Tesla is heading into Q4 delivery results with expectations already reset lower, and that matters more than the headline number. 📊 The Hard Numbers (What the Market Is Pricing In) Q4 2025 consensus deliveries (median): ~420,400 vehicles Mean estimate: ~422,850 vehicles This implies year-on-year delivery decline for the second consecutive year Tesla shares are already ~8–10% off recent highs, suggesting expectations are no longer euphoric In other words, this is not a blowout expectations quarter—but it may not need to be. 🧠 Why a Miss May Not Break the Stock Tesla is no longer traded purely as an auto company. Investors are increasingly focused on: Autonomy and robotaxi optionality AI compute and inference scale Optimus and long-cycle robotics monetization Margin stabilization vs deli
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🚗 Tesla Q4 Deliveries: Short-Term Pain or a Setup for 2026?
🚗 Tesla Q4 Deliveries: Short-Term Pain or a Setup for 2026?
🇸🇬 Singapore as an MBTI Type? My pick: ESTJ – The Executive.
Like Singapore, the ESTJ is structured, efficient, goal-oriented, and thrives on systems that work. Think: 🛠 National policies that get implemented swiftly 🚀 Economic growth backed by strong planning 🧠 Logical thinking, pragmatic choices, and discipline Singapore doesn't leave things to chance—it executes. Just like an ESTJ. Bonus: Both value tradition, yet embrace innovation. Merdeka meets AI. 🧧⚙️ #SG60 #MBTI #TigerEvents #SingaporeSpirit
🇸🇬 Singapore as an MBTI Type? My pick: ESTJ – The Executive.
Circle vs CoreWeave: Which 20% Dip Is the Real Opportunity?
Both Circle (CRCL) and CoreWeave (CRWS) delivered strong Q3 results... yet both dropped more than 20% in a single week. Is this panic selling or the perfect setup for a rebound trade? After studying the price action, fundamentals, and macro catalysts, here's the most logical conclusion: 🔎 CRCL Is the Cleaner, More Predictable Rebound Setup. Yes, CoreWeave has long-term tailwinds — but Circle's price behaviour, sector correlation, and technical structure make it the more compelling short-term opportunity. 📌 1. CRCL Moves With Bitcoin — and BTC Is at a Decision Zone Circle’s drop this week wasn#t about earnings. It was about Bitcoin slipping below $100K, triggering broad crypto-linked selling. BTC is now near a strong demand zone where: ETF inflows remain positive Miner balances are rising a
Circle vs CoreWeave: Which 20% Dip Is the Real Opportunity?
🔥 Palantir’s $160 Question: Dip of the Month or Danger Zone?
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
🔥 Palantir’s $160 Question: Dip of the Month or Danger Zone?
⚠️ Nvidia: Concentration Risk or Buy-the-Dip?
Nvidia's latest earnings showed 39% of revenue tied to just 2 clients — a valid red flag for concentration risk. Markets hate single-point dependencies, which explains the post-earnings pullback. But history also shows: NVDA often dips after results, then rebounds on AI demand momentum. 🔎 Macro & Micro Factors Macro: September's Fed meeting and liquidity tone will drive tech multiples. A dovish Fed keeps growth names like NVDA supported. Micro: AI demand remains structurally strong, with hyperscalers still ramping capex. Customer concentration is a risk, but also reflects how entrenched NVDA is in AI buildouts. Street View: Despite the dip, 10+ institutions raised targets → new average ~$203, showing confidence in the medium term. 📊 Predictive Outlook Bearish Path: If risk-off persists
⚠️ Nvidia: Concentration Risk or Buy-the-Dip?
🌞 Solar Stocks Burned: Will the Sun Rise Again for Clean Energy Investors?
$Sunrun(RUN)$
🌞 Solar Stocks Burned: Will the Sun Rise Again for Clean Energy Investors?
🚀 Circle to $300... but why is $COIN lagging?
