Profile - To The Moon

Cheehow

Posts · 14Posts · 14
Following · 0Following · 0
Followers · 0Followers · 0

- CheehowCheehow
  ·10-23
  $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ this one whole week same pattern, premarket high, then sell down, so just buy put huat big big
  867 Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·10-16
  Cash Boost Lucky Draw
  Find out more here:Cash Boost Lucky Draw Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!
  474 Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
  Cash Boost Lucky Draw
- CheehowCheehow
  ·10-09
  Cash Boost Lucky Draw
  Find out more here:Cash Boost Lucky Draw Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!
  582 Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
  Cash Boost Lucky Draw
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-09-17
  $MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$ so shiock, why up ah?
  3.03K 2
  2
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-07-25
  Great, DC solutions will continue to power innovations
  Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider
  Summary IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.
  Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider
  1.95K Comment
  2
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-07-22
  Huat ah
  Wall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer
  NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesda
  Wall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer
  2.21K Comment
  7
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-07-21
  Great comeback
  Wall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism
  NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-d
  Wall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism
  2.00K Comment
  3
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-07-19
  Comment
  Chart of the Day: SG Q1 GDP growth to climb 1.3% above pre-pandemic levels
  The government's cautious approach in reopening boosted its growth. This chart from Manulife shows
  Chart of the Day: SG Q1 GDP growth to climb 1.3% above pre-pandemic levels
  2.56K 1
  Like
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-07-19
  Great
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
  2.36K Comment
  5
  Share
  Report
- CheehowCheehow
  ·2021-07-15
  Good good good up up up
  Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal
  Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, ga
  Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal
  2.39K Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
No following yet

Most Discussed

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3549668038727602","uuid":"3549668038727602","gmtCreate":1586574016146,"gmtModify":1612080137254,"name":"Cheehow","pinyin":"cheehow","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":71,"tweetSize":14,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":1,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":39,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-2","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Master Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 100","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.11.15","exceedPercentage":"80.94%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-4","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Tiger Star","description":"Join the tiger community for 2000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.10.03","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":10,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":492322290721080,"gmtCreate":1761218530910,"gmtModify":1761218534443,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NBIS\">$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ </a> this one whole week same pattern, premarket high, then sell down, so just buy put huat big big","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NBIS\">$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ </a> this one whole week same pattern, premarket high, then sell down, so just buy put huat big big","text":"$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ this one whole week same pattern, premarket high, then sell down, so just buy put huat big big","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/492322290721080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":489666402210584,"gmtCreate":1760570746467,"gmtModify":1760577259731,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"title":"Cash Boost Lucky Draw","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/s/40CXsfv\">Cash Boost Lucky Draw</a> Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/s/40CXsfv\">Cash Boost Lucky Draw</a> Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!","text":"Find out more here:Cash Boost Lucky Draw Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1474c0816422c59974bd9bee42bb226"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/489666402210584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":487337481998936,"gmtCreate":1759971476887,"gmtModify":1759973647704,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"title":"Cash Boost Lucky Draw","htmlText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/s/40CTlNN\">Cash Boost Lucky Draw</a> Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/s/40CTlNN\">Cash Boost Lucky Draw</a> Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!","text":"Find out more here:Cash Boost Lucky Draw Hey friend! Tap to help me out and get a mystery gift for yourself—check it out now!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1474c0816422c59974bd9bee42bb226"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/487337481998936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":582,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884971404,"gmtCreate":1631851209608,"gmtModify":1676530652701,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$</a> so shiock, why up ah?","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ME8U.SI\">$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$</a> so shiock, why up ah?","text":"$MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST(ME8U.SI)$ so shiock, why up ah?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/884971404","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177143358,"gmtCreate":1627189549374,"gmtModify":1703485352208,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great, DC solutions will continue to power innovations&nbsp;","listText":"Great, DC solutions will continue to power innovations&nbsp;","text":"Great, DC solutions will continue to power innovations","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/177143358","repostId":"1176552691","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176552691","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627183789,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176552691?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-25 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176552691","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>IBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.</li>\n <li>Prior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.</li>\n <li>More transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c798e0536c6804d44b195f6f349fab5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1044\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Ethan Miller/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p>International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.</p>\n<p>Although the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.</p>\n<p>What is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.</p>\n<p>Management is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.</p>\n<p><b>Recent Quarterly Results</b></p>\n<p>IBM&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.</p>\n<p>Revenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.</p>\n<p>The negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.</p>\n<p>The global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.</p>\n<p>The positive side of the report had Cloud &amp; Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.