PeterDiCarlo

Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE

    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·11:02

      AMD Rally Continues, CAVA Quietly Builds, OKLO Reacts

      Different phases of the cycle are showing up across these names—momentum, consolidation, and early accumulation. The opportunity lies in recognizing where each one sits. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $AMD is up 44% since we first flagged it. Sold earlier this week. The stock kept running. Congrats to everyone who held through it. If price continues to hold above $280 the next target is $300 to $320. This is what riding a bull cycle looks like. 2. $CAVA Group Inc.(CAVA)$ $CAVA is compressing right now. But strength is quietly building on the monthly chart. Long term bull cycle is confirmed on this setup. 6 to 12 month target is $140 to $170. This is what early looks like before it becomes obvious. 3.
      575Comment
      Report
      AMD Rally Continues, CAVA Quietly Builds, OKLO Reacts
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·10:59

      6 Stocks at Critical Levels: NIO, DLTR, AFRM, NVDA in Focus

      A mix of discount entries and momentum continuation setups is emerging across the market. From beaten-down names to leaders like NVDA, key inflection points are forming. 1. $Dollar Tree(DLTR)$ $DLTR is at a make‑or‑break level and, in my view, an ideal entry zone. Price is trading inside our discount zone while the Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle. If this is going to bounce, this is where it happens. 2. $Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ Last two times $AFRM showed this setup, it ran 200% Right now we are back in that same Smart Money Zone. 3. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO is up over 50% since we posted it in December Crazy enough, I still think there is plenty of upside le
      433Comment
      Report
      6 Stocks at Critical Levels: NIO, DLTR, AFRM, NVDA in Focus
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-16 08:59

      TSLA tests resistance as patience outweighs “buy-the-dip” temptation

      Very important spot for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🚨 I’m still out of my position, and in last night’s video we broke down this exact resistance level and what needs to happen next. I want to see that level get swept and short-term structure break before I touch it again. And I totally get why “big discounts” are tempting. Buying at a huge discount only works if you’re actually near the bottom. If you buy because it looks cheap and it keeps bleeding, you don’t have a deal… you just get smoked. I’d rather be “late” and join the next multi‑month move with structure and confirmation than try to nail the exact low and risk getting wiped out. Discounts are great when they mark the bottom. But a discount on its own can quickly turn into bag‑holding if the wor
      944Comment
      Report
      TSLA tests resistance as patience outweighs “buy-the-dip” temptation
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-15 10:33

      $META $MSFT $NFLX Near Triggers as $INTC $MU Extend Cycles

      Leaders like Intel Corporation and Micron Technology Inc. continue to extend strong cycles, while Meta Platforms, Inc., Microsoft Corporation, and Netflix Inc. approach key confirmation levels. This is a split market — leaders are trending, while new entries require patience and confirmation. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META is showing strength, but we have been here before. Last time price tested this resistance it rejected hard off the 33 FVB. Monthly chart is showing buying pressure. That is encouraging. But encouraging is not enough. Two things must happen before I go long: Price sweeps this resistance level. Month closes with BX increasing. Both confirm, I am in. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $MSFT looks
      950Comment
      Report
      $META $MSFT $NFLX Near Triggers as $INTC $MU Extend Cycles
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-15 10:28

      $SPY Moves Higher as Long Bias Holds Firm

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is ripping right through that smart money zone. In the article I said I didn’t trust this move and was cautious, but I also said we weren’t buying puts. The fund stayed fully long. We stuck to the system. Monthly BX is increasing again. That is constructive, but we need to wait until the end of April to confirm the next 6–12 month bull cycle. This is why we follow the plan and keep trading long, even while staying objective about potential sell offs. We didn’t short. We didn’t overreact. Now we are being rewarded for that discipline. I’m hoping this was the bottom, but hope is not a plan. We will see how the month closes.
      987Comment
      Report
      $SPY Moves Higher as Long Bias Holds Firm
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-15 10:26

