AfraSimon
AfraSimon
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avatarAfraSimon
05-28 07:39

"Triple homicide" stoploss rule

My "triple homicide" stoploss rule. I rarely get fully stopped out (without looking to re-enter) until: - technical setup dies AND - fundamental structure dies AND - catalyst/narrative disappears If all three of those don't happen, 99% of the time I'm getting back in (esp if narrative is still strong/alive) I get stopped out ALL the time from a technical level breaking...but if the rest of the picture still looks good, I'm looking to reassess and re-enter nearly every single time. I see people get stopped out on the technical side and think the trade is over forever. But you respected risk, you're now flat, and can think with a perfectly clear mind. 1) did price change? - cool, it happens - reassess - build a new entry plan - define new risk - don't be afraid to get in again 2) have fundam
"Triple homicide" stoploss rule
avatarAfraSimon
05-27 08:59

The Space Trade Is Heating Up: RDW, ASTS, LUNR & VSAT Surge Double Digits

Space sector rerating is accelerating. $Redwire Corp.(RDW)$ Redwire +28.44% $Sidus Space Inc.(SIDU)$ Sidus Space +23.07% $Firefly Aerospace Inc.(FLY)$ Firefly Aerospace +19.69% $York Space Systems, Inc(YSS)$ York Space Systems +17.88% $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ AST SpaceMobile +17.32% $Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$ Spire Global +16.54% $Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ Intuitive Machines +15.87% $Gilat Satellite Networks(GILT)$ Gilat Satellite Networks +14.30%
The Space Trade Is Heating Up: RDW, ASTS, LUNR & VSAT Surge Double Digits
avatarAfraSimon
05-27 08:40

8️⃣ Undervalued Stocks

8️⃣ Undervalued Stocks 1. $Micron Technology(MU)$ Country: US Industry: Memory Ticker: $MU Market Cap: $964B EBITDA Margin: 63% ROIC: 32% FWD P/E: 8 2028 Revenue CAGR: 50% 2028 EPS CAGR: 73% 2. $Pagaya Technologies Ltd.(PGY)$ Ticker: $PGY Country: US/Israel Industry: AI Lending Market Cap: $1.2B Net Margin: 7% ROA: 22% FWD P/E: 4 2028 Revenue CAGR: 13% 2028 EPS CAGR: 54% 3. $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ Country: Brazil Industry: Fintech Ticker: $NU Market Cap: $62.4B Net Margin: 41.1% ROE: 30% FWD P/E: 14 2028 Revenue CAGR: 28.4% 2028 EPS CAGR: 33.8% 4. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Country: US Industry: Banking Ticker: $SOFI Marke
8️⃣ Undervalued Stocks

Inside Nvidia’s AI Rack Supply Chain: $TSM $MU $VRT $CRDO & More

Behind every $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ AI rack is a massive ecosystem of semiconductor, memory, networking, cooling, and infrastructure companies. From $TSM and $MU to $VRT and $SMCI, the AI boom is creating winners across the entire hardware stack — not just inside $NVDA itself. What Makes Nvidia Racks So Expensive GPU: $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Keysight(
Inside Nvidia’s AI Rack Supply Chain: $TSM $MU $VRT $CRDO & More

Historic Run Continues: $SPX Wins 8 Straight Weeks as $NVDA Explodes

Mega-cap momentum continues to dominate the market, with $SPX and $SPY extending historic leadership streaks while $NVDA massively outperforms even Bitcoin in the current AI-driven bull run. S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has now traded green for 8 consecutive weeks, its longest winning streak since 2023 📈🥳🤑🫂 S&P 500 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is now outperforming the Equal Weight S&P 500 by the largest margin in 24 years 🚨🤯👀 S&P 500 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ now up more than 12% since JP Morgan told us to short the market 📈 RIP! 🫡🪦 Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is now outperforming Bitcoin BTC by the l
Historic Run Continues: $SPX Wins 8 Straight Weeks as $NVDA Explodes

The New Space Cycle: $RKLB $ASTS $LUNR $VSAT Deliver Huge Returns

A year ago, I shared I my list of space stocks. Since then... $Planet Labs Pbc(PL)$ Planet Labs +1,888.79% $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Rocket Lab +1295.27% $Satellogic(SATL)$ Satellogic +930.10% $BlackSky Technology Inc.(BKSY)$ BlackSky +909.92% $Viasat(VSAT)$ Viasat +524.46% $Intuitive Machines(LUNR)$ Intuitive Machines +375.28% $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ AST SpaceMobile +304.82% Incredible. A List of Space Stocks in Oct 2024: Launch Services Providers
The New Space Cycle: $RKLB $ASTS $LUNR $VSAT Deliver Huge Returns

