Profile - To The Moon

Fredwkh

Frederick residing in SG

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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·10-05
  Definitely with reach! Nvidia is sitting on top of this AI Millennium. To the moon.
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2023-03-22
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  First Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance Have Sold Off Intensely. Are Any of These Stocks a Buy?
  All three of these banks have some similarities to SVB Financial, which has made investors very jumpy.
  First Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance Have Sold Off Intensely. Are Any of These Stocks a Buy?
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2023-03-02
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  S&P, Nasdaq Weak As Manufacturing Stokes Fed Concerns
  Two-year Treasury yield jumps to 2007 highNovavax slumps on going concern worriesTesla slips ahead o
  S&P, Nasdaq Weak As Manufacturing Stokes Fed Concerns
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2023-01-05
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  US STOCKS-S&P Closes Higher After Fed Minutes Confirm Inflation Focus
  (Reuters) - The S&P 500 finished higher on Wednesday but below its session peak after volatile tradi
  US STOCKS-S&P Closes Higher After Fed Minutes Confirm Inflation Focus
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2023-01-04
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  Bets on Stock Rally Explode After an Odd Year in Options Trading
  Market pricing in 1-in-5 odds for 23% S&P 500 Gain in 2023Susquehanna advises clients to sell calls
  Bets on Stock Rally Explode After an Odd Year in Options Trading
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2023-01-03
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  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2023-01-02
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  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2022-12-31
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  US STOCKS-Wall St Ends 2022 With Biggest Annual Drop Since 2008
  Wall St booked biggest annual percentage drop since 2008S&P market cap declined by about $8 billion
  US STOCKS-Wall St Ends 2022 With Biggest Annual Drop Since 2008
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2022-12-29
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  2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?
  Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertain
  2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?
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- FredwkhFredwkh
  ·2022-12-27
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Are Any of These Stocks a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2320379346","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"All three of these banks have some similarities to SVB Financial, which has made investors very jumpy.","content":"<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFirst Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance have exposure to the tech and venture capital sector.First Republic is sitting on a hefty amount of unrealized bond losses in its held-to-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/20/first-republic-pacwest-western-alliance-sold-off/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>First Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance Have Sold Off Intensely. 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Are Any of These Stocks a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-21 16:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/20/first-republic-pacwest-western-alliance-sold-off/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>KEY POINTSFirst Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance have exposure to the tech and venture capital sector.First Republic is sitting on a hefty amount of unrealized bond losses in its held-to-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/20/first-republic-pacwest-western-alliance-sold-off/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4589":"SVB概念","BK4211":"区域性银行","WAL":"阿莱恩斯西部银行","PACW":"西太平洋合众银行"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/20/first-republic-pacwest-western-alliance-sold-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2320379346","content_text":"KEY POINTSFirst Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance have exposure to the tech and venture capital sector.First Republic is sitting on a hefty amount of unrealized bond losses in its held-to-maturity bond portfolio.Bank stocks have come under some pressure this month after the second- and third-largest bank failures in history came out of seemingly nowhere and spooked investors. In particular, bank stocks  First Republic, PacWest Bancorp, and Western Alliance went on quite a bumpy ride as investors spotted similarities between their balance sheets and those of failed bank SVB Financial. As a result, all three stocks have been sold off intensely.To paraphrase legendary investor Warren Buffett, with so many investors so scared right now, is it time to \"be greedy when others are fearful?\" Given the sell-off, are any of these stocks worth buying right now? Let's take a look.Uninsured deposits and bond lossesThe big thing that brought SVB Financial's Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Capital's Silvergate Bank down is deposits fleeing the bank extremely quickly over concerns about bond losses. Many banks invested excess deposits into lower-yielding, longer-duration bonds too early in the interest rate cycle. When rates rose, these bonds fell out of favor and their value fell deeply underwater because bond yields and bond values have an inverse relationship. Given enough time, these \"paper losses\" on the bonds would have turned back into gains if the bonds were held to maturity. SVB didn't get that needed time.What exacerbated SVB's and Silvergate's problems is that both banks had too much deposit concentration among a smaller number of big customers, all carrying deposit balances well in excess of what the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) insures. In SVB's case, once the liquidity issues it faced became known, these select large customers got spooked, pulled their deposits quickly, and then told their friends to do the same. Word got around so quickly that SVB saw an astounding $42 billion of deposits pulled in a single day.Making comparisons to SVB FinancialIn order to see how First Republic, PacWest, and Western Alliance stack up to SVB, let's first examine how many of their deposits were uninsured and what kinds of bond losses they were facing relative to their tangible common equity (TCE) at the end of 2022. I'm only going to look at unrealized bond losses in these banks' held-to-maturity (HTM) portfolios because these are not marked-to-market and therefore not subtracted from equity each quarter.BankTCEHTM Unrealized Losses on Dec. 31, 2022Percent of Deposits Uninsured on Dec. 31, 2022SVB Financial$11.8 billion$15.1 billion89%First Republic$12.8 billion$4.8 billion79%Western Alliance$4.4 billion$177 million76%PacWest Bancorp$2.12 billionNM57%Data sources: Bank call reports and regulatory filings. TCE = Tangible common equity. HTM = Held to maturity. NM = Not material.As you can see, SVB would have wiped out all of its equity if it had sold its HTM bond portfolio. First Republic would wipe out 37.5% of its equity, while Western Alliance and PacWest aren't really sitting on any meaningful HTM bond losses. However, all of these banks had a significant amount of uninsured deposits.Homing in on depositsFirst Republic is a niche bank catering to high-net-worth households in the coastal parts of the U.S. like California, New York, Boston, and Florida. Like SVB, it also does a good amount of lending to businesses like venture capital and private equity firms, as well as nonprofits such as higher education.Interestingly, First Republic notes that it only has one-fifth of business deposit accounts compared to the average U.S. bank with between $100 billion and $250 billion in deposits. The bank also noted in a recent investor presentation that its average business account has $490,000 in deposits