To The Moon

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ Portfolio's holding up well today. Managed to catch this dip almost perfectly, though of course I wish I had added more. Now just waiting to see how AMD plays out so the setup can carry some momentum into the next session.

The next phase of the semiconductor cycle could separate the true winners from the rest. The AI buildout is creating massive demand, but not every company in the ecosystem will benefit equally. Potential long-term leaders include $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ , and AVGO. The winners will likely be companies with critical technology advantages, strong customer relationships, pricing power, and the ability to scale with AI infrastructure demand. The companies that fall behind may struggle with limited differentiation, weak margins, too much competition, and exposure to slowing demand areas. AI is lifti

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Can't stop buying at this price. This is a gift.

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  TSMC continues to look like the biggest bottleneck in the AI supply chain, and demand for its leading-edge nodes keeps getting stronger. The company is expected to reach roughly 180,000 3nm wafers per month early in Q4, while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ , and $Broadcom(AVGO)$  continue locking in as much capacity as possible. That doesn't happen unless customers see sustained AI demand ahead. What's even more interesting is that 2nm demand is accelerating fast, with monthly output projected to approach 100,000 w

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Bears are quiet below. Feels like the setup is green for tomorrow for NVDA.

Picking my favorite name in each sector, plus where I think price could be in three years. Starting with AI infrastructure. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$  (Nebius Group) The shortage in AI compute looks like a big opening for next-gen cloud infrastructure. What stands out to me about NBIS: backed by $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , around $10B in cash, roughly $50B in backlog, and they are building a full-stack AI cloud platform. The thinking here is that hyperscalers are pouring hundreds of billions into AI infrastructure, but demand still outruns available capacity. The winners might not just be the chip designers. It could also be the companies actually providing the compute capacity behind the AI buildout. My three-year p

I'm still extremely bullish on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , and the reason is pretty straightforward: demand continues to run ahead of supply. GPU rental markets are showing strength across H100s, A100s, H200s, and the newer B200 systems. When companies are still paying elevated prices just to lock in compute capacity, it tells me the AI buildout is nowhere near finished. The takeaway seems clear. AI training and inference workloads are still expanding. Demand for advanced silicon remains stronger than available supply. The argument that the GPU shortage is over looks premature. Higher rental rates ultimately reinforce NVIDIA's pricing power and margin story. The biggest beneficiaries may extend beyond NVIDIA — neoclouds, power providers, and data center

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ AVGO and TSM finally saw the algos reverse. The short-term market pressure over the last week or so looks like noise to me. Big Tech's spending spree is expected to top $700 billion this year, mostly on AI, and Morgan Stanley has the estimated spend at more than $1 trillion for next year. A large chunk of that flows to Broadcom and TSMC. Both are solid names to hold, and I think we could see $500 by year-end.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$  I just added more and plan to keep adding. Will I trim a bit from time to time? Sure, I will. But I always keep a core position. I'm familiar with that location from driving by there in the past.

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Calling a crash here seems off the mark. They just announced a deal with Anthropic and Microsoft, and their best earnings in history are coming out soon. This looks more like a major bear trap. I'm loading up.