Circle is up 749% YTD, printing new highs after a 9.64% Monday surge on its partnership with Fiserv—a major stablecoin infrastructure play. Meanwhile, $COIN (Coinbase), its close partner, saw only modest gains. What gives? 📉 Not All Crypto Stocks Are Created Equal: 🟢 $CRCL (Circle) – Backed by narrative (stablecoin utility), real partnerships, and wild momentum. 🟡 $COIN – A proxy for broader crypto sentiment, but it lags when volumes are flat or when regulators start sniffing around. 🔴 $MSTR – Tracks BTC almost 1:1. When $BTC stalls, $MSTR dips. ⚫ $SBET – Thin liquidity and profit-taking hit harder during volatility. 📊 What's Moving the Needle? BTC hovering near 100K = market indecision ETF inflows slowing = lower conviction Rotation into altcoin infrastructure plays like Circle Cathie Woo
🚀 Circle to $300... but why is $COIN lagging?
Bullish for Bullish?
$Bullish(BLSH)$ Here's my game plan for $BULLISH after the +80% IPO pop and another +9% follow-through — quick, practical, and predictive: What's driving it Classic post-IPO momentum: tight float + algo demand + retail rotation into "new story". Price now trades well above IPO reference and day-1 VWAP — momentum is intact but fragile. Next catalysts: quiet-period expiry (~25–30 days post-IPO → analyst initiations), first earnings/metrics update, and any lock-up headlines (check the S-1; most are ~180 days but watch for early releases). Levels I'm trading Support (buy-the-dip zone): $64–66 (day-2 base / 5-day moving area). If reclaimed on rising volume → high-probability bounce. Deeper support: $58–60 (gap body). Only nibble here with tight risk;
🚀 AMD vs Nvidia: High Potential or Proven Titan? 💥
AMD just threw down the gauntlet. Its new MI325 GPU accelerator is squarely aimed at Nvidia's H200 — a move that could reshape the AI chip race. With the AI boom still in full swing, investors are asking: is it time to bet on the underdog with upside, or stay safe with the market leader? 📊 Current Snapshot: AMD's MI325 expected to deliver 30% higher compute density Nvidia still holds over 80% of AI GPU market share Hedge funds adding exposure to both — AMD for growth, NVDA for stability 💡 Short-Term Outlook: $NVDA likely sees near-term consolidation after earnings rally $AMD might attract speculative inflows — watch for volume spike if it breaks $165 resistance AI chip ETFs ($SOXX, $SMH) could benefit from rising sector buzz 🌎 Macro Watch: FOMC speakers this week could stir volatility US Q
🎯 Stock > Options? Yes, But Only If You Survive the Middle
I've experienced both — options giving me 300% overnight, and stocks giving me 200% over time. But here's the catch: most traders can't emotionally survive long enough to enjoy big stock gains. For example: I held $MSTR from $140 to $400+ in 2023. That was a 200% return. Meanwhile, my $CRCL calls expired worthless twice… before the stock ran 80% the next week. Recently, someone posted a 222% gain on $TSM from holding through the chop. That's conviction and discipline. So, is stock > options? Sometimes, yes. But only if: You size right. You don't panic on -20% dips. You have a real thesis, not FOMO. Options are tools. Leverage is beautiful if used with a plan. But stocks reward patience — and time smooths out entry mistakes. These days, I run a 50/30/20 split: 50% conviction stocks (e.g.