in it, so you can see how a deposit base like this could potentially flee quicker than somewhere like Bank of America, which has millions of consumer accounts with much smaller balances.Despite tapping the Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase and building unused liquidity of $70 billion, First Republic was apparently still seeing deposit outflows and had to get an additional $30 billion deposit injection from 11 different banks.Western Alliance mainly gathers deposits from companies as well but seems to have a somewhat more diverse set of customers, serving a wider range of businesses, mortgage companies, homeowner's associations, and business escrow services. Roughly 14% of the bank's deposits came from the tech and innovation sector.PacWest also heavily caters to the venture capital community. At the end of 2022, about $12 billion of its nearly $34 billion in deposits came from venture banking activity, and the bank is reportedly seeking additional liquidity similar to First Republic.Margin and insider buysA good indicator of a bank's profitability is its net interest margin (NIM), which essentially looks at the interest a bank makes on interest-earning assets such as loans and securities and what it pays out on interest-bearing liabilities like deposits.First Republic is definitely going to be challenged, as it had already been facing NIM pressure even before all of the chaos started because it holds a large mortgage portfolio, which tends to yield less than a lot of business and commercial loans. Considering the bank recently said it has taken on a lot of higher-cost borrowings to fill the hole from outflows, expect earnings to struggle, especially over the next few quarters.On its first-quarter earnings call back in January, PacWest's management team expected NIM to be flat in 2023, but this has likely changed given everything going on.On Western Alliance's Q1 earnings call, management actually guided for very strong deposit growth in 2023 of between 13% and 17% and NIM expansion this year. Last Friday, as SVB Financial was being put into FDIC receivership, Western Alliance reaffirmed its deposit growth projections for the year, although it will be interesting to see how those hold up. On March 13, the bank said it had increased cash balances to $25 billion and that insured deposits now exceeded 50%, which are all positive developments.In terms of recent stock purchases by management and directors, PacWest takes the cake, with many members of its senior management team and directors purchasing shares since SVB failed. As of March 16, only one director at Western Alliance had purchased shares, and at First Republic, one member of senior management sold shares in recent days and one director acquired shares on March 9.Are any of these stocks worth buying?The big thing to understand here is that this is a rapidly evolving situation, so expect a lot of volatility over the next few weeks and there's no guarantee that more regional banks won't face deposit runs. These three banks may also see credit downgrades from the rating agencies (First Republic already has). I also think First Republic is a likely seller if it can find a buyer because it could really be an uphill battle for the bank from an earnings perspective.Additionally, regional banks definitely face challenges moving forward, whether it's on earnings or on the regulatory front. So while I expect them to rebound, it may not be an easy road and they may not gain their former valuations, at least for a while.All that said, Western Alliance looks the best positioned of these three right now given their cash position and the fact that more than half of the bank's deposits are now FDIC-insured. The company also has better NIM expectations and looks to have a more stable, diverse deposit base. I do wish insiders were buying more shares, however, because it would be a good signal to the market.If you're interested in investing, the best thing to do right now is to take a small position and build it gradually as conditions stabilize. Another way to play this might be to purchase an exchange-traded fund with exposure to regional banks like the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF, so you get exposure to a basket of regional bank stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FRC":0.9,"PACW":1,"WAL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940321981,"gmtCreate":1677712296244,"gmtModify":1677712300250,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I","listText":"I","text":"I","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940321981","repostId":"2316241106","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2316241106","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1677711956,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2316241106?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-02 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P, Nasdaq Weak As Manufacturing Stokes Fed Concerns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2316241106","media":"Reuters","summary":"Two-year Treasury yield jumps to 2007 highNovavax slumps on going concern worriesTesla slips ahead o","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Two-year Treasury yield jumps to 2007 high</li><li>Novavax slumps on going concern worries</li><li>Tesla slips ahead of investor day</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ded13391d1772e0ac524b6ef82aaf772\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NEW YORK, March 1 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell for a second straight session on Wednesday as Treasury yields jumped after manufacturing data indicated inflation is likely to remain stubbornly high, while comments from Federal Reserve policymakers supported a hawkish policy stance.</p><p>The yield on 10-year notes topped 4% for the first time since November, reaching a high of 4.01%, after the Institute for Supply Management&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISM\">$(ISM)$</a> survey showed U.S. manufacturing contracted in February and prices for raw materials increased last month.</p><p>After the data was released, the two-year    U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, gained on the day after reaching 4.904%, its highest since 2007. It was last up 8.4 basis points at 4.881%.</p><p>&#34;You could see the market kind of deteriorated a little bit, yields started climbing after that February ISM manufacturing report. Prices paid component, that really jumped, broke a four-month streak of price declines,&#34; said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan, referring to the ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Index which is seen as an inflation indicator.</p><p>&#34;That is just another piece of evidence we have seen over the past couple of weeks that inflation is remaining stickier than what most people thought in January,&#34; he said, adding it was likely the Fed is going to move rates higher.</p><p>Saglimbene added the bond market has recently been indicating there is a greater chance the Fed could move the terminal rate somewhere close to 6%.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5.14 points, or 0.02%, to 32,661.84, the S&amp;P 500 lost 18.76 points, or 0.47%, to 3,951.39 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 76.06 points, or 0.66%, to 11,379.48.</p><p>The Dow held near the unchanged mark as Caterpillar    shares rose 3.81% after the construction equipment maker said it had reached a tentative deal with a union that represents workers at four of its facilities.</p><p>Fed funds futures showed traders added to bets the U.S. central bank will raise its benchmark rate to a range of 5.5%-5.75% by September, from the current range of 4.5%-4.75%.</p><p>Further fueling concerns about central bank aggressiveness, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a voter in the rate-setting committee in 2023, said he is &#34;open-minded&#34; on either a 25 basis point or a 50 basis point rate hike in March. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay that while a federal funds rate between 5% to 5.25% would be adequate, the policy would have to remain tight &#34;well into 2024&#34; until inflation is clearly subsiding.