The “Trump Basket” Is Quietly Moving Again, $ORCL $CRCL $NOK at Key Inflection Points 🚀

Markets are increasingly rotating beyond semis into the broader AI infrastructure stack, where capital is flowing into overlooked “second-order” beneficiaries — from cloud and data centers to payments and telecom. Within this evolving theme, names like $ORCL, $CRCL, and $NOK are emerging as high risk-reward setups tied to the next phase of AI monetization and infrastructure expansion. 1. $Oracle(ORCL)$ - lowkey a big part of the "trump basket" - everybody seems to have forgotten about it - openAI partnership - stargate project - $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ (+ other trump favs) ripping - clean r/r Entries: ~$190 Stop: daily close under $175 Target: $270+ this year. ORCL currently $192. 2.
The “Trump Basket” Is Quietly Moving Again, $ORCL $CRCL $NOK at Key Inflection Points 🚀

Photonics Is Exploding in 2026, $SIVE $IQE $AXTI Lead a +1,000%+ Wave

Photonics continues to be the leading theme this year: $SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB(SIVEF)$ Sivers Semiconductors +1656.63% $IQE Plc(IQEPF)$ IQE +863.16% $AXT Inc(AXTI)$ AXT Inc +718.78% $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ Applied Optoelectronics +399.28% $ALRIB Riber +338.86% $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ Aehr Test Systems +328.79% $Lightwave Logic, Inc.(LWLG)$ Lightwave Logic +295.38% $Wolfspeed Inc.(WOLF)$ Wolfspeed +290.88% $Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.(OPTX)$ Synt
Photonics Is Exploding in 2026, $SIVE $IQE $AXTI Lead a +1,000%+ Wave

YTD Best VS Worst Performing Nasdaq 100 Stocks

YTD Best Performing Nasdaq 100 Stocks: 🟢 +221% $Intel(INTC)$ 🟢 +194% $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ 🟢 +182% $Western Digital(WDC)$ 🟢 +173% $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ 🟢 +167% $Micron Technology(MU)$ 🟢 +124% $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ 🟢 +110% $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ 🟢 +77% $Lam Research(LRCX)$ 🟢 +66% $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ 🟢 +63% $Fortinet(FTNT)$ 🟢 +60%
YTD Best VS Worst Performing Nasdaq 100 Stocks

$IREN, $APLD, $NBIS, The 3 Layers of AI Data Centers Explained

3 Key AI Data Center Businesses: - Colocation (WYIFI, $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ ) - Bare Metal ( $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ ) - AI Cloud ( $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$) In a colocation model, a company such as Iren builds the data center, secures energy, and equips it with cooling, networking, and other equipment. Then they secure a customer who signs a long-term lease agreement of 5+ years and brings their own GPUs to the facility. This model has the lowest value added and thus has the worst ec
$IREN, $APLD, $NBIS, The 3 Layers of AI Data Centers Explained

Trump’s Quantum Bet Could Ignite the Next Tech Supercycle 🔥

Trump’s Quantum Bet Could Ignite the Next Tech Supercycle 🔥

Why I Held $RKLB Through Volatility 👀

I don't use stop losses like that. I have two forks in the road when it comes to managing a position. 1) level management 2) thesis management For my style (swing trading equity), a hybrid of both works best. Level management includes: - technical levels - stop loss - profit target If stock hits one of those levels, I manage accordingly…but I do have flexibility here. Thesis management: - has the thesis changed? - become stronger or weaker? - still fully intact? If a stock’s thesis remains solid, I stay in almost automatic. But I have zero flexibility here. Thesis breaks = I’m out. Those are the two parts. If thesis breaks, I’m fully out. If levels break, I’m *usually* out. Because key levels are important, but thesis + narrative matter more for me personally. For example, I’ve given
Why I Held $RKLB Through Volatility 👀

Top RS Trades Right Now: $UNG $IGV $USO $MAGS $CLOU

14 Strongest Industry Groups At 1-Month RS Based On Latest Close — Natural Gas: $United States Natural Gas Fund LP(UNG)$ — US Tech / Software $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ — Space Industry $Procure Space ETF(UFO)$ — Oil & Gas Equipment & Services $SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF(XES)$ — Health Care Providers $SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF(XES)$ $iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF(IHF)$ — Cloud Infrastructure & SaaS $Globa
Top RS Trades Right Now: $UNG $IGV $USO $MAGS $CLOU

7️⃣ Memory Stocks: HXSCL, SSNNF, SNDK, KXHCF, ADTTF, WDC & MU

7️⃣ Memory Stocks: 1. $SK Hynix, Inc.(HXSCL)$ Country: South Korea Ticker: $000660 Market Cap: $848B EBITDA Margin: 69% ROIC: 46% FWD P/E: 6 2028 Revenue CAGR: 59% 2028 EPS CAGR: 61% 2. $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNNF)$ Country: South Korea Ticker: $A005930 Market Cap: $1.2T EBITDA Margin: 36% ROIC: 19% FWD P/E: 6 2028 Revenue CAGR: 32% 2028 EPS CAGR: 68% 3. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ Country: US Ticker: $SNDK Market Cap: $208B EBITDA Margin: 42% ROIC: 40% FWD P/E: 9 2028 Revenue CAGR: 69% 2028 EPS CAGR: 116% 4. $KIOXIA HLDGS CORP(KXHCF)$ Country: Japan Ticker: $285A Market Cap: $170B EBITDA Margin: 51% ROIC: 24% FWD
7️⃣ Memory Stocks: HXSCL, SSNNF, SNDK, KXHCF, ADTTF, WDC & MU

AI Infrastructure Demand Could Fuel the Next Major Move in $ALAB and $FLY

$FLY is gaining momentum as one of the strongest-performing space stocks this quarter, supported by SpaceX sector enthusiasm and a new AI-enabled computing partnership with $NVDA. Meanwhile, $ALAB continues to benefit from booming AI infrastructure demand, with strong hyperscaler partnerships and growing exposure to next-generation AWS AI cluster expansion. 1. $Firefly Aerospace Inc.(FLY)$ - strongest space name by % gain this Q - spaceX = sector re-rating catalyst - $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ partnership to "fly an ai-enabled computing module" my personal plan: - entry trigger = 4hr candle close over $45 - stop = daily candle close under $41 - pt: $65 $FLY is currently ~$43. 2.
AI Infrastructure Demand Could Fuel the Next Major Move in $ALAB and $FLY

The AI Agent Boom Could Trigger a Massive Cybersecurity Supercycle

The future of AI is agentic. There will be billions of AI agents. Every person and company will have multiple agents. That makes cybersecurity one of the most interesting sectors to watch. Threat Detection: $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ $SentinelOne, Inc(S)$ Network Security Providers: $Fortinet(FTNT)$ $F5 Inc(FFIV)$ $Cisco(CSCO)$ $A10 Networks(ATEN)$ $Check Point(CHKP)$ Cloud Security:
The AI Agent Boom Could Trigger a Massive Cybersecurity Supercycle

$NU’s ARPU Growth Engine Is Just Getting Started

Understanding customer cohorts is incredibly important for $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ investors. - Average ARPU is $15.9 - Mature ARPU is $30.8 It takes Nu between 60-72 months to get a new customer to the $15.9 ARPU. A customer who’s been with Nu for 8 years generates $30.8 in monthly revenues, which is double the average Nu customer, 6x the 1-year-old customer, and 4x the 2-year-old customer. This is because Nu is very good at upselling customers new products. A customer goes from using a bank account and a debit card in the first year, to a credit card, savings account, children’s account, investment account, insurance, and a personal loan in year 6. In the last 3 years, Nu acquired 60M customers that are on average using a few products and generatin
$NU’s ARPU Growth Engine Is Just Getting Started

3 Stocks Catching Smart-Money Attention: $CRWV, $SAIL, $ENPH

1. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ - $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ adding like a madman...$2B+ invested in 2026 already - leopold aschenbrenner's 2nd largest position - key player in ai datacenter buildout - banger chart setup Conviction is growing every day here. CRWV @ $107 now. 2. $SailPoint Parent, LP(SAIL)$ Found something interesting. SAIL, a sleeper cybersecurity idea. - only $7B market cap - cyber = hottest theme last week (seems to be catching the rotation...) - riding ai agents wave hard - multi-year strategic collaboration with $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 's aws - manages over 25M federal government identities - earnings june 9th + investor
3 Stocks Catching Smart-Money Attention: $CRWV, $SAIL, $ENPH

The SpaceX Ecosystem: Key Stocks Powering the New Space Economy

The SpaceX Ecosystem: Key Stocks Powering the New Space Economy

$MU Bets Big on AI Memory With $146B Global Expansion Plan

$Micron Technology(MU)$ is currently building several mega-fabs to increase its capacity for advanced DRAM and NAND. In the picture below, you can see the Clay, New York project in the US, where Micron has committed to invest $100B over the next 20 years! Furthermore, Micron has committed to spending $15B on its DRAM foundry in Boise, Idaho. On the other side of the world, Micron is also investing in Singapore. $24B to build a new advanced wafer fab for NAND and AI memory, and $7B for a packaging facility dedicated to HBM production. Analysts expect that the cycle will turn for MU in 2028, with revenue declining from 2027. I find that unlikely! Revenues will continue growing in 2028 and 2029 as MU newest facilities come online to serve the incredibl
$MU Bets Big on AI Memory With $146B Global Expansion Plan

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