🎯 Stock > Options? Yes, But Only If You Survive the Middle
🔍 How to Trade Earnings with Options: Navigating Volatility Like a Pro
Earnings season is heating up, with tech giants Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Qualcomm (QCOM) set to report this week. Goldman Sachs recently highlighted a critical insight—"negative asymmetry." This means positive earnings surprises often yield modest gains, while negative surprises trigger sharp sell-offs. So, how should investors tactically navigate these unpredictable waters? 🔮 Predictive Outlook for Upcoming Earnings Microsoft and Meta: Analysts anticipate strong numbers, especially driven by AI advancements and ad revenue recovery. However, bullish sentiment already priced in leaves limited upside. Any slight disappointment could trigger quick drops. Apple and Amazon: Both face macroeconomic pressures but continue to innovate and expand. Wa
🔍 How to Trade Earnings with Options: Navigating Volatility Like a Pro
🚨 Pullback or Pre-CPI Setup? | Stocks to Watch – 8 July
Markets cooled off sharply last Friday. Dow -0.94%, NASDAQ -0.92%, S&P 500 -0.79% — all pointing to risk-off flows heading into a crucial CPI week. Is this the shakeout before a breakout? 🔍 Key Watchlist $CRCL: After a volatile retracement, price is coiling between $180–$205. A BTC move above $110k could ignite a run toward $230. If it breaks $180, next support sits around $155. $MSTR: Underwhelming despite weekend BTC rebound. A hold above $420 could trigger a push to $450. Any weakness in BTC might drag it below $400—put spreads could work. $COIN: Trading under pressure near $240. Implied volatility is high. A surprise CPI print or BTC rally could push it back toward $260. $TSLA: Political tension (Trump-Musk) and robotaxi hype f
🧠 FOMC Showdown: Is This Where the Bull Breaks or Bounces?
The Fed isn't expected to cut this week — but that's not the real story. All eyes are on the dot plot. Because in 2024–25, the market doesn't move on reality. It moves on expectations. 🔍 What Traders Need to Watch 📉 Fewer than 2 cuts forecasted → hawkish surprise → market pullback 📊 2–3 cuts expected → aligns with soft landing thesis → bullish continuation 🚀 4+ cuts projected → market might cheer… but ask yourself: why so aggressive? 🧭 Key Trade Setup Trade Setup Risk SPY Short into Fed if dot plot surprises hawkish Strong macro data = sticky inflation fears QQQ Long if dot plot = 3 cuts + dovish Powell tone Tech rebound could lead next leg TLT (Bonds) Add exposure if market believes 'higher for longer' is fading Great risk-reward as rate expectations shift. 💬 My View: 📌 The Fed holds. Pow
🧠 FOMC Showdown: Is This Where the Bull Breaks or Bounces?
Is it a good time to buy Tesla stock?
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Is it a good time to buy Tesla stock? Not quite — and here is why: Tesla just lost over $150B in market value following Elon Musk’s public fallout with Donald Trump. With Trump threatening to pull federal contracts if re-elected, and Tesla already facing sliding sales in China and Europe, political risk is now real — not priced in. Unless Tesla repositions itself or Trump softens, don’t be surprised if TSLA dips below $150 before it finds real support. Watch the next CPI print and July earnings — that’s where the rebound (or breakdown) begins. All the best, fellow traders. Trade wisely, comrades!
🚀 Alibaba × Nvidia: The AI Alliance That Could Rewrite the Playbook
Alibaba's 10% after-hours jump wasn't just hype — it signals a deeper narrative: China's tech giant locking arms with the world's AI hardware king. Here's why this matters and what to watch next: 🔥 Why It's Big Scale Meets Silicon: Alibaba brings cloud scale, while Nvidia provides the chips and architecture. This partnership accelerates Alibaba's AI deployment, especially in Yunqi (its cloud platform). Ark's Vote of Confidence: Cathie Wood's Ark Invest quietly picked up ~$16.3M in Alibaba ADRs. Her timing aligns with institutional bets that BABA's AI pivot is real, not fluff. China Tech Re-Rating: With Beijing signaling support for digital infrastructure, partnerships like this could lift valuations across the sector. 📊 Price Action Setup BABA ADRs around $163 — now defending the pos
🚀 Alibaba × Nvidia: The AI Alliance That Could Rewrite the Playbook
📉 Powell Warns of Overvaluation: Crash Coming or Year-End Rally Ahead?