</p><p>After a strong January, the main U.S. benchmarks stumbled in February on growing expectations the Fed will increase rates more than initially thought as segments of the economy such as the labor market remain tight, while inflation has not ebbed as quickly as anticipated.</p><p>U.S. monthly payrolls and consumer prices data in the coming days will further help investors gauge the path of rates ahead of the March 21-22 meeting, when the Fed is largely seen hiking rates by 25 basis points.</p><p>Energy    and materials    sectors were among the few winners in the session as commodity prices gained after data showed China&#39;s manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in more than a decade as the country continues to leave its COVID-19 restrictions behind.</p><p>Tesla Inc    slipped 1.43% ahead of its investor day event. The electric automaker is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, Reuters reported, citing people familiar with the plan.</p><p>Novavax Inc    plunged 25.92% after the COVID-19 vaccine maker raised doubts about its ability to remain in business and announced plans to slash spending as it prepares for a fall vaccination campaign.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.00 billion shares, compared with the 11.39 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.32-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.29-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 9 new 52-week highs and 13 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 114 new lows.</p><p>(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Aurora Ellis)</p><p>((charles.mikolajczak@tr.com; @ChuckMik;))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P, Nasdaq Weak As Manufacturing Stokes Fed Concerns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P, Nasdaq Weak As Manufacturing Stokes Fed Concerns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-02 07:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Two-year Treasury yield jumps to 2007 high</li><li>Novavax slumps on going concern worries</li><li>Tesla slips ahead of investor day</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ded13391d1772e0ac524b6ef82aaf772\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>NEW YORK, March 1 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell for a second straight session on Wednesday as Treasury yields jumped after manufacturing data indicated inflation is likely to remain stubbornly high, while comments from Federal Reserve policymakers supported a hawkish policy stance.</p><p>The yield on 10-year notes topped 4% for the first time since November, reaching a high of 4.01%, after the Institute for Supply Management&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISM\">$(ISM)$</a> survey showed U.S. manufacturing contracted in February and prices for raw materials increased last month.</p><p>After the data was released, the two-year    U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, gained on the day after reaching 4.904%, its highest since 2007. It was last up 8.4 basis points at 4.881%.</p><p>&#34;You could see the market kind of deteriorated a little bit, yields started climbing after that February ISM manufacturing report. Prices paid component, that really jumped, broke a four-month streak of price declines,&#34; said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan, referring to the ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Index which is seen as an inflation indicator.</p><p>&#34;That is just another piece of evidence we have seen over the past couple of weeks that inflation is remaining stickier than what most people thought in January,&#34; he said, adding it was likely the Fed is going to move rates higher.</p><p>Saglimbene added the bond market has recently been indicating there is a greater chance the Fed could move the terminal rate somewhere close to 6%.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5.14 points, or 0.02%, to 32,661.84, the S&amp;P 500 lost 18.76 points, or 0.47%, to 3,951.39 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 76.06 points, or 0.66%, to 11,379.48.</p><p>The Dow held near the unchanged mark as Caterpillar    shares rose 3.81% after the construction equipment maker said it had reached a tentative deal with a union that represents workers at four of its facilities.</p><p>Fed funds futures showed traders added to bets the U.S. central bank will raise its benchmark rate to a range of 5.5%-5.75% by September, from the current range of 4.5%-4.75%.</p><p>Further fueling concerns about central bank aggressiveness, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a voter in the rate-setting committee in 2023, said he is &#34;open-minded&#34; on either a 25 basis point or a 50 basis point rate hike in March. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay that while a federal funds rate between 5% to 5.25% would be adequate, the policy would have to remain tight &#34;well into 2024&#34; until inflation is clearly subsiding.</p><p>After a strong January, the main U.S. benchmarks stumbled in February on growing expectations the Fed will increase rates more than initially thought as segments of the economy such as the labor market remain tight, while inflation has not ebbed as quickly as anticipated.</p><p>U.S. monthly payrolls and consumer prices data in the coming days will further help investors gauge the path of rates ahead of the March 21-22 meeting, when the Fed is largely seen hiking rates by 25 basis points.</p><p>Energy    and materials    sectors were among the few winners in the session as commodity prices gained after data showed China&#39;s manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in more than a decade as the country continues to leave its COVID-19 restrictions behind.</p><p>Tesla Inc    slipped 1.43% ahead of its investor day event. The electric automaker is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, Reuters reported, citing people familiar with the plan.</p><p>Novavax Inc    plunged 25.92% after the COVID-19 vaccine maker raised doubts about its ability to remain in business and announced plans to slash spending as it prepares for a fall vaccination campaign.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.00 billion shares, compared with the 11.39 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.32-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.29-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 9 new 52-week highs and 13 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 114 new lows.</p><p>(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Aurora Ellis)</p><p>((charles.mikolajczak@tr.com; @ChuckMik;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","BK4588":"碎股","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TSLA":"特斯拉","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4139":"生物科技","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2316241106","content_text":"Two-year Treasury yield jumps to 2007 highNovavax slumps on going concern worriesTesla slips ahead of investor dayNEW YORK, March 1 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell for a second straight session on Wednesday as Treasury yields jumped after manufacturing data indicated inflation is likely to remain stubbornly high, while comments from Federal Reserve policymakers supported a hawkish policy stance.The yield on 10-year notes topped 4% for the first time since November, reaching a high of 4.01%, after the Institute for Supply Management's $(ISM)$ survey showed U.S. manufacturing contracted in February and prices for raw materials increased last month.After the data was released, the two-year    U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, gained on the day after reaching 4.904%, its highest since 2007. It was last up 8.4 basis points at 4.881%.\"You could see the market kind of deteriorated a little bit, yields started climbing after that February ISM manufacturing report. Prices paid component, that really jumped, broke a four-month streak of price declines,\" said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Troy, Michigan, referring to the ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Index which is seen as an inflation indicator.