</p>\n<p>Net cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.</p>\n<p>Since year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.</p>\n<p>Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.</p>\n<p><b>Where IBM Stands Tall</b></p>\n<p>IBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.</p>\n<p>It is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.</p>\n<p>For example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.</p>\n<p>Half of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.</p>\n<p>IBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.</p>\n<p>Eight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ace4f1436fd2697c5ad266b5017e1dd\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"721\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Forbes</span></p>\n<p>It is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.</p>\n<p>However, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.</p>\n<p><b>The Sources Of Potential Growth</b></p>\n<p>Investors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh&nbsp;provided insight&nbsp;into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.</p>\n<blockquote>\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Of course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.</p>\n<p>Because hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.</p>\n<p>I reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.</p>\n<p>Investors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.</p>\n<p>The following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc85156e70f6caf8ae809f76126a723\" tg-width=\"576\" tg-height=\"336\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Company reports / Chart by Author</span></p>\n<p>Aside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.</p>\n<p>Early in 2019, IBM&nbsp;introduced&nbsp;the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.</p>\n<p>Pardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence&nbsp;forecasts&nbsp;a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.</p>\n<p>For additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to&nbsp;my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”</p>\n<p><b>Understanding Kyndryl</b></p>\n<p>Once&nbsp;Kyndryl&nbsp;is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.</p>\n<p>The split will&nbsp;transform&nbsp;IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.</p>\n<p>Global Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will&nbsp;account&nbsp;for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.</p>\n<p>IBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.</p>\n<p>Initially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.</p>\n<p>What remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.</p>\n<p><b>Has IBM Turned The Corner?</b></p>\n<p>Anyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60cc8b82052f97dd449205999ee30711\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Data from ycharts / chart by author</span></p>\n<p>While this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.</p>\n<p>In 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.</p>\n<p>The CEO&nbsp;recently stated&nbsp;he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.</p>\n<p><b>Debt And Dividend</b></p>\n<p>While investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.</p>\n<p>The company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73e613157c486a5f5e8306546121971\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"720\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: IBM Presentation</span></p>\n<p>IBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.</p>\n<p><b>Is IBM Stock Overvalued?</b></p>\n<p>IBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.</p>\n<p>IBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.</p>\n<p>The 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.</p>\n<p>I believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.</p>\n<p><b>Is IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?</b></p>\n<p>IBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.</p>\n<p>That the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.</p>\n<p>If management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.</p>\n<p>IBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.</p>\n<p>All considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.</p>\n<p>I think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs IBM Stock Undervalued Or Overvalued? What To Consider\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 11:29 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440996-is-ibm-stock-undervalued-overvalued","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176552691","content_text":"Summary\n\nIBM beat analysts’ second-quarter earnings as cloud revenue and operating margins improved.\nPrior to Q1, IBM posted declining revenue for four consecutive quarters, and 30 of the last 34 quarters.\nMore transparency is needed regarding the Kyndryl spinoff.\n\nEthan Miller/Getty Images News\nInternational Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a company in transition. Unfortunately for investors, the transition has been in place for the better part of a decade. Those turnaround efforts include investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence and the divestiture of legacy businesses. While there are now signs of green shoots, it is yet to be seen as to whether the seeds sown have fallen on rocky ground.\nAlthough the company has a rapidly growing business in hybrid cloud offerings, and a potential growth engine in quantum computing, it faces intense competition in the former industry and uncertain prospects in the latter. Most of the firm’s other businesses are in the doldrums, so IBM’s growth prospects are opaque.\nWhat is certain is that as of today, IBM has a reasonable and diminishing debt load and strong free cash flow.\nManagement is attempting to address growth concerns in part by focusing on the firm’s cloud offerings, while it spins off its managed infrastructure business. That company will be named Kyndryl. However, the debt which the new entity will shoulder, along with the portion of the current dividend that it will carry, has not been divulged.\nRecent Quarterly Results\nIBM reported Q2 results last Monday. With non-GAAP EPS of $2.33, the company beat estimates by $0.04.\nRevenue of $18.7 billion was flat when adjusted for currency and divestitures.\nThe negative side of the report had Systems revenue declining by 7%. However, this was largely due to the normal IBM Z mainframe cycle, down 13% year over year.\nThe global financing division, which represents a low single digit percentage of overall revenues, was down 9%. Global technology services, which represents roughly a third of overall revenue and will largely be spun off as Kyndryl, had flattish growth.\nThe positive side of the report had Cloud & Cognitive Software cloud revenue up 29% and Global Business Services cloud revenue up 35%. Total cloud revenue of $27 billion increased by 15% over the last 12 months, while cloud revenue grew 13% in the quarter to $7.0 billion.\nNet cash from operating activities hit $17.7 billion, and adjusted free cash flow totaled $11 billion over the last 12 months.\nSince year-end 2020, the company has reduced debt by $6.4 billion.\nManagement guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021.\nWhere IBM Stands Tall\nIBM is viewed by many as at best a third rate IT company and at worst as a dinosaur, headed towards extinction.\nIt is evident that the company’s revenues have declined for years; however, to accurately assess the stock, investors must understand that IBM’s legacy businesses have many strengths.\nFor example, IBM is the world’s largest IT services company and the dominant provider of mainframes. Among the Fortune 50 companies, 47 are IBM clients.\nHalf of the world’s wireless connections are handled by the firm.\nIBM's mainframe systems process nearly 90% of the globe’s credit card transactions, and 97% of the world's largest banks rely on IBM products and services. Consequently, twenty-nine billion ATM transactions are processed annually using IBM systems.