      $NFLX Pushes Higher but System Still Waiting on Confirmation

      $Netflix(NFLX)$ is pushing into the 33 FVB right now Bull Cycle is NOT confirmed just yet. Two things need to happen before I start a position. One. Price continues to push through the 33 FVB. Two. Monthly BX closes confirming buying pressure. Both need to confirm by May 1st. If they do I am in. If not this is just another trap and we stay patient. My system is always a little late because it waits for the monthly candle to close. Late is not bad if it means the signal is stronger. NFLX was showing a clean smart money zone buy last month, but without the Monthly BX increasing, that “buy” can easily be a trap. Look at the same $NFLX setup in 2022. You could have bought that zone and then eaten another 50% drawdown. Or you could have waited for the
      192Comment
      Report
      $NFLX Pushes Higher but System Still Waiting on Confirmation
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-14

      $SPY Sets the Tone as $DECK Strength and $ONDS Matures

      SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is at a key decision level while leaders like Deckers Outdoor Corporation extend and others turn extended. This is a manage, not chase environment — wait for confirmation before new entries. 1. $Deckers Outdoor(DECK)$ $DECK is up +15% since bouncing on the 33 FVB Our combined signal system still has this as an open trade setup and the next target is $120 2. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ $EOSE is forming a potential bottom inside the Smart Money Zone. Historically this is where institutions step in to defend structure. Not buying yet. Waiting for the monthly chart to confirm buying pressure before I enter. 3. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)
      2.19K1
      Report
      $SPY Sets the Tone as $DECK Strength and $ONDS Matures
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-13

      $SOUN and $SNOW Show Why Re Entry Matters More Than Timing

      Cut losers when your system breaks — no exceptions. Both SoundHound AI Inc. and Snowflake Inc. show the same lesson: once the Monthly BX flips red, macro pressure turns against you. That’s not a dip to buy — it’s risk to avoid. Good trading isn’t about being right, it’s about managing risk. 1. $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Rode $SOUN through a mega rally last year. Sold the rest in January when the MBX flipped red. Stock is down another 50% in 3 months since. Losing trades are part of this. Bag holding is a choice. Stop out when rules break, wait for a clean re-entry. Every time. 2. $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $SNOW is a good example of why the Monthly BX matters. Flipped dark red in January. Down almost 40% since. Sti
      2.04KComment
      Report
      $SOUN and $SNOW Show Why Re Entry Matters More Than Timing
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-13

      Why I'm Not Trusting This Rally $SPY

      The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just ripped higher over the past two weeks. That move was fueled by optimism around a US and Iran ceasefire and the possibility of broader de-escalation. Once again, the market reminded us how fast it can recover when sentiment shifts. But I'm not trusting this move blindly. There are a few technical concerns that need to be respected before anyone gets comfortable chasing this bounce. The Monthly BX Is Still Dark Red Even after this rally, the Monthly BX has not flipped. It's still dark red. That matters more than most people realize. When macro buying pressure isn't there, rallies can turn into traps. In real bull cycles, dips lead to breakouts. In weaker conditions, bounces lead to rejection. That's the structural differ
      1.20KComment
      Report
      Why I'm Not Trusting This Rally $SPY
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·04-11

      $AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands

      Here comes the real test for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Rooting for the bulls to break through this level 🤝 I’m still sitting this one out for now I’m not trying to make money on the next trade. I’m trying to follow my system. The edge comes from consistency, not one setup. Sticking to the system matters more than what happens next. Nothing bad happens from missing a trade. With AMZN, I don’t lose money by sitting this out. I’ve got ~50 positions on and there’s always another opportunity. Worst case, it rips and I miss it. Best case, it pulls back and I get a better entry. Win win for me. Any stock with heavy compression is usually going to underperform with my system MBX doesn’t do well in sideways, low movement environments, and AMZN has been stuck in t
      4.71K1
      Report
      $AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands
     
     
     
     

    Most Discussed