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  ·2021-05-07
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  Dramatically less than expected! U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Added Only 266,000 in April
  摘要：美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万，预期 99.8万，前值 91.6万；美国4月失业率 6.1%，预期 5.8%，前值 6%。5月7日公布的数据显示，美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期，失业率抬升。
  Dramatically less than expected! U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Added Only 266,000 in April
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U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Added Only 266,000 in April","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180692702","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万，预期 99.8万，前值 91.6万；美国4月失业率 6.1%，预期 5.8%，前值 6%。5月7日公布的数据显示，美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期，失业率抬升。","content":"<p>Abstract: The non-farm payrolls in the United States changed by 266,000 in April, which was expected to be 998,000, and the previous value was 916,000; The unemployment rate in the United States in April was 6.1%, compared with the expected 5.8%, and the previous value was 6%. Data released on May 7th showed that non-farm employment in the United States in April was significantly lower than expected, and the unemployment rate rose.</p><p>Non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 266,000 in April, compared with an expected increase of 998,000, and the previous value increased by 916,000.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad4fdfd6cc906c9f66861c649da51a49\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The unemployment rate in the United States in April was 6.1%, compared with the expected 5.8%, and the previous value was 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2755943e54d0cd79b7bfd069be1ddd\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Currently, the U.S. still has 8.2 million fewer jobs than it did before the pandemic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/644c9539b2aa8c9920ac5fb403961d45\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The labour participation rate was also disappointing at 61.7 percent, even higher than the 61.6 percent expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f847e0f027978a4350d61df857fdbb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>According to some institutions, the non-farm data of the United States in April recorded 266,000 people, which was significantly lower than expected. The unemployment rate rose to 6.1%, and the shortage of available labor intensified. Employers find recruitment difficult, a condition that hinders the momentum of the labour market. That means the Fed is on the right track with its ultra-loose monetary policy.</p><p>Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, said that the jobs report validates the Fed's results-oriented policy, hoping that we can see employers raise wages, and many financial support is still in the pipeline. He also said there is \"no sympathy\" for those on Wall Street who criticize the Fed's policy, there are nearly 9 million to 10 million Americans who remain unemployed, I firmly believe there should be a lot of support, and there is still a \"deep pit\" in returning to full employment.</p><p>Previously, many institutions gave optimistic expectations</p><p>It is worth noting that before the release of non-agricultural data, major investment banks were optimistic about the growth rate of non-agricultural employment in April, but the expected gap between investment banks was large.</p><p>Analysts also said that the collective forecast mistake of investment banks can be recorded in the annals of history.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c96b84d3383be6955f6308c2879f77a6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Specifically, the seasonally adjusted growth rate of non-farm payrolls in the United States in April is expected to be between 850,000 and 1.5 million, the unemployment rate is expected to be between 5.5% and 5.9%, and the annual growth rate of average hourly wage is expected to be between-0.6% and-0.2%.</p><p>Among them, Steve Englander, head of global foreign exchange research department of Standard Chartered Bank, gave an optimistic forecast of 1.5 million non-farm increases.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that LukeTilley, chief analyst of WilmingtonTrust, said that from the market perspective alone, if the number of employees continuously increases by 1 million, it will be detrimental to the market. Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, a foreign exchange broker, said that if this number exceeds 1.5 million, it may cause the yield of U.S. bonds to soar, providing some temporary support for the U.S. dollar. Steve Englander, head of global foreign exchange research at Standard Chartered Bank, believes that the Fed will only change its stance when the non-farm data increases by more than 2 million, and believes that the economy is overheating and beyond the acceptable range.</p><p>Of course, there are also many institutions that give the risk that non-farm payrolls are lower than expected. Two of all 79 agencies forecast non-farm payrolls below 800,000. Earlier, some analysts pointed out that non-agricultural debt less than 1 million will lead to a moderate rebound of U.S. debt, and the yield will fall moderately and fall below 1.5%.</p><p><b>Market reaction</b></p><p>After the announcement, the US Dollar Index fell 40 points short-term to 90.53, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury fell 10BP to 1.48%. Spot gold was about $10 higher in the short term at $1,826.43/oz. U.S. stock index futures rose sharply in the short term, and the Nasdaq futures rose to 1.3%.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dramatically less than expected! U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Added Only 266,000 in April</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDramatically less than expected! U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Added Only 266,000 in April\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-07 20:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Abstract: The non-farm payrolls in the United States changed by 266,000 in April, which was expected to be 998,000, and the previous value was 916,000; The unemployment rate in the United States in April was 6.1%, compared with the expected 5.8%, and the previous value was 6%. Data released on May 7th showed that non-farm employment in the United States in April was significantly lower than expected, and the unemployment rate rose.