD Hammer Candle Before the Reversal

$TSLA Deliveries Beat. Hereโ€™s the Gamma Squeeze Setup

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q3 DELIVERIES BEAT EXPECTATIONS Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3, well above estimates around 463Kโ€“464K. Production came in at 464,391. That delivery beat is already getting attention, with $TSLA shares jumping roughly 5% after the report. ๐Ÿ“Š The key numbers ๐Ÿš— Q3 deliveries: 486,532 ๐Ÿญ Q3 production: 464,391 ๐Ÿ“ˆ Est. deliveries: ~463,761 ๐Ÿ”‹ Energy storage deployments: 13.7 GWh Deliveries were down roughly 2% YoY from 497,099, but improved from 480,126 in Q2. Model 3 and Model Y accounted for 98% of deliveries. ๐ŸŽฏ Hereโ€™s my gamma squeeze setup The level Iโ€™m watching is: $359.79 โ€” previous day high If $TSLA can hold above $359.79 or reclaim it, Iโ€™ll be watching: ๐Ÿ”ฅ Oct. 2 $360โ€“$365 calls for a potential move toward $365+. No chas
$TSLA Deliveries Beat. Hereโ€™s the Gamma Squeeze Setup

$AVGO Is Nearly 30% Below Its High. Iโ€™m Watching This Setup

๐Ÿšจ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ IS NEARLY 30% BELOW ITS $495 HIGH. Meanwhile, Broadcom just delivered: ๐Ÿ“ˆ Revenue growth: +86% YoY ๐Ÿ“ˆ Adjusted EPS growth: +96% YoY ๐Ÿ”ฅ AI semiconductor revenue: +221% YoY And management expects AI revenue growth of 236% next quarter. Thatโ€™s why this pullback has my attention. ๐Ÿ‘€ ๐ŸŽฏ The setup Iโ€™m watching $AVGO is around $347 on this chart. A move back to the previous $495 high would represent roughly 43% upside from here. Key levels: ๐ŸŸข $330โ€“345 โ†’ Buyers need to defend ๐Ÿ”‘ $360โ€“365 โ†’ Reclaim would strengthen the setup ๐Ÿš€ $400 โ†’ First upside level ๐Ÿš€ $430 โ†’ Next target ๐ŸŽฏ $495 โ†’ Previous high โš ๏ธ I donโ€™t want to chase the first bounce. I want to see price confirm the reversal before taking the swing. If $330โ€“345 fails, the setup weakens. St
$AVGO Is Nearly 30% Below Its High. Iโ€™m Watching This Setup

$SPY Could Be in Trouble If Yields Keep Climbing

โš ๏ธ The bond market is flashing a warning that stocks canโ€™t ignore. The 10Y and 30Y Treasury yields just hit their highest levels since 2002: ๐Ÿ“ˆ 10Y: ~5.33% ๐Ÿ“ˆ 30Y: ~5.67% And hereโ€™s the part that gets my attention: The last time yields were around these levels, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was in the middle of a 49% crash. ๐Ÿ“‰ Why are yields rising? This time, the pressure is coming from several directions: ๐Ÿ”ฅ Sticky energy-driven inflation ๐Ÿฆ A Fed that just hiked for the first time in 3 years ๐Ÿ’ฐ Fiscal concerns pushing investors to demand more compensation for holding US debt Higher long-term yields mean higher discount rates. And that creates the most pressure on long-duration growth stocks โ€” exactly the AI and tech names carrying the index. ๐Ÿšจ T
$SPY Could Be in Trouble If Yields Keep Climbing