\nEight out of 10 global retailers rely on IBM products and services while 80% of the travel industry's reservations run through IBM systems. That results in 4 billion flight reservations being processed using the company’s IT services.\nSource: Forbes\nIt is evident that IBM has a massive customer base that provides large scale recurring revenues. In many cases, moving to competitors' offerings would mean risking the transfer of sensitive information, a move many are not willing to take.\nHowever, with the transition to cloud services and open source software, there is an increased adoption by firms of mix and match IT infrastructures. In turn, this is eroding IBM’s competitive advantage associated with customer switching costs.\nThe Sources Of Potential Growth\nInvestors are generally aware of IBM's effort to drive growth through its hybrid cloud offerings. However, when questioned at JPMorgan’s recent investor conference, CFO Jim Kavanaugh provided insight into how hybrid cloud drives revenue in some of IBM’s other divisions.\n\n For every $1 (in business) we land on a hybrid cloud platform, we see $3 to $5 of software drag and $6 to $8 of services drag overall.\n\nOf course, Kavanaugh is using drag to refer to increased revenue in software and services associated with adoption of IBM’s hybrid cloud. If Kavanaugh’s claims are accurate, that means every dollar spent on the company’s hybrid cloud platform translates into $9 to $13 in additional revenue from the firm’s software and services offerings.\nBecause hybrid cloud uses a mix of on-premises private cloud and public cloud services, it offers clients a degree of data privacy. This is of particular concern for customers in healthcare and financial services. Consequently, I would posit that IBM might have an advantage in competing with other hybrid cloud providers as it has extensive relationships within those industries.\nI reviewed a variety of prognostications regarding projected growth rates for the hybrid cloud market. The most recent study, which also falls in the middle of other predictions, is by Mordor Intelligence. That firm forecasts a CAGR of 18.73% from 2021 through 2026.\nInvestors should be aware that the major operators in this space are Cisco (CSCO), Hewlett Packard (HPE), Amazon (AMZN), Citrix Systems (CTXS), and IBM.\nThe following chart provides a record of the firm’s total cloud growth over the last six quarters.\nSource: Company reports / Chart by Author\nAside from cloud, there is another source of potential growth, although it is unlikely to materialize soon.\nEarly in 2019, IBM introduced the Q System One. IBM Q systems are the world's first quantum computer designed for scientific and commercial use.\nPardon the pun, but quantum computers represent a quantum leap in technology. Prescient And Strategic Intelligence forecasts a CAGR of 56% for the industry through 2030 with the quantum computer market share reaching nearly $65 billion.\nFor additional insights regarding quantum computing and IBM’s position within that industry, I point you to my article, “IBM: Why My Eye Is Fixed On Big Blue.”\nUnderstanding Kyndryl\nOnce Kyndryl is launched, it will have more than 90,000 employees and more than 4,600 customers in 115 countries. With a $60 billion services backlog, the new entity will begin with projected revenues of $19 billion. At twice the size of its closest competitor, the company will be the world’s largest managed infrastructure services provider.\nThe split will transform IBM from a company that pulls half of its revenue from services to a firm with its software and solutions businesses generating over half of its revenue on a recurring basis.\nGlobal Business Services, which currently constitutes 22% of the company’s revenue, will account for over 40% of sales. Here it is important to note that the division grew revenue by 12% year over year in the last quarter.\nIBM will retain Red Hat and its solution provider business, the systems businesses, and its mission-critical public cloud service, and a software portfolio focused on big data, AI, and security.\nInitially, the two companies will each be the largest customer of the other.\nWhat remains to be known regarding the spinoff is how much debt each company will shoulder, and the share of the dividend that the companies will pay. Krishna stated the two companies will work together to sustain the current payout level.\nHas IBM Turned The Corner?\nAnyone who follows IBM knows the company has experienced an extended period of poor results. The following chart provides a record of the firm’s quarterly FCF over the last fourteen quarters.\nSource: Data from ycharts / chart by author\nWhile this is not proof positive that the company is back on track, the recent trend is at least encouraging.\nIn 2020, IBM generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow. Management guides for adjusted free cash flow of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2021. This excludes $3 billion in structural impacts related to the Kyndryl spinoff.\nThe CEO recently stated he expects IBM to generate $12 billion to $13 billion in FCF in 2022.\nDebt And Dividend\nWhile investors can rightfully complain of a variety of management moves over the years, the firm has maintained a reasonable debt profile while engaging in a number of acquisitions.\nThe company has reduced the debt by roughly $18 billion since its peak in mid-2019. IBM maintains an investment level credit rating, and the following chart provides a record of the company’s progress paying down debt of late.\nSource: IBM Presentation\nIBM has a yield of 4.64%, a payout ratio a bit below 61%, and a 5 year dividend growth rate of 4.26%. As previously noted, following the spinoff of Kyndryl, the two companies will team to provide a payout equivalent to the current dividend.\nIs IBM Stock Overvalued?\nIBM shares trade for $141.13. The average 12 month price target of 8 analysts is $153.50. The price target of the 3 analysts rating the stock since the last earnings report is $151.33.\nIBM has a P/E of 24.05x and a forward P/E of 17.67x. This compares to its five year averages of 16.42x and 13.25x respectively. It is well below the sector average which is in the low thirties for both metrics.\nThe 3 to 5 year PEG provided by Seeking Alpha Premium is 1.16x. Schwab calculates a PEG of 1.49x, and Yahoo does not provide a PEG ratio.\nI believe the current P/E ratios for the stock reflect investors anticipating increased growth for IBM once the spinoff is complete. The PEG ratios show the stock is reasonably valued.\nIs IBM Stock A Good Long-Term Investment?\nIBM has an entrenched but evolving position among many of the largest companies on the globe. Unfortunately, the cloud, which is seen as the company’s primary avenue for growth, could also lead to a slow deterioration in some of the firm’s legacy businesses.\nThat the cloud business has been growing at a rapid pace is manifest: IBM can now boast of over 3,200 clients using the firm’s hybrid cloud platform. That is nearly four times the number just prior to the Red Hat acquisition.\nIf management’s claims are accurate, the hybrid cloud platform will create robust growth in the software and services division’s revenues. When combined with the spinoff of Kyndryl’s slow growing managed infrastructure services business, it is reasonable to believe IBM will witness increased growth.\nIBM has a solid balance sheet, a robust yield, and when viewed using PEG ratios as a basis for valuing the stock, the shares are trading at a bit of a discount.\nAll considered, I rate IBM as a BUY.\nI think the worst case short to mid-term scenario is that the company experiences slow growth while investors collect a rather robust dividend.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176478268,"gmtCreate":1626914092754,"gmtModify":1703480401781,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huat ah","listText":"Huat ah","text":"Huat ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/176478268","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153477496","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626899252,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153477496?