\"That is just another piece of evidence we have seen over the past couple of weeks that inflation is remaining stickier than what most people thought in January,\" he said, adding it was likely the Fed is going to move rates higher.Saglimbene added the bond market has recently been indicating there is a greater chance the Fed could move the terminal rate somewhere close to 6%.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5.14 points, or 0.02%, to 32,661.84, the S&P 500 lost 18.76 points, or 0.47%, to 3,951.39 and the Nasdaq Composite    dropped 76.06 points, or 0.66%, to 11,379.48.The Dow held near the unchanged mark as Caterpillar    shares rose 3.81% after the construction equipment maker said it had reached a tentative deal with a union that represents workers at four of its facilities.Fed funds futures showed traders added to bets the U.S. central bank will raise its benchmark rate to a range of 5.5%-5.75% by September, from the current range of 4.5%-4.75%.Further fueling concerns about central bank aggressiveness, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a voter in the rate-setting committee in 2023, said he is \"open-minded\" on either a 25 basis point or a 50 basis point rate hike in March. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay that while a federal funds rate between 5% to 5.25% would be adequate, the policy would have to remain tight \"well into 2024\" until inflation is clearly subsiding.After a strong January, the main U.S. benchmarks stumbled in February on growing expectations the Fed will increase rates more than initially thought as segments of the economy such as the labor market remain tight, while inflation has not ebbed as quickly as anticipated.U.S. monthly payrolls and consumer prices data in the coming days will further help investors gauge the path of rates ahead of the March 21-22 meeting, when the Fed is largely seen hiking rates by 25 basis points.Energy    and materials    sectors were among the few winners in the session as commodity prices gained after data showed China's manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in more than a decade as the country continues to leave its COVID-19 restrictions behind.Tesla Inc    slipped 1.43% ahead of its investor day event. The electric automaker is readying a production revamp of its top-selling Model Y, Reuters reported, citing people familiar with the plan.Novavax Inc    plunged 25.92% after the COVID-19 vaccine maker raised doubts about its ability to remain in business and announced plans to slash spending as it prepares for a fall vaccination campaign.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.00 billion shares, compared with the 11.39 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.32-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.29-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 9 new 52-week highs and 13 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 114 new lows.(Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak; Editing by Aurora Ellis)((charles.mikolajczak@tr.com; @ChuckMik;))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"ISM":1,"NVAX":0.9,"SH":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,"SPXU":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"TSLA":0.9,"IVV":0.6,"SPY":0.62,"OEF":0.6,"OEX":0.6,".SPX":0.9,"DOG":0.6,"DDM":0.6,".DJI":0.9,"SDOW":0.6,"UPRO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959988549,"gmtCreate":1672879183381,"gmtModify":1676538752018,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959988549","repostId":"2301405863","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2301405863","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1672872942,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2301405863?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-05 06:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P Closes Higher After Fed Minutes Confirm Inflation Focus","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2301405863","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 finished higher on Wednesday but below its session peak after volatile tradi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 finished higher on Wednesday but below its session peak after volatile trading following the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve&#39;s last meeting, which showed officials laser-focused on controlling inflation even as they agreed to slow their interest rate hiking pace.</p><p>Officials at the Fed&#39;s Dec. 13-14 policy meeting agreed the U.S. central bank should continue increasing the cost of credit to control the pace of price increases, but in a gradual way intended to limit the risks to economic growth.</p><p>Investors were poring over the Fed&#39;s internal deliberations for clues about its future path. After the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell had said more hikes were needed, and took a more hawkish tone than investors had expected back then.</p><p>While some money managers said the minutes included no surprises, the market appeared to have been holding onto hopes for some sign that the Fed was at least considering easing its policy tightening.</p><p>&#34;The market is like a kid asking for ice cream. The parents say &#39;no,&#39; but the market keeps asking because the parents have caved in the past,&#34; said Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group LLC in Dallas. &#34;The market still thinks it&#39;s going to get ice cream, just not as soon as they thought before.&#34;</p><p>McKinney pointed to the minutes for evidence of Fed officials&#39; concern that an unwarranted easing of financial conditions would complicate their efforts to fight inflation.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 133.4 points, or 0.4%, to 33,269.77; the S&amp;P 500 gained 28.83 points, or 0.75%, to 3,852.97; and the Nasdaq Composite added 71.78 points, or 0.69%, to 10,458.76.</p><p>The S&amp;P&#39;s rate-sensitive technology index lost some ground after the minutes before finishing up 0.26%. Even the bank sector, which benefits from higher rates, pared gains but still finished up 1.9%.</p><p>Energy was the weakest of the S&amp;P&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, closing up 0.06%, while real estate was the strongest, closed up 2.3%, followed by a 1.7% gain in materials.</p><p>Also on Wednesday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also stressed the need for continued rate hikes, setting out his own forecast that the policy rate should initially pause at 5.4%.</p><p>&#34;The Fed minutes are a good reminder for investors to expect rates to remain high throughout all of 2023. Amid a persistently strong job market, it makes sense that fighting inflation remains the name of the game for the Fed,&#34; said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office in New York.</p><p>&#34;Bottom line is that, even though we flipped the calendar, the market headwinds from last year remain.”</p><p>Market participants now see a 68.8% chance of a 25 basis points rate hike from the Fed in February, but still see rates peaking just below 5% by June..</p><p>Earlier in the day, data showed U.S. job openings in November indicating a tight labor market, giving the Fed cover to stick to its monetary tightening campaign for longer, while other data showed manufacturing contracted further in December.</p><p>U.S. equities were pummeled in 2022 on worries of a recession due to aggressive monetary policy tightening, with the three main stock indexes logging their steepest annual losses since 2008.</p><p>On the Nasdaq 100 the largest gainer was U.S. shares of JD.Com Inc, which rose 14.7% on hopes for a post-COVID-19 recovery in China. The largest decliner was Microsoft, down 4.4% after a UBS analyst downgraded the stock to &#34;neutral&#34; from a &#34;buy&#34; rating.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.74-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted five new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 51 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 11.35 billion shares changed hands, compared with the 10.83 billion-share average for the last 20 trading days, which included some volume weakness due to the holidays.