Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Bank stocks will kick off their earnings this week. Lets see if they can do a meaningful bounce before fed announcement at the end of the month, or continue to be bearish d/t the rate hikes pressure. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Is the stock market finally caving in to pressure from high treasury yields?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So finally, market is showing some weakness today, having a slight pullback from the new highs yesterday. Treasury yields continue to climb to higher level today. Is the market finally waking up to all the bear sentiments? Or is it just a blip? Let’s see how it progresses till the end of 2026. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Credit vs Treasuries vs AI, which one is a better hedge against inflation?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Are traders that much bullish now, they even suggest using AI related stocks as hedge against inflation? Is the usual approach of using commodities or bonds as hedge not working anymore? I definitely would not go all in on AI related stocks alone. They definitely make up a huge percentage of my portfolio. But it is always advisable to diversify with defensive, value focused stocks so that when the draw down happens, your portfolio will not fall like a falling knife. @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Tech driven market is in a bubble now? How much can it absorb before bursting?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So the equity market is still defying all odds, continue to smash records after records in the start of October. Bulls are definitely in LaLaLand and laughing at their bears counterparts. However, majority of the main indices are made up of high capex spend, hyperscaler tech companies with humongous forward estimate ratios. So there is a saying: “Whatever that rise fast, will fall fast too.” With that, I definitely will take this continuous bull run with a cautious approach, hunting down stocks near their support levels or resistance levels to increase my trade probability.[Serious] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options
Big tech companies are outpacing upcoming AI companies? Bull or Bear going into scariest month of the year for equities?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So equities remain bullish going into start of October. Traditionally, last quarter of the year is a bear market. So will they succumb to tradition? or will it continue to shoot for the moon and break new highs? Big companies are seen as better investments as compared to upcoming hyped AI names such as Anthropic and OpenAI. I do agree with this as big companies have brand influence, better capital allocation and diversified revenue pathways. So as much as I enjoy and appreciate AI founding companies, I will not look to own any stocks until it proven its enormous forward valuations. The key is to diversify. Diversity allows you to ride the waves
Softer PCE numbers, jobs market stay strong heading to 4th quarter of the year. Commodities to recover?
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So PCE and job numbers are more optimistic than market estimates, sending bullish shockwaves to majority of hyperscalers and sectors. However, this does not discount the elevated yields and various macro factors that are still in play. I anticipate a rotation in funds into defensive sectors such as $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$$Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$$Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ from high valuations sectors $Technology Select Sec
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. New trades: $Intuit(INTU)$ 16 October 287.5/290 Buy Call spread @ $1.15db. $Workday(WDAY)$ 23 October 190/192.5 Buy Call spread @ $1.25db. $Deere(DE)$ 16 October 657.5/655 Buy Put spread @ $1.12db. $AXT Inc(AXTI)$ 23 October 80/81 Buy Call spread @ $0.47db. TSLA 16 October 357.5/360 Buy Call spread @ $1.22db. ORCL 23 October 135/136 Buy Call spread @ $0.49db. Closed trades: $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 02 October 109/108 Buy Put spread for $0.17cr
Comsumer spending did not slow down despite hotter inflation numbers and rate hikes. When
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So consumer spending was better than market estimate today, resulting in a continue bullish sentiment in equities. However, it might be a short term catalyst as macro issues such as oil price war, inflated treasury yield prices and countries being inflection inside of collaboration d/t Trump strategy to cause tension and divison. Coupled with the traditional “bearish” period coming up as fund managers rebalance their portfolios, let’s see if indices can continue breaking new high, or fall like a knife.[Spurting] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]
Housing stocks continue to tank, interest rates not slowing down, yields remain elevated.
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF(IYR)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ With treasury yields showing no signs of slowing down or retracement, its worth monitoring MOVE as well to have a more holistic analysis instead of just relying on VIX index to determine the degree of greed/fear in the market. With home loan interest rates showing no sign of retracement, housing being already expensive and affordability being an issue, wise to trim your allocation in REITs related to housing, unless you have at lest 10 yea