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-22 04:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153477496","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesda","content":"<p>NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesday, with robust corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery fueling a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes added to their previous session's advance, placing all three within 1% of their all-time closing highs.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps , semiconductors&nbsp;and financials&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a seesaw going on between great earnings and a recovering market and concerns over whether the economy is going to slow down because of the (COVID-19) Delta variant,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"But we’re seeing strong earnings with generally positive guidance, and the feeling that (the Delta variant) can be managed.\"</p>\n<p>A rebound in travel helped fuel United Airlines'&nbsp;revenue beat, boosting its stock by 3.8%.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 1500 Airlines index&nbsp;gained 3.3%, while the S&amp;P 1500 Hotels, Restaurant and Leisure index advanced 2.9%.</p>\n<p>\"Earlier in the week those stocks suffered because of renewed fears that travel will slow down and all related industries will suffer, but those fears have gone away,\" Tuz added. \"Demand is continuing as expected, I don’t think the Delta fear is causing people to change their plans.\"</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued their bounce from five-month lows following a weak 20-year bond auction, which benefited rate-sensitive banks.</p>\n<p>Wrangling in Washington over the passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion infrastructure package progressed as Senate Democrats moved toward a planned procedural vote despite Republican appeals for a delay.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798, the S&amp;P 500 gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, energy stocks</p>\n<p>were the big winners, jumping 3.5% with the help of surging crude prices .</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 73 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus expectations.</p>\n<p>Among the winners, Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 11.5% after the burrito chain beat earnings estimates and forecast strong current-quarter sales growth. The stock boasted the S&amp;P 500's largest percentage gain.</p>\n<p>Coca-Cola rose 1.3% after raising its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p>Interpuplic Group of Companies&nbsp;jumped 11.3% in the wake of its upbeat earnings release.</p>\n<p>Drugmaker Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;forecast $2.5 billion in sales from its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-shot COVID vaccine this year and hiked its sales estimates. It closed up a modest 0.6%.</p>\n<p>On the losing side, Netflix Inc late Tuesday reported slowing subscriber growth, sending its shares down 3.3%, the second-largest percentage loser in the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Harley-Davidson's&nbsp; second-quarter earnings release showed its turnaround plan appeared to be making progress, but the company lowered its operating income guidance due to tariffs from Europe, its second-biggest market. Its stock dropped 7.2%.</p>\n<p>Texas Instruments&nbsp;dipped more than 3% in extended trading following results posted after the bell.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.21-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 34 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.13 billion shares, compared with the 10.17 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends higher, powered by strong earnings, economic cheer\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-22 04:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesday, with robust corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery fueling a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes added to their previous session's advance, placing all three within 1% of their all-time closing highs.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive smallcaps , semiconductors&nbsp;and financials&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a seesaw going on between great earnings and a recovering market and concerns over whether the economy is going to slow down because of the (COVID-19) Delta variant,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"But we’re seeing strong earnings with generally positive guidance, and the feeling that (the Delta variant) can be managed.\"</p>\n<p>A rebound in travel helped fuel United Airlines'&nbsp;revenue beat, boosting its stock by 3.8%.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 1500 Airlines index&nbsp;gained 3.3%, while the S&amp;P 1500 Hotels, Restaurant and Leisure index advanced 2.9%.</p>\n<p>\"Earlier in the week those stocks suffered because of renewed fears that travel will slow down and all related industries will suffer, but those fears have gone away,\" Tuz added. \"Demand is continuing as expected, I don’t think the Delta fear is causing people to change their plans.\"</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued their bounce from five-month lows following a weak 20-year bond auction, which benefited rate-sensitive banks.</p>\n<p>Wrangling in Washington over the passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion infrastructure package progressed as Senate Democrats moved toward a planned procedural vote despite Republican appeals for a delay.</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798, the S&amp;P 500 gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, energy stocks</p>\n<p>were the big winners, jumping 3.5% with the help of surging crude prices .</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 73 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus expectations.</p>\n<p>Among the winners, Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 11.5% after the burrito chain beat earnings estimates and forecast strong current-quarter sales growth. The stock boasted the S&amp;P 500's largest percentage gain.</p>\n<p>Coca-Cola rose 1.3% after raising its full-year forecast.</p>\n<p>Interpuplic Group of Companies&nbsp;jumped 11.3% in the wake of its upbeat earnings release.</p>\n<p>Drugmaker Johnson &amp; Johnson&nbsp;forecast $2.5 billion in sales from its <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-shot COVID vaccine this year and hiked its sales estimates. It closed up a modest 0.6%.</p>\n<p>On the losing side, Netflix Inc late Tuesday reported slowing subscriber growth, sending its shares down 3.3%, the second-largest percentage loser in the S&amp;P 500.</p>\n<p>Harley-Davidson's&nbsp; second-quarter earnings release showed its turnaround plan appeared to be making progress, but the company lowered its operating income guidance due to tariffs from Europe, its second-biggest market. Its stock dropped 7.2%.</p>\n<p>Texas Instruments&nbsp;dipped more than 3% in extended trading following results posted after the bell.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.21-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 34 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.13 billion shares, compared with the 10.17 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153477496","content_text":"NEW YORK, July 21 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks posted their second straight daily gain on Wednesday, with robust corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery fueling a risk-on rally.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes added to their previous session's advance, placing all three within 1% of their all-time closing highs.\nEconomically sensitive smallcaps , semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market.\n\"It’s a seesaw going on between great earnings and a recovering market and concerns over whether the economy is going to slow down because of the (COVID-19) Delta variant,\" said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia. \"But we’re seeing strong earnings with generally positive guidance, and the feeling that (the Delta variant) can be managed.