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P Closes Higher After Fed Minutes Confirm Inflation Focus</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P Closes Higher After Fed Minutes Confirm Inflation Focus\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-01-05 06:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 finished higher on Wednesday but below its session peak after volatile trading following the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve&#39;s last meeting, which showed officials laser-focused on controlling inflation even as they agreed to slow their interest rate hiking pace.</p><p>Officials at the Fed&#39;s Dec. 13-14 policy meeting agreed the U.S. central bank should continue increasing the cost of credit to control the pace of price increases, but in a gradual way intended to limit the risks to economic growth.</p><p>Investors were poring over the Fed&#39;s internal deliberations for clues about its future path. After the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell had said more hikes were needed, and took a more hawkish tone than investors had expected back then.</p><p>While some money managers said the minutes included no surprises, the market appeared to have been holding onto hopes for some sign that the Fed was at least considering easing its policy tightening.</p><p>&#34;The market is like a kid asking for ice cream. The parents say &#39;no,&#39; but the market keeps asking because the parents have caved in the past,&#34; said Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group LLC in Dallas. &#34;The market still thinks it&#39;s going to get ice cream, just not as soon as they thought before.&#34;</p><p>McKinney pointed to the minutes for evidence of Fed officials&#39; concern that an unwarranted easing of financial conditions would complicate their efforts to fight inflation.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 133.4 points, or 0.4%, to 33,269.77; the S&amp;P 500 gained 28.83 points, or 0.75%, to 3,852.97; and the Nasdaq Composite added 71.78 points, or 0.69%, to 10,458.76.</p><p>The S&amp;P&#39;s rate-sensitive technology index lost some ground after the minutes before finishing up 0.26%. Even the bank sector, which benefits from higher rates, pared gains but still finished up 1.9%.</p><p>Energy was the weakest of the S&amp;P&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, closing up 0.06%, while real estate was the strongest, closed up 2.3%, followed by a 1.7% gain in materials.</p><p>Also on Wednesday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also stressed the need for continued rate hikes, setting out his own forecast that the policy rate should initially pause at 5.4%.</p><p>&#34;The Fed minutes are a good reminder for investors to expect rates to remain high throughout all of 2023. Amid a persistently strong job market, it makes sense that fighting inflation remains the name of the game for the Fed,&#34; said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office in New York.</p><p>&#34;Bottom line is that, even though we flipped the calendar, the market headwinds from last year remain.”</p><p>Market participants now see a 68.8% chance of a 25 basis points rate hike from the Fed in February, but still see rates peaking just below 5% by June..</p><p>Earlier in the day, data showed U.S. job openings in November indicating a tight labor market, giving the Fed cover to stick to its monetary tightening campaign for longer, while other data showed manufacturing contracted further in December.</p><p>U.S. equities were pummeled in 2022 on worries of a recession due to aggressive monetary policy tightening, with the three main stock indexes logging their steepest annual losses since 2008.</p><p>On the Nasdaq 100 the largest gainer was U.S. shares of JD.Com Inc, which rose 14.7% on hopes for a post-COVID-19 recovery in China. The largest decliner was Microsoft, down 4.4% after a UBS analyst downgraded the stock to &#34;neutral&#34; from a &#34;buy&#34; rating.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.74-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted five new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 51 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 11.35 billion shares changed hands, compared with the 10.83 billion-share average for the last 20 trading days, which included some volume weakness due to the holidays.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COMP":"Compass, Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2301405863","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 finished higher on Wednesday but below its session peak after volatile trading following the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's last meeting, which showed officials laser-focused on controlling inflation even as they agreed to slow their interest rate hiking pace.Officials at the Fed's Dec. 13-14 policy meeting agreed the U.S. central bank should continue increasing the cost of credit to control the pace of price increases, but in a gradual way intended to limit the risks to economic growth.Investors were poring over the Fed's internal deliberations for clues about its future path. After the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell had said more hikes were needed, and took a more hawkish tone than investors had expected back then.While some money managers said the minutes included no surprises, the market appeared to have been holding onto hopes for some sign that the Fed was at least considering easing its policy tightening.\"The market is like a kid asking for ice cream. The parents say 'no,' but the market keeps asking because the parents have caved in the past,\" said Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group LLC in Dallas. \"The market still thinks it's going to get ice cream, just not as soon as they thought before.\"McKinney pointed to the minutes for evidence of Fed officials' concern that an unwarranted easing of financial conditions would complicate their efforts to fight inflation.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 133.4 points, or 0.4%, to 33,269.77; the S&P 500 gained 28.83 points, or 0.75%, to 3,852.97; and the Nasdaq Composite added 71.78 points, or 0.69%, to 10,458.76.The S&P's rate-sensitive technology index lost some ground after the minutes before finishing up 0.26%. Even the bank sector, which benefits from higher rates, pared gains but still finished up 1.9%.Energy was the weakest of the S&P's 11 major industry sectors, closing up 0.06%, while real estate was the strongest, closed up 2.3%, followed by a 1.7% gain in materials.Also on Wednesday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also stressed the need for continued rate hikes, setting out his own forecast that the policy rate should initially pause at 5.4%.\"The Fed minutes are a good reminder for investors to expect rates to remain high throughout all of 2023. Amid a persistently strong job market, it makes sense that fighting inflation remains the name of the game for the Fed,\" said Mike Loewengart, head of model portfolio construction at Morgan Stanley Global Investment Office in New York.\"Bottom line is that, even though we flipped the calendar, the market headwinds from last year remain.”Market participants now see a 68.8% chance of a 25 basis points rate hike from the Fed in February, but still see rates peaking just below 5% by June..Earlier in the day, data showed U.S. job openings in November indicating a tight labor market, giving the Fed cover to stick to its monetary tightening campaign for longer, while other data showed manufacturing contracted further in December.U.S. equities were pummeled in 2022 on worries of a recession due to aggressive monetary policy tightening, with the three main stock indexes logging their steepest annual losses since 2008.On the Nasdaq 100 the largest gainer was U.S. shares of JD.Com Inc, which rose 14.7% on hopes for a post-COVID-19 recovery in China. The largest decliner was Microsoft, down 4.4% after a UBS analyst downgraded the stock to \"neutral\" from a \"buy\" rating.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.30-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.74-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted five new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 51 new lows.On U.S. exchanges 11.35 billion shares changed hands, compared with the 10.83 billion-share average for the last 20 trading days, which included some volume weakness due to the holidays.