Mortimer Arthur

    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-27 12:06
      $SpaceX(SPCX)$ Just Starlink alone could be worth 1 trillion in 5 years, and by then TSLA will have merged. Not to mention the AI real estate side — together that looks like another 2 trillion in 5 years. Over the next 36 months, annual revenue could run around 500-600 billion if Tesla does merge. If SpaceX today were the umbrella corp Elon seems to want it to become, its annual revenue would be somewhere near 200 billion. AAPL does about 450 billion in annual revenue with a 2 trillion valuation. SpaceX is expected to start a leasing contract on its AI warehouses at 1 billion per month. That is 12 billion on top of the current 18 billion in annual revenue, bringing it to roughly 30 billion annually. Combined, Tesla and SpaceX revenue today si
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-22
      $Micron Technology(MU)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $Boeing(BA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ Alright, for the chart experts out there, what's the next move from here? Is it a straight climb higher, or is there something else in play?
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-21
      $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ TD Cowen's report shows Meta, Microsoft, and Google were behind a record 9.6GW of data center leasing in Q2. There's another 12.5GW currently in the pipeline. OpenAI has also raised its 2030 infrastructure target to 30GW, which really points to how the demand for AI infrastructure just keeps surging.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-21
      The AI monetization story is beginning to materialize. If Microsoft integrates models like Kimi into Copilot, the opportunity extends beyond just adding AI capabilities. It could open up multiple layers of software revenue: traditional licensing, per-seat upgrades for Copilot access, and additional usage-based pricing for AI inference. The larger opportunity might be in efficiency. Running Copilot on lower-cost models while maintaining premium pricing could gradually improve margins over time. The AI transition is already underway, and $Microsoft(MSFT)$  looks well-positioned to capture a significant part of it.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-20
      $Apple(AAPL)$  While others rush to build ever-larger models and burn through capital, Apple seems to be quietly engineering what could be the most profitable position in the entire AI ecosystem. The company's measured strategy, which many analysts initially viewed as defensive, is coming into sharper focus now. It looks far more aggressive upon closer inspection. Apple isn't trying to win the model-training arms race. Instead, it's methodically building ownership over the distribution layer that every AI company needs to reach consumers. This changes the investment thesis significantly. Apple can leverage its massive installed base as a high-margin revenue engine, potentially without shouldering the same crushi
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-17
      $Apple(AAPL)$ The options activity on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  is intense, with traders piling into short-term $330 weeklies and October $360 calls. It looks like they're riding the AI wave hard rather than backing off after that recent 5% move. There was some serious action with aggressive ask-side sweeps on those July $330 calls. This could lead to some sharp moves near the $330 to $335 area in the near term. October $360 calls are also dominating, with trades way above open interest. It seems institutions still see upside potential into the fourth quarter, so $360 is a level to watch for swing targets. On the positive side, with China clearing Apple Intelligence, the broader AI rollout is set. However
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-16
      $Apple(AAPL)$  The recent news should allow them to raise guidance strongly. China is a massive part of their business, aside from the AI/HPC news. It's more than likely memory chips for that market, and so on. From where I stand, there's a chance for 375 to 400 in the weeks after earnings.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-16
      $BlackBerry(BB)$ According to The Information, Apple's in-house M2 Ultra chips have reportedly fallen short for advanced AI workloads, which is forcing the company to rely on Nvidia for now. $Apple(AAPL)$ 
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-16
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ It's worth noting that Xbox is redesigning its video game division. While there are significant personnel cuts, this move seems like a step in the right direction after years of strong competition from PlayStation. The 2026-2027 period could mark a new generation for video games, with Microsoft potentially developing a hybrid PC/console system that could significantly challenge Sony. It's a factor to consider beyond just the AI narrative.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·07-15
      $Apple(AAPL)$ 290CStill up +256% on the live book, after peaking at +370%. The June CPI came in cooler at -0.4% month-over-month and 3.5% year-over-year, with core flat, and tech led the way higher. However, yields firmed up into the release, and the overall tape turned defensive going into the close. I held all three sessions today with zero new adds—chasing a green screen into overhead supply is a good way to get trapped. $Goldman Sachs(GS)$  $1050 calls are up +96% after the banks caught the earnings bid, $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$  is up +36%, and $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$  is up +31%. PP
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