\"\nA rebound in travel helped fuel United Airlines' revenue beat, boosting its stock by 3.8%.\nThe S&P 1500 Airlines index gained 3.3%, while the S&P 1500 Hotels, Restaurant and Leisure index advanced 2.9%.\n\"Earlier in the week those stocks suffered because of renewed fears that travel will slow down and all related industries will suffer, but those fears have gone away,\" Tuz added. \"Demand is continuing as expected, I don’t think the Delta fear is causing people to change their plans.\"\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields continued their bounce from five-month lows following a weak 20-year bond auction, which benefited rate-sensitive banks.\nWrangling in Washington over the passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion infrastructure package progressed as Senate Democrats moved toward a planned procedural vote despite Republican appeals for a delay.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798, the S&P 500 gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69 and the Nasdaq Composite added 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, energy stocks\nwere the big winners, jumping 3.5% with the help of surging crude prices .\nSecond-quarter reporting season has shifted into overdrive, with 73 of the companies in the S&P 500 having posted results. Of those, 88% have beaten consensus expectations.\nAmong the winners, Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped 11.5% after the burrito chain beat earnings estimates and forecast strong current-quarter sales growth. The stock boasted the S&P 500's largest percentage gain.\nCoca-Cola rose 1.3% after raising its full-year forecast.\nInterpuplic Group of Companies jumped 11.3% in the wake of its upbeat earnings release.\nDrugmaker Johnson & Johnson forecast $2.5 billion in sales from its one-shot COVID vaccine this year and hiked its sales estimates. It closed up a modest 0.6%.\nOn the losing side, Netflix Inc late Tuesday reported slowing subscriber growth, sending its shares down 3.3%, the second-largest percentage loser in the S&P 500.\nHarley-Davidson's  second-quarter earnings release showed its turnaround plan appeared to be making progress, but the company lowered its operating income guidance due to tariffs from Europe, its second-biggest market. Its stock dropped 7.2%.\nTexas Instruments dipped more than 3% in extended trading following results posted after the bell.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.21-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 66 new highs and 34 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.13 billion shares, compared with the 10.17 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178515852,"gmtCreate":1626827333176,"gmtModify":1703765874262,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great comeback","listText":"Great comeback","text":"Great comeback","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/178515852","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153924256","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1626812915,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2153924256?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-21 04:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153924256","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-d","content":"<p>NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-day losing streak as a string of upbeat earnings reports and revived economic optimism fueled a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes gained more than 1% with the blue-chip Dow, on the heels of its worst day in nine months, leading the charge.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P notched its first advance in four days as well as registering its strongest day since March. The Nasdaq posted its first gain in six sessions.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a buy-the-dip mentality coming into the market,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive small caps&nbsp;and transports&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields bounced back from five-month lows, in the wake of their biggest single-session decline since February in the prior session . This helped boost rate-vulnerable banks by 2.6%.</p>\n<p>\"The economically sensitive stocks are up today,\" Carlson added. \"When the 10-year (Treasury yield) goes down in a short period of time, that typically doesn’t happen with an economy that’s supposed to be growing. Firming in the 10-year (yield) indicates that perhaps the economy isn’t going to be falling off a cliff.\"</p>\n<p>Mounting concerns over the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19, now responsible for the majority of new infections, have sparked sell-offs in recent sessions as worldwide vaccination efforts gather momentum.</p>\n<p>\"Things like the Delta variant can certainly impact in the margins,\" Carlson said. \"It doesn’t take a whole lot of fear in some investors to create what we saw yesterday.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99, the S&amp;P 500 gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but consumer staples closed green. Industrials fared best, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has hit full-stride, with 56 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 91% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P earnings growth of 72.9% for the April-June period, a significant improvement over the 54% growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Halliburton Co&nbsp;rose 3.7% after a bounce-back in crude prices boosted oilfield services demand, leading the company to post its second consecutive quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>Peloton Interactive Inc&nbsp;advanced 6.7% after announcing it would provide UnitedHealth Group's fully insured members free access to its live and on-demand fitness classes.</p>\n<p>Moderna's&nbsp;stock dropped 2% in a volatile session on Tuesday, with the COVID-19 vaccine maker the most heavily traded company on Wall Street ahead of its debut in the S&amp;P 500 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc&nbsp;shares dipped more than 3% in after- hours trading after its forecast missed estimates.</p>\n<p>Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill gained over 2% post-market after its earnings and revenue beat consensus.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.44-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 41 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 76 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.62 billion shares, compared with the 10.19 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street bounces back on renewed economic optimism\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-21 04:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-day losing streak as a string of upbeat earnings reports and revived economic optimism fueled a risk-on rally.</p>\n<p>All three major U.S. stock indexes gained more than 1% with the blue-chip Dow, on the heels of its worst day in nine months, leading the charge.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P notched its first advance in four days as well as registering its strongest day since March. The Nasdaq posted its first gain in six sessions.</p>\n<p>\"It’s a buy-the-dip mentality coming into the market,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.</p>\n<p>Economically sensitive small caps&nbsp;and transports&nbsp;outperformed the broader market.</p>\n<p>Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields bounced back from five-month lows, in the wake of their biggest single-session decline since February in the prior session . This helped boost rate-vulnerable banks by 2.6%.</p>\n<p>\"The economically sensitive stocks are up today,\" Carlson added. \"When the 10-year (Treasury yield) goes down in a short period of time, that typically doesn’t happen with an economy that’s supposed to be growing. Firming in the 10-year (yield) indicates that perhaps the economy isn’t going to be falling off a cliff.