</p><p>Non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 266,000 in April, compared with an expected increase of 998,000, and the previous value increased by 916,000.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad4fdfd6cc906c9f66861c649da51a49\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The unemployment rate in the United States in April was 6.1%, compared with the expected 5.8%, and the previous value was 6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b2755943e54d0cd79b7bfd069be1ddd\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"264\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Currently, the U.S. still has 8.2 million fewer jobs than it did before the pandemic.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/644c9539b2aa8c9920ac5fb403961d45\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"265\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The labour participation rate was also disappointing at 61.7 percent, even higher than the 61.6 percent expected.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f847e0f027978a4350d61df857fdbb\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>According to some institutions, the non-farm data of the United States in April recorded 266,000 people, which was significantly lower than expected. The unemployment rate rose to 6.1%, and the shortage of available labor intensified. Employers find recruitment difficult, a condition that hinders the momentum of the labour market. That means the Fed is on the right track with its ultra-loose monetary policy.</p><p>Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, said that the jobs report validates the Fed's results-oriented policy, hoping that we can see employers raise wages, and many financial support is still in the pipeline. He also said there is \"no sympathy\" for those on Wall Street who criticize the Fed's policy, there are nearly 9 million to 10 million Americans who remain unemployed, I firmly believe there should be a lot of support, and there is still a \"deep pit\" in returning to full employment.</p><p>Previously, many institutions gave optimistic expectations</p><p>It is worth noting that before the release of non-agricultural data, major investment banks were optimistic about the growth rate of non-agricultural employment in April, but the expected gap between investment banks was large.</p><p>Analysts also said that the collective forecast mistake of investment banks can be recorded in the annals of history.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c96b84d3383be6955f6308c2879f77a6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Specifically, the seasonally adjusted growth rate of non-farm payrolls in the United States in April is expected to be between 850,000 and 1.5 million, the unemployment rate is expected to be between 5.5% and 5.9%, and the annual growth rate of average hourly wage is expected to be between-0.6% and-0.2%.</p><p>Among them, Steve Englander, head of global foreign exchange research department of Standard Chartered Bank, gave an optimistic forecast of 1.5 million non-farm increases.</p><p>It is worth mentioning that LukeTilley, chief analyst of WilmingtonTrust, said that from the market perspective alone, if the number of employees continuously increases by 1 million, it will be detrimental to the market. Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, a foreign exchange broker, said that if this number exceeds 1.5 million, it may cause the yield of U.S. bonds to soar, providing some temporary support for the U.S. dollar. Steve Englander, head of global foreign exchange research at Standard Chartered Bank, believes that the Fed will only change its stance when the non-farm data increases by more than 2 million, and believes that the economy is overheating and beyond the acceptable range.</p><p>Of course, there are also many institutions that give the risk that non-farm payrolls are lower than expected. Two of all 79 agencies forecast non-farm payrolls below 800,000. Earlier, some analysts pointed out that non-agricultural debt less than 1 million will lead to a moderate rebound of U.S. debt, and the yield will fall moderately and fall below 1.5%.</p><p><b>Market reaction</b></p><p>After the announcement, the US Dollar Index fell 40 points short-term to 90.53, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury fell 10BP to 1.48%. Spot gold was about $10 higher in the short term at $1,826.43/oz. U.S. stock index futures rose sharply in the short term, and the Nasdaq futures rose to 1.3%.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9963fdf0bdb1101a0e95978b643c3c62","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180692702","content_text":"摘要：美国4月非农就业人口变动 26.6万，预期 99.8万，前值 91.6万；美国4月失业率 6.1%，预期 5.8%，前值 6%。5月7日公布的数据显示，美国4月非农就业大幅不及预期，失业率抬升。美国4月非农就业人口增加26.6万，预期增加99.8万，前值增加91.6万。美国4月失业率6.1%，预期5.8%，前值6%。目前，美国仍然比疫情前少了820万个工作岗位。劳动参与率也令人失望，为61.7％，即便高于预期的61.6％。有机构表示，美国4月非农数据录得26.6万人，大幅不及预期，失业率上升至6.1%，而可用劳动力的短缺加剧。 雇主发现招聘困难，这种状况阻碍了劳动力市场的发展势头。这意味着美联储的超宽松货币政策是正确的。美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示，就业报告验证了美联储结果导向性的政策，希望我们能看到雇主们提高工资，许多财政支持仍在酝酿之中。他还表示，对华尔街批评美联储政策的人“没有同情”，有近900万到1000万美国人仍然没有工作，我坚定地认为应提供大量支持，目前在恢复充分就业方面仍处于“深坑”中。此前多家机构给出乐观预期值得注意的是，非农数据公布前，主要投行对4月非农就业人口的增幅预期较为乐观，但各投行之间的预期差距较大。分析人士也表示，此次投行集体预测失误，已经可以记入史册。具体而言，美国4月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于85万至150万，失业率料介于5.5%-5.9%，平均时薪年率增幅料介于-0.6%至-0.2%。其中，渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人史蒂夫·英格兰Steve Englander给出了非农增加150万人的乐观预测。值得一提的是，WilmingtonTrust首席分析师LukeTilley称，仅从市场角度来看，若就业人数连续增加100万，将对市场不利。而外汇经纪商OANDA高级市场分析师Edward Moya表示，如果这一数字超过150万，可能导致美债收益率飙升，为美元提供一些暂时支撑。渣打银行全球外汇研究部负责人Steve Englander认为，只有非农数据增加200万以上时，美联储才会改变立场，并认为经济过热，并超出可接受的范围。当然，也有许多机构给出了非农就业低于预期的风险。所有的79家机构中有2家预测非农就业低于80万。此前，有分析人士指出，非农低于100万将导致美债温和反弹，收益率温和下挫并跌破1.5%。市场反应消息公布后，美元指数短线走低40点至90.53，10年期美债收益率下跌10BP至1.48%。现货黄金短线走高约10美元，报1826.43美元/盎司。美股股指期货短线急速拉升，纳指期货涨幅扩大至1.3%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}