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COMP":0.6,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2914,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950542738,"gmtCreate":1672795288524,"gmtModify":1676538738169,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950542738","repostId":"1157476445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157476445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672803708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157476445?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-04 11:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bets on Stock Rally Explode After an Odd Year in Options Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157476445","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Market pricing in 1-in-5 odds for 23% S&P 500 Gain in 2023Susquehanna advises clients to sell calls ","content":"<div>\n<p>Market pricing in 1-in-5 odds for 23% S&P 500 Gain in 2023Susquehanna advises clients to sell calls and fund put hedgingHedging against the unknown is the name of the game in the options market. One ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/bets-on-stock-rally-explode-after-an-odd-year-in-options-trading?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bets on Stock Rally Explode After an Odd Year in Options Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBets on Stock Rally Explode After an Odd Year in Options Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-04 11:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/bets-on-stock-rally-explode-after-an-odd-year-in-options-trading?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Market pricing in 1-in-5 odds for 23% S&P 500 Gain in 2023Susquehanna advises clients to sell calls and fund put hedgingHedging against the unknown is the name of the game in the options market. One ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/bets-on-stock-rally-explode-after-an-odd-year-in-options-trading?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/bets-on-stock-rally-explode-after-an-odd-year-in-options-trading?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157476445","content_text":"Market pricing in 1-in-5 odds for 23% S&P 500 Gain in 2023Susquehanna advises clients to sell calls and fund put hedgingHedging against the unknown is the name of the game in the options market. One risk that traders are increasingly attuned to in equities is the chance they will rally in 2023.Wall Street strategists doubt it and investors are positioned against it, but certain pricing trends in derivatives show fewer traders are ruling it out after last year’s nearly 20% plunge in the S&P 500. The bets are far from the consensus — right now they’re pricing in a 1-in-5 chance the S&P 500 essentially reverses the decline in 2023, according to an analysis of implied volatility by Susquehanna International Group. But that’s a lot better odds than were being placed this time last year, when they stood at 1-in-20 for such an advance.Contributing to demand for bullish calls is the unusual success traders had with them last year, as swift bear-market rallies paid off for investors who almost universally cut equity exposure to the bone. That positioning minimized the need for downside protection leading to an unusual situation where buying puts failed to deliver big gains even as the S&P 500 sold off. To wit, the Cboe S&P 500 Risk Reversal Index (RXM) tracking a strategy of selling puts to buy a call was up 1.5% last year, while the Cboe S&P 500 5% Put Protection Index (PPUT), which follows a strategy that holds a long position on the equity gauge while buying puts as a hedge, lost 20%.The diverging performance reflected a brutal market where investors were even willing to pay up for bullish options, causing a rise in the relative costs of calls versus puts, a relationship known as skew.One way to understand skew, according to RBC Capital Markets’ strategist Amy Wu Silverman, is to think of it as “a representation of tail, the ‘thing’ we are most worried about,” she wrote in a note to clients on the weekend. “The ‘thing’ we are most worried about isn’t a down-crash but an up-crash.” That has kept call prices elevated versus puts, and might be why it stays that way “for a long, long time,” she said.So with stocks limping into 2023 and the Federal Reserve clear in its intention to keep rates elevated until inflation is well on the path lower, investors anticipating market turmoil are again paying up for options that capture upside if a rally breaks out, the analysis by Susquehanna showed.The S&P 500 fell 0.4% to 3,824 on Tuesday. As of Friday traders were assigning a 26% probability that the index would drop below 3,500. The odds climbed to almost 1-in-2 for a rise of almost 10% to above 4,200. For the S&P 500 to go back to or above its all-time high of 4,800, the odds were 14%.The pivot toward bullish options means investors can take advantage of the rich pricing, selling calls to fund protective puts, according to Christopher Jacobson, a strategist at Susquehanna.“While the current option implied likelihoods of various moves lower over the course of the year are pretty similar to how the same percentage moves looked at this time last year, the upside of the distribution is notably different now versus then,” he wrote in a note Tuesday. “While this may not necessarily be that surprising given last year’s declines, it has meaningful implications for option pricing/implied outcomes.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,"QQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3062,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950823006,"gmtCreate":1672722785606,"gmtModify":1676538725854,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950823006","repostId":"2300039621","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950943335,"gmtCreate":1672654568828,"gmtModify":1676538716158,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950943335","repostId":"2300287118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927651018,"gmtCreate":1672480702735,"gmtModify":1676538696409,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927651018","repostId":"2295181713","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2295181713","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1672441484,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2295181713?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-31 07:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Ends 2022 With Biggest Annual Drop Since 2008","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2295181713","media":"Reuters","summary":"Wall St booked biggest annual percentage drop since 2008S&P market cap declined by about $8 billion ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Wall St booked biggest annual percentage drop since 2008</li><li>S&amp;P market cap declined by about $8 billion in 2022</li><li>Indexes down: Dow 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 0.25%, Nasdaq 0.11%</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks closed out 2022 lower on Friday, capping a year of sharp losses driven by aggressive interest rate hikes to curb inflation, recession fears, the Russia-Ukraine war and rising concerns over COVID cases in China.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s three main indexes booked their first yearly drop since 2018 as an era of loose monetary policy ended with the Federal Reserve&#39;s fastest pace of rate hikes since the 1980s.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500    has shed 19.4% this year, marking a roughly $8 trillion decline in market cap. The tech-heavy Nasdaq    is down 33.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average    has fallen 8.9%.</p><p>The annual percentage declines for all three indexes were the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis, largely driven by a rout in growth shares as concerns over Fed&#39;s rapid interest rate hikes boost U.S. Treasury yields.</p><p>&#34;The primary macro reasons ... came from a combination of events: the ongoing supply chain disruption that started in 2020, the spike in inflation, the tardiness of the Fed beginning its rate tightening program in the attempt to corral the inflation,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p>He also cited economic indicators pointing to recession, geopolitical tensions including the Ukraine war, and China&#39;s surging COVID cases and uncertainties over Taiwan.