\"</p>\n<p>Mounting concerns over the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19, now responsible for the majority of new infections, have sparked sell-offs in recent sessions as worldwide vaccination efforts gather momentum.</p>\n<p>\"Things like the Delta variant can certainly impact in the margins,\" Carlson said. \"It doesn’t take a whole lot of fear in some investors to create what we saw yesterday.\"</p>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99, the S&amp;P 500 gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88.</p>\n<p>Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, all but consumer staples closed green. Industrials fared best, rising 2.7%.</p>\n<p>Second-quarter reporting season has hit full-stride, with 56 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having posted results. Of those, 91% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.</p>\n<p>Analysts now see annual S&amp;P earnings growth of 72.9% for the April-June period, a significant improvement over the 54% growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.</p>\n<p>Halliburton Co&nbsp;rose 3.7% after a bounce-back in crude prices boosted oilfield services demand, leading the company to post its second consecutive quarterly profit.</p>\n<p>Peloton Interactive Inc&nbsp;advanced 6.7% after announcing it would provide UnitedHealth Group's fully insured members free access to its live and on-demand fitness classes.</p>\n<p>Moderna's&nbsp;stock dropped 2% in a volatile session on Tuesday, with the COVID-19 vaccine maker the most heavily traded company on Wall Street ahead of its debut in the S&amp;P 500 on Wednesday.</p>\n<p>Netflix Inc&nbsp;shares dipped more than 3% in after- hours trading after its forecast missed estimates.</p>\n<p>Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill gained over 2% post-market after its earnings and revenue beat consensus.</p>\n<p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.44-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 41 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 76 new lows.</p>\n<p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.62 billion shares, compared with the 10.19 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","NFLX":"奈飞","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153924256","content_text":"NEW YORK, July 20 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher on Tuesday, rebounding from a multi-day losing streak as a string of upbeat earnings reports and revived economic optimism fueled a risk-on rally.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes gained more than 1% with the blue-chip Dow, on the heels of its worst day in nine months, leading the charge.\nThe S&P notched its first advance in four days as well as registering its strongest day since March. The Nasdaq posted its first gain in six sessions.\n\"It’s a buy-the-dip mentality coming into the market,\" said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.\nEconomically sensitive small caps and transports outperformed the broader market.\nBenchmark U.S. Treasury yields bounced back from five-month lows, in the wake of their biggest single-session decline since February in the prior session . This helped boost rate-vulnerable banks by 2.6%.\n\"The economically sensitive stocks are up today,\" Carlson added. \"When the 10-year (Treasury yield) goes down in a short period of time, that typically doesn’t happen with an economy that’s supposed to be growing. Firming in the 10-year (yield) indicates that perhaps the economy isn’t going to be falling off a cliff.\"\nMounting concerns over the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19, now responsible for the majority of new infections, have sparked sell-offs in recent sessions as worldwide vaccination efforts gather momentum.\n\"Things like the Delta variant can certainly impact in the margins,\" Carlson said. \"It doesn’t take a whole lot of fear in some investors to create what we saw yesterday.\"\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99, the S&P 500 gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, all but consumer staples closed green. Industrials fared best, rising 2.7%.\nSecond-quarter reporting season has hit full-stride, with 56 of the companies in the S&P 500 having posted results. Of those, 91% have beaten consensus, according to Refinitiv.\nAnalysts now see annual S&P earnings growth of 72.9% for the April-June period, a significant improvement over the 54% growth seen at the beginning of the quarter.\nHalliburton Co rose 3.7% after a bounce-back in crude prices boosted oilfield services demand, leading the company to post its second consecutive quarterly profit.\nPeloton Interactive Inc advanced 6.7% after announcing it would provide UnitedHealth Group's fully insured members free access to its live and on-demand fitness classes.\nModerna's stock dropped 2% in a volatile session on Tuesday, with the COVID-19 vaccine maker the most heavily traded company on Wall Street ahead of its debut in the S&P 500 on Wednesday.\nNetflix Inc shares dipped more than 3% in after- hours trading after its forecast missed estimates.\nShares of Chipotle Mexican Grill gained over 2% post-market after its earnings and revenue beat consensus.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.44-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.59-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 41 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 76 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.62 billion shares, compared with the 10.19 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"QID":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"NFLX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173485620,"gmtCreate":1626680042660,"gmtModify":1703763213647,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/173485620","repostId":"1107333185","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107333185","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626678901,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1107333185?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-19 15:15","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Chart of the Day: SG Q1 GDP growth to climb 1.3% above pre-pandemic levels","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107333185","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"The government's cautious approach in reopening boosted its growth.\n\nThis chart from Manulife shows ","content":"<blockquote>\n <b><i>The government's cautious approach in reopening boosted its growth.</i></b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>This chart from Manulife shows that the final first-quarter&nbsp;(Q1) gross domestic product growth of Singapore was revised upward from 0.2% to a higher-than-expected 1.3% (on a year-on-year&nbsp;basis), owing to stronger growth in both the manufacturing and services sectors.</p>\n<p>Although the economic recovery suffered a setback recently due to a jump in COVID-19 cases and the imposition of tighter mobility restrictions, which weighed on the services sector; there are still some reasons to be hopeful.</p>\n<p>Singapore’s economic output has already returned to pre-pandemic levels in Q1 ahead of its ASEAN peers, thanks to stronger fiscal and credit support measures; the government’s more cautious approach toward reopening the economy also helped. Crucially, the city-state made significant progress with its vaccination program.</p>\n<p>If the current pace of vaccination is sustained, it could have 70% of its population fully vaccinated by August and could potentially fully reopen the economy much sooner than its neighbours.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26fae5f9851655899b2357cbb7fab1bc\" tg-width=\"730\" tg-height=\"411\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chart of the Day: SG Q1 GDP growth to climb 1.3% above pre-pandemic levels</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChart of the Day: SG Q1 GDP growth to climb 1.3% above pre-pandemic levels\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 15:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://sbr.com.sg/news/chart-day-sg-q1-gdp-growth-climb-13-above-pre-pandemic-levels><strong>Singapore Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The government's cautious approach in reopening boosted its growth.