$MU Hit $1,100, Iโ€™m Still Bullish Toward $1,250

I said to buy $Micron Technology(MU)$ at $80. Now itโ€™s trading above $1,000 โ€” and the crazy part? $MU is cheaper right now. ๐Ÿ‘€ ๐ŸŽฏ I didnโ€™t just call $MU to $1,100. I called $1,100 as the earnings target for this quarter. Then $MU hit it. At that point, I said the earnings move was already priced in and told members to consider a $1,000 / $1,100 / $1,200 butterfly instead of chasing calls. Now earnings are out, and the $1,100 target was right on the money. ๐Ÿ”ฅ But Iโ€™m not done with the thesis. Iโ€™m still bullish on $MU into Q4, with $1,250 as my next target. $80 โ†’ $1,100 was the first leg. Now Iโ€™m watching what comes next. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate ex
$MU Hit $1,100, Iโ€™m Still Bullish Toward $1,250

3 Stocks That Could Follow the $INTC Playbook

$Intel(INTC)$ went from $20 to $140 in one year. Thatโ€™s roughly a 7x move. Now the market is starting to look for the next companies with a similar strategic setup โ€” small enough to rerate dramatically, but tied to sectors Washington considers strategically important. Here are 3 names on my radar ๐Ÿ‘‡ 1๏ธโƒฃ $Aeluma, Inc.(ALMU)$ ๐Ÿ”ฌ Small-cap semiconductor + photonics play. Aeluma has signed a letter of intent involving CHIPS Act funding in exchange for a government equity stake. The company is tiny relative to the other names here, which means the upside could be substantial if the deal closes and execution follows. 2๏ธโƒฃ $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Washington is back
3 Stocks That Could Follow the $INTC Playbook

$DKNG Could Be the 52-Week Low Ready to Reverse

๐Ÿ“‰ Stocks sitting at 52-week lows $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ $12.60$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$ $22.02$Papa John's(PZZA)$ $19.55$Campbell Soup(CPB)$ $19.37$Li Auto(LI)$ $11.50$Simply Good Foods Company(SMPL)$ $9.60$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ $8.35$Sunrun(RUN)$ $8.11$Weibo(WB)$ $6.49$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$ $4.52 Out of this list, $DKNG is the one Iโ€™m watching for a potential reversal. Hereโ€™s
$DKNG Could Be the 52-Week Low Ready to Reverse

$MU HIT MY $1,100 TARGET

I called $Micron Technology(MU)$ to $1,100 when it was still trading in the $900s. I first posted the target on Sep 3 ahead of earnings, then repeated it on Sep 4, Sep 9, Sep 15 and Sep 17. On Sep 25, MU printed $1,108.72 โ€” five days before earnings. ๐Ÿ”ฅ +$159.28 per share ๐Ÿ”ฅ +16.8% from my original call ๐ŸŽฏ $1,100 TARGET: NAILED Now the options tape is pointing to the next levels: โ€ข 200 Oct 2 $1,100 calls โ†’ $510K premium โ€ข 9,048 OI at the $1,100 strike โ€ข ~$2.93M across long-dated $1,200 calls โ€ข ~$6.18M in visible opening $1,000-call activity across Oct/Nov The $1,100 target is done. Now the question is how far the positioning can push the next leg. ๐Ÿ‘€ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury y
$MU HIT MY $1,100 TARGET

10Y Hits 5.23%. Does That Mean $SPY Is About to Crash?

The 10Y just hit 5.23%, its highest level since June 2007. The immediate reaction is obvious: ๐Ÿ“‰ Higher yields ๐Ÿ“‰ Higher discount rates ๐Ÿ“‰ โ€œ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crash incomingโ€ But history tells a more nuanced story. Since 1953, the 10Y has broken above 5% nine times. Over the following 12 months: ๐Ÿ“Š Average $SPY return: +2% ๐Ÿ“Š Normal 12-month return: +9% ๐Ÿ”ป 4 of 9 periods were negative ๐Ÿ“‰ Average worst drawdown: -10% That's not a comfortable setup. But it also doesn't automatically equal a crash. The bigger question is why yields are rising. ๐Ÿ”ฅ 1๏ธโƒฃ AI earnings boom Hyperscalers are spending hundreds of billions on AI infrastructure. If that spending continues translating into real earnings growth, stocks don't need multiple expansion alone t
10Y Hits 5.23%. Does That Mean $SPY Is About to Crash?

Go to Tiger App to see more news