</p><p>Growth stocks have been under pressure from rising yields for much of 2022 and have underperformed their economically linked value peers, reversing a trend that had lasted for much of the past decade.</p><p>Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp, Nvidia Corp, Amazon.com Inc, Tesla Inc are among the worst drags on the S&amp;P 500 growth index   , down between 28% and 66% in 2022.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 growth index has fallen about 30.1% this year, while the value index    is down 7.4%, with investors preferring high dividend-yielding sectors with steady earnings such as energy.</p><p>Energy has recorded stellar annual gains of 59% as oil prices surged.</p><p>Ten of the 11 S&amp;P sector indexes dropped on Friday, led by real estate and utilities.</p><p>&#34;The housing market has really slowed down and the values of people&#39;s homes have declined off of the highs earlier this year,&#34; said J. Bryant Evans, investment advisor and portfolio manager at Cozad Asset Management in Champaign, Illinois.</p><p>&#34;That affects people&#39;s mind frame and actually affects their spending a little bit.&#34;</p><p>The focus has shifted to the 2023 corporate earnings outlook, with growing concerns about the likelihood of a recession.</p><p>Still, signs of U.S. economic resilience have fueled worries that rates could remain higher, though easing inflationary pressures have raised hopes of dialed-down rate hikes.</p><p>Money market participants see 65% odds of a 25-basis-point hike in the Fed&#39;s February meeting, with rates expected to peak at 4.97% by mid-2023.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 73.55 points, or 0.22%, to 33,147.25; the S&amp;P 500    lost 9.78 points, or 0.25%, at 3,839.50; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 11.61 points, or 0.11%, to 10,466.48.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.50 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 134 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Ends 2022 With Biggest Annual Drop Since 2008</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Ends 2022 With Biggest Annual Drop Since 2008\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-31 07:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Wall St booked biggest annual percentage drop since 2008</li><li>S&amp;P market cap declined by about $8 billion in 2022</li><li>Indexes down: Dow 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 0.25%, Nasdaq 0.11%</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks closed out 2022 lower on Friday, capping a year of sharp losses driven by aggressive interest rate hikes to curb inflation, recession fears, the Russia-Ukraine war and rising concerns over COVID cases in China.</p><p>Wall Street&#39;s three main indexes booked their first yearly drop since 2018 as an era of loose monetary policy ended with the Federal Reserve&#39;s fastest pace of rate hikes since the 1980s.</p><p>The benchmark S&amp;P 500    has shed 19.4% this year, marking a roughly $8 trillion decline in market cap. The tech-heavy Nasdaq    is down 33.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average    has fallen 8.9%.</p><p>The annual percentage declines for all three indexes were the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis, largely driven by a rout in growth shares as concerns over Fed&#39;s rapid interest rate hikes boost U.S. Treasury yields.</p><p>&#34;The primary macro reasons ... came from a combination of events: the ongoing supply chain disruption that started in 2020, the spike in inflation, the tardiness of the Fed beginning its rate tightening program in the attempt to corral the inflation,&#34; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p>He also cited economic indicators pointing to recession, geopolitical tensions including the Ukraine war, and China&#39;s surging COVID cases and uncertainties over Taiwan.</p><p>Growth stocks have been under pressure from rising yields for much of 2022 and have underperformed their economically linked value peers, reversing a trend that had lasted for much of the past decade.</p><p>Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp, Nvidia Corp, Amazon.com Inc, Tesla Inc are among the worst drags on the S&amp;P 500 growth index   , down between 28% and 66% in 2022.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 growth index has fallen about 30.1% this year, while the value index    is down 7.4%, with investors preferring high dividend-yielding sectors with steady earnings such as energy.</p><p>Energy has recorded stellar annual gains of 59% as oil prices surged.</p><p>Ten of the 11 S&amp;P sector indexes dropped on Friday, led by real estate and utilities.</p><p>&#34;The housing market has really slowed down and the values of people&#39;s homes have declined off of the highs earlier this year,&#34; said J. Bryant Evans, investment advisor and portfolio manager at Cozad Asset Management in Champaign, Illinois.</p><p>&#34;That affects people&#39;s mind frame and actually affects their spending a little bit.&#34;</p><p>The focus has shifted to the 2023 corporate earnings outlook, with growing concerns about the likelihood of a recession.</p><p>Still, signs of U.S. economic resilience have fueled worries that rates could remain higher, though easing inflationary pressures have raised hopes of dialed-down rate hikes.</p><p>Money market participants see 65% odds of a 25-basis-point hike in the Fed&#39;s February meeting, with rates expected to peak at 4.97% by mid-2023.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 73.55 points, or 0.22%, to 33,147.25; the S&amp;P 500    lost 9.78 points, or 0.25%, at 3,839.50; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 11.61 points, or 0.11%, to 10,466.48.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.50 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 134 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2295181713","content_text":"Wall St booked biggest annual percentage drop since 2008S&P market cap declined by about $8 billion in 2022Indexes down: Dow 0.22%, S&P 500 0.25%, Nasdaq 0.11%U.S. stocks closed out 2022 lower on Friday, capping a year of sharp losses driven by aggressive interest rate hikes to curb inflation, recession fears, the Russia-Ukraine war and rising concerns over COVID cases in China.Wall Street's three main indexes booked their first yearly drop since 2018 as an era of loose monetary policy ended with the Federal Reserve's fastest pace of rate hikes since the 1980s.The benchmark S&P 500    has shed 19.4% this year, marking a roughly $8 trillion decline in market cap. The tech-heavy Nasdaq    is down 33.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average    has fallen 8.9%.The annual percentage declines for all three indexes were the biggest since the 2008 financial crisis, largely driven by a rout in growth shares as concerns over Fed's rapid interest rate hikes boost U.S. Treasury yields.\"The primary macro reasons ... came from a combination of events: the ongoing supply chain disruption that started in 2020, the spike in inflation, the tardiness of the Fed beginning its rate tightening program in the attempt to corral the inflation,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.He also cited economic indicators pointing to recession, geopolitical tensions including the Ukraine war, and China's surging COVID cases and uncertainties over Taiwan.Growth stocks have been under pressure from rising yields for much of 2022 and have underperformed their economically linked value peers, reversing a trend that had lasted for much of the past decade.Apple Inc, Alphabet Inc, Microsoft Corp, Nvidia Corp, Amazon.com Inc, Tesla Inc are among the worst drags on the S&P 500 growth index   , down between 28% and 66% in 2022.The S&P 500 growth index has fallen about 30.1% this year, while the value index    is down 7.4%, with investors preferring high dividend-yielding sectors with steady earnings such as energy.Energy has recorded stellar annual gains of 59% as oil prices surged.Ten of the 11 S&P sector indexes dropped on Friday, led by real estate and utilities.