\n\nThis chart from Manulife shows that the final first-quarter (Q1) gross domestic product growth of Singapore was revised upward from...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/news/chart-day-sg-q1-gdp-growth-climb-13-above-pre-pandemic-levels\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/news/chart-day-sg-q1-gdp-growth-climb-13-above-pre-pandemic-levels","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107333185","content_text":"The government's cautious approach in reopening boosted its growth.\n\nThis chart from Manulife shows that the final first-quarter (Q1) gross domestic product growth of Singapore was revised upward from 0.2% to a higher-than-expected 1.3% (on a year-on-year basis), owing to stronger growth in both the manufacturing and services sectors.\nAlthough the economic recovery suffered a setback recently due to a jump in COVID-19 cases and the imposition of tighter mobility restrictions, which weighed on the services sector; there are still some reasons to be hopeful.\nSingapore’s economic output has already returned to pre-pandemic levels in Q1 ahead of its ASEAN peers, thanks to stronger fiscal and credit support measures; the government’s more cautious approach toward reopening the economy also helped. Crucially, the city-state made significant progress with its vaccination program.\nIf the current pace of vaccination is sustained, it could have 70% of its population fully vaccinated by August and could potentially fully reopen the economy much sooner than its neighbours.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173485962,"gmtCreate":1626679975256,"gmtModify":1703763213152,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/173485962","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147064461,"gmtCreate":1626321076753,"gmtModify":1703757847886,"author":{"id":"3549668038727602","authorId":"3549668038727602","name":"Cheehow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e3e47e5305e34c6968002ff9c31335a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549668038727602","idStr":"3549668038727602"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good good good up up up","listText":"Good good good up up up","text":"Good good good up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147064461","repostId":"1122758076","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122758076","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626316880,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122758076?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-15 10:41","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122758076","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, ga","content":"<p>Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, gasoline demand in the US unexpectedly tumbled by 760,000 barrels a day from the record 10 million barrels a day a week, to 9.28 million barrels a day to get back to levels in late June.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96a51307958cb16bc6d3451c273dc614\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"662\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While algos focused on the sharp drop, what they ignored was that the number was largely meaningless, since the reporting week included July 5, a day off for Americans. Additionally, the EIA’s estimate, known as product supplied, is derived from other data rather than being a direct measurement of consumption. Since that method often leads to erratic numbers, some observers prefer to use the 4-week rolling average. That measure was 9.485 million barrels a day, which was about equal to the same week in 2019</p>\n<p>None of that mattered, however, as CTAs quickly joined in the selling frenzy and completely erasing the earlier jump on the far more important news of an OPEC+ deal.</p>\n<p>Just how important was the Reuters report that the UAE and Saudi Arabia are close to reaching a production agreement, one which sees both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022). Important enough that in a note released late on Wednesday, Goldman said that the deal would remove the low-probability tail risks of potential price war, and \"<b>represents $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.\"</b></p>\n<p>In the note from Goldman commodity analysts Damien Courvalin and Jeff Currie, the two also write that the expected agreement “as the ﬁrst of likely four potential bullish supply catalysts over the coming month” that would more than offset higher North American production. Additionally, although some OPEC+ details remain uncertain, like August and September quotas or baselines of other countries, “these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook, which the bank continues to see as supportive of higher oil prices”</p>\n<p>Piling on the bullish cash, Courvalin writes that an OPEC+ deal that offers a higher baseline for the UAE, as well as an extension of output agreement through December 2022 - such as the one being contemplated -&nbsp; would be bullish relative to Goldman’s base case</p>\n<p>And speaking of Goldman's forecasts, the bank had assumed a 500kb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17m b/d to 3.3m b/d in August to 3.65m b/d by the end of 1Q 2022. As a result, such a deal would imply downside risk to its OPEC+ production forecast of 400k-600k b/d on average for 3Q 2021-1Q 2022, depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September. Needless to say, that too is bullish for the price of oil... and yet one look at the collapse in oil prices today and one would be left shocked at just how dumb the algos have become.</p>\n<p>Finally, it's not just the UAE/OPEC+ deal that makes Goldman's commodities team hopeful - the bank’s other three potential bullish supply catalysts are listed as:-</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Upcoming shale earnings season, which may reaffirm greater incentive toward returning cash to shareholders over production growth</li>\n <li>That progress on the U.S. reaching an agreement with Iran has stalled, setting back the potential ramp up of exports</li>\n <li>Bank’s view that consensus expectations for global production outside of North America and core-OPEC remain too optimistic</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Below we excerpt from the full note:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The UAE and Saudi Arabia appear close to reaching a production agreement, with Reuters reporting progress towards a deal that would allow for both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022).<b>We assume that the such a deal - if conﬁrmed - would likely come alongside a gradual 0.4 mb/d monthly ramp-up in production through December 2021, as all OPEC+ members had already supported this decision.</b></li>\n <li>Such an agreement would help bridge the (modest) divide between both countries and<b>help remove the (low probability) OPEC+ tail risks of a potential price war or insufﬁcient production growth, as we expected.</b>While some details remain uncertain, like the August and September quotas or the baseline of other countries, these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook,<b>which we continue to see as supportive of higher oil prices.</b></li>\n <li>Importantly,<b>such an OPEC+ agreement would be bullish relative to our base-case, as we had assumed (1) a 0.5 mb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as (2) a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17 mb/d to 3.3 mb/d in August to 3.65 mb/d by the end of 1Q22 (given its clear inequity).</b>As a result, a deal as described above would<b>imply downside risk to our OPEC+ production forecast of 0.4 to 0.6 mb/d on average for 3Q21-1Q22</b>(depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September).</li>\n</ul>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47c75c93814aad90865576eeb1666992\" tg-width=\"651\" tg-height=\"527\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><u><b>All else equal, this would represent $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.