Mortimer Arthur

    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-28 08:29
      $Apple(AAPL)$ I'm expecting Apple to hit either $380 or $385 within the next two trading days, corresponding to the weekly Fibonacci extensions of 261.8% and 300%. I know these targets sound crazy, but that's what my analysis suggests. I'm already up $2, and my call expires tomorrow, so I'm taking the gamble.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-28
      $Apple(AAPL)$  Bears can't even push this down a dollar. That's part of why I'm still holding my 350 strike calls. Weak selling pressure here. A broad market pullback in SPY and QQQ would be the only real risk for names like MSFT and NFLX.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-27
      $Apple(AAPL)$ Every time Apple comes out with a new product, critics jump on every little thing. I'm not getting a DUO because I don't need a new phone, but I think the product will serve a great purpose and will have exponential sales. No question about it.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-22
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ NOV20 555C, actionable here. Zone: $529.22 to $536.68 Invalidation: close under $524.43 Objectives: $553.72, then $565 The math: up 3.9% to the first objective and 6.0% to the second, against 1.6% risk on the invalidation, better than 3.5 to 1 to the second. Picture a sturdy fence that three storms have pushed on this month and it still stands straight. That is this swing setup. Microsoft dipped toward 524 to 526 dollars on October 16, again on October 20, and again recently, and buyers held it every time before a close at 532.95 dollars. In plain words, that floor is where sellers run out of strength, and the October 28 earnings report is the next push that could carry price back through the old high near 553.72 dollars. Wa
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-22
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ OCT30 545C in play. Zone: $529.22 to $536.68 Invalidation: close under $524.43 Objectives: $551.15, then $565 The math: up 3.4% to the first objective and 6.0% to the second, against 1.6% risk on the invalidation, better than 3.5 to 1 to the second. Picture a floor in an old house that everyone keeps jumping on and it just will not give. That is this swing setup. Microsoft dipped into the 524 to 526 dollar area three times in the last week and buyers held it each time, and it closed at 532 dollars and 95 cents near the top of its range, which in plain words means people would rather hold into the October 28 report than sell a dip that refuses to break. The levels do the talking here, with room first to the October high near
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-21
      $Apple(AAPL)$  Don't buy into the lemmings' downgrades. Hold through them. Loop and UBS are both missing the point here. Demand is still strong, and whatever memory issues exist will get worked through faster than people expect. Cash flow, services, foldable phone demand. If this drops 2+ today, I'm loading up for the future and the EPS blowout under the new CEO. That's not even counting AI alliances.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-21
      If $SpaceX(SPCX)$  is going to get 13 GW of compute and a total of 500B of 1T of revenue by 2027, just imagine how bullish this is for hyperscalers like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , and AMZN. Payback in less than a year was mentioned on the SPCX conference call.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-19
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$  — watching the Nov 6 $535 CALL above $534. Targets are $539.44 / $543.82. Invalidation below $531.90. I'd want to see a 5m close plus a retest above the trigger with VWAP support. Friday broker expiry POP was 31.2%, not the setup win rate. Pricing and liquidity should be refreshed at the open.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-14
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$  We didn't come this far to not test all-time highs. Three months ago this stock gave an absolute gift.
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    • Mortimer ArthurMortimer Arthur
      ·10-13
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Anthropic just put out a fairly striking research note. They looked at whether small open-source models can already set themselves up and spread across cheap consumer devices like Android TV boxes and IoT hardware. A couple of Chinese open models stood out. Qwen handled unfamiliar hardware well, and GLM was the only one that completed the full self-replication chain in their tests. Their estimate is that by the end of 2026, even smaller models could reach the same level. Open-source combined with self-spreading capability feels like something genuinely new.
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