\"The housing market has really slowed down and the values of people's homes have declined off of the highs earlier this year,\" said J. Bryant Evans, investment advisor and portfolio manager at Cozad Asset Management in Champaign, Illinois.\"That affects people's mind frame and actually affects their spending a little bit.\"The focus has shifted to the 2023 corporate earnings outlook, with growing concerns about the likelihood of a recession.Still, signs of U.S. economic resilience have fueled worries that rates could remain higher, though easing inflationary pressures have raised hopes of dialed-down rate hikes.Money market participants see 65% odds of a 25-basis-point hike in the Fed's February meeting, with rates expected to peak at 4.97% by mid-2023.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 73.55 points, or 0.22%, to 33,147.25; the S&P 500    lost 9.78 points, or 0.25%, at 3,839.50; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 11.61 points, or 0.11%, to 10,466.48.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 8.50 billion shares, compared with the 10.79 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.03-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 85 new highs and 134 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924561154,"gmtCreate":1672284433778,"gmtModify":1676538665907,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924561154","repostId":"1183312159","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183312159","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672282689,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183312159?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-29 10:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183312159","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertain","content":"<div>\n<p>Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertainty. Investors should consider preparing their portfolios for different scenarios, differentiating ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-29 10:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertainty. Investors should consider preparing their portfolios for different scenarios, differentiating ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183312159","content_text":"Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertainty. Investors should consider preparing their portfolios for different scenarios, differentiating their holdings across segments that could maximize their returns against downside and upside factors.2022 will go down in history as one of the worst years for stocks in the last few decades; what will 2023 bring to the markets?Price history of the S&P 500 (SPX) IndexWhich Scenario Looks Right to You?It’s impossible to forecast the near-term path of the markets, but we can try and distinguish trends and upside and downside risks to these trends:Base Case: a mild recession in the first half of 2023, which brings down inflation, letting the Fed ease in the second half; the S&P 500 (SPX) rallies 10%-20%.Bear Case: the Fed over-tightens, sending the economy into a “hard landing,” sending stocks down for the year.Bull Case: the Fed succeeds in bringing down inflation without causing a recession, and stocks rally as they did in 2021.It would be reasonable to work according to the base-case outlook while hedging against different scenarios that might affect some stocks more than others.Base Case: Mild Recession Followed by an UpturnIn the base-case scenario, it would be a no-brainer to buy tech stocks. The decades-long trend of technology entering every layer of human life will continue, and tech stocks will likely shine again.According to Morningstar (NASDAQ: MORN) analysts, large-cap growth stocks are now one of the cheapest segments in the market, having suffered some of the biggest declines. Shares of Meta (NASDAQ: META), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) have suffered staggering losses in 2022 and look strongly undervalued. There’s no doubt that many of the Big Tech companies will see their stock performances improve as the economy mends and sentiment picks up, making their current prices look like decent entry points.Make sure to look beyond the price at the fundamentals, though. After the crazy rally and its bust, investors will be much more skeptical of bombastic growth promises that aren’t underpinned by solid numbers. When optimism returns, it will be much more realistic, at least for a while. So, it’d be a good idea to choose stocks of companies with robust earnings, ample cash, and strong growth prospects.In addition, have a look at another dirt-cheap equity segment: small caps. These stocks suffer in downturns but tend to outperform when the economy improves. Small-cap P/E ratios have reached their lowest levels in two decades, and the recession looks already priced into their valuations.To take advantage of this, you might want to have a look at the shares of Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ: SRPT), Shockwave Medical (NASDAQ: SWAV), Lattice Semiconductor (NASDAQ: LSCC), Pure Storage (NYSE: PSTG), Tetra Tech (NASDAQ: TTEK), or WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings (NASDAQ: WSC), as they look promising.Bear Case: Bad Recession or High Rates for LongerIf you believe that 2023 may turn out to be another “risk-off” year but still want to remain invested, consider picking stocks of companies that don’t depend on cheap funding and are supported by ample cash, strong business models, and dominance in their markets. Dividend-paying companies are preferred; value stocks will likely outperform in this setting. Pay attention to the industries: discretionary products and services take a much bigger hit in recessions than those supplying the necessities.For example, Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC) is a leader in the packaged food market. It has substantial pricing power and pays stable dividends, which could help hedge against an economic downturn. Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) has been a great inflation hedge, trading ata P/E ratio of 5.2. Target (NYSE: TGT) is a dividend king with a strong market cap and solid profitability. Another high-dividend stock is Danaher (NYSE: DHR), a stable, diversified conglomerate. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) has plenty of cash, a high dividend yield, and vast market share. Top this list with Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B), the best-run financial conglomerate in the U.S., and you should be well-equipped for a recession.Bull Case: No Recession, Markets RallyIf you believe the U.S. economy will avoid a recession, you’d think that one should just buy everything at these prices, right? Well, no: it will take time for another broad “buy-all” rally to emerge; investors will be very selective for a while, putting money only on those companies that have established business models and resilient financials.Go with the “base-case” portfolio, adding to it some stocks from sectors that benefit from higher growth, basing your choice on reasonable stock pricing and good fundamentals. Considering adding tech anddiscretionary stocksto the portfolio, such as Sally Beauty (NYSE: SBH), trading at a P/E ratio of 7.5, Century Communities (NYSE: CCS) at 2.8, Green Brick Partners (NYSE: GRBK) at 3.99, Western Digital (NASDAQ: WDC) at 10.5, Stride (NYSE: LRN) at 15.0, Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) at 12.8, and ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ON) at 16.2.The Takeaway: Just Hold OnWhatever happens in 2023, remember: every bear market has ended with a new bull market. Hedge your portfolio to ride out the turbulence, and don’t lose calm.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9925770389,"gmtCreate":1672119963842,"gmtModify":1676538637423,"author":{"id":"3570424148942091","authorId":"3570424148942091","name":"Fredwkh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/301d103aff8ff9955978aa630ee85588","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3570424148942091","idStr":"3570424148942091"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9925770389","repostId":"1107087281","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2263,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}