</b></u>As a result,&nbsp;<b>we believe that risks to our bullish oil price forecasts are skewed to the upside, with the catalyst for such a move higher shifting from the demand to the supply side</b>. While our bullish view this year had been driven by our well above consensus demand growth forecast, this is no longer the case with (1) the sharp rebound in global oil demand that has taken place since May, from 95 to 98 mb/d currently and near our 99 mb/d end of summer forecast, mostly played out, with (2) the IEA expecting similar peak summer demand, and with (3) the EM vaccine led demand uplift set to only play out gradually through 1Q22.</p>\n<p>A shift in market focus to the supply will make increasingly evident that the industry’s costs have reset sharply higher, due to (1) poor accumulated returns of the past 5 years, (2) the inﬂationary impact of internalizing carbon emissions and (3) the rising uncertainty and pessimism on long-term oil demand.&nbsp;<b>As a result, we initiate a new trade recommendation to be long Dec-22 Brent forwards, currently trading at $67.06/bbl. This entry point is below our Dec-22 spot forecast of $75/bbl due to backwardation and further offers a proxy trade for a re-setting higher of the oil market’s marginal costs.</b></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Oil Price Spiking On UAE/OPEC+ Deal\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-15 10:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-sees-oil-price-spiking-uaeopec-deal><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, gasoline demand in the US unexpectedly tumbled by 760,000 barrels a day from the record 10 million ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-sees-oil-price-spiking-uaeopec-deal\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-sees-oil-price-spiking-uaeopec-deal","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122758076","content_text":"Oil suffered its biggest drop in 2.5 months today after the EIA reported that in the latest week, gasoline demand in the US unexpectedly tumbled by 760,000 barrels a day from the record 10 million barrels a day a week, to 9.28 million barrels a day to get back to levels in late June.\nWhile algos focused on the sharp drop, what they ignored was that the number was largely meaningless, since the reporting week included July 5, a day off for Americans. Additionally, the EIA’s estimate, known as product supplied, is derived from other data rather than being a direct measurement of consumption. Since that method often leads to erratic numbers, some observers prefer to use the 4-week rolling average. That measure was 9.485 million barrels a day, which was about equal to the same week in 2019\nNone of that mattered, however, as CTAs quickly joined in the selling frenzy and completely erasing the earlier jump on the far more important news of an OPEC+ deal.\nJust how important was the Reuters report that the UAE and Saudi Arabia are close to reaching a production agreement, one which sees both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022). Important enough that in a note released late on Wednesday, Goldman said that the deal would remove the low-probability tail risks of potential price war, and \"represents $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.\"\nIn the note from Goldman commodity analysts Damien Courvalin and Jeff Currie, the two also write that the expected agreement “as the ﬁrst of likely four potential bullish supply catalysts over the coming month” that would more than offset higher North American production. Additionally, although some OPEC+ details remain uncertain, like August and September quotas or baselines of other countries, “these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook, which the bank continues to see as supportive of higher oil prices”\nPiling on the bullish cash, Courvalin writes that an OPEC+ deal that offers a higher baseline for the UAE, as well as an extension of output agreement through December 2022 - such as the one being contemplated -  would be bullish relative to Goldman’s base case\nAnd speaking of Goldman's forecasts, the bank had assumed a 500kb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17m b/d to 3.3m b/d in August to 3.65m b/d by the end of 1Q 2022. As a result, such a deal would imply downside risk to its OPEC+ production forecast of 400k-600k b/d on average for 3Q 2021-1Q 2022, depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September. Needless to say, that too is bullish for the price of oil... and yet one look at the collapse in oil prices today and one would be left shocked at just how dumb the algos have become.\nFinally, it's not just the UAE/OPEC+ deal that makes Goldman's commodities team hopeful - the bank’s other three potential bullish supply catalysts are listed as:-\n\nUpcoming shale earnings season, which may reaffirm greater incentive toward returning cash to shareholders over production growth\nThat progress on the U.S. reaching an agreement with Iran has stalled, setting back the potential ramp up of exports\nBank’s view that consensus expectations for global production outside of North America and core-OPEC remain too optimistic\n\nBelow we excerpt from the full note:\n\nThe UAE and Saudi Arabia appear close to reaching a production agreement, with Reuters reporting progress towards a deal that would allow for both the higher baseline requested by the UAE (of 3.65 mb/d starting in April 2022) as well as an extension of the output agreement requested by Saudi (through December 2022).We assume that the such a deal - if conﬁrmed - would likely come alongside a gradual 0.4 mb/d monthly ramp-up in production through December 2021, as all OPEC+ members had already supported this decision.\nSuch an agreement would help bridge the (modest) divide between both countries andhelp remove the (low probability) OPEC+ tail risks of a potential price war or insufﬁcient production growth, as we expected.While some details remain uncertain, like the August and September quotas or the baseline of other countries, these are of limited magnitude and importance to the global oil market outlook,which we continue to see as supportive of higher oil prices.\nImportantly,such an OPEC+ agreement would be bullish relative to our base-case, as we had assumed (1) a 0.5 mb/d ramp-up starting in August as well as (2) a gradually rising UAE baseline from 3.17 mb/d to 3.3 mb/d in August to 3.65 mb/d by the end of 1Q22 (given its clear inequity).As a result, a deal as described above wouldimply downside risk to our OPEC+ production forecast of 0.4 to 0.6 mb/d on average for 3Q21-1Q22(depending on whether the lack of August production hike is compensated for in September).\n\nAll else equal, this would represent $2 to $4/bbl upside risk to our $80/bbl summer and $75/bbl 2022 Brent price forecasts.As a result, we believe that risks to our bullish oil price forecasts are skewed to the upside, with the catalyst for such a move higher shifting from the demand to the supply side. While our bullish view this year had been driven by our well above consensus demand growth forecast, this is no longer the case with (1) the sharp rebound in global oil demand that has taken place since May, from 95 to 98 mb/d currently and near our 99 mb/d end of summer forecast, mostly played out, with (2) the IEA expecting similar peak summer demand, and with (3) the EM vaccine led demand uplift set to only play out gradually through 1Q22.\nA shift in market focus to the supply will make increasingly evident that the industry’s costs have reset sharply higher, due to (1) poor accumulated returns of the past 5 years, (2) the inﬂationary impact of internalizing carbon emissions and (3) the rising uncertainty and pessimism on long-term oil demand. As a result, we initiate a new trade recommendation to be long Dec-22 Brent forwards, currently trading at $67.06/bbl. This entry point is below our Dec-22 spot forecast of $75/bbl due to backwardation and further offers a proxy trade for a re-setting higher of the oil market’s marginal costs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"MCLmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}