Fed Chair Jerome Powell's words — by many measures, U.S. stock valuations are quite high — rattled the markets. But the real question is: does this mark the start of a deeper correction, or is it just noise before the seasonal rally? 🔍 Key Takeaways Valuations Stretched: The S&P 500 trades near historic multiples, leaving less margin of safety if earnings stumble. Investor Sentiment Shaken: Powell's comment wasn't just about numbers — it targeted investor psychology, the very belief that keeps markets afloat. Seasonality Advantage: History shows markets often climb into year-end as funds rebalance and holiday spending boosts economic data. 📊 Predictive Outlook Short-Term: Expect choppiness — tech and growth names may see sharper pullbacks as bond yields stay sticky. Medium-Term: If inf
📉 Powell Warns of Overvaluation: Crash Coming or Year-End Rally Ahead?
Robotaxis + AI Infra: Why Baidu’s AI Loop Deserves a Second Look
Baidu's recent rally is not just a short-term headline move. It reflects something deeper that the market has long underestimated. While Alibaba and Tencent dominate consumer ecosystems, Baidu has quietly built the most vertically integrated AI stack in China: chips, models, cloud infrastructure, and now real-world deployment through robotaxis. That matters. The AI Loop Advantage The real winners in AI will not be those with the flashiest models, but those who can close the AI loop: Data → Model → Deployment → Feedback → Better Data Baidu is one of the few Chinese players already doing this at scale. Apollo robotaxis generate real-world driving data. That data feeds Baidu’s models. Those models improve deployment efficiency — lowering unit economics over time. This mirrors Google's early s
Robotaxis + AI Infra: Why Baidu’s AI Loop Deserves a Second Look
Refreshed Market Outlook | Stocks to Watch – 8 Aug
Market Snapshot Nasdaq leads with a cautious surprise, up +0.35%, while both the Dow Jones (-0.51%) and S&P 500 (-0.08%) signal lingering softness. Key Tickers to Watch Today Ticker Price Outlook $AMD ~$172.40 Strong rebound after Thursday's dip. Earnings-driven volatility lies ahead; anticipate a test around $180, with support near $170. $SMCI ~$46.67 Consolidation below post-earnings spike. Short-term resistance at $48-$49, support forming near $46. Analyst optimism from Barclays (Target: $45) may cushion downside. $CRCL – Crypto-linked names remain reactive to BTC moves. Look for support to hold above $130; any fresh crypto catalyst could bounce it to the $140s. $WOLF – Still under pressure. Without a broader market rebound, expect further weakness—watch for stabilization only if te
Rate Cuts, Crypto Strength & CRCL: What Next Week Holds
$Rezolve AI(RZLV)$ $Eightco Holdings Inc.(ORBS)$ $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ The macro winds have shifted. With Bitcoin at ~$113,275 and Ethereum at ~$4,161.66, risk sentiment is flashing green. The rate‑cut narrative is gaining steam, and capital is hunting yield across crypto and fintech. 🔍 What This Means for CRCL & the Pack CRCL (Circle Internet Group) CRCL's fortunes are tied to stablecoin flows and crypto infrastructure. With BTC and ETH strong, interest in digital asset rails tends to rise. If the U.S. inches toward clear regulation or favorable rules for stablecoins, CRCL could push higher. Expect any break above resistance to be
Rate Cuts, Crypto Strength & CRCL: What Next Week Holds
Year-End Options Recap 2025: The Trades That Paid Me, and the Ones That Taught Me
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ As 2025 winds down, it feels like the right moment to step back and be honest about the trades that defined the year for me, not just the wins, but the ones that tested discipline, patience, and ego. This was a year where markets rewarded timing and punished complacency. AI mania, crypto euphoria, sudden macro shifts, and violent rotations made it impossible to coast. You either managed risk actively, or the market managed you. Here are my two most memorable trades of 2025, for very different reasons: The Best Trade: Selling MSTR Before the Drop My most memorable win this year was not a flashy multi-bagger. It was selling MSTR before it rolled over. MSTR had become one of the most crowded expressions of Bitcoin optimis
Year-End Options Recap 2025: The Trades That Paid Me, and the Ones That Taught Me
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