To The Moon

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! On Thursday (October 8), the global gold market finally saw a glimmer of recovery after hitting a two-month low in the previous trading session. Spot gold rose 0.58% to close at $4,133.65 per ounce; U.S. gold futures for December delivery closed up 0.4% at $4,157 per ounce. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On the surface, this appears to be only a modest rise, but behind it lies a complex interplay of multiple factors: high uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy path, escalating concerns over U.S. debt, the tug-of-war between the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, th

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: (XAUUSD) H1 Chart—The market has recently been consolidating at high levels, with the center of gravity shifting slightly downward! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ After falling to around 4100, the price halted its continuous downward trend and shifted to a sideways consolidation at lower levels to form a bottom. The current price, near 4150, is right around the midline of this bottoming consolidation range that has lasted for several weeks. In the short term, it is highly likely that the price will retest the bottom support near 4113–4120. First Resistance Level: 4,152–4,155 (bull-bear dividing line, short-term weak resistance) Second Resistan

$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold 1-Hour Chart: Down About 1.47% Today! The current market is clearly in a short-term bearish phase, with price showing signs of breaking below key technical support levels. The price is currently moving downward along the lower Bollinger Band (LB: 4260.79), and the Bollinger Bands are showing signs of widening (i.e., “spreading”), which typically indicates that the downtrend is accelerating or that momentum is building. The price has now broken below the bottom of the previous consolidation range at 4310–4320. Until a strong bullish reversal signal emerges, the prevailing trend is expected to continue with a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! September 23 Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold has shifted from its previous one-sided bull market (peaking near 4369.25) into a medium-term, wide-range consolidation phase, either forming a bottom or consolidating to build momentum. Short-term rallies on the hourly chart may at any time face strong resistance from the dense moving average zone at 4,347–4,353 on the 4-hour chart. Key resistance zone: 4,350–4,360! The current trading strategy should focus on “selling on rallies” after the European session opens, or patiently waiting for a pullback to

On Monday (September 21), spot gold traded in a range before falling, briefly breaking below the key support level of 4,335 and hitting an intraday low of around $4,322 per ounce. It ultimately closed at $4,343.70, down 0.78%. Gold futures also weakened, closing down nearly 0.9%. The U.S. Dollar Index continued its upward trend, driven by expectations of further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, becoming the primary force weighing on gold prices. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to escalate, and the interplay between energy price volatility and inflation expectations significantly eroded gold’s appeal as a traditional safe-haven and anti-inflation asset in a high-interest-rate environment. In early Asian trading on Tuesday (September 22), easing infla

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: Gold prices previously experienced a pronounced corrective decline (hitting a low near 4,334.31), after which they found strong support at the lows and staged a sharp “V-shaped reversal.” Currently, the price has broken through the middle band and is testing resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at $4,404. The H1 chart has shifted to bullish dominance, with strong rebound momentum. Monday Forecast: Given the strong bullish momentum at Friday’s close, and assuming there is no significant easing of tensions in the Middle East

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 The New York market opens at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time! Given the breakout with heavy volume on the 4-hour chart, any blind attempt to short the market by guessing the top without considering momentum is extremely dangerous. The trading strategy for the U.S. session must strictly adhere to the main principle of “buying on dips.” Currently, the middle Bollinger Band (4,382) serves as the “line of life and death” for bulls and bears in the U.S. session. Once the market breaks above 4,382 with strong volume during the U.S. session, the bears will collapse completely, triggering a massive short squeeze rally. If the shakeout early in the U.S. session brings the price back to the 4350–4355 range—near the high of the previous con

Key Scenario: The Fed’s Decision Will Determine Gold’s Fate The crux of the matter regarding the decision does not lie in whether or not interest rates will be raised, but rather in the updated economic forecast dot plot and the Fed Chair’s remarks on the future interest rate path during the press conference. A: Dovish reassurance (e.g., implying that current inflation is under control and the tightening cycle is nearing its end) Market Outlook: This would immediately trigger a “gold bull run” as bearish expectations are realized. Technical Development: 4-hour bulls will ignore resistance from moving averages above, breaking through the middle Bollinger Band at $4,436.41 with a large bullish candle, rapidly recouping lost ground in a short time, and making a frantic push toward the 4-hour

(XAUUSD) The 1-hour chart currently shows a clear bearish trend and a consolidation phase at low levels. After a series of consecutive declines, the gold price has stabilized near $4,288.54 and is attempting to form a short-term support shelf; however, the overall rebound momentum is facing strong resistance from multiple moving averages above and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. As this week coincides with the highly anticipated September Federal Reserve interest rate decision (FOMC), market expectations for a Fed rate hike have surged significantly to over 85%. The macroeconomic environment poses a bearish risk to gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, in the medium term. Therefore, the trading strategy must follow the trend, focusing primarily on selling on rallies, while supplement

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The current gold price is consolidating within a narrow range near the bottom of a key downtrend channel and the 4,330 level! In terms of technical structure, the downtrend channel continues, with lows gradually rising (potential double bottom?). After facing resistance above 4,450 earlier, gold has been trading within an overall downward-sloping channel. Current key price defense zone: strong resistance at 4,350–4,355; strong support at 4,309–4,322. In the short term (